Emerging Issues Power Point Presentation

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Emerging Issues of

Carteret County’s

Economy and Workforce

Creating a Competitive Advantage

John P. Metcalf

Senior Partner

Who Heard

Mount St. Helens?

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Working Locally,

Planning Regionally to

Compete Globally

It was…

“how is the world going to be made in our image?”

Now it is…

“how is the world changing us?”

China, Inc. Ted Fishman, Scribner 2005

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Could it be today that we say…

T

hink globally and act locally

!

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Some Worrisome Global Indictors

For one chemist in the US, a company can hire 5 in China or 11 in India

The US is now a net importer of high technology products

120 chemical plants built worldwide: 1 in US and 50 in China

Rising Above the Gathering Storm, National Academies, www.nationalacademies.org/cosepup

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Some Worrisome Global Indictors

Fewer than 1/3 of US 4 th and 8 th graders perform at or above proficiencies in math

In 2003 only three US companies ranked among the top 10 recipients of patents granted by the US Patent Office

In 2004, China graduated about 500,000 engineers; India 200,00; the US 70,000

Rising Above the Gathering Storm, National Academies, www.nationalacademies.org/cosepup

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

What Are Companies Chasing?

“ Jobs and dollars are chasing not just low wages but, more importantly, chasing skilled labor.”

“America is not producing enough welleducated, technically-educated young people to power its own economy just five years from now. China and India are going to need their own, and the whole American powerhouse, comes the warning, risks tumbling down.”

The 2010 Meltdown, Dr. Edward Gordon, Greenwood Publishing

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

So, The World Is Flat

Distance today is measured in mouse clicks instead of miles

 We are interconnected in a “flat world”

Flat = Interconnection

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Tom Friedman in The World is

Flat states :

It affects everything . . . How communities and companies define themselves . . . how individuals balance their different identities as consumers, employers, shareholders, and citizens, and what role government should play. All of this is going to have to be sorted out anew.

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Carteret County’s

Positioning

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Population Growth

35%

30%

28.8%

25%

20%

15%

10.6%

14.4%

14.0%

10%

5%

0%

1980-90

21.4%

13.2% 13.1%

8.3%

4.4%

5.8%

0.1%

3.3%

1990-2000 2000-04

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, AGS Demographics

U.S.

North Carolina

Eastern Region

Carteret

9.9%

13.1%

7.9%

0.2%

2000-09

2004 Median Age

50

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

36.2

U.S.

36

33.9

43.4

North Carolina Eastern Region

Source: AGS Demographics

Carteret

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

-5%

-10%

U.S.

Growth by Age Group, 2000 to 2009

Youth Ages 15 & Under

Adults Ages 65 & Older

North Carolina Eastern Region

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, AGS Demographics

Carteret

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

24.4%

6.3%

21.1%

Educational Attainment, 2004

22.5%

6.8%

20.5%

15.0%

7.4%

23.5%

31.8%

28.6%

28.4%

20%

7%

26%

30%

19.6%

21.8% 22.2%

18%

U.S.

Less Than High School

Associate's Degree

North Carolina Eastern Region Carteret

Some College (no degree) High School Diploma

Bachelor's Degree or Above

Source: AGS Demographics

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Wage & Salary Income vs. Other Sources, 2000

Wage or salary income

Other Income (non-wage/salary)

U.S.

North Carolina Eastern Region

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Carteret

Distribution of Non-Wage/Salary Income by Source, 2000

U.S.

North Carolina Eastern Region Carteret 12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

Self-

Employment

Interest,

Dividends, or

Net Rental

Social

Security

Supplemental

Security

Public

Assistance

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Retirement Other

$180,000

$160,000

$140,000

$120,000

$100,000

$80,000

$60,000

$40,000

$20,000

$0

Average Value of Owned Homes, 2000

$158,934

$162,709

$137,312

$113,083

U.S.

North Carolina Eastern Region

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Carteret

Carteret County Distribution of Employment and

Total Wages, 2004

30%

25%

20%

15%

Employment

Total Wages

10%

5%

0%

N atu ra l R es ou rc es

&

Mi ni ng

C on str uc tio n

Tr ad e, ri ng

Ma nu fa ctu

T ra ns po rta tio n,

&

U til iti es

In fo rm ati on

Fi na nc ia l A cti vi tie s ss io na l &

B us in es

Ed s

Se rv ic es uc ati on

&

H ea lth

Se rv ic es e

&

H os pi

Le is ur ta lity rv ic es

O th er

Se

Pu bl ic

A dm in is tr ati on

Pr ofe

U nc la ss ifi ed

Source: The Employment Security Commission of North Carolina

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Distribution of Employment Goods Producing vs.

Service Providing Industies, 2004

85.4%

77.9% 79.0%

22.1%

21.0%

14.6%

North Carolina Eastern Region

Goods-Producing Service-Providing

Source: The Employment Security Commission of North Carolina

Carteret

Dropout Rates

Unduplicated Four Year Drop Out Rate,

2004 to 2005 School Year

10%

9%

8%

7%

8.6%

6.4%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3.5%

2%

1%

0%

Car te re t

5.4%

Cr av en

5.2%

Du pli n

5.7%

4.6%

4.9%

5.1% 5.0%

4.7%

Gr ee ne

Jo ne s

Le no ir

On slo w

P am lic o

Source: North Carolina Department of Public Instruction

Way ne

E as te rn

Re gio n

No rt h Ca ro lin a

18%

16%

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

2003-2004 Percent of Course Enrollment in

Advanced Placement or Technical Courses

North Carolina

Carteret

16%

15%

3%

2%

Advanced College Prep Courses Career and Technical Courses

Source: North Carolina Department of Public Instruction: School Report Cards

Three Studies, Same Conclusions

2006 State of the Workforce Report

NC Policy Center Report

Eastern NC Economic Study

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Eastern Region’s Workforce

Storylines

We must take advantage of our labor pool if we are to thrive in a new economy

Our economy is making a major shift from traditional industries and occupations to a service delivery economy

If we are to be competitive in the global economy our region must build it through

Career Awareness and Job Readiness

2006 State of the Workforce Report, Eastern Carolina Workforce Development

Board

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Eastern Region’s Workforce

Storylines

 Our region’s future is in the hands of our youth and how well prepared they are to transition from school to work

We are a region that shares more in common than we have in differences

Our community must make a decision now on the industries that will support our region’s future

2006 State of the Workforce Report, Eastern Carolina Workforce

Development Board

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Coastal Sub-region Value Chain Clusters

$60,000

Chemical-based products

$50,000

$40,000

Military ( existing ) not shown due to high concentration. It has an LQ of approximately 20, employs 71,527 people, and has an average wage of $48,225. Ship and Boat Building ( existing ) also not shown due to high concentration. It has an

LQ of over 12, employs 2,327 people and has an average wage of $28,516.

Wood building products 1,144

556

Motor vehicles

1,765

Source: US BEA (2003), and NCER.

Appliances

1,467

$30,000

$20,000

$10,000

NCER 2 nd Qtr 2004

Average Wage =$28,128

(Source: NCESC)

Hotels & transportation services, 12,095

$0

0.0

0.5

Concrete, brick building products

1,162

Machine tools

1,029

Feed products

1,027

1.0

1.5

Concentration (LQ 2004)

Wood processing

1,318

Green=Existing

Blue=Emerging

Orange=Potential

2.0

2.5

Sub-regions in North Carolina ’s Eastern Region

North Sub-region

*Textiles & Tobacco

*Food Processing/distribution

*Pharmaceuticals and

Auto-related MFG

*Precision Instruments

Nash

Edgecombe

Wilson

Pitt

Wayne

Greene

Lenoir

Jones

Craven

Duplin

Pitt Sub-region

*Advanced Health Care

& Higher Education (ECU)

*Pharmaceuticals and

Auto-related MFG

*Financial Services

Pamlico

Carteret

Onslow

Central Sub-region

*Military

*Value-Added Agriculture

(e.g. farming, food processing)

*Tobacco Consolidation

*Building Products

Coastal Sub-region

*Military

*Marine-related Industries

*Hotels/transport (tourism)

*Retiree Attraction

However

“A Trend Is Not a Destiny”

“A Trend Is Not A Destiny”

Your challenge is to bend the curve and create a new destiny

 If you do nothing, then then you’ll follow the trend

 If you plan now for action, then you’ll create a “preferred future”

Create the 20% difference

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

The 80/20 Factor In

Economic Development

Most local economies are driven by national and global economic forces

– The 80% factor

The remaining economic forces are from local efforts to create competitive advantages

– The 20% factor

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

To Create a Competitive

Advantage, Regions Must

Invest in their infrastructure, and,

Invest in the skills of their citizens

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Education and Workforce

Development Support Economic

Development

A good quality of life is related to a good wage

A good wage depends on a good job

Good jobs are dependent on a strong, diversified economy

A strong economy is dependent on a high quality education

Quality education depends on healthy children and families

Healthy children and families depend on vibrant communities!

North Carolina Progress Board NC20/20 2001

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Some Recommendations

Convene a discussion about the region’s future

Decide if a cluster based strategy is right for the region

Support entrepreneurship efforts across the region

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Some Recommendations

Develop and launch a comprehensive youth campaign

Develop and launch a comprehensive career awareness campaign

Investigate the affordable housing issue in Eastern Region

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

How Does Carteret

County Create A

Competitive Advantage in a Global Economy?

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Act On These Questions

What must we do to integrate our economic, workforce and economic strategies?

How do we influence education reform to meet global standards?

 What is the vision, “preferred future”, for our county? Our region?

What are the consequences for our citizens if we do nothing?

Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

Corporation for a

Skilled Workforce

900 Victors Way

Suite 350

Ann Arbor, MI

48108

734-769-2900

John P. Metcalf

704-814-8999 jmetcalf@skilledwork.org

www.skilledwork.org

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