The PLUS Northern California Chapter & Golden Gate CPCU Chapter Present Meltdown! The impact of the Subprime Crisis on Professional and General Liability Speakers • Hal Weston, JD, CPCU, ARM, Weston Consultancy • Bill Dougherty, CIC, RPLU • Sean Simpson, Sedgwick Detert Moran & Arnold • Scott Meyer, President, Financial Institutions Group - AIG Executive Liability • Karen Clopton, General Counsel, CA Department of Corporations Past Bubbles 1970s - Gold & Silver 1980s - S&L & Commercial Real Estate; Japanese stocks 1990s - Tech/Dot.com; Emerging Markets 2000s - Real Estate Some History • 1983: Collateralized Mortgage Invented • 1986: Tax Reform Act - home equity loans gain preference • 1994: Sub prime & Alt A Mortgages arise • 2000: HUD / Treasury Predatory lending report • 2002: HUD report re Sub Prime Market and role of GSE • 2002: Increased demand for private label MBS History - continued • 2003: Home Ownership Dream Down Payment Act • 2004: Greenspan addresses issue of Real Estate/housing bubble • 2005: 40% of all home purchases are for investment; $625B in sub prime originated. 33% at 100% LTV Key statistics TOP ISSUERS OF CDOS - 2007 Merrill Lynch Citigroup Barclays Capital ABN Amro Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Wachovia UBS JPMorgan Chase Bank of America TOTAL ISSUANCE JAN- GROWTH SINCE JUNE 2007 JAN-JUNE 2006 $ 33.4 46% $ 28.0 45% $ 24.7 187% $ 18.0 1130% $ 17.0 30% $ 16.9 6% $ 15.8 66% $ 15.0 75% $ 13.5 93% $ 12.8 20% $ 286.0 source, New York Times, Nov. 5, 2007 44% Key statistics BINGE & PURGE Bank of America Citicorp Countrywide Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Fannie Mae Freddie Mac HSBC Lehman Brothers Merrill Lynch UBS Wachovia Washington Mutual •*Economist, New York Times WRITEDOWNS ON CDOs & CREDIT $21.20 $54.60 $ NEW CAPITAL RAISED $ 20.70 44.1b $38b $11b $28b $0 $27.40 $0.830b $46.b 38.20 $7.3b $14.8b 3.5b $4b $30b 28.60 $7b $7b $ SHARE PRICE DECLINE SINCE PEAK 33% 59% 79% 24% 32% 79% 86% 10% 68% 36% 60% 62% 88% Key statistics • Outstanding Mortgage backed securities increased from $2.8 trillion in 2000 to $6.6 trillion in 2007* • By 2007 20.6% of all mortgages originated are sub prime • As interest rates rose in 2007 sub prime past due loans increased from 11.5% to 18.8% in one year bank net income decreases from $35B to 5.8B 16yr low • Anticipated losses to banks and investors: $945 BILLION!! •*Washington Post What We Know: Pre 2007 Bubble Conditions Pre 2007 • During the period 2000 to 2007, the U.S. banking industry posted record earnings. - S&P Banking Index peaked at 406 points in December of 2006, up from 279 as of January 2003. [MSN] • Subprime mortgage loan originations surged by 25% per year between 1994 and 2003. - The result was a near ten fold increase in the volume of these loans in the last nine years. [FDIC] • Google Finance’s index of 2000 publicly traded finance companies showed gains of 15% annually from 2005-2007 What We Know: Pre 2007 • Since 2000, the volume of US mortgage lending financed by securizations was seven times higher than the level funded by traditional bank loans. [Oppenheimer] • Between 2000 and 2005, increases in home prices were six times greater than increases in household incomes. [JCHS of Harvard University-2006] • In 2003, mortgages with a loan-to-value ratio exceeding 80% accounted for 30% of all purchased mortgages underwritten. In a few cities, this share exceeded 50%. [FDIC] What We Know July 2008 • Over a 100 companies have announced writedowns or other adverse financial impacts stemming from the purchase and sale of subprime mortgage backed securities, CMOs and CDOs. [GDC, LLP] As of July 2008, it has been estimated that the U.S. subprime mortgage market has cost financial institutions worldwide $410 billion in losses and writedowns. [Bloomberg] What We Know: Litigation Subprime Litigation in 2007 • 278 subprime related suits brought in 2007 - 65% (181) in the last six months of 2007 • Borrower class actions (43%) • Securities cases (22%) 54% securities fraud class actions D&O’s individually named as defendants in 97% of these class actions • Commercial contract disputes (22%) • Other, employment class actions, bankruptcy related, etc. What We Know: Litigation Subprime Litigation in Q1 2008 • 170 subprime lawsuits filed in Q1 2008, approaching the 181 filings over the final six months of 2007. [Navigant Consulting] Summary of Subprime Litigation to date • Brings total to 448 over the last 15 months, as of March 31, 2008. Borrower class actions (46%), Securities cases (26%), Commercial contract disputes (10%) 42% of the filed 448 cases, at least one Fortune Global 500 company was named as a defendant 10% named at least one non-U.S. Global 500 company as a defendant (50% in U.K.) [Navigant Consulting] What We Know: Litigation Current Credit Market Compared to the Savings & Loan Crisis • In 2007 alone, there were already half as many subprime related lawsuits as the S&L crisis (559). [Navigant Consulting] S&L Crisis 4,000 savings and loan institutions became insolvent; eventually costing taxpayers $124B ($400B in 2007 dollars). Savings and Loans Crisis was largely an institutional and domestic problem – today, it is also a consumer and global problem. Subprime Two major mortgage lenders filed for bankruptcy (New Century and American Home Mortgage) • • IndyMac and Countrywide 300 bank failures predicted by 2010 [MarketWatch] What We Know: Litigation • Allegations: False financial statements – challenge the integrity of the issuer’s financial statement. Misleading disclosure regarding loan practices – underwriting practices were different than previously disclosed. Undisclosed risk of subprime market collapse – issuers failed to warn investors of potential market collapse, e.g. Countrywide. Undisclosed exposure to subprime – issuer failed to disclose the nature and extent of its involvement in subprime-related business activities, e.g. Citigroup. Undisclosed sell-off of subprime securities – material misrepresentations and omissions by failing to disclose the fact that while they were securitizing these types of assets, they were selling off their own subprime portfolio. What We Know: Litigation Defendants and Jurisdictions (2007 suits) • Mortgage Bankers & Loan Correspondents (32%) - Also, mortgage brokers, lenders, appraisers, title companies, homebuilders, servicers, issuers, underwriting firms, securitization trustees, bond insurers, rating agencies, money managers, public accounting firms and company D&O’s, etc. - Fortune 1000 companies were named in 56% of cases - Each of the top ten subprime mortgage lenders for 2006 was named in at least one borrower class action suit in 2007 • California and New York account for approximately 50% of all cases filed - California is the largest U.S. market for high-risk home loans as half of the 20 biggest U.S. subprime lenders are located in California [Inside Mortgage Finance] What We Know: July 2008 Corrective Actions Taken • The SEC has formed the “Subprime Task Force” that includes all divisions of the SEC, to focus on investigations into possible misconduct in the subprime industry. The Enforcement Division of the SEC disclosed that it has three dozen active investigations. • The DOJ has also become active in the investigation of potential criminal aspects of the subprime meltdown. In late January 2008, the FBI said that it has opened criminal inquiries on at least 14 companies. • Attorneys general are actively pursuing investigations into possible violations of state law issuing subpoenas to a wide variety of market participants. In June 2008, California Attorney General Brown sued Countrywide and in July 2008, New York Attorney General Cuomo filed a civil suit against UBS. [GDC, LLP] What We Know: D&O Impact on D&O Market • • • • Insurance capacity is constrained Retentions and deductibles are increasing Premium rates are increasing Other terms and conditions are affected Subprime & Credit Crisis Timeline Feb ’07 - HSBC fires head of its US mortgage lending business as losses reach $10.5B. June ’07 - $3.2B move by Bear Stearns to rescue fund. Nov. ’07 - Wachovia revealed a $1.1B loss due to decline in value of its mortgage debt plus $600M to cover loan losses. March ’08 - Bear Stearns is acquired by JPMorgan Chase for $240m, a fraction of its share price, in deal backed by $30bn in Fed loans. Wachovia CEO Ken Thompson resigns 7 months later. July ’08 - Indymac Bancorp is seized by federal regulators. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae experience heaviest trading day on record. ? ? Today April ’07 - New Century Files Chapter 11 and Accredited Home and American Home can’t fund mortgages. Oct. ’07 - Merrill Lynch reveals $5.6B subprime loss and $7.9B hit following exposure to bad debt. Feb. ’08 - AIG estimates writedowns for 2007 would be $5.2B, more than triple the $1.6bn disclosed in Dec. Merrill CEO E. Stanley O’Neal resigns. AIG CEO Martin Sullivan resigns 4 months later. Nov. ’07 - Citigroup announces fresh losses of between $8B and $11B because of exposure to the US subprime market. ? ? ? YE 2008 and BeyondA recent study by Bridgewater Associates pegs the new estimate on writedowns at $1.6T. April ’08 - Citigroup reveals another $12B in subprime losses, bringing its total to $40B. Citi CEO & Chairman Charles O. Prince resigns. NOT TO SCALE What We Know, We Don’t Know Unknown, Unknowns… • In Nov. 2007, Citigroup announces losses of approximately $10B because of exposure to the U.S subprime market. - Did we know they would writedown an additional $12B in subprime losses, bringing its total to $40B? • Of the $410 billion of current estimated losses and writedowns, a significant portion of it is related to CMOs and CDOs. - 24 months ago did the average investor know what these financial instruments were? • Auction Rate Securities – investments at the center of the latest probe in the credit markets. - 6 months ago, did anyone really know what they were? • IndyMac, with $32B in assets, is the largest bank failure in 24 years. - Could this be the beginning of a string of failures comparable to the 3,000 bank closings in the 1980s? Unknown, Unknowns • Is the securitization market for residential mortgages closed forever? • Will Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac be nationalized? • Is the FDIC in a financial position to bail out all failing banks? • How many other banks will fail? • With the U.S. sovereign credit rating be damaged? • Will the housing rescue bill, recently passed by the Senate, be effective? The Problem With Unknowns The D&O Industry does not know the systemic impact of the Credit Crisis. • Total Cost • Additional Losses • Average Settlement • The Industry Knows That It Does Not Know What Will Be Next… Knowing What We Know… Conclusions & Assumptions Based On Unknown Unknowns…. • Is there any way to predict or prepare for the uncertain future? • What unforeseen outcomes lie ahead? • What will be the next “Crisis?” • Impact both for and because of the global marketplace? Conclusion • “All truth passes through three phases: First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed, and Third, it is accepted as self-evident.” • Arthur Schopenhauer, 19th Century German Philosopher • “All truths are easy to understand once they are discovered; the point is to discover them.” • Galileo • “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie—deliberate, contrived and dishonest—but the myth—persistent, persuasive and unrealistic.” • JFK • “As long as people believe in absurdities, they will continue to commit atrocities.” • Voltaire • “Hold on to your butts.” • Jurassic Park Conclusion Conclusion © 2008 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Insurance Coverage Issues Affecting Liability Claims Sean Simpson Sedgwick, Detert, Moran & Arnold LLP 3 Park Plaza, 17th Floor Irvine, CA 92614-8540 August 13, 2008 Applicable Insurance Coverages • • • • • Errors and Omissions Liability Commercial General Liability Directors and Officers Liability Fiduciary Liability Credit Risk Coverage E&O Coverage – Insuring Grant Coverage generally afforded to an Insured for Loss arising from a Claim first made against the Insured during the Policy Period for a Wrongful Act. Wrongful Act / Professional Services • The term “Wrongful Act” in an E&O policy is generally defined as a negligent act, error or omission committed by the Insured in the performance of “professional services.” • “Professional services” implicated in the subprime crisis include: Mortgage Lending Mortgage Brokering Real Estate Appraisal Real Estate Brokering Title Insuring Escrow Services Legal Services (in those states where lawyers are involved) Alleged Wrongful Acts In Subprime Context • Misrepresentations to borrowers re terms of loan and availability of other lending options • Failure to make required disclosures • Misrepresentations to lenders re borrower’s finances • Pressuring appraisers to inflate home values • Racially discriminatory pricing • Late posting of mortgage payments • Improperly retained interest • Improperly assessed foreclosure fees • Failure to properly handle default during and after borrower’s bankruptcy Are The Requirements for Wrongful Act Satisfied? • Typical E&O issues: Intentional? “Professional services” Investigative orders (e.g., "may have" committed) Who Is An Insured? • Includes the named entity and its directors, officers, partners or employees while acting within the scope of their duties as such. • Excludes other businesses that partner with the named Insured. • May exclude subsidiaries or other related companies. • Contractors? Usually excluded. Add by endorsement. Staff are usually independent contractors. Is There A Claim? • Claim -- written demand for money damages. Investigations - are they claims? Some policies expressly include investigations by a governmental body or self-regulatory organization within the definition of Claim Complaint letters - are they claims? • Inter-related acts: Wrongful Acts that have as a common nexus any fact, circumstance, situation, event or transaction or series of facts, circumstances, situations, events or transactions. First act, which policy period. • Retentions for multiple claims Impact of Insured’s Dissolution • Who pays retention if insured out of business? • Policy provision: “[t]he Retention shall be borne by the INSURED as its own uninsured risk and shall be fully paid by the INSURED before Underwriters shall incur any liability to pay any LOSS” • Under California law, an insurer generally has no obligation to “drop down” and pay any Loss until the retention has been exhausted. Vons Cos., Inc. v. United States Fire Ins. Co. (2000) 78 Cal.App.4th 52, 63. Dangers of Insured’s Dissolution • Defense attorney may withdraw for lack of payment. • The claimant may pursue a third party claim against the insurer. Some court hold that the insurer may be liable for the excess portion of the judgment. See Rummel v. Lexington Ins. Co. (N.M. 1997) 945 P.2d 970; UMC/Stamford, Inc. v. Allianz Underwriters Ins. Co. (N.J. Super. Ct. Law Div. 1994) 647 A.2d 182. Limitations on Loss •“Loss” includes money damages, settlements and defense costs. •Exclude Punitive damages usually excluded by definition of loss, and uninsurable by law. Criminal and civil fines. Disgorgement. Pan Pacific Retail Properties v. Gulf Insurance Company (9th Cir. 2006) 466 F.3d 867. Limitations on Loss Mortgage Fee Claims • Exclude “Mortgage Fee Claim” - Claim arising out of fees paid to or by the Insured in connection with the loan process. The exclusion may include a yield spread premium, overage, premium pricing, yield spread differential, par plus pricing, discharge fee, loan payoff charge and late payment fee Some policies include coverage for a Mortgage Fee Claim, but limit coverage only to defense costs. The Fraud and Dishonesty Exclusion • Exclude criminal, dishonest, intentionally malicious, or fraudulent acts. Most fraud exclusions, however, require either an “in-fact” determination or a “final adjudication” that the actions at issue were indeed fraudulent. Known Claims or Circumstances Exclusion • Known loss or claim or circumstances. • actual or constructive knowledge prior to the beginning of the Policy Period. Given the breadth of the subprime crisis, was insured aware of circumstances that could give rise to a Claim Other Potentially Applicable Exclusions • Other potential exclusions that may be implicated include exclusions for claims relating to: • Yield spread premiums • Loan servicing • ERISA violations • Defamation • Wrongful eviction • Invasion of privacy • Non-monetary relief • Loan repurchase • Breach of warranty/guarantee • Unfair competition • Discrimination • Assumption of liability under contract • Advertising • Governmental actions • Corporate policies CGL Coverage • An insured is likely to pursue CGL coverage where a claim can reasonably be made Defense Costs typically do not decrease limits An award of plaintiffs’ attorneys fees may constitute costs under the supplementary payments provision, and thus, may not decrease limits Advertising Injury Cover • Personal and advertising injury is generally defined to mean injury arising out of certain specific offenses, including: False arrest, detention, or imprisonment Malicious prosecution An owner, landlord or lessor’s wrongful eviction/entry Oral or written publication that slanders or libels a person or organization or disparages a person’s or organization’s products or services Oral or written publication that violates a person’s right to privacy The use of another’s advertising idea in the insured’s advertisement Infringing on another’s intellectual property in the insured’s advertisement Zurich American Insurance Co. v. Fieldstone Mortgage Co. • In Zurich Am. Ins. Co. v. Fieldstone Mortg. Co., 2007 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 81570 (D. Md. Oct. 26, 2007), plaintiff alleged that he received "prescreened" offers from Fieldstone Mortgage to refinance his mortgage. The "prescreening" was allegedly based on information contained in his consumer credit report, which was accessed without his consent and without a permissible purpose under FCRA. • The court held that the alleged FCRA violations at issue fell within the scope of the “personal and advertising injury coverage,” which was defined to include injury arising out of certain distinct offenses, including "[o]ral or written publication, in any manner, of material that violates a person's right of privacy." Advertising Injury Exclusions • Potentially applicable exclusions under the “advertising injury” cover include: Knowing violation of rights of another • Advertising injury caused with knowledge that the act would violate the rights of another and inflict advertising injury Material published with knowledge of falsity Material published prior to policy period Criminal acts Breach of contract Qualify or performance of goods – Failure to conform to statements • Advertising injury arising from the failure of products or services with any statement of quality or performance made in the advertisement. Wrong description of prices Regulatory Impact Federal Regulators Include: OCC (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency) Federal Reserve System (Board), FDIC, OTS and National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) oversee the mortgage industry on a national level. Regulatory Impact State Regulators: Department of Corporations (DOC), Department of Real Estate (DRE) and the Department of Financial Institutions (DFI). DOC Regulatory authority: Corporate Securities Law of 1968, Franchise Investment Law, California Commodity Law of 1990, California Deferred Deposit Transactions Law, Finance Lenders Law, Residential Mortgage Lending Act, Check Sellers, Bill Payers and Proraters Law, and Escrow Law. -- qualification of the offer and sale of securities and the licensing and regulation of broker-dealers, broker-dealer agents, investment advisers, and investment adviser representatives pursuant to the Corporate Securities Law of 1968. Regulatory Impact Changes initiated to deal with the crisis: State of California Initiatives New regs to protect borrowers -requires lenders to consider a borrower’s ability to repay at the higher reset interest rate. Established Interdepartmental Task Force on Non-traditional Mortgages to ensure a comprehensive and coordinated approach to the issues raised by subprime loans. Regulatory Impact Regulation Z (Truth in Lending Act) , final rule, adopted under the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act (HOEPA). Key protections: • Prohibit a lender from making a loan without regard to borrowers' ability to repay the loan from income and assets other than the home's value. • Require creditors to verify the income and assets they rely upon to determine repayment ability. • Ban any prepayment penalty if the payment can change in the initial four years. • Require creditors to establish escrow accounts for property taxes and homeowner's insurance for all firstlien mortgage loans. Regulatory Impact • Additional new rules for loans secured by a consumer's principal dwelling: • Creditors and mortgage brokers are prohibited from coercing a real estate appraiser to misstate a home's value. Companies that service mortgage loans prohibited from engaging in certain practices, such as pyramiding late fees. Creditors must provide a good faith estimate of the loan costs, including a schedule of payments, within three days after a consumer applies for any mortgage loan secured by a consumer's principal dwelling For all mortgages, the rule also sets additional advertising standards. Advertising rules now require additional information about rates, monthly payments, and other loan features. The final rule bans seven deceptive or misleading advertising practices, including representing that a rate or payment is "fixed" when it can change. Impact and Changes in the Insurance Market What’s Next? Long term impact on: Regulations Litigation - key lawsuits pending Insurance - underwriting/ capacity Questions? PLUS and CPCU THANK YOU!