State of the Wind Industry – by Denise Bode

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State of the Wind Industry
Denise Bode
CEO
American Wind Energy Association
American Wind Energy Association (AWEA)
• Founded in 1974
• More than 2,500 business members
• Wind project developers
• Wind turbine manufacturers
• Component manufacturers: towers, blades,
gears
• More than 8,000 parts in a turbine
• www.AWEA.org provides extensive info on wind
Perspective
Global Competition
• At least 37 nations have mandatory renewable
energy requirements
U.S. Wind Power Installations
MW of Wind Installed
Total Installation in 3Q 2009:
1,649 MW
Source: AWEA
Total Installation in 2009:
5,800 MW
Total U.S. Installation through 3Q 2009:
31,100 MW
Vision for the Future
20% Wind Energy by 2030
• U.S. Department of Energy:
“The U.S. possesses
sufficient and affordable
wind resources to obtain
at least 20% of its
electricity from wind by
the year 2030.”
Wind Project Development
46 states
would have
wind
development
by 2030
under the
20% Vision
Source: U.S. DOE, 20% Wind Energy by 2030
Job Projections Under 20% Report
• Over 500,000
total jobs
would be
supported by
the wind
industry
• In 2008, wind
industry
added 35,000
new jobs
Source: U.S. DOE, 20% Wind Energy by 2030
Wind Manufacturing Facilities Across the U.S.
• 55 manufacturing facilities opened, expanded or
announced in 2008
• Wind
industry
now
employs
85,000
in U.S.
Major facilities online prior to 2008
All new online in 2008 – 2Q 2009
Announced facilities
How We Get There
Policy Timeline for Wind – Looking Ahead
Proposed RES
PTC for Wind
Grant in lieu of ITC
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Bonus Depreciation
Policy Timeline for Wind – In Perspective
Price-Anderson Act
Credit for Non-Conventional Fossil Fuel
Intangible Drilling Costs
Percent Depletion Allowance
Proposed RES
PTC for Wind
Grant in lieu of ITC
2020
2010
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
1910
Bonus Depreciation for Wind
National Renewable Electricity Standard
• A strong 25% by 2025 RES would create:
• 8-fold increase in homegrown renewable energy –
from 28,000 MW to 248,000 MW
• 297,000 new jobs
• $13.5 billion in income to farmers, landowners,
and ranchers
• $11.5 billion in new local tax revenue
• $64.3 billion savings from lower consumer
expenditures
• All at no cost to the taxpayer
Source: Union of Concerned Scientists, 2009
25% RES by 2025
20% RES by 2021 with 5% EE
600
20% by 2021 with up to 8% EE (House Bill, H.R. 2454)
500
15% with 4% EE (Latest Senate Proposal)
Existing State RPS
400
300
200
100
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0
2009
Additional Renewable Generation (billion kWh)
Additional Renewable Generation Required to Meet RES
Scenarios Compared to State RES Programs, Post-2009
Conceptual Vision: Green Power Superhighways
Wind Power in Queues (MW)
Washington
5,831
Oregon
9,361
Montana
2327
Idaho
446
Wyoming
7,870
Nevada
3,913
North
Dakota
11,493
South
Dakota
30,112
Nebraska
3,726
Utah
1,052
California
18,629
Arizona
7,268
Colorado
16,602
New Mexico
14,136
Kansas
13,191
VT
155
Minnesota
20,011
NH
396
Wisconsin
908
Iowa
14,569
Michigan
2,518
New York
8,000
Penn.
3,391
Indiana Ohio
Illinois 8,426 3,683 WV
16,284
1,045
Missouri
2,050
Oklahoma
14,677
Arkansas
210
Texas
63,504
Maine
1,398
VA
820
RI
347
MA
492
NJ
1416
DE
450
MD
810
Under 1000 MW
1,000 MW-8,000
MW
Over 8,000 MW
Total 311,155 MW
Adapting Power Grid to Accommodate Wind
• Wind is an energy resource, not a capacity resource
• ‘Reliability’ concerns often founded on serious
misunderstandings of how grid operates, how wind
projects fit into system operations
• Wind power output is ‘variable,’ not ‘intermittent’
• Wind forecasting plays key role today, will play
increasingly important role in future
• There is a cost to managing wind’s variability –
depends upon system’s characteristics, but is
generally low
• Many wind integration studies have been performed in
US, EU
Thank you!
More information :
www.awea.org | 202-383-2500 | windmail@awea.org
www.awea.org/events
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