Health Care Cost Drivers: Hospital and Other Health Expenditures—Descriptive Overview April 28, 2011 1 Overview • What are the growth trends in health spending categories other than hospitals, physicians and drugs? • What are some of the key trends in public-sector spending on long-term care? • How have capital investments in buildings and equipment affected overall spending? • What are the key issues to watch in the future? 2 Overview of Other Health Expenditures 3 Rising Share of Other Health Expenditures During the 1990s Share of Total Health Expenditure by Use of Funds, Selected Categories 50% 40% 41.6 41.1 39.1 34.4 30% 29.6 28.9 20% 15.4 16.3 11.4 15.2 13.4 13.7 10% 0% Hospitals Drugs 1990 Physicians 2000 Other 2010f 4 Long-Term Care, Public Health and Capital Are Significant Categories of Other Health Spending Distribution of Other Health Expenditures by Category, 2010f Public Sector: $46.5 Billion Other $3.7; 8% Capital $6.9; 15% 6% Administration $2.7; 6% Public Health $12.2; 26% Health Research $2.3; 5% Other Professionals $1.5; 3% Home Care $3.9; 8% Other Institutions $13.3; 29% Dental Care: 44% Vision Care: 20% 5 Public Health, Capital and Long-Term Care Are Mainly Financed by the Public Sector Public-Sector Share of Categories 100 100 100% 80% 76 81 71 63 67 83 62 55 60% 61 44 40% 20% 10 7 0% 1998 2008 6 Capital, Health Research and Public Health: The Fastest-Growing Categories Public-Sector Average Annual Growth, 1998 to 2008 16% Average Annual Growth 13.7 12% 11.3 9.6 8% 7.7 6.6 5.4 4% 0% 7 Increased Spending on Public Health Public Health Expenditure as a Percentage of Total Public-Sector Spending 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010f 8 Share of Public-Sector Administration Spending Relatively Unchanged in the Past Five Years Public-Sector Administration Expenditures as a Percentage of Total 4% 3.5 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3% 2% 1% 0% 9 Growth in Spending on Other Health Professionals Higher in the Private Sector $600 5.6% 6% $500 5% $400 4% $300 3% $200 2% 1.7% $100 1% Average Annual Growth Per Capita Spending $515 $41 $0 0% Public Per Capita (2008) Private AAG (1998–2008) 10 More Health Professionals 2004 2004 Number of Physicians Number of Regulated Nurses Number of Dentists and Dental Hygienists Number of Optometrists 60,612 Percentage 2008 Change 8.0% 65,440 315,135 341,431 Percentage Population Increase 8.3% 35,866 41,798 16.5% 3,941 4,507 14.4% 4.2% 11 Public-Sector Spending Trends in Long-Term Care 12 The Structure of the 65+ Population Has Shifted Toward Older Seniors 35% Share of Each Senior Age Group in the 65+ Population 31 30% 29 26 25% 23 20 20% 20 15 15% 13 13 10 10% 5% 0% 65–69 70–74 75–79 1998 Age Distribution 80–84 85+ 2008 Age Distribution 13 Long-Term Care Does Not Account for Increasing Share of Public-Sector Health Expenditure Public-Sector Expenditures on Long-Term Care as a Percentage of Total 16% 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 12% 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 10.8 10.3 10.0 8% 12.1 12.0 11.8 11.7 11.6 11.4 11.4 11.0 4% 0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% Institutional Care Home Care 14 Growth Rates in Long-Term Care Institution Spending per Capita for the Oldest Senior Age Groups Among the Lowest 4% $12,000 AAG: 1998–2008 $10,000 3% $8,000 2% $6,000 $4,000 1% $2,000 0% $0 65–69 70–74 75–79 Growth in Expenditure per Capita 80–84 85–89 90+ Expenditure per Capita (2008) 15 Population Aging: Greater Effect in Long-Term Care Institutions Average Annual Growth in Spending Attributable to Population Aging, 1998 to 2008 Average Annual Growth 3% 2.3 2% 1% 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.6 0% 16 Beds Staffed and in Operation per 1,000 Seniors Relatively Unchanged Beds per 1,000 Population (65+) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 Public 2007 2008 Private 17 Average Annual Growth Rate in Number of Beds in Long-Term Care Institutions per 1,000 Seniors Varied in Selected G7 Countries Average Annual Growth 2004 to 2008 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.5 -1.0 United States United Kingdom Japan Italy Germany (2003–2007) Canada 18 Compensation Unchanged, Number of Full-Time Equivalents Increasing Inflation-Adjusted Salary and Wage Expenditures per Full-Time Equivalent, and Number of Full-Time Equivalents per 100,000 Population $40.000 800 $30.000 600 $20.000 400 $10.000 200 $0.000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Salary and Wage Expenditures per FTE FTE/100,000 19 An Increase of More Than $1 Billion in Home Care Spending 5.0 Provincial/Territorial Government Spending on Home Care, Current Dollars $3.9 $ Billions 4.0 3.0 $2.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 1999–2000 2006–2007 20 Government-Sponsored Home Care Users Rising 30 25 Government-Sponsored Home Care Users per 1,000 Population 28.1 23.9 20 15 10 5 0 1994 2005 21 Higher Proportion of Residents 85+ in Homes for the Aged 60% Percentage Distribution of Residents 65+ in Homes for the Aged 54.5 50.4 50% 40% 30% 22.6 22.0 20% 10% 14.8 4.1 4.1 12.7 8.1 6.7 0% 65–69 70–74 75–79 1998 80–84 85+ 2008 22 Rising Proportion of Residents in Homes for the Aged Receiving Type III and Higher Care 35% 33% 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1998 2008 23 Alternate Level of Care Is an Important Issue • In 2008–2009, there were more than 92,000 hospitalizations and more than 2.4 million hospital days involving alternate level of care stays in Canada. This represented 5% of all hospitalizations and 13% of all hospital days. • There is a perception that a growing proportion of elderly patients tie up hospital beds while waiting for a place in long-term care. 24 Overview of Capital Expenditures 25 Share of Public-Sector Spending on Capital Trended Upwards in the Last Decade Capital Spending as a Percentage of Total Public-Sector Health Spending 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Capital to Total 2000 2005 2010f 26 Distribution of Total Capital Expenditures 100% 53 49 47 47 40 40 44 44 38 42 36 47 51 53 53 60 60 56 56 62 58 64 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Equipment Construction 27 Capital Expenditure in Health Care Capital investment by type of asset 1) Construction: facilities and building construction 2) Equipment Annual Capital Investment by Type of Asset, 1998 to 2008 Value ($ Billions) Type of Asset 1998 (% of Total) 2008 (% of Total) AAG 1998–2008 Equipment 1.2 53.5% 3.0 36.3% 9.3% Construction 1.1 46.5% 5.2 63.7% 17.2% Total 2.3 100% 8.2 100% 13.6% 28 Increasing Share of Capital Spending for Residential Care Facilities 1998 2008 Total Capital Spending: $2.3 Billion Total Capital Spending: $8.2 Billion Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 16.5% Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 11.4% Social Assistance 2.5% Ambulatory Health Care Services 10.9% Hospitals 75.2% Hospitals 73.2% Social Assistance 0.8% Ambulatory Health Care Services 9.5% 29 Overall Key Findings • Long-term care does not account for an increasing share of health spending in the public sector • The number of full-time equivalent (FTE) personnel (not wages per FTE) is mainly responsible for the increase in institutional care spending • From 2004 to 2008, trends in beds staffed and in operation kept pace with demographics • Capital investment in the health care sector significantly increased from 1998 to 2008; the trend was led mostly by long-term care institutions 30 Key Issues to Watch in the Future • What is the best way to provide care for seniors? – What will be the balance between hospital care, institutional care and home care during the next decade? – How will the system optimize the integration of seniors’ care? • How will provincial deficits and fiscal restraint in future years affect investment in public health and capital? 31 Thank You 32