What explains the decline in personal income beginning in 1929? The Stock Market Crash (’29) and Great Depression (‘30s) What were the causes of the Great Depression and how did the depression affect the lives of Americans? I. Background: Business Cycle Peak Expansion Recession (Business Slump) *Decrease Production *Decrease Wages *Layoffs *Increase production *Wages high Depression Measure of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) (longer business downturn) Estimated total value of all final goods. What basically determines the ups and downs in the business cycle? SUPPLY and DEMAND Case in Point: Model T Ford Henry Ford’s company mass produces Model T. Assembly line production makes the process quick and affordable. Company makes money, investors make money, workers make money…. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN EVERYONE WHO WANTS A MODEL T HAS ALREADY PURCHASED ONE???? Expansion *Increase production + *Wages high + Case in Point: Model T Ford Henry Ford’s company meets the demand for Model T. Supply meets Demand. WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF HENRY FORD CONTINUED PRODUCING MODEL T’s AT THE SAME RATE DURING PEAK AS HE HAD DURING EXPANSION? Peak (Supply meets demand) = Case in Point: Model T Ford Henry Ford must reduce production to meet lower demand for Model T. Company does not make as much money, investors do not make as much money, and some workers may be laid off. Recession (Business Slump) *Decrease Production *Decrease Wages *Layoffs - Stock Market measures health of economy / business by buying and selling stock (supply and demand.) Stock- ownership in company. New York Stock Exchange What role does the stock market play in the Business Cycle? Business distributes stock (shares) to shareholders. STOCK MARKET What role does the stock market play in the Business Cycle? Business distributes stock (shares) to shareholders. STOCK MARKET Business earns money. What role does the stock market play in the Business Cycle? Business distributes stock (shares) to shareholders. STOCK MARKET Dividends (portion of earnings) given to stockholders. Business earns money. What role does the stock market play in the Business Cycle? Stockholders buy more shares of stock in company. Business distributes stock (shares) to shareholders. STOCK MARKET Dividends (portion of earnings) given to stockholders. Business earns money. Price of stocks in the stock market reflects the expectation of shareholders. Expectation / Speculation stock prices high = stock grows or remain high Expectation / Speculation stock prices low = stock goes down Peak Expectation high and people buy Expectation low and people stop buying II. Causes and Effects of Great Depression 1. Over speculation of stocks using borrowed money that could not be repaid when the stock market crashed in 1929. Economy 1920s *optimistic *prosperity *wages high *confidence in business ***Over speculationStocks overvalued *uneven distribution of wealth *80% people had no savings *installment buying-Debt *stock on margin-borrowed $ *over production *laissez faire gov’t Oct. 29, 1929 Black Tuesday GREAT DEPRESSION The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange just after the crash of 1929. In a single day-Black Tuesday- a record sixteen million shares were traded and thirty billion dollars vanished into thin air. II. Causes and Effects of Great Depression 2. The “ripple effect” of the stock market crash. Investors lose money 1929 Stock Market Crash Many investors lost everything in the stock market Income drops 40% Investors lose money 1929 Stock Market Crash Factories lay-off workersno insurance 86,000 businesses fail 13 million workers left unemployed Typical scene outside an employment agency. Local missions sponsor soup kitchens to feed the unemployed. How did massive unemployment impact the nation’s psychological state? Feelings of shame, depression, hopelessness. Investors lose money 1929 Stock Market Crash Factories lay-off workersno insurance Banks fail, people take money out of banks Federal Reserve failed to prevent widespread collapse of banking system leading to severe contraction in the nation’s supply of money in circulation. “Run on the Bank” (1933) Investors lose money 1929 Stock Market Crash Farm foreclosures, banks need money Factories lay-off workersno insurance Banks fail, people take money out of banks Farmers worst hit by Great Depression. New machinery increased crop yields, but surpluses meant crop prices remained low— Mortgaged farms are lost. (1933-1934) Farmer’s plight in Great Plains made worse by drought and the consequent dust storms-- “Dust Bowl.” “Black Blizzard” Consumed by “Dust Bowl”“dust pneumonia,” brown snow reaches northeast. 25% of farmers migrate out of “Dust Bowl.” “Okies” escape the dust storms and move to California. (Steinbeck’s novel, Grapes of Wrath) Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE EFFECT Over speculation of stocks Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent collapse of banking system in late 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE Over speculation of stocks EFFECT Stock Market Crash, 1929 -followed by Great Depression Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent collapse of banking system in late 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE EFFECT Over speculation of stocks Stock Market Crash, 1929 -followed by Great Depression Factories lay off workers, no insurance Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent collapse of banking system in late 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE EFFECT Over speculation of stocks Stock Market Crash, 1929 -followed by Great Depression Factories lay off workers, no insurance Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent Banks close as people make a “run collapse of banking system in late on the bank” to take money out 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE EFFECT Over speculation of stocks Stock Market Crash, 1929 -followed by Great Depression Factories lay off workers, no insurance Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent Banks close as people make a “run collapse of banking system in late on the bank” to take money out 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money Foreclosure of family farms, farmers not able to pay their debt in cash “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Cause and Effect: Graphic Practice CAUSE EFFECT Over speculation of stocks Stock Market Crash, 1929 -followed by Great Depression Factories lay off workers, no insurance Local missions sponsor soup kitchens and bread lines Federal Reserve failed to prevent Banks close as people make a “run collapse of banking system in late on the bank” to take money out 1920s and ’30s, severe contraction in nation’s money supply Banks need money Foreclosure of family farms, farmers not able to pay their debt in cash Drought in Great Plains creates “Dust Bowl.” “Okies” escape Great Plains for California Investors lose money GlobalGermany cannot Factories repay WWI debt, lay-off France and workers1929 England no insurance cannot repay Stock Market debt Crash Farms foreclosures, banks need money Banks fail, people take money out of banks German post-WWI Inflation1 dollar worth 100,000 marks Unable to pay war reparations. Poor in streets of Germany Dawes Plan and Young PlanU.S. loans money to Germany to pay reparations, ends after stock market crash. What is strange about this financial arrangement? III. Limited role of government: Hoover Herbert Hoover (R) (1929- 1933) Overall view: Voluntary aid (neighbor helping neighbor) Gov’t help would destroy people’s self respect Insisted things would get better soon… “no one is actually starving” What is the problem with Hoover’s approach? Bad Decisions: Tariff Act of 1930 or Hawley-Smoot TariffHigh protective tariff that produced retaliatory tariffs in other countries, strangling world trade. Reconstruction Finance Corporation (RFC)Loans to banks and business, appeared as though Hoover only willing to help the rich. People blame Hoover for Great Depression: Shantytowns = Hoovervilles Empty pockets = Hoover flags Newspaper = Hoover blankets Hooverville Hoover’s reputation gets worse…. “Bonus Army” Incident20,000 WWI vets protest in D.C. They want pensions. There is a few violent skirmishes and army is called out to drive them out. Write a letter to President Hoover explaining how you feel about the “Bonus Army” incident and what you think he should do to solve the problems of the Great Depression. Election of 1932 Hoover (R) FDR (D) Why did FDR win by such a wide margin in 1932? FDR offered a NEW DEAL for the American people. (Jan-March 1933) Wait for FDR to come into office… IV. Active role of government: FDR Franklin Delano Roosevelt (D) (1933-1945) New Deal- government programs to solve problems of Great Depression and put people back to work. 3 “R’s” : Relief, Recovery, Reform At inauguration, FDR rallied a frightened nation in which 1 in 4 workers were unemployed. “We have nothing to fear, but fear itself.” New Deal in Action: Corrected unsound banking and investment practices: “Bank Holiday” Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)Insured deposits up to 5,000. “Fire Side Chats” reassure American people New Deal Alphabet Soup: Works Progress Administration (WPA)Gov’t building projects, direct payment to people for immediate help. New Deal Alphabet Soup: Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC)- Young men to work building roads, parks, planting trees…$ to families ***Blue Ridge Parkway New Deal Alphabet Soup: National Recovery Administration (NRA)Gov’t set prices and limited production. “The making of industrial policy…should no longer be left to the market place and the price mechanism but should be placed in the hands of administrative bodies.” Gardiner Means—Economist Growing militancy of unions. Wagner Act- protected right of workers to join unions and collective bargaining and set min. wage and hours. Agricultural Adjustment Administration (AAA)Recovery programs were designed to bring nation out of depression over time. Crop subsidies. Educational programs to promote soil conservation. Social Security Act - Offered safeguards for workers, unemployment insurance, aid to disabled, elderly, and dependent children. What explains the results of the 1936 election? Why does Democratic control of the White House mark an important turning point in U.S. political history?