Instituições Políticas Aula 10 Ciência Política AE Topics 1) Definition of Presidential Institutions and Separation of Powers 2) Political Theory and Separation of Powers 3) Presidential Institutions and Liberalism vs Democracy 4) Governo Dividido 5) Processo Decisorio e Democracia Introduction New Institutionalism • Economics: Douglas North Nobel Prize (1990) • Political Science: March & Olsen, “On Organizational Factors in Political Life” (1989) Linz & Valenzuela: Parliamentary Government in Latin America ? Definitions of Presidential and Parliamentary Government • Linz/Lijphart/Powell: Presidential Government = “Direct Election of Executive” • Mettenheim (Horowitz/Jones/Mayhew): “Separate election of executive and legislature for fixed terms” (minimal vs descriptive definitions) Why? • Definition 1 = residual category (parliamentary vs all other) • Definition 2 = separation of powers vs Fujimori/Chaves/De Gaulle… • Correlations, Parliamentary Govt + …. • Spurious (income, history, region, context) 2 Biases 1) Liberal Reformism Burke, Hobbes, Huntington, Linz: Concentrate Power = Governability Representative Government vs Direct Democracy/Social Pressure 2) Euro-Centrism Parliamentary Government, Stability vs Underdevelopment/Instability/New World Separation of Powers? • Political Theory (mixed constitution,Montesquieu, Locke, Federalists…) • VS Burke/Linz/Hobbes: Concentrate Power to Increase Governability = • Vote MP Law Bureaucracy Burke: “Address to Electors of Bristol” Processo Decisório Contínuo sob Separação dos Poderes ONG’s EXECUTIVO SOCIEDADE MEDIA MUNICÍPIOS ESTADOS JUDICIARIO LEGISLATIVO Political Institutions and Social Mobilization Political Institutions Popular Middle Praetorian Oligarchy 1889 1930 Oligarchy Social Mobilization 1964 Middle Class 1985-2004 Popular Classes Separação dos Poderes e Democracia vs Liberalismo • Europa: 18th C = Monarchy vs Oligarch • 19th C + Liberalism = Representative Government vs • Direct Democracy via • Corporatism, Populism, Direct Appeals Presidential Institutions Institutionalize Tension: Direct Democracy vs Representative Government Divided Government Jones, Separated System (1994) Mayhew, Divided We Govern (1989) US Presidents 1945-1990 w/o majority > US Presidents with majority in congress WHY? “Fast Track” vs Party Discipline ? (vote of confidence) Weber dizia: (Politica como Vocação): • Presidential Institutions Democratize faster, because • Head of government directly elected • Free to nominate partisans to bureaucracy • Outsiders gain power • Party Machines of Immigrants “realign” Institutional Variation in Democracies Party-system Electoral system Legislature Government Central Gov. Courts Local Gov. Civil Service Armed forces State-market Two-party Proportional Unicameral Unitary Parliament Review Weak Spoils Professional Liberal vs. Multi-party vs. District vs. Bicameral vs. Federalist vs. Presidentialism vs. Preview vs. Strong autonomy vs. Merit vs. Conscription vs. Corporatist Source: Bo Rothstein “Political Institutions: An Overview.” in Goodin, Robert E. & Klingemann, Hans-Dieter (eds). A New Handbook of Political Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1998 Brazil Debate = Pro-Parliamentary : • FHC, Serra, Lamounier, • Stepan, Mainwaring, Pro-Presidential : • Andrade, Moises, Mettenheim Brazil Reality defines debate 1) 1992-1993 Impeachment of Collor (fixed terms, minority president, gridlock & paralysis) 2) 1993 April Plebiscite on Form of Government Presidential > Parliamentary Abranches 1988: “Presidencialismo de Coalizao” Questions about institutions • Which institutions are best suited for creating "good" government and societal relations. • What explains the enormous variation in institutional arrangements? • What impact differences have on political behavior, political power and the outcome of the political process? Regional and National Context Parliamentary Government E. Europe? Communist Parliaments = 5000 Deputies Brazil: Assis Brasil, Codigo Eleitoral 1932 Proportional Representation Legislature Direct Elections, 2nd Round, Executive Transitions from Military Rule Deepening Democracy “Modernization & Bureaucratic Authoritarianism” Guillermo O´Donnell 1973 Yale Dissertation… * Negative Correlation (“U”): GDP Military Rule Then: “Transitions” i.e. Peaceful Regime Change !!! Argentina via Falklands War (1982) Chile via Plebiscite (1989) Uruguay via Plebiscite (1989) Brazil via protracted cat-mouse game between: Military-Opposition (1989) Like Spain/Portugal/Greece in 1970s & USSR 1990s From Consolidation to Deepening 1) Linz & Stepan, Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation 1992 “Two change rule” if 2X gov´t change, then democracy (But G. Almond & P. Converse said Japan & Germany would need 3 generations 1945+) (Colombia & Venezuela = most consolidated?) 2) O’Donnell “Illusions about Consolidation” 1996 Democracy in global South/East: Norm? Ideal? Comparative benchmark? Party systems? Parliament? Advanced economies? Historical Evolution? Need New Empirical Studies/Concepts/Theories… 3) Mettenheim & Malloy: Deepening Democracy in Latin America, 1998: Social Exclusion & Electoral Behavior, Policy Process & Democracy, Presidentialism = false problem Guillermo O’Donnell, “Illusions about Consolidation,” Journal of Democracy, 1996 Biases = Euro Centrism & Liberal Reformism (Euro ideal benchmark / ignores unexpected consequences) Example 1: Parliamentary vs Presidential Government Mettenheim (ed), Presidential Institutions and Democratic Politics: Comparing Regional and National Contexts. Johns Hopkins, 1997 Problem = Presidentialism residual category; US system is separationist, not presidential… Example 2: Electoral Behavior Mettenheim, The Brazilian Voter: Mass Politics in Democratic Transition, 19741986. Pittsburgh, 1995 European Voters = Ideological, US Voters = Group Interest Brazilian/Latin American Voters = immediate / personalist US electoral history: Critical Elections & Party Realignment Shift Comparative Perspective Debates sobre Instituições Políticas Brasileiras “Como se Governa o Brasil? O Debate sobre Instituições Políticas e Gestão de Governo” Vicente Palermo DADOS, 2000 Compared to What? Assessing Brazil’s Political Institutions, Leslie Elliott Armijo et al http://cps.sagepub.com, Comparative Political Studies, 2006 Palermo: grau de concentração do poder decisório segundo / capacidade de tomar decisões e implementá-las a baixa capacidade de decidir e implementar razoável capacidade de decidir e implementar I G Poder decisório disperso D-I: disperso/ingovernável D-G: disperso/governável D (a governabilidade está fora do alcance da estrutura institucional vigente) (a governabilidade obtém-se graças à capacidade de produção negociada de decisões) Poder decisório concentrado C-I: concentrado/ingovernável (a governabilidade se tenta obter excluindo; se fracassa neste propósito) C-G: concentrado/governável C (a governabilidade obtém-se graças à capacidade de os presidentes forçarem os outros atores a cooperar) Armijo et al: Hyperactive paralysis (HP) interpretation of Brazil has been especially prominent in comparisons with postcommunist polities (Beyme, 2001; Clark & Wittrock, 2005; Kitschelt, Mansfeldova, Markowski, & Tóka, 1999, pp. 55, 90; Moser, 1999, p. 362; Papadoulis, 2004; Shvetsova, 1999). Evidence = Brazil has not done worse than other Latin American countries in either policy reform or macroeconomic performance. Argument = making is more centralized, decisive, and predictable than is claimed. We call this de facto executive dominance (ED; cf. Palermo, 2000). Novas Teorias Instituições Políticas Brasileiras Goodin, Robert E. & Klingemann, Hans-Dieter (eds). A New Handbook of Political Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1998 Part II Political Institutions 4 Political Institutions: An Overview Bo Rothstein, 133 5 Political Institutions: Rational Choice Perspectives Barry R. Weingast, 167 6 Political Institutions: Legal Perspectives Gavin Drewry, 191 7 Political Institutions, Old and New B. Guy Peters, 205