Dependent and independent variables

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Session 5: Single Subject Research
Methodology
◦ Presentation template posted on wiki
◦ Please look at the APA Style website presented by
Purdue’s Online Writing Lab (OWL)
◦ Find and review an experimental, quasi-experimental or
single subject design study on an intervention for people
with disabilities! Article review due next class August 3rd!
◦ Research proposal status- should be working at the
point of defining your dependent and independent
variables….thinking about a research design, but we
haven’t discussed all of the designs yet.
Steps in the Research/Scientific
Process
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1. Identify socially
important issue
2. Review current
literature
3. Define conceptual
model
4. Define specific
hypothesis(es) and
research question(s)
5. Define dependent
variable(s)/measure
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6. Identify independent
variable(s)/measures
7. Select appropriate
research design
8. Obtain consents
9. Collect data
10. Analyze data
11. Communicate
results
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Written presentation
Oral presentation
What is Causal Comparative Research?
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Investigators attempt to determine the cause of
differences that already exist between or among
groups of individuals.
Describes conditions that already exist (a.k.a. ex post
facto).
The group difference variable is either a variable that
cannot be manipulated or one that might have been
manipulated but for one reason or another, has not been.
Studies in medicine and sociology are causalcomparative in nature, as are studies of differences
between men and women.
Similarities and Differences Between CausalComparative and Experimental Research
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Similarities
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Require at least one
categorical variable
Both compare group
performances to determine
relationships
Both compare separate
groups of subjects
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Differences
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In experimental research, the
independent variable is
manipulated
Causal studies are likely to
provide much weaker
evidence for causation
In experimental studies,
researchers can assign
subjects to treatment
groups
The researcher has greater
flexibility in formulating the
structure of the design in
experimental research
Similarities and Differences Between CausalComparative and Correlational Research
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Similarities
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Ex Post Facto research
Attempt to explain
phenomena of interest
Seek to identify variables
that are worthy of later
exploration through
experimental research
Neither permits the
manipulation of variables
Attempt to explore causation
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Differences
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Causal studies compare two
or more groups of subjects
Causal studies involve at
least one categorical
variable
Examples of the Basic Causal-Comparative Design
Steps to designing, delivering, and
analyzing surveys
Step 1- Determine Purpose
Step 2- Identify a Sampling Plan & Mode
Step 3- Design survey instrument
Step 4- Test survey instrument
Step 5- Send out a letter of transmittal
Step 6- Deliver the survey
Step 7- Analyze data from survey
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Please get into your research groups for the
lecture portion.
You will be completing the in-class activity
together with your group.
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Systematic analysis using individual
subjects as their own experimental control.
Main message:
◦ Single subject research is an approach to
rigorous experimentation that involves small
numbers of subjects, repeated observations of
subjects over time, and employs research designs
that allow each subject to provide his/her own
experimental control.
 Within-subject analysis
 Fine-grained analysis across time and conditions
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An experimental research method focused on
defining causal (e.g., functional) relations between
independent and dependent variables.
Focus is on individuals as unit of analysis
◦ can treat groups as participants with focus on the
group as a single unit
Repeated measures of participants’ behavior (DV)
over time
Within-subject comparison to analyze effect
◦ Observed change in individual’s behavior from
“Baseline” to “Intervention”
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Focus on an individual rather than group
means
◦ Interest is in the behavior of a single individual or
on within-subject variability
 A “group” may be treated as an “individual”
◦ Group descriptive statistics may not "describe"
any actual individual
◦ Generalizations from a group to an individual are
problematic in many instances
 Predicting the behavior of a specific individual is different
from predicting that of a “typical” individual
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Many populations of interest are low
incidence populations
◦ Practically, large numbers of subjects may not be
available
◦ Assumptions of normal distribution and
homogeneity of variance may not be valid
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Can be used in clinical practice contexts
◦ Single subject research studies may develop out
of and be conducted on a specific problem or
need of an individual(s) in a practical context
 Scientist-practitioner model
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A “practice” may be considered “evidencebased” when:
◦ The practice is operationally defined, and
implemented with fidelity.
◦ The outcomes associated with the practice are
operationally defined.
◦ The context in which the practice in use is
operationally defined
◦ Results from the single subject studies used to
assess the practice demonstrate experimental
control.
◦ The effects are replicated across 5 single subject
studies conducted in at least 3 locations, and with
at least 20 different participants.
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Dependent variable (DV) – the behavior
(measure) that you are analyzing
◦ You want to produce change (variability) in the
dependent variable
◦ Studies may have multiple DVs
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Independent variable (IV) – the variable
(event, intervention, condition) that is of
experimental interest and that the
researcher manipulates in an
experimental research design
◦ May be discrete or continuous
◦ May be a single element or multi-component
compound
◦ Studies may have multiple IVs
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The degree to which observed
differences/changes in the dependent
variable are a direct result of manipulation
of the independent variable, and not some
other extraneous variable
Extent to which a functional relation can be
documented. Control of extraneous
variables that provide alternative
explanations for results.
◦ It is okay to try to maximize internal validity,
especially in initial documentation of a functional
relationship
 Doing this may come with a cost, however
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History – everything happening outside of
the research study
Maturation
Testing - repeated measurement
Instrumentation
◦ with human observers, observer bias and drift
Attrition - loss of participants
Multiple treatment interference
Diffusion of treatment - intervention is
inadvertently provided when not intended
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Loss of baseline through generalization or
spread of effects (across settings, behaviors,
or participants)
Instability and/or high variability of behavior
◦ cyclical variability
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Statistical regression toward mean
Selection biases with participants
Inconsistent or inaccurate implementation of
the IV (Treatment Drift/Treatment Integrity)
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Defined: The extent to which results can be
applied to settings, activities, people, etc.
other than those involved in the study.
◦ Given that you have found an effect for this
intervention with this participant under one set of
conditions, will it work with other participants, in
other settings, when implemented by other
interventionists, and when implemented with
minor variations in the basic procedures?
◦ What can we generalize from this single study?
◦ Importance of systematic and direct replication.
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Reactive experimental arrangements Hawthorne effect
Reactive assessment - reactivity to
observers
Pretest sensitization
Experimenter bias
Interaction between selection bias and
treatment effects - i.e., intervention only
works if the "right" participants are selected
◦ Specificity of effects
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In single subject designs the research
question typically examines a causal, or
“functional” relation, between the
independent and dependent variable. As
such the research question should have
three features
 Identify the dependent variable(s)
 Identify the independent variable(s)
 Proclaim intention to determine if change in the IV is
functionally related to change in the DV.
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Dependent variable is socially important
Independent variable(s) can be controlled
(e.g. manipulated) across time.
Both the dependent and independent
variable(s) can be operationally described and
measured.
For “experimental” research, the question
must ask if change in the DV is caused by (or
functionally related to) change in the IV.
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Is there a functional relation between development
of reading fluency and scores on comprehensive
reading assessments?
Will walking in water facilitate development of
appropriate gait by individuals with “gait imbalance
hypertension”?
Is there a functional relation between use of
escape-extinction and reduction of escapemotivated food refusal?
Does Jason act out because he has ADHD?
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Dependent Variable (Outcome):
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Independent Variable (Intervention):
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Research question: “Is there a functional
relationship between …… and …… ?”
Phase A
Phase B
Phase A
Phase B
Immediacy
of Effect
Level
Variability
Trend
Overlap
Research Question???
Phase A
Phase B
Phase A
Phase B
Immediacy
of Effect
Level
Variability
Trend
Overlap
Research Question???
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There are 3 demonstrations of an effect at 3
points in time.
◦ Effect could be: change in trend or level
◦ Also want to see immediacy of effect
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Good research has at least 5 data points in
each phase to establish a consistent pattern
in the data.
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Baseline - phase in a design that serves as the
reference point or comparator for analysis of
change in behavior (effect of IV)
◦ Used in withdrawal/reversal and multiple baseline designs;
may be included in alternating treatments design (but not
needed)
◦ Generally, the first phase, but not always
 Returned to periodically in withdrawal/reversal designs
◦ Provides (should provide) a representative
picture of behavior under pre-intervention
(typical, status quo) conditions
 Baseline is the “control condition” in within subject
analysis
 May involve some alternative intervention/treatment
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Collect repeated measures of a DV under
“baseline” conditions
◦ Goal is to establish the stability of behavior
 Look at level, trend, and variability of data
◦ At minimum, Horner et al. (2005) propose 5
data points in baseline phase (at least for
initial phase)
 Fewer points can be defended in some situations e.g., participant cannot perform the behavior (has not
learned) or ethical considerations
◦ Variability in DV requires more data points
◦ Can go forward with variability, particularly if
intervention effect can be documented despite
baseline variability
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Use baseline phase to do close
observation to reveal potential sources of
variability
◦ Control variability through elimination or
holding constant extraneous variable(s)
◦ Consider whether sources of variability should
be studied as IVs
◦ Be alert to dramatic changes within the phase
and identify potential causes
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Balance logistical and clinical needs with
research goal of stability
◦ Recognize potential limitations and threats to
internal validity if you have high variability
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Trends (increasing or decreasing slope)
can be accepted, if the trend is in the
opposite direction of the anticipated
effect of the IV
◦ Visual analysis does consider changes in trend
across/between phases
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Trend in the “expected” change direction
is problematic
◦ Collect more data points
◦ Consider whether intervention is warranted
◦ If substantial change in slope is expected, you
may go forward with intervention
 Statistical analysis may be used to supplement visual
analysis
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When a pattern of BL responding is
established.
◦ Can you predict the next data points?
◦ Current BL pattern will allow you to document
anticipated intervention effects?
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Note:
◦ High BL variability requires extending BL
◦ Trend in direction of expected effect requires
extended BL.
◦ If BL level matches expected IV level, then extend
baseline.
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Define research question and dependent
variable.
◦ Does BL document a predictable pattern of
behavior?
◦ Does BL document a pattern that will allow
comparison with expected effect when Intervention
(IV) is implemented?
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The “traditional” rule - implement one
variable at a time
◦ Allows for clearest demonstration of a functional
relationship
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Package interventions create issues
◦ May be able to establish relationship between the
package and DV, but not know about effects of
specific components
 Component analysis designs address this issue
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Demonstrating interaction effects also is a
challenge
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Implement based on data collected in
baseline (or previous phases), rather than
on a predetermined schedule that is
independent of the data
Establish effects of IV on one baseline (data
path) before implementing IV in another
baseline (data path) in a multiple baseline
Collect and report measures of IV
implementation fidelity
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Phases should be long enough to establish
representativeness of data within the phase
◦ Reach stability within the phase (at least 5 points)
◦ Some have argued that for power, the number of data
points in SS design is comparable to number of subjects
in group design
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Researchers often want to use relatively short
phases
◦ Because of logistical issues, ethical issues, impatience,
costs
◦ Be aware of limitations and threats to validity
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Phases of very different lengths within a design
(particularly ABAB) can create issues for visual
analysis and interpretation of effects
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Data may be collected in sessions that are
daily, multiple within a day, or longer
spaced (e.g., weekly, etc)
Consider timing between sessions and
phases
◦ Avoid carryover effects by spacing sessions or
phases
◦ Timing between phases can raise potential
threats to internal validity
 e.g., running all sessions for a phase within a day, and
then all sessions for the next phase on the next day
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A multiple baseline design involves three or
more AB interventions (series) with phase
changes staggered across at least three
points in time.
Key Features
◦ Series are independent of each other
 People, places, materials, behaviors/skills
◦ The same IV is applied in each series
◦ Staggered implementation of IV
◦ Identify Research Question(s)
◦ Assess Baselines for each series
 Do the Baselines document a predictable pattern?
 Do Baselines allow opportunity to document IV effect?
 Are Baselines similar?
◦ Horizontal Analysis of Effect (per series)
 Level, trend, variability, overlap, immediacy of effect
◦ Vertical Analysis
 DV change in one series is associated with NO change
in other series?
 Similar effect (consistent effect) across series?
◦ Functional Relationship?
 At least three demonstrations of effect at three points
in time
BL
Lollipop for R+
Treatment
6
100
80
60
Percentage of Correct Responding
40
20
Vivian
0
Lollipop for R+
100
80
60
40
20
Tammy
0
Lollipop for R+
100
80
60
40
20
Dr. Cathy
0
10
20
30
40
Sessions
50
60
70
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Sequential phases of data collection involving
the implementation and withdrawal of an
independent variable(s)
◦ within each phase, multiple data points are collected to
establish a representative pattern of behavior
◦ phase change should occur only after stability of
behavior within the phase is established
◦ traditionally, the first phase is Baseline, followed by
implementation of the IV (Intervention)
 this is not required, however, as you may begin a study with
an intervention phase
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Behavior measured as DV is “reversible”
◦ Learning will not occur
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Limited carryover effects between phases
Ethical concerns
◦ Can do a reversal
 DV is not a dangerous behavior, or you can protect participant
 Staff cooperation
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Can compare multiple conditions
◦ Comparison of too many conditions makes design
cumbersome
Baseline
FCT
Baseline
FCT
4
B
6
Total SIB per minute
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
5
10
15
Sessions
20
25
30
35
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Within subject analysis
Independent variable needs to have at least four
levels (e.g. criteria)
Document baseline performance with one level of
the IV
Change the level of the IV and monitor change in
DV
◦ Immediacy of change important
◦ Absence of trend and variability important
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Repeat level (criterion) change in IV two more
times.
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Examine the graphs below
◦ 1. What is the research question?
◦ 2. Is there a functional relationship?
◦ 3. Does the design document three demonstrations
of an “effect” at three different points in time?
Where?
Changing Criterion Design
Occurrences of Problem Behavior
25
BL: No Reinf Reinf < 17
Reinf < 12
Reinf < 5
20
15
10
5
0
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
Days
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
Changing Criterion Design
Occurrences of Problem Behavior
25
BL: No Reinf Reinf < 17
Reinf < 12
Reinf < 5
20
15
10
5
0
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
Days
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
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Alternating Treatment (Multi-Element)
Designs employ rapid phase reversals across
2 or more conditions to assess sensitivity of
change in the dependent variable to change
in condition.
Student 1
Hypothesis: Escape Math Work
Percent Intervals with Occurrence of Problem Behavior
100%
90%
80%
70%
2. Is Esc
different
than Attn?
Control Condition
Escape Condition
60%
Attention Condition
50%
IOA
1. Is Esc
different than
Control?
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1
2
3
Sessions
4
5
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State the research design you would use for
your study and why?
54
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The selection of measures is PART of
building a single subject design.
All single subject designs require measures
that allow documentations of:
◦ A stable pre-intervention pattern of
performance, and
◦ A rapid and dramatic change in performance
following intervention.
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Measures must be reliable/consistent
enough to document pre-intervention
stability, and sensitive enough to document
rapid, dramatic change.
Fundamental Dimensions of Behavior
• Frequency:
– The number of occurrences of a response within an observation period.
• Duration:
– The total time taken to perform a response (typically indexed as the mean
duration)
• Latency:
– The time between the presentation of the Sd, and the initiation of a
response.
• Perseveration:
– The proportion of the observation period/interval in which responding was
occurring. (Total time for all occurrences)
• Rate:
– The frequency of a response divided by the total time for an interval
(typically occurrences per minute…or occurrences per second).
Measurement Procedures
• Event recording:
– Observe number of occurrences within an observation period
• Duration recording:
– Observe the mean time of responding per occurrence (tempo)
• Interval recording:
– Observe the proportion of intervals in which the behavior occurs.
» Whole interval versus partial interval recording.
• Time sampling:
– Proportion of time sampled moments in which behavior is
occurring.
• Permanent product:
– Count of products from behavior. Note: No direct observation
• Narrative:
– Continuous description of behavior in real time
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Define a research question
For the Dependent Variable
◦ Select a measure
◦ Select a measurement process
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For the Independent Variable
◦ Select a measure
◦ Select a measurement process
Building Data Collection Forms
• Paper/Pencil or Computer Entry/PDA
• Key Features
– Logistical Information
– Date, observer, observed,
– Ease of recording (eyes on context)
– Key strokes or checks instead of writing words.
– Number of variables recorded simultaneously (3 is plenty)
– Operational definitions
– Fit the context and range of observed behavior
– Instructions on setting up a data session
– System for summarizing session results.
Nifty Observation Form
Date: ________________________
Observer: _____________________
Context: ______________________
Request: Statement from teacher requesting response by target student
Compliance: Initiation of requested response within 5 s of request
Noncompliance: Absence of initiation of requested response within 5 s of request.
Problem behavior: Talking out, aggression, property destruction, disruption.
Request
10 s
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Compliance (+)/
Noncompliance
(0)
Problem
Behavior
Comments/Issues
In-class Activity #7
• Build a data collection form based on how you plan
to measure the data.
Inter-observer Agreement
• Proxy for reliability but not really a measure
of reliability.
• Poor IOA means poor reliability, but good IOA does
not prove good reliability.
• Two practical measures
• Percent agreement (Total, Occurrence Only)
• Kappa
Percent Agreement
• Defined: The extent to which two, independent
observers agree they observed the same events at
the same time.
– Operationalized. Given a group of observation intervals,
to what extent do the frequencies or interval recordings
co-vary across two, independent observers. What
percent of the intervals index agreement?
• Calculation.
– (Frequency of observations with agreement/ total
number of observations) * 100%
– Frequency observed by Observer 1/Frequency observed
by Observer 2 (correlation)
Percent Agreement
• Advantages
• Easy to compute
• Easy to understand
• Failure to obtain criterion level is informative.
• Disadvantages
• Is not a measure of reliability
• Provides an over-estimate of agreement (especially
when <10% or >90% of intervals include occurrence.
Percent Agreement
• Professional Standards
– 85% agreement is expected for good IOA
• Occurrence Only vs Total Percent Agreement
– Occurrence/Nonoccurrence Only is used to assess
agreement when <10% or > 90% of intervals include
occurrence.
– Calculate (use in denominator) only using those intervals
in which either of the observers recorded a response
(Occurrence Only) or only those intervals with either of
the observers did not record a response (nonoccurrence only).
– Controls for one source of bias.
Cohen’s Kappa
• Purpose of Kappa is to provide an index of
observer agreement that controls for chance
agreements.
– Kappa can range from –1.00 to +1.00
• .40-.60 = fair agreement
• .60-.75 = “good” agreement
• .75+ = generally needed for publication in
Tier 1 journals
Kappa
• Calculation
– Kappa = (Po- Pc) / (1 – Pc)
• Where Po = the proportion of observed agreements
• Where Pc = the proportion of agreements expected by
chance.
• Recommendation:
– Report both percent agreement and Kappa.
– Use Occurrence/Non-occurrence Only when
appropriate
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Issues related to single subject research
design features
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Withdrawal/Reversal Designs
–
–
–
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Multiple Baseline Designs
–
–
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Implementing withdrawal/reversal phases & length of phases
when DV is problematic
End study with participants in the "optimal" phase
Adequate baseline length
Extended baselines & treatment phases
No treatment/intervention "control" baselines
Reaction to measurement or other research procedures
–
–
Set research session termination guidelines & criteria to
protect everyone – terminate sessions when criteria are met
Have a plan to protect participants and others, and to bring
situations under control if crisis occurs
Issues related to applied research in
natural settings
•
Minimize negative images and stigma
•
•
Use unobtrusive measurement (as possible)
Appropriate selection of DV measures
•
•
•
•
For example, use latency to problem behavior rather than rate in
community settings
Dignified procedures
Responding to "citizen" questions or comments
Ensuring cooperation and support of others in natural
settings
•
•
•
Open communication before and during study
Obtain appropriate permissions & consents
Be courteous & respectful
•
•
Allow people in the setting (teachers, families, staff) some voice
Include community "others" as research partners/collaborators
Exiting research projects gracefully
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Plan for exit
Leave participants in "optimal" phase or state of
performance
Provide training and support (i.e., plan, materials, etc)
for natural community members to assume and
maintain implementation of intervention
Provide information on results and their implications
for natural setting
Provide follow-up if necessary
–
Agree on researcher responsibilities on the front end
(before study)
Baseline
FCT
Baseline
FCT
4
B
6
Total SIB per minute
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
5
10
15
Sessions
20
25
30
35
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