Monitoring the transition to OA in the UK (with some Global comparisons) Michael Jubb Research Information Network STM Conference, Frankfurt 13 October 2015 Context Finch Group Reports 2012 and 2013 Universities UK Open Access Co-ordination Group need for ‘authoritative indicators’ of progress OA options: publishing models and policies Accessibility: how much is actually accessible free of charge Usage: does OA lead to more usage? Financial sustainability: impact on finances of key players ----------------------------------------------------- Quality of service: for authors and readers 1. OA Options for Authors OA Publishing Models OA Publishing Models Available to Authors: Journal Types Global Total (SCOPUS) Journals in which UK Authors Publish 2012 2014 Gold APC 7.8% 8.2% Gold no APC 8.7% 8.6% 45.5% 49.0% 2.3% 2.4% Subscription-only 35.6% 31.7% Total no. journals 21,741 22,486 Hybrid ‘Delayed OA’ 2012 2014 Gold APC 7.2% 7.3% Gold no APC 6.2% 5.6% 59.9% 63.8% 3.5% 3.8% 23.1% 19.5% 13,411 13,585 Hybrid ‘Delayed OA’ Subscription-only Posting Policies and Embargoes Generally permissive for pre-prints, less so for ‘accepted manuscripts’ (AAMs), much less so for published Versions of Record (VoRs) Similarly most permissive for postings on author websites, less so for institutional repositories, subject repositories, and least permissive for commercial sites Some policies difficult to find, and sometimes difficult to interpret Deposit and embargo periods, AAMs 2. Accessibility: Take-up of OA Take-up of OA Publishing Options Take-up of Publishing Models: Articles Published Global Total of Articles (SCOPUS) Articles Published by UK Authors 2012 2014 FWCI Gold APC 7.9% 9.6% 0.90 Gold no APC 4.9% 4.6% Hybrid Gold 0.8% ‘Delayed OA' Subscription-only incl hybrid non-Gold Total no.articles 2012 2014 FWCI Gold APC 7.4% 9.3% 1.58 0.56 Gold no APC 2.4% 2.1% 0.96 2.4% 1.32 Hybrid Gold 2.7% 6.5% 1.65 5.3% 5.4% 1.89 ‘Delayed OA' 11.0% 11.2% 2.37 81.1% 78.0% 1.03 Subscription-only incl hybrid non-Gold 76.4% 70.7% 1.57 2,351,119 2,519,824 148,466 157,240 Postings of Articles Versions of Articles Posted: Global Sample Version Immediate Delayed OA OA (incl hybrid) Subscription Total (all articles) Preprint 2.7% 2.5% 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% AAM 1.8% 8.0% 3.2% 3.1% 2.5% 52.5% 39.7% 11.1% 17.8% 9.6% 56.0% 47.2% 17.6% 24.0% 15.1% 56.0% 22.3% 7.9% VoR Total (de-duplicated for multiple versions) Total (excl illicit postings) Total (all articles excl illicit) Postings of UK Articles Versions of Articles Posted: UK Sample Version Immediate OA (incl hybrid) Delayed OA Subscription Total (all articles) Total (all articles excl illicit) Preprint 3.7% 2.2% 6.1% 5.5% 5.5% AAM 2.2% 5.9% 3.4% 3.3% 2.6% 58.0% 39.8% 12.8% 22.4% 12.4% 61.6% 46.6% 21.2% 29.8% 19.0% 61.6% 17.0% 9.2% VoR Total (de-duplicated for multiple versions) Total (excl illicit postings) Where are articles posted? Overall Proportion of OA Content 2014 3. Usage Are OA articles used more than nonOA? All publications Total number of articles) Open Access HTML/PDF downloads Av. downloads per article Non Open Access Av. downloads per article Ratio of downloads of OA/non-OA Views and downloadsNo.occur on an increasing range of Journals articles No. articles sites……. 452% 1 678 285,922 58 1,463 620 324 Total HTML Full Textdownloads Av retrieval 245% 2 815No. Articles 887,130 204 1,957 Article PDF 611 799 Publisher data suggests more for OA articles, Year Available Retrieval Retrieval per article 619% 3 443 376,065 40 3,579 403 but with huge variations between journals 578 127 248% 2012 2,790,219 251,363,758 4 1,208 1,709,396from 223 2,758 104,153,931 985 1,111 Portal Confirmed by data Jisc’s Usage Statistics 169% 5 452 587,593 65 2,001 387 1,182 Downloads from UK IRs highly skewed and dwarfed by 159 2013 3,119,643 389,623,123 106,260,140 405% 654 1,340,695 151 from 4,874 1,202 those 6from publishers and PMC 503 2014 3,506,23478,014 513,545,220 7 136 24 1,383 145,227,684 112 400 188 346% No data from sharing sites8 390% 8 141 23,538 557 133 143 No definitive to the until article-level n/a 9 136 answer 622,370 136 question 4,576 0 n/a n/a 10 52 63,606 52 openly 1,223 0 n/a download data made more available 352% Total 961 2,947 3,754 837 No-one has4,715data5,974,329 on the demographics of usage 4. Financial Sustainability Costs for UK Universities and Funders: APCs Huge variations between universities Huge variations in prices paid Discounts, special deals, offsetting…. Relationship between mean APC paid and citation impact of journal Total Cost for UK Universities: APCs and Subscriptions APCs now a significant part of some universities’ total expenditure on journals range from 1% to 39% across 24 universities average 14% (12% excl. UCL) Offsetting clearly an important issue in a context of financial constraints for universities and funders Financial Sustainability: Learned Societies c280 UK Learned Societies publish journals 24%publish on their own account; 76% use publishing partners dependence on publishing revenues for other charitable activities varies from nil to >100% 63% publish a single journal 22% publish three or more for more than half of societies, publishing surpluses represent over 50% of their charitable expenditure too early to see significant change since 2012 Conclusions? A baseline picture of OA in the UK with some international comparisons A collaborative exercise across different stakeholders Building on this exercise for the future Reference and thanks Jubb, M et al (2015) Monitoring the Transition to Open Access: A report for the Universities UK Open Access Co-ordination Group. London, Universities UK http://www.researchinfonet.org/oamonitoring/ Thanks to Stephane Goldstein (RIN); Mayur Amin, Andrew Plume, Stephanie Oeben, M’Hamed Aisati (Elsevier); Stephen Pinfield, Peter Bath, Jennifer Salter (University of Sheffield); Rob Johnson, Mattia Fosci (Research Consulting)