Mergers and Acquisitions Arzac, Chapter 9 Mergers • many people including Warren Buffett have expressed skepticism of the power of mergers: • Many managements apparently were overexposed in impressionable childhood years to the story in which the imprisoned handsome prince is released from a toad’s body by a kiss from a beautiful princess. Consequently, they are certain their managerial kiss will do wonders for the profitability of Company T(arget) … Investors can always buy toads at the going price for toads. If investors instead bankroll princesses who wish to pay double for the right to kiss the toad, those kisses had better pack some real dynamite. We’ve observed many kisses but very few miracles. Nevertheless, many managerial princesses remain serenely confident about the future potency of their kisses – even after their corporate backyards are knee-deep in unresponsive toads… We have tried occasionally to buy toads at bargain prices with results that have been chronicled in past reports. Clearly our kisses fell flat. We have done well with a couple of princes – but they were princes when purchased. At least our kisses didn’t turn them into toads. And, finally, we have occasionally been quite successful in purchasing fractional interests in easily identifiable princes at toadlike prices. M&As • changing forces driving mergers: • technological change • globalization and freer trade • deregulation • economies of scale, scope, and technological catch-up • change in industry organization • individual entrepreneurship • macroeconomic factors ** Weston, Siu, and Johnson (2001) • mergers vs. tender offers • types Changes in Ownership Structure • • • • • • exchange offers leverage recapitalizations dual-class recapitalizations share repurchases LBOs, MBOs ESOPS Control of Decision Powers • • • • • • compensation arrangements proxy contest premium buy-backs (greenmail) takeover defenses stakeholder relationships ethics and reputation Theories of Mergers • • • • • • efficiency increases (restructuring) operating synergies financial synergy information hubris agency problems Pattern of Gains Related to Takeover Theories (with value changes referring to movements in prices of securities of firms) Motive Efficiency and/or synergy Hubris Agency problems Total Gains + 0 - Gains to Target + + + Gains to Acquirer + - Forms of Transaction • merger • acquisition • of assets • of stock • tax implications • legal implications Form of Transaction • stock purchase • • • • avoids tax at corporate level acquirer can use NOL of target sh of target taxed on capital gain acquirer can not step-up basis of target’s assets for tax purposes • • • seller is subject to corporate taxes buyer can step-up basis and amortize goodwill over 15 years buyer can not use NOLs of target • • forward merger reverse subsidiary merger • asset purchase • merger Example 1 • Assume the buyer acquires a debt-free target for $100 cash, the target’s tax basis in the assets is $40, the target shareholders’ basis in the stock is $15, and the fair MV of the stock was $70 prior to the acquisition. Let the corporate tax rate be 40%, the personal tax rate on capital gains be 20%, and assume that all the gain to the seller is classified as capital gain and the buyer’s price in excess of the target’s basis is allocated to goodwill. Look at the proceeds to the target using both a stock purchase and an asset purchase. • Review Example 2 and 3 in the text. Returns in M&As • Kaplan and Weisbach (1992), Servaes (1991), and Mulherin and Boone (2000) • mergers in banking industry • Becher (2000) – looked at because of increased number of bank mergers that occurred around industry deregulation • evidence that bank mergers created wealth • target returns • bidder returns Value of Mergers • • • • VC = VA + VT + Synergies – Cash Premium = PT – VT Premium = pc*m + cash Acquirer’s Gain = Synergies – Premium • Acquirer’s Gain + Seller’s Gain = Synergies • pC = VC / (n + m) or pC = (VA + VT + Synergies – Cash)/(n + m) where n = # of old shares of acquirer and m = # of shares issued to target shareholders • Break-Even Synergies = Premium = mpA + Cash – VT • GainA = Synergy - Premium Accretion/Dilution Analysis • alternate way to look at the impact of the merger to the shareholders of the acquirer • find pro-forma EPS for merged firm for year prior to merger and then years after also • for share exchange, combine NI and divide by new number of shares outstanding • if new EPS is > EPS of acquirer, then there is accretion if new EPS < EPS of acquirer, then there is dilution Merger Analyses • • • • • • • terms of the merger financing the merger break-even synergies financial model of the merger accretion-dilution analysis free cash-flow valuation stress-testing and scenario analysis Balance Sheet XYZ Inc. as of 12/31/2004 Cost Current Assets Cash and marketable securities Accounts Receivable Inventories Raw Materials Works in Progress Finished Goods Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Investments Net PP&E Intangible Assets Total Assets Current Liabilities ST Debt and Current LTD Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Taxes Payable LT Debt Deferred Income Taxes Total Liabilities Preferred Stock Common Stock and Retained Earnings Total Net Worth Total Liabilities and Equity Fair Value 14,000 86,702 14,000 81,523 34,671 18,790 70,415 123,876 11,500 236,078 45,123 19,342 85,457 149,922 11,500 256,945 25,460 38,634 987,234 1,470,381 265,211 143,782 1,513,983 1,909,742 43,784 56,234 2,840 8,128 335,578 8,561 455,125 42,512 54,318 2,840 8,128 310,456 8,561 426,815 249,870 229,455 808,988 1,253,472 1,058,858 1,482,927 1,513,983 1,909,742 Balance Sheet XYZ Inc. as of 12/31/2004 ABC Current Assets Cash and marketable securities Accounts Receivable Inventories Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Investments Net PP&E Intangible Assets Goodwill Other Total Assets 34,021 196,032 298,723 30,044 558,820 XYZ 14,000 81,523 149,922 11,500 256,945 Eliminations and Adjustments Debit Credit Consolidated 48,021 277,555 448,645 41,544 815,765 1,554,230 38,634 3,568,229 1,470,381 1,500,000 246,528 92,864 5,038,610 789,541 143,782 6,470,820 1,909,742 246,528 933,323 7,127,090 Current Liabilities ST Debt and Current LTD Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Taxes Payable LT Debt Deferred Income Taxes Total Liabilities 67,834 108,340 4,567 12,690 1,890,450 32,189 2,116,070 110,346 162,658 7,407 20,818 2,200,906 40,750 2,542,885 Preferred Stock Common Stock and Retained Earnings Total Net Worth Total Liabilities and Equity 229,455 4,354,750 1,253,472 1,500,000 4,354,750 1,482,927 6,470,820 1,909,742 42,512 54,318 2,840 8,128 310,456 8,561 426,815 229,455 246,528 4,354,750 4,584,205 7,127,090 B’s acquisition of T B T Pre-announcement stock price $ 30 $ 22 Net income (million) $ 80 $ 37.50 Shares outstanding (million) 40 15 EPS $ 2.00 $ 2.50 P/E 15 Market value (million) $1200 8.8 $330