10.3 Equilibrium We will now consider AD and AS together An economy’s equilibrium price level and real output occur at the intersection of the AD and AS curves Inventory Changes Inventory Increase & Decrease Imagine price level is above equilibrium price level, at “a” At “a”, real output exceeds real expenditures, i.e. more is produced than purchased Businesses have a surplus “Positive Unplanned Investment” An unintended rise in inventories causes businesses to lower prices until output and expenditures are at the same point, “B” When price level is below eq. value “c”, there is an unintended fall in inventories, so businesses increase prices until equilibrium is reached, “b” a a b c c Inventory Changes The Role of Unplanned Investment Whether there is an unintended increase or decrease in inventory, unplanned investment plays a big role in stabilizing the economy Unplanned Investment is the difference between AD and AS The $20 trillion discrepancy between AD and AS at a price level of 100 means there is an unintended $20 trillion increase in inventories Injections & Withdrawals Movement toward equilibrium can also be seen by looking at flows of income payments and purchases that connect resource and product markets 3 Flows/Injections that add to the main income-spending stream in any economy: Investment (I) Government Purchases (G) Exports (X) 3 outward flows/Withdrawals Savings (S) Taxes (T) Imports (M) Investment and Saving The amount saved and invested in an economy are different Companies keep a portion of profits to reinvest Governments also borrow money International flows (borrowing from foreign countries) Government Purchases & Taxes Transfer payments/business subsidies = “Negative Taxes” At some points in time, government purchases exceed taxes, so they borrow money in financial markets At other times, taxes exceed government purchases, so governments use excess revenues to pay off some outstanding debt Exports & Imports Typically, Canada imports more than it exports i.e. we spend more on products from the rest of the world that receive revenues from selling products to rest of the world Total Injections & Withdrawals While individual injections and withdrawals aren’t necessarily equal, they all balance each other overall, otherwise Canada’s economy wouldn’t be working as it is Total Injections = I + G + X Total Withdrawals = S + T + M If TI > TW, we have an expanding economy If TI < TW, we have a declining economy If TI = TW, we have equilibrium Equilibrium vs Potential Output Recessionary Gaps An economy’s real output rarely equals its potential output If equilibrium output is below potential level, unemployment is above the natural unemployment rate Difference between equilibrium output and potential output is known as a recessionary gap Vertical, purple line is potential output Equilibrium vs Potential Output Inflationary Gaps If equilibrium output is above potential level, unemployment is below the natural unemployment rate Inflation will accelerate if this situation persists Difference between equilibrium output and potential output is known as an inflationary gap Vertical, purple line is potential output *Note* a recession differs from a recessionary gap. Coming up: during a recession, real output moves from above to below its potential level