Working With Financial Statements Chapter 3 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Key Concepts and Skills Know how to standardize financial statements for comparison purposes Know how to compute and interpret important financial ratios Know the determinants of a firm’s profitability and growth Understand the problems and pitfalls in financial statement analysis 3.1 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Outline Standardized Financial Statements Ratio Analysis The Du Pont Identity Internal and Sustainable Growth Using Financial Statement Information 3.2 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Standardized Financial Statements Common-Size Balance Sheets Compute all accounts as a percent of total assets Common-Size Income Statements Compute all line items as a percent of sales Standardized statements make it easier to compare financial information, particularly as the company grows They are also useful for comparing companies of different sizes, particularly within the same industry 3.3 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Ratio Analysis Ratios also allow for better comparison through time or between companies As we look at each ratio, ask yourself what the ratio is trying to measure and why is that information important Ratios are used both internally and externally 3.4 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Categories of Financial Ratios Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios Long-term solvency or financial leverage ratios Asset management or turnover ratios Profitability ratios Market value ratios 3.5 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Sample Balance Sheet Numbers in thousands Cash A/R 6,489 A/P 340,220 1,052,606 N/P 86,631 Inventory 295,255 Other CL 1,098,602 Other CA 199,375 Total CL 1,525,453 Total CA 1,553,725 LT Debt 871,851 Net FA 2,535,072 C/S 1,691,493 Total Assets 4,088,797 Total Liab. & Equity 4,088,797 3.6 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Sample Income Statement Numbers in thousands, except EPS & DPS Revenues 3,991,997 Cost of Goods Sold 1,738,125 Expenses 1,269,479 Depreciation 308,355 EBIT 739,987 Interest Expense 42,013 Taxable Income Taxes 697,974 Net Income 425,764 272,210 EPS 2.17 Dividends per share 0.86 3.7 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Liquidity Ratios Current 1,553,725 / 1,525,453 = 1.02 times Quick Ratio = (CA – Inventory) / CL (1,553,725 – 295,225) / 1,525,453 = .825 times Cash Ratio = CA / CL Ratio = Cash / CL 6,489 / 1,525,453 = .004 times 3.8 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Leverage Ratios Total Debt Ratio = (TA – TE) / TA (4,088,797 – 1,691,493) / 4,088,797 = .5863 times or 58.63% The firm finances almost 59% of their assets with debt. Debt/Equity (4,088,797 – 1,691,493) / 1, 691,493 = 1.417 times Equity = TD / TE Multiplier = TA / TE = 1 + D/E 1 + 1.417 = 2.417 3.9 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Coverage Ratios Times Interest Earned = EBIT / Interest 739,987 / 42,013 = 17.6 times Cash Coverage = (EBIT + Depreciation) / Interest (739,987 + 308,355) / 42,013 = 24.95 times 3.10 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Inventory Ratios Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory 1,738,125 / 295,255 = 5.89 times Days’ Sales in Inventory = 365 / Inventory Turnover 365 / 5.89 = 62 days 3.11 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Receivables Ratios Receivables Turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable 3,991,997 / 1,052,606 = 3.79 times Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 / Receivables Turnover 365 / 3.79 = 96 days 3.12 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Total Asset Turnover Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets 3,991,997 / 4,088,797 = .98 times Measure of asset use efficiency Not unusual for TAT < 1, especially if a firm has a large amount of fixed assets 3.13 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Profitability Measures Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales 425,764 / 3,991,997 = .1067 times or 10.67% Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets 425,764 / 4,088,797 = .1041 times or 10.41% Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity 425,764 / 1,691,493 = .2517 times or 25.17% 3.14 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Market Value Measures Market Price = $61.625 per share Shares outstanding = 205,838,594 PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share 61.625 / 2.17 = 28.4 times Market-to-book ratio = market value per share / book value per share 61.625 / (1,691,493,000 / 205,838,594) = 7.5 times 3.15 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Table 3.5 3.16 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Deriving the Du Pont Identity ROE = NI / TE Multiply by 1 and then rearrange ROE = (NI / TE) (TA / TA) ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) = ROA * EM Multiply by 1 again and then rearrange ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) (Sales / Sales) ROE = (NI / Sales) (Sales / TA) (TA / TE) ROE = PM * TAT * EM 3.17 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Using the Du Pont Identity ROE = PM * TAT * EM Profit margin is a measure of the firm’s operating efficiency – how well does it control costs Total asset turnover is a measure of the firm’s asset use efficiency – how well does it manage its assets Equity multiplier is a measure of the firm’s financial leverage 3.18 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Payout and Retention Ratios Dividend payout ratio = Cash dividends / Net income 0.86 / 2.17 = .3963 or 39.63% Retention ratio = Additions to retained earnings / Net income = 1 – payout ratio 1.31 / 2.17 = .6037 = 60.37% Or 1 - .3963 = .6037 = 60.37% 3.19 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. The Internal Growth Rate The internal growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow assets using retained earnings as the only source of financing. ROA b Internal Growth Rate 1 - ROA b .1041 .6037 .0671 1 .1041 .6037 6.71% 3.20 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. The Sustainable Growth Rate The sustainable growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow by using internally generated funds and issuing debt to maintain a constant debt ratio. ROE b Sustainabl e Growth Rate 1 - ROE b .2517 .6037 .1792 1 .2517 .6037 17.92% 3.21 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Determinants of Growth margin – operating efficiency Total asset turnover – asset use efficiency Financial leverage – choice of optimal debt ratio Dividend policy – choice of how much to pay to shareholders versus reinvesting in the firm Profit 3.22 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Table 3.6 3.23 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Why Evaluate Financial Statements? Internal uses Performance evaluation – compensation and comparison between divisions Planning for the future – guide in estimating future cash flows External uses Creditors Suppliers Customers Stockholders 3.24 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Benchmarking Ratios are not very helpful by themselves; they need to be compared to something Time-Trend Analysis Used to see how the firm’s performance is changing through time Internal and external uses Peer Group Analysis Compare to similar companies or within industries SIC and NAICS codes 3.25 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Real World Example Ratios are figured using financial data from the 2001 Annual Report for Ethan Allen Compare the ratios to the industry ratios in Table 3.9 in the book Ethan Allen’s fiscal year end is June 30. Be sure to note how the ratios are computed in the table so that you can compute comparable numbers. Ethan Allan sales = $904.133 MM 3.26 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Real World Example - II Liquidity ratios Current ratio = 2.7x; Industry = 1.5x Quick ratio = 1.1x; Industry = .5x Long-term Debt/Equity ratio (Debt / Worth) = .3x; Industry = 1.9x. Coverage solvency ratio ratio Times Interest Earned = 170.0x; Industry = 5.8x 3.27 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Real World Example - III Asset management ratios: Inventory turnover = 2.8x; Industry = 4.0x Receivables turnover = 27.4x (13 days); Industry = 38.9x (9 days) Total asset turnover = 1.5x; Industry = 2.8x Profitability ratios Profit margin before taxes = 14.2%; Industry = 3.7% ROA (profit before taxes / total assets) = 20.7%; Industry = 8.8% ROE = (profit before taxes / tangible net worth) = 27.6%; Industry = 27.9% 3.28 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Work the Web Example The Internet makes ratio analysis much easier than it has been in the past Click on the web surfer to go to Multex Investor Choose a company and enter its ticker symbol Click on comparison and see what information is available 3.29 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Quick Quiz How do you standardize balance sheets and income statements and why is standardization useful? What are the major categories of ratios and how do you compute specific ratios within each category? What are the major determinants of a firm’s growth potential? What are some of the problems associated with financial statement analysis? 3.30 McGraw-Hill McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.