Rebalancing
Defense Science and Technology to
Security Priorities
in the Asia Pacific Region
Information Technology (IT) and
Cyber Security
Herman Finley
4 March 2013
Agenda
• Rebalance and IT in context
• Regional IT/Cyber context
• Regional IT/Cyber Security Issues
• Potential Impacts of rebalance
Context of Rebalance
• Global shift of power towards Asia
– Economic, political, military
•
•
•
•
US shift is whole of government
China? Yes, but much more
US economy
Other “rebalances”
Key Technology Trends
Shaping the Next 20 Years
•
•
•
•
•
Information/Cyber
Big Data
Internet of Things
Smart Manufacturing
Robotics/Artificial
Intelligence
• Nanotechnology
• Bio-medical
 Exponential
Growth
 Massive Integration
4
Asia’s IT Sector
• “Asia’s IT services sector has been expanding rapidly,
in line with the region’s stellar economic growth.”
• Why the growth?
– Globalization—movement of IT jobs to Asia
– Growing demand from Asian companies
– Growing consumer demand within Asia
2001
2010
2016
PCs/100 people 4+
19
30+
Internet/100
5
24
36+
Mobile phones
11
70
110
Economist, Economist Intelligence Unit Report, “Asia Competition Barometer: Information Technology Services”, 2012,
www.managementthinking.eiu.com/.../Asia%20Competition%20Barometer%20IT%20Services.pdf
Internet Users per 100
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Economist, Economist Intelligence Unit Report, “Asia Competition Barometer: Information Technology Services”, 2012,
www.managementthinking.eiu.com/.../Asia%20Competition%20Barometer%20IT%20Services.pdf
2010
2016
Cyber-Security
•
•
•
•
•
China—Yes, but…
US
Russia
North Korea
…
http://infotech4you.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/Cybercrime.jpg
http://www.anonyops.com/uploads/1110533077_anonymous.jpg
Collaborative Cyber Security ?
“The rapid pace at which cyber security threaten
changes, means that no country or organization
can plan and implement responses in silos.
Effective cyber security efforts require expertise
that transcend national and organisational
boundaries.”
Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Teo Chee
Heanhttp://www.cybersecurityasia.com/Event.aspx?id=829362
GE Report: Industrial Internet
0 $10,000 $30,000 $50,000 $70,000 $90,000
$110,000
Billions
2005 $
GE: IT to give $15 Trillion Payoff
“GE needs a whole lot of help from other
vendors, regulators, financiers and users of
technology before this vision and its $15 trillion
payoff can come true. This report looks like an
attempt to rally an ecosystem.”
Chris Murphy, Editor, InformationWeek
http://www.informationweek.com/global-cio/interviews/what-ges-15-trillion-industrial-internet/240142639?pgno=1
IT/Cyber-Security:
An emerging Paradigm Shift?
http://tech-wonders.blogspot.com/2012/08/how-cyber-attackers-an
criminals-use.html
http://buildsocialbiz.blogspot.com/2012/12/the-complexities-ofmicrosofts.html#!/2012/12/the-complexities-of-microsofts.html
http://blogs.msdn.com/b/zen/archive/2010/08/10/the-new-world-of-emergent-architecture-and-complex-adaptive-systems.aspx
Regional IT/Cyber
Security Issues
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Supporting economic growth
Increasing digital interdependence
Increasing cyber activities
Maritime domain awareness
Security of space operations
Technology achievement gap
Technology policy dilemmas
Technology Policy Dilemmas
• Human side: Need to collaborate/need to
“win”
– What do we share with whom?
– How do we manage trust?
• Technology side: Need to go faster to stay
ahead/Already going so fast that policy can’t
keep up
– How much control do we give machines?
– How do we design man manageable systems?
Adapted from Chris Murphy: http://www.informationweek.com/global-cio/interviews/what-ges-15-trillion-industrialinternet/240142639?pgno=1
What might the US Rebalance
mean in the IT/Cyber arenas?
• Economic Benefits
– Access to Top-level technology
– If we are willing to share
• Reassurance/Stability
– If we demonstrate commitment
– If we are willing to build trust
• Soft leadership
– If we are willing to collaborate
– If we are willing to negotiate
Rebalancing
Defense Science and Technology to
Security Priorities
in the Asia Pacific Region
Information Technology (IT) and
Cyber Security
Herman Finley
4 March 2013