Problem Solving And Decision Making

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Problem Solving And Decision

Making

Chapter 8

Definition

 Problem solving refers to active efforts to discover what must be done to achieve a goal that is not readily attainable.

Types of Problems (Greeno)

 Problems of Inducing Structure

 Problems of Arrangement

 Problems of Transformation

Approaches to Problem Solving

 Trial & Error

 Heuristics

 Forming Subgoals ( Tower of Hanoi )

 Working Backwards (Water Lilies)

 Using Analogies (Tumor)

 Reenvisioning the Problem

Barriers to Effective Problem Solving

 Irrelevant (Distracting) Information

 Functional Fixedness (Screw Driver)

 Mental Set

 Unnecessary Constraints

Decision Making

 Two types of decisions

Making choices (selecting among alternatives)

Taking chances (deciding amidst uncertainty)

Selecting Among Alternatives

 Strategies

 Additive

 Subtractive (Elimination of Aspects)

Making “Risky” Decisions

 Risky Decisions (Tversky & Kahneman)

 Factors Influencing Risky Decisions

Using Probabilities

Expected Value

Subjective Utility

Factors that Affect Probability Estimates

Heuristics

Availability

Representativeness

Ignoring Base Rates

The Conjunction Fallacy

Alternative Outcomes Effect

Framing the Question

Humans as Decision Makers

Classic View

Irrational

Prone to errors & mistakes

Mentally limited

Evolutionary View

Specialized cognition is adaptive

Rational

Fast and Frugal heuristics work

Dual Process Theories

Intuitive Thinking

Rational Thinking

Reducing Regret after Decisions

$20

Cognitive Dissonance Theory

Told next person tasks were fun and interesting

Boring

Tasks

$1

Asked how much they enjoyed experiment

Told next person tasks were fun and interesting

Making Decisions in Groups

 Group Polarization

 Groupthink

Group Polarization

Group Polarizationtendency to shift toward more extreme positions after group discussion

Risky Neutral Cautious

Groupthink

 Groupthinksyndrome of bad decision-making

12.17

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