Sandy Burgess Chief Executive
The Scottish Motor
Trade Association
•
Member owned, member driven and
member led.
•
Represents almost 1,000 members sites,
with turnovers ranging from several
thousands to a growing number who count
their turnover in billions.
•
We operate 4 subsidiary brands.
•
Trading Partners our buying group, now
buying over £1,000,000 worth of tyres per
annum.
•
Scotsure MBI our used vehicle warranty
company, sells over 6,000 policies per
annum via our members.
•
Skills Solutions our training arm which has
over 340 Modern Apprentices all employed
in our sector within Scotland.
•
MOT QMS our MOT Quality Management
System where we offer compliance checking
against the guidelines set out by DVSA,
safeguarding our member and the
consumer.
The Scottish motor business landscape
• Scottish new car market traditionally around 10% of the
UK total market at around 245,000.
• Scottish new car market stable on upward travel last three
years.
• Scottish market more predictable in that we have a
higher proportion of private purchasers against rest of
UK.
• Scotland’s roads have an estimated 2.7 million vehicles using
them.
• The Motability share of Scotland’s new car market is over
12% per annum and rising.
• All Scottish registration numbers start with the prefix S.
• There are over 4,700 separate enterprises operating
within the Scottish business landscape who are registered
as automotive businesses.
• Electric vehicle ownership rising very slowly (September
share 144 units or 0.33%)
• Used market very strong especially in the late plate nearly
new market.
• Dominance across central belt and north east of Scotland by
traditional “family business” units such as;
• Arnold Clark
• There are over 45,000 employed within these businesses.
• Parks Motor Group
• Automotive sector accounts for almost 6% of Scotland’s
GDP with over £12 billion.
• John Clark Motor Group
• We have 2,007 active MOT testing stations across
Scotland and the Islands, we also have a number of
islands who enjoy exclusion rights!
• Eastern Western Motor Group
• Macrae & Dick
• Phoenix Car Company
The Automotive Industry and the UK Economy
2014 full year
Marque
Nissan
Sunderland
Land Rover
Halewood
No. manufactured
500,238
374,355
Vauxhall
Ellesmere Port
178,993
Bentley
Crewe
Jaguar
Castle Bromwich
172,215
121,799
Toyota
Burnaston
Land Rover
Solihull
77,836
75,152
10,614
Honda
Swindon
Source: SMMT PIE data
MINI
Oxford
UK car manufacturing output by site (>10k) 2014 – 1,528,148 (+1.2%)
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 5
UK car manufacturing output by site (<10k)
Marque
McLaren
Woking
4,381
LTC
Coventry
MG
Longbridge
No. manufactured
3,967
Caterham
Dartford
3,054
1,751
Morgan
Malvern
Lotus
Hethel
1,492
1,376
464
Aston Martin
Gaydon
Rolls-Royce
Goodwood
461
Source: SMMT PIE data
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 6
UK commercial vehicle manufacturing by site
2014 – 70,010 (-20.1%)
Leyland Trucks
Leyland
Marque
Optare bus
Leeds
No. manufactured
43,567
3,967
Dennis Eagle Trucks
Warwick
Land Rover
Light 4x4
Solihull
3,054
1,751
1,492
MINI Van
Oxford
Alexander Dennis
Bus/Coach
Guildford
1,376
IBC
Van + minibus
Luton
464
Source: SMMT PIE data
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 7
UK engine manufacture by site
2014 – 2,394,688 (-6.2%)
Bentley
Crewe
Marque
Nissan
Sunderland
No. manufactured
1,533,280
279,385
226,618
Toyota
Deeside
226,133
JLR
i54
Honda
Swindon
118,638
10,614
BMW
Hams Hall
N/A
Ford
Dagenham
Ford
Bridgend
Source: SMMT PIE data
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 8
Bringing driverless vehicles to market
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 9
Level
L0
Driver
Defined levels of automation
Driver
only
Assisted
Driver
continuously
performs the
longitudinal or
lateral dynamic
driving task
Automation
Driver
continuously in
control of speed
and direction
L1
No intervening
vehicle system
active
The other driving
task is performed
by the system
Example:
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
Park Assist
L2
L3
Partial
Automation
Conditional
automation
Driver must
monitor the
dynamic driving
task and the
driving
environment at all
times
Driver does not
need to monitor
the dynamic
driving task nor
the driving
environment at all
times; must
always be in a
position to resume
control
System performs
longitudinal and
lateral driving task
in a defined use
case
Traffic Jam Assist
System performs
longitudinal and
lateral driving task
in a defined use
case. Recognises
its performance
limits and
requests driver to
resume the
dynamic driving
task with sufficient
time margin
Highway Patrol
L4
High automation
Driver is not
required during
defined use case
System performs
the lateral and
longitudinal
dynamic driving
task in all
situations in a
defined use case
Urban Automated
Driving
L5
Full
automation
System performs
the lateral and
longitudinal
dynamic driving
task in all
situations
encountered
during the entire
journey. No driver
required
Full end-to-end
journey
PAGE 10
Four overarching challenges
Technology
Policy
Behavioural
Business models
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 11
Impact of connected and autonomous vehicles in 2030
+£51bn
+320,000
Additional
jobs impact
+1%
Impact on
GDP (2030)
Value added annually
by 2030 (at 2014
prices)
JOBS
+25,000
Jobs in automotive
manufacturing created
+25,000
Serious accidents
prevented (2014-2030)
THE SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
+2,500
Lives saved
(2014-2030)
PAGE 12
CO2 The story so far
How does this relate?
The relevance?
•
The motor vehicle opposite was built in?
•
1903
•
So what’s the relevance?
•
It’s an ELECTRIC car!
•
The internal combustion engine has lots
of miles and years left to run.
•
The future is exciting, here’s to the next
112 years with the Scottish Motor Trade
Association.