Japan in the 1960s conservative politics economic growth The Occupation • August 1945 - April 1952 • Supreme Commander of the Allied Powers (SCAP) - General Douglas MacArthur • Two main tasks: – demilitarization – democratization Korean War (1950-3) • Economic turning point for Japan: – war supplies to Korea – industrial resurgence – foreign currency – economic reconstruction • 1945 - 1950 growth rate: 9.4% • 1950 - 1955 growth rate: 10.9% • 1952: Japan’s GDP matched prewar high High Growth of 1955-62 • Large investment in heavy industry • Imports of energy and raw materials • Government’s economic goals: – achieve economic self-sufficiency – achieve full employment – improve export competitiveness – keep domestic demand high High Growth of 1963-73 • Government’s plan to “double the national income in ten years” • scheduled 9% annual growth rate • large-scale infrastructure construction – Shinkansen (bullet train) – Olympic Games – port, road, and rails – human infrastructure High Growth of 1963-73 • labor-intensive in decline – agricultural subsidies – textile bankruptcies and “excess capacity” – coal industry in serious decline • capital-intensive on the rise – large firms had 10- and 20-fold growth • electronics and automobile Government response • government responded to some sectors’ decline with reorganization and subsidization • technological improvement and facility modernization under government protection – Ministry of International Trade and Industry • constant and critical role in developing the computer industry The Iron Triangle bureaucrats LDP politicians big business executives High Growth of 1963-73 • Aggressive export strategy – businesses compete with foreign counterparts under government protection • domestic market sealed off from competition • Strict limitations on governmt expenditures • 1965 Japanese exports exceeded imports for the first time in two decades Government policies • Macroeconomic success through internationally competitive firms – reduce the reliance on agriculture and small industry – capital-intensive industries – technically sophisticated products – improve national economic infrastructure – improve human infrastructure Protection of domestic market • U.S. products and capital dominated world markets to an unprecedented extent in 1950s and 1960s • Japan remained virtually unpenetrated by – foreign firms – foreign products – or foreign capital • Bretton Woods system (1949 - 1971) Japan’s Economic Growth GDP (constant 1995 US$) 1E+13 9E+12 8E+12 7E+12 6E+12 5E+12 4E+12 3E+12 2E+12 1E+12 Germany France Japan UK 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 19 70 19 68 19 66 19 64 19 62 19 60 0 USA GDP per capita (constant 1995 US$) 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 Germany France Japan UK USA 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 19 70 19 68 19 66 19 64 19 62 19 60 0 Political & economic institutions • Japan compared with other industrialized democracies – economic institutions dramatically different – economic performance was superior – longest dominance by one political party – far greater egalitarianism in political economy – foreign and security policy tied to that of US Golden age of LDP Politics • Liberal Democratic Party • 1963, LDP won 55% of vote and 60% of seats in lower house elections • LDP benefited from – the economy’s stellar performance – internal leadership coherence – fragmentation of political opponents – compensation of economically disadvantaged Evolution of party system • Combination of multiparty system with sustained dominance of one majority party • Chaotic political party system 1946-55 – 2 conservative parties, 2 socialist parties, communist party, and micro-parties • Party merges in 1955 • “One-and-a-Half Party System” Major Political Parties • Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) – conservative catch-all party – single largest party • Japan Socialist Party (JSP) – “Japan Peace Party” • Japan Communist Party (JCP) – anti-emperor, anti-capitalism, anti-military – only party untainted by money politics National Vote Share Suggested Readings • http://www.kantei.go.jp/foreign/indexe.html • Journals in the UM library: – Japan Echo – Japan Quarterly • New books in the UM library: – Japan in Transformation, 1952-2000 – Japan's Emergence As A Global Power