Six Sigma Quality and Statistical Process Control Chapter 7 1 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Definition: Total Quality Management • Total Quality Management (TQ, QM or TQM) and Six Sigma (6) are sweeping “culture change” efforts to position a company for greater customer satisfaction, profitability and competitiveness. • TQ may be defined as managing the entire organization so that it excels on all dimensions of products and services that are important to the customer. To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Total Quality Is… • Meeting Our Customer’s Requirements • Doing Things Right the First Time; Freedom from Failure (Defects) • Consistency (Reduction in Variation) • Continuous Improvement • Quality in Everything We Do 3 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. The Continuous Improvement Process Empowerment/ Shared Leadership Customer Satisfaction Business Results Team Management Process Improvement/ Problem Solving Measurement Measurement Measurement ... Measurement To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 4 Is 99% Quality Good Enough? • 22,000 checks will be deducted from the wrong bank accounts in the next 60 minutes. • 20,000 incorrect drug prescriptions will be written in the next 12 months. • 12 babies will be given to the wrong parents each day. 5 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Defects Per Million Opportunities (DPMO) · 100K But is Six Sigma Realistic? · IRS – Tax Advice (phone-in) (66810 ppm) 10K 41 Average Company 1K 31 ···· ··· Restaurant Bills Doctor Prescription Writing Payroll Processing Order Write-up Journal Vouchers Wire Transfers Air Line Baggage Handling Purchased Material Lot Reject Rate 100 21 · (233 ppm) 10 11 Best in Class 1 1 Domestic Airline Flight Fatality Rate (3.4 ppm) 2 3 3 4 4 SIGMA 5 5 6 6 7 (0.43 ppm) 7 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 Six Sigma Quality The objective of Six Sigma quality is 3.4 defects per million opportunities! sigma level 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 with 1.5 stdev mean shift probability 0.84 0.977 0.9987 0.99997 0.9999997 0.99999999901 0.999996599 this is the amount that exists to the left OR the right of each total amount tail (1-pr) under the curve 0.158655259759 68.2689480% 0.022750062036 95.4499876% 0.001349967223 99.7300066% 0.000031686035 99.9936628% 0.000000287105 99.9999426% 0.000000000990 99.9999998% 0.000003400803 error rate 32 out of 100 4.6 out of 100 3 out of 1000 7 out of 100,000 6 out of 10,000,000 2 out of 1,000,000,000 (a billion) 99.9996599% 3.4 out of 1,000,000 7 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Statistical Process Control • Take periodic samples from process • Plot sample points on control chart • Determine if process UCL is within limits • Prevent quality problems LCL 8 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Variation Common Causes Variation inherent in a process Can be eliminated only through improvements in the system Special Causes Variation due to identifiable factors Can be modified through operator or management action 9 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Data Attribute data Product characteristic evaluated with a discrete choice Good/bad, yes/no Variable data Product characteristic that can be measured Length, size, weight, height, time, velocity 10 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. SPC Applied to Services Nature of defect is different in services Service defect is a failure to meet customer requirements Monitor times, customer satisfaction 11 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Service Quality Examples Hospitals Timeliness, responsiveness, accuracy of lab tests Grocery Stores Check-out time, stocking, cleanliness Airlines Luggage handling, waiting times, courtesy Fast food restaurants Waiting times, food quality, cleanliness, employee courtesy 12 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Service Quality Examples Catalog-order companies Order accuracy, operator knowledge and courtesy, packaging, delivery time, phone order waiting time Insurance companies Billing accuracy, timeliness of claims processing, agent availability and response time 13 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Control Charts Graph establishing process control limits Charts for variables Mean (x-bar), Range (R) Chart for attributes P Chart C Chart 14 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Process Control Chart Out of control Upper control limit Process average Lower control limit 1 Figure 15.1 2 3 4 5 6 Sample number 7 8 9 10 15 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. A Process is In Control if 1. No sample points outside limits 2. Most points near process average 3. About equal number of points above & below centerline 4. Points appear randomly distributed 16 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Development of Control Chart Based on in-control data If non-random causes present, find the special cause and discard data Correct control chart limits 17 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Control Chart for Attributes p Charts Calculate percent defectives in sample 18 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. p-Chart UCL = p + zp LCL = p - zp where z = the number of standard deviations from the process average p = the sample proportion defective; an estimate of the process average p = the standard deviation of the sample proportion p = p(1 - p) n 19 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. The Normal Distribution 95% 99.74% -3 -2 -1 =0 1 2 3 20 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Control Chart Z Values Smaller Z values make more sensitive charts Z = 3.00 is standard Compromise between sensitivity and errors 21 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. p-Chart Example 20 samples of 100 pairs of jeans SAMPLE 1 2 3 : : 20 Example 15.1 NUMBER OF DEFECTIVES PROPORTION DEFECTIVE 6 0 4 : : 18 200 .06 .00 .04 : : .18 22 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. p-Chart Example 20 samples of 100 pairs of jeans SAMPLE 1 2 3 : : 20 Example 15.1 NUMBER OF DEFECTIVES 6 0 4 : : 18 200 PROPORTION DEFECTIVE .06 .00 total defectives p = .04 total sample observations : = 200: / 20(100) = 0.10 .18 23 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. p-Chart Example 20 samples of 100 pairs of jeans SAMPLE 1 2 3 : : 20 Example 15.1 NUMBER OF DEFECTIVES PROPORTION DEFECTIVE p = 0.10 6 .06 0 0.10(1 - 0.10) p(1.00 - p) UCL = p + z = 0.10 + 3 100 n 4 .04 : UCL := 0.190 : 0.10(1 - 0.10) p(1 - p): LCL = 0.10 - 3 18= p - z 100 n.18 200= 0.010 LCL 24 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. p-Chart 0.20 UCL = 0.190 0.18 0.16 Proportion defective 0.14 0.12 0.10 p = 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 LCL = 0.010 2 4 6 8 10 12 Sample number 14 16 18 20 25 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. C Chart • Used when you can’t calculate a proportion defective and an actual count is used. • Key –the number of defects is assumed to come from a large population • Ex. Defects in the paint job of a car 26 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. C Chart con’t • The mean is the average counted number of defects per item (total divided number of samples • The sample standard deviation is √cbar (square root of the mean of C) 27 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Control Charts for Variables Mean chart ( x -Chart ) Uses average of a sample Range chart ( R-Chart ) Uses amount of dispersion in a sample 28 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Range ( R- ) Chart UCL = D4R LCL = D3R R R= k where R = range of each sample k = number of samples 29 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. SAMPLE SIZE n FACTOR FOR x-CHART A2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1.88 1.02 0.73 0.58 0.48 0.42 0.37 0.44 0.11 0.99 0.77 0.55 0.44 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.99 0.99 0.88 FACTORS FOR R-CHART D3 D4 Range ( R- ) Chart Table 15.1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 3.27 2.57 2.28 2.11 2.00 1.92 1.86 1.82 1.78 1.74 1.72 1.69 1.67 1.65 1.64 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.59 30 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. R-Chart Example OBSERVATIONS (SLIP-RING DIAMETER, CM) SAMPLE k 1 2 3 4 5 x R 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.02 5.01 4.99 5.03 4.95 4.97 5.05 5.09 5.14 5.01 5.01 5.03 5.00 4.91 4.92 5.06 5.01 5.10 5.10 4.98 4.94 5.07 4.93 5.01 5.03 5.06 5.10 5.00 4.99 5.08 4.99 4.95 4.92 4.98 5.05 4.96 4.96 4.99 5.08 5.07 4.96 4.96 4.99 4.89 5.01 5.03 4.99 5.08 5.09 4.99 4.98 5.00 4.97 4.96 4.99 5.01 5.02 5.05 5.08 5.03 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.10 50.09 1.15 Example 15.3 31 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. R-Chart Example UCL = D4R = 2.11(0.115) = 0.243 R 1.15 R= = = 0.115 OBSERVATIONS (SLIP-RING DIAMETER, CM) k 10 LCL = D 3R = 0(0.115) = 0 SAMPLE0.28 k – 1 2 3 4 5 x R Range 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Example 15.3 0.24 – 0.20 – 0.16 – 0.12 – 0.08 – 0.04 – 0– 5.02 5.01 4.94 5.01 UCL 5.03 = 0.2435.07 4.99 5.00 4.93 5.03 4.91 5.01 0.115 5.03 4.95R =4.92 4.97 5.06 5.06 5.05 5.01 5.10 5.09 5.10 5.00 5.14 5.10 4.99 LCL = 0 5.01 | | 4.98| 5.08 | 1 2 3 4.99 4.95 4.92 4.98 5.05 4.96 4.96 4.99 5.08 5.07 | | 4.96 4.96 4.99 4.89 5.01 5.03 4.99 5.08 5.09 4.99| 4 5 6 7 Sample number 4.98 0.08 5.00 0.12 4.97 0.08 4.96 0.14 4.99 0.13 5.01 0.10 5.02 0.14 5.05 0.11 5.08 0.15 5.03 | | 0.10| 50.09 8 91.1510 32 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. x-Chart Calculations x1 + x2 + ... xk = x= k = UCL = x + A2R = LCL = x - A2R where = x = the average of the sample means 33 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. x-Chart Example OBSERVATIONS (SLIP-RING DIAMETER, CM) SAMPLE k 1 2 3 4 50.095.01 4.94 4.99 =1 x 5.02 x= = = 5.01 cm k 2 5.01 10 5.03 5.07 4.95 5 x R 4.96 4.98 4.96 5.00 3 4.99 5.00 4.93 4.92 4.99 4.97 4 5.03 4.91 5.01 4.98 4.89 4.96 = UCL5 = x + A2R4.95 = 5.01 = 5.08 4.92+ (0.58)(0.115) 5.03 5.05 5.01 4.99 6 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.96 5.03 5.01 5.01- (0.58)(0.115) 5.10 4.96 4.99 5.02 LCL7 = x= - A2R5.05 = 5.01 = 4.94 8 5.09 5.10 5.00 4.99 5.08 5.05 9 5.14 5.10 4.99 5.08 5.09 5.08 10 5.01 4.98 5.08 5.07 4.99 5.03 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.10 50.09 1.15 Example 15.4 34 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. x-Chart Example 5.10 – 5.08 – 5.06 – SAMPLE k UCL = 5.08 OBSERVATIONS (SLIP-RING DIAMETER, CM) 1 2 3 4 5.04 – 50.09 =1 x 4.94 4.99 x= = 5.02 5.01= 5.01 cm k5.02 – 5.0110=5.03 5.07 4.95 2 5 x Mean 4.96 4.98 4.96 5.00 = 5.01 3 4.99 x5.00 4.93 4.92 4.99 4.97 5.00 – 5.03 4.91 4 5.01 4.98 4.89 4.96 = UCL5 = x + A R = 5.01 + (0.58)(0.115) = 5.08 5.03 5.05 5.01 4.99 4.98 –2 4.95 4.92 6 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.96 5.03 5.01 5.01- (0.58)(0.115) 5.10 4.96 4.99 5.02 LCL7 = x= -4.96 A2–R5.05 = 5.01 = 4.94 8 5.09 LCL 5.10 5.00 4.99 5.08 5.05 = 4.94 4.94 – 9 5.14 5.10 4.99 5.08 5.09 5.08 10 5.08 5.07 4.99 5.03 4.92 – 5.01 4.98 | 1 Example 15.4 | 2 | 3 | | | | 4 5 6 7 Sample number R 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.10 | 50.09 | |1.15 8 9 10 35 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Using x- and R-Charts Together Each measures the process differently Both process average and variability must be in control 36 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Sample Size Determination Attribute control charts 50 to 100 parts in a sample Variable control charts 2 to 10 parts in a sample 37 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Process Capability Process limits (The “Voice of the Process” or The “Voice of the Data”) - based on natural (common cause) variation • Tolerance limits (The “Voice of the Customer”) – customer requirements • Process Capability – A measure of how “capable” the process is to meet customer requirements; compares process limits to tolerance limits • Process Capability Range of natural variability in process Measured with control charts. Process cannot meet specifications if natural variability exceeds tolerances 3-sigma quality Specifications equal the process control limits. 6-sigma quality Specifications twice as large as control limits 39 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Process Capability Design Specifications (a) Natural variation exceeds design specifications; process is not capable of meeting specifications all the time. Process Design Specifications (b) Design specifications and natural variation the same; process is capable of meeting specifications most the time. Process Figure 15.5 40 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Process Capability Design Specifications (c) Design specifications greater than natural variation; process is capable of always conforming to specifications. Process Design Specifications (d) Specifications greater than natural variation, but process off center; capable but some output will not meet upper specification. Process Figure 15.5 41 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Process Capability Measures Process Capability Index Cpk = minimum = x - lower specification limit , 3 = upper specification limit - x 3 42 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Computing Cpk Net weight specification = 9.0 oz 0.5 oz Process mean = 8.80 oz Process standard deviation = 0.12 oz Cpk = minimum = minimum = x - lower specification limit , 3 = upper specification limit - x 3 8.80 - 8.50 9.50 - 8.80 , 3(0.12) 3(0.12) = 0.83 Example 15.7 43 To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition, 2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Interpreting the Process Capability Index Cpk < 1 Not Capable Cpk > 1 Capable at 3 Cpk > 1.33 Capable at 4 Cpk > 1.67 Capable at 5 Cpk > 2 Capable at 6