COUNTRY PRESENTATION: FRANCE Cedric Seguin Muñoz May 22, 2012 Geographical conditions Source: http://solargis.info/free-solar-maps image Economical conditions The government maintains a strong presence in some sectors, particularly power, public transport, and defense industries. With at least 75 million foreign tourists per year, France is the most visited country in the world and maintains the third largest income in the world from tourism. Under President SARKOZY, Paris implemented austerity measures that eliminated tax credits and froze most government spending in an effort to bring the budget deficit under the 3% euro-zone ceiling by 2013 and to highlight France's commitment to fiscal discipline at a time of intense financial market scrutiny of euro-zone debt levels. Socialist Francois HOLLANDE won the May 2012 presidential election, after advocating pro-growth economic policies, as well as measures such as forcing banks to separate their investment and savings businesses, increasing taxes on bank profits, introducing a new top bracket on income taxes for people earning over $1.3 million a year, and hiring an additional 60,000 civil servants during his five-year term of office. Source: https://www.cia.gov/ Economical data Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/ep iapublications.html, https://www.cia.gov/, http://www.eulerhermes-aktuell.de/, http://www.inflation.eu/ Costs of capital WACC Inflation Country risk WACC Other Debt average 5 rating (Euler Residential segments years Hermes) 4.60% 8.60% 2.80% 1.6% Low risk-AA GDP (purchasing Public debt power parity) Unemployment rate $2.214 trillion (2011 est.) 9.1% (2011 est.) 85.5% of GDP (2011 est.) Energy sector policy France is the main country to use electricity of nuclear origin as the dominant method of production (78% of French production in 2007). In 2010: Nuclear: 407.9 TWh Hydraulic: 68 TWh Fossil-fired: 59.4 TWh Wind: 9.5 TWh Other renewables: 5.5 TWh Total: a production of 550.3 TWh in 2010 (data: RTE 20101) Domestic consumption in 2010: 488.1 TWh (source: RTE 2010) Source: Wikipedia Renewable energy policy Since 2007 and the Grenelle Environment, France sets up an ambitious strategy for developing renewable energy in its territory. Baseline in 2020 to reach the target of 23% renewable energy. This is to produce 20 Mtoe of renewable energy and more than in 2006. For comparison, in 2006, 275.3 Mtoe was consumed in the territory of which 18.6 Mtoe from renewable sources. New measures since 2010 like: The introduction of a tax credit for production using renewable energy The purchase obligation for electricity produced with specific tariffs for each sector (wind, solar, biomass etc.) The simplification of administrative procedures for domestic projects The implementation of certification and labels for better identified technologies The establishment of specific regulations for photovoltaic ground ... France is the leading European producer of renewable energy ahead of Sweden and Germany, with over 15% of total European production. Source: http://www.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/ Solar policy Objective of 5400 MW installed in 2020. following assumptions: It is made the • The solar thermal in 2020 represent 10% of the total installed capacity. The annual operating time is 1800h to the peak power of the installation. The first installations will be commissioned in 2012. • PV systems with solar tracking represent 1/6 of the total power installed in 2020. The annual operating time is 1800h to the peak power of the installation. • The rest of the installed capacity of photovoltaic systems is made without solar tracking. The annual operating time is 1100h to the peak power of the installation. Source: http://www.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/ The sales prices of solar energy The solar energy produced on the roof is measured and EDF is obliged to pay for it at 37.06 € cts / kWh guaranteed by a 20-year contract. Revenues in the solar be exempt from tax for a facility with a capacity of less than 3kWc. In addition, the income is taxable. You can receive a tax credit of 11% for the installation of solar panels.The maximum tax credit is limited to € 3,200 per kWp, or €16,000 for installation of a 5 kWp. You can also benefit from a rate of 7% VAT for the supply of materials and labor required for installation. To do so requires that the construction of the house is more than 2 years. Source: http://panneaux-solaires-photovoltaiques.evasol.fr/financementphotovoltaique.html Size of electricity market France is the 6th world market, with consumption equal to 488 TWh in 2010 (primary electricity). This market, largely dominated by the national company EDF, is marked by a steady growth in consumption and the ongoing process of open competition required by the European Commission in 2007. Source: Wikipedia Importations and exportations Exportations to this country in 2010 (en TWh) Importations into this country in 2010 (en TWh) Exportations to this country in 2011 (en TWh) Importations into this country in 2011 (en TWh) Germany 9,4 16,1 10,8 8,4 Belgium 3,9 4,8 7,9 2,1 UK 8,5 5,5 7,7 2,9 Spain 1,9 3,5 4,5 3,1 Italy 17,4 1,2 16,9 0,8 Switzerland 25,5 6,0 27,6 2,4 Total France 66,6 37,1 75,4 19,7 Net exportations 29,5 55,7 Source: Wikipedia Productors Productors in France EDF (Électricité de France) CNR (Compagnie nationale du Rhône) SNET (Société nationale d'électricité et de thermique) SHEM (Société hydroélectrique du Midi) UEM (Usine d'électricité de Metz) Foreign Productors Electrabel (Belgique) Endesa (Espagne) EGL (Suisse) Enel (Italie) Iberdrola (Espagne) E.ON (Allemagne) Source: Wikipedia 73 suppliers Direct Énergie Poweo ÉS Énergies Strasbourg (Électricité de Strasbourg) Cargill International Enercoop Proxelia GDF Dolce Vita Alterna Lampiris Planète Oui GEG Grenoble Rhodia Energy Services (pour les consommateurs industriels) Source: Wikipedia Forecast of electricity prices Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Solar market Status and Outlook Solar installations France saw 1.5 GW of new systems connected last year, mainly a result of installations done in 2010. Only less than 10% of this capacity was installed during 2011. The extremely long grid connection process in France can take up to 18 months. The important FiT cuts and long grid connection lead times explain why new installations were at a poor level during 2011, whilst grid connections reached a record high of 1.5 GW in 2011. Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html European Market Split 2011 Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Global cumulative installed capacity Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html European PV market segmentation Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Historical market data and outlook until 2016 Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Cumulative market data and outlook until 2016 Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Forecast for 2016 (source:EPIA) Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Contribution to electricity demand Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Regional distribution of PV Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Solar companies http://www.enf.cn/database/sellers-france.html 161 Sellers 1.2.3. SOLAIRE 20 PV Modules producers Alternasol Auversun 3i PLUS BatiSolar A2Energie E.F.E. 66 ACTELIOS Eurolight FONROCHE ACTIVASUN AE3000 AER France watts ILIO IMEX CGI Photowatt AGIRENERGY S'Tile Agrimeer Senersun AED Alternasol Altus Energy Serrano Environnement Amicus Salus SILLIA énergie 679 Installers 1001 Soleils 2APC 2ER 2ES 3A Energies 3jSystem 3S Sud System Solaire 3synergies 46 Idée Plus A E G Aquitaine A l'Nrj Sol'Air A-E-N A.E.R Sud A.T.D. A2CS A2Energie AB2C SNAsolar Apex BP Solar Solarezo ABC Energie Solaire http://www.enf.cn/database/installers-france.html Caps of policy schemes The new support framework in place since March 2011 aims to limit the annual market size to 500 MW: It allows systems of up to 100 kW to benefit from a remunerative FiTlevel. For systems larger than that the FiT is extremely low (slightly above 0.10 €/kWh). Alternatively larger projects can apply to calls for tenders: The results will not be known until 2012, shifting the market development by 6 months to more than 1 year and the connection of systems even later. Source: http://www.epia.org/publications/epiapublications.html Solar Grid Parity Mapping Project Data Collection Template Energy production data Geographical Position Latittude 48.85 43.29 45.75 44.83 45.69 50.63 48.39 41.92 Longitude 2.35 5.36 4.84 -0.57 -0.32 3.06 -4.48 8.73 Country City FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE FRANCE Paris Marseille Lyon Bordeaux Cognac Lille Brest Ajaccio Annual Average Radiation (kWh/m2/d) 3.13 4.34 3.53 3.65 3.67 2.91 3.10 4.75 http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/ 4 principal different irradiation zones http://sycomoreen.free.fr/docs_multimedia/Resume_PV_eng.pdf Residential 4 €/Wp Energy cost: 12.11 cts/kWh http://fr.edf.com/ http://www.photovoltaique.info/+Les-Etats-Generaux-du-Solaire+.html Industrial 2.5 €/Wp Energy cost: 8.29 cts/kWh http://fr.edf.com/ http://www.photovoltaique.info/+Les-Etats-Generaux-du-Solaire+.html Utilities 2 €/Wp Energy cost: 6.39 cts/kWh http://fr.edf.com/ http://www.photovoltaique.info/+Les-Etats-Generaux-du-Solaire+.html Conclusion Clear FiT evolution in 2012 for systems up to 100 kW, however non-transparent and complex tendering scheme for larger systems. Strong adverse lobbying from conventional stakeholders. Heavy and slow administrative processes still in place. Another obligation that new buildings be self-sufficient in terms of energy consumption by 2020 also adds some hope for a future re-development of PV in France. Grid parity should be aimed in 2016 for the south of the country and 2020 for the north. Hope for the french solar industry? The new president Francois Hollande has the last word… Francois Hollande, president, supports solar energy and promises a rebound for this renewable energy: "I, President of the Republic, I will not vilify solar energy as my predecessor was able to do throughout the past months, by refraining himself to speak well of it under the influence of some lobbies. I President, I pledge to reduce the nuclear share of 75 to 50% in 2025 and to make the effort to make renewable energy and solar energy considerably developed. Today, the anaphora is not anymore conceptual, it has become a reality. French solar industry will recover hope ... "