Innovative Financing How to finance Africa’s economic transformation? Sebastian Große-Puppendahl, Policy Officer, ECDPM Post-2015 Charter Event in the Hague, 20 April 2015 Background • A broad field!! with various forms and sources depending on definitions etc. (e.g. impact investments, remittances/diaspora bonds, IFF, private equity, SWFs and bonds) • 9th African Development Forum’s theme: ‘Innovative Financing for Africa’s Transformation’ - Marrakesh consensus (Oct. 2014): Africa’s financial systems are still largely underdeveloped in a majority of countries and unresponsive to the needs of individuals, households, and small and medium sized enterprises, constraining the domestic savings rate and the availability and access to credit for productive investments • CAP on FFD AUC-ECA consultation (Mar 2015) ECDPM Infrastructure gap: $100 billion a year CAP and Agenda 2063: DRM and trade as main source of financing for SD in Africa Page 2 IFF & climate finance • Curtailment of illicit financial flows as unexplored source for mobilising domestic resources (HLP, 2015) - • Strong linkages between Africa’s transformative agenda and climate change - - ECDPM Annual illicit flows from Africa during the past decade up to $50 billion > ODA (2x) Undermining Africa’s fiscal policy space, government programmes and investment resources available Commercial activities, organised crime, public sector Climate finance & development finance inseparable Adaption costs to CC for East, West, Central and Southern Africa: $14-15 billion/year ($70 billion until 2045, if no additional mitigation action is taken Innovative domestic financing mechanisms needed Climate for Development in Africa Programme (ClimDev by AUC, UNECA & AfDB) building climate-resilient economies on the continent (AfDB ClimDev special Fund) Page 3 Private equity in Africa • • Not a driver of economic growth but a catalyst Private equity as a potential source of investment today approximately $29 billion in pension fund assets that could be invested in private equity in Africa, which remains untapped (UNECA, 2014) • $1.14 billion (2012) raised from institutional investors for Africa-focused private equity funds (African Private Equity and Venture Capital Association) - - • Challenge: investor perceptions (cost of doing business in the continent) - ECDPM another 50 funds currently in the market that are targeting a similar aggregate amount Ethos Private Equity alone (a South African fund manager) is reported to have raised some $900 million continent’s sheer physical size, geopolitical fragmentation and weak infrastructure continue to make it an expensive location for doing business restrictions on capital flows between African countries and the rest of the world trade openness Page 4 Sovereign bonds in Africa • Relatively inexpensive sources of external finance for economic growth • sovereign bond inflows $5 billion (2013) – =20% of aid to SSA & 12% of FDI inflows • BUT risks involved: currency risks, roll-over risks and greater macroeconomic volatility • Reducing risks requires to (te Velde, 2014) - use revenues of sovereign bonds to address economic and social infrastructure gaps manage macroeconomic conditions to reduce currency risks • Role of int. community: reducing quantitative easing, enhancing liquidity in the bond market reducing roll-over risks ECDPM Page 5 Conclusion • • • • • • • Africa’s transformation needs African-grown and financed solutions to be sustainable Centrality of DRM in the creation of inclusive & sustainable economic growth for Africa’s transformation (e.g. ClimDev) Role of financial markets & market regulation key diversification! of financial products Need to further strengthen role & capacity of DFIs, IFIs & Development Banks (incl. mechanisms to address risks) Promotion of private equity as an important potential source of investment for growth and development High Level Panel on Illicit Financial Flows from Africa New innovative forms of partnerships (UNECA, 2015) - ECDPM boosting intra-African trade & Africa’s transformation South-South cooperation and the scope for industrialization regional and South-South initiatives to enhance resource mobilization: stymying illicit financial flows, cutting remittance costs and harnessing official flows South-South coalitions to reform the multilateral trade and financial system Page 6 References • • • • • • ECDPM El Fassi, S. 2015. Financing for Development: The state of the debate in Africa. ECDPM Talking Points Blog. April 2015. http://ecdpm.org/talking-points/financing-development-state-debateafrica/ HLP. 2015.Track it! Stop it! Get it!. Illicit Financial Flows from Africa. Report of the High Level Panel on Illicit Financial Flows from Africa. February 2015. http://www.uneca.org/sites/default/files/publications/iff_main_report _english.pdf Marrakech Consensus, ADF-IX Consensus Statement Marrakech, October 2014 http://www.uneca.org/sites/default/files/uploadeddocuments/ADF/ADFIX/adf_ix_consensus_statement-eng.pdf te Velde, D.W. 2014. Sovereign bonds in sub-Saharan Africa Good for growth or ahead of time? ODI Briefing 87. April 2014 UNECA. 2015. Innovative Financing for the Economic Transformation of Africa. Edited by Abdalla Hamdok. March 2015. http://www.uneca.org/sites/default/files/publications/innovativefinancing-economic-transformation-africa2015-adf_en.pdf UNECA, 2014. Private Equity in Africa. Issues Paper 9th ADF. http://www.uneca.org/sites/default/files/uploadeddocuments/ADF/ADFIX/adf_ix-issues_paper_3-private_equity.pdf Page 7 Thank you www.ecdpm.org www.slideshare.net/ecdpm Page 8