Energy Systems EE 5003 Chapter 1: Introduction: 1.0 Energy In physics, energy (Ability to do work) is a property of objects, transferable among them via fundamental interactions, which can be converted into different forms but can neither be created nor destroyed. The joule is the SI unit of energy, based on the amount transferred to an object by the mechanical work of moving it 1 metre against a force of 1 newton.[1] Work and heat are two categories of processes or mechanisms that can transfer a given amount of energy. The second law of thermodynamics limits the amount of work that can be performed by energy that is obtained via a heating process—some energy is always lost as waste heat. The maximum amount that can go into work is called the available energy. Systems such as machines and living things often require available energy, not just any energy. Mechanical and other forms of energy can be transformed in the other direction into thermal energy without such limitations. There are many forms of energy, but all these types must meet certain conditions such as being convertible to other kinds of energy, obeying conservation of energy, and causing a proportional change in mass in objects that possess it. Common energy forms include the kinetic energy of a moving object, the radiant energy carried by light and other electromagnetic radiation, the potential energy stored by virtue of the position of an object in a force field such as a gravitational, electric or magnetic field, and the thermal energy comprising the microscopic kinetic and potential energies of the disordered motions of the particles making up matter. Some specific forms of potential energy include elastic energy due to the stretching or deformation of solid objects and chemical energy such as is released when a fuel burns. Any object that has mass when stationary, such as a piece of ordinary matter, is said to have rest mass, or an equivalent amount of energy whose form is called rest energy, though this isn't immediately apparent in everyday phenomena described by classical physics. According to mass–energy equivalence, all forms of energy (not just rest energy) exhibit mass. For example, adding 25 kilowatt-hours (90 megajoules) of energy to an object in the form of heat (or any other form) increases its mass by 1 microgram; if you had a sensitive enough mass balance or scale, this mass increase could be measured. Our Sun transforms nuclear potential energy to other forms of energy; its total mass does not decrease due to that in itself (since it still contains the same total energy even if in different forms), but its mass does decrease when the energy escapes out to its surroundings, largely as radiant energy. Although any energy in any single form can be transformed into another form, the law of conservation of energy states that the total energy of a system can only change if energy is transferred into or out of the system. This means that it is impossible to create or destroy energy. The total energy of a system can be calculated by adding up all forms of energy in the system. Examples of energy transfer and transformation include generating or making use of electric energy, performing chemical reactions, or lifting an object. Lifting against gravity performs work on the object and stores gravitational potential energy; if it falls, gravity does work on the object which transforms the potential energy to the kinetic energy associated with its speed. More broadly, living organisms require available energy to stay alive; humans get such energy from food along with the oxygen needed to metabolize it. Civilisation requires a supply of energy to function; energy resources such as fossil fuels are a vital topic in economics and politics. Earth's climate and ecosystem are driven by the radiant energy Earth receives from the sun (as well as the geothermal energy contained within the earth), and are sensitive to changes in the amount received. The word "energy" is also used outside of physics in many ways, which can lead to ambiguity and inconsistency. The vernacular terminology is not consistent with technical terminology. For example, while energy is always conserved (in the sense that the total energy does not change despite energy transformations), energy can be converted into a form, e.g., thermal energy, that cannot be utilized to perform work. When one talks about "conserving energy by driving less", one talks about conserving fossil fuels and preventing useful energy from being lost as heat. This usage of "conserve" differs from that of the law of conservation of energy.[2] We eat food but if we do a workout or even simply exists we dissipate energy and the mass of food we consumed is converted into energy and dissipates. Why do we put on weight because we do not dissipate as much energy as we take in. Food contains Carbohydrates, lipids and proteins. 1.1 Energy Sources Energy Sources are basically divided into two categories: a) Non Renewable energy Sources and b) Renewable Energy Sources. Some of these sources are further classified as conventional or non conventional. a) Non Renewable Energy Sources : mainly defined as conventional ( they have been using these sources for over a century ) derived in conventional conversion processes to produce useful energy such as in power plants refineries, Internal Combustion Engines, external combustion engines etc. Examples : Coal, Fossil Fuel based (Petroleum based) oil and Gas products, Nuclear, etc. Why do we call these sources Non Renewable? They are not replenished in a reasonable time span may be to renew these sources it may take millions of years. Nuclear is an exception, where it can never be replenished even after millions of years. SOLID FUELS Hard coal – Coal that has a high degree of coalification with a gross calorific value above 23,865 kJ/kg (5,700 kcal/kg) on an ash-free but moist basis, There are two sub-categories of hard coal: (i) coking coal and (ii) other bituminous coal and anthracite (also known as steam coal). Coking coal is a hard coal with a quality that allows the production of coke suitable to support a blast furnace charge. Steam coal is coal used for steam raising and space heating purposes and includes all anthracite coals and bituminous coals not classified as coking coal. Lignite – One of the two sub-categories of brown coal. Brown coal is coal with a low degree of coalification which retained the anatomical structure of the vegetable matter from which it was formed. It has a gross calorific value (on a moist ash free basis) is less than 23,865 kJ/kg (5,700 kcal/kg). Brown coal comprises: (i) lignite - with a gross calorific value less than 17,435 kJ/kg (4,165 kcal/kg) and greater than 31 percent volatile matter on a dry basis and (ii) sub-bituminous coal - with a gross calorific value between 17,435 kJ/kg (4,165 kcal/kg) and 23,865 kJ/kg (5,700 kcal/kg) containing more than 31 percent volatile matter on a dry basis. Peat – A solid fuel formed from the partial decomposition of dead vegetation under conditions of high humidity and limited air access (initial stage of coalification). Its principal use is as a household fuel. Oil shale – A sedimentary rock containing a high proportion of organic matter (kerogen), which can be converted to crude oil or gas by heating. LIQUID FUELS Crude oil – A mineral oil consisting of a mixture of hydrocarbons of natural origin, yellow to black in color, of variable density and viscosity. Can be extracted by oil wells or extracted from bituminous minerals such as shales and bituminous sand, and oils from coal liquefaction. Petroleum products – Comprise the liquid fuels, lubricant oils and solid and semi-solid products obtained by distillation and cracking of crude petroleum, shale oil, or semi-refined and unfinished petroleum products. These may include but not limited to Aviation Gasoline, Motor Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Kerosene, Naphtha, Furnace Oil, Residual Oil, Bitumen, LPG ( Propane and Butane mainly) GASEOUS FUELS Natural gas – Gases consisting mainly of methane occurring naturally in underground deposits. It includes both non-associated gas (originating from fields producing only hydrocarbons in gaseous form) and associated gas (originating from fields producing both liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons), as well as methane recovered from coal mines. b) Renewable Energy Sources : most of the time these sources are defined as nonconventional sources except Major Hydro sources as they have been rediscovered as sources to be converted to useful energy by using age old principles but using modern technologies. Examples: Conventional Renewable sources - Major Hydro, c) Non-Conventional Renewable sources - Solar both Photovoltaic (PV) and thermal , wind, biomass, small and mini hydro, geothermal ( Is it renewable? again a misnomer but classified under renewables) etc. Biogasoline – Ethanol (ethyl alcohol) and methanol (methyl alcohol) for use as a fuel. Ethanol can be produced from sugar, starch and cellulose and is used mainly in transport (on its own or blended with gasolene). Methanol can be produced from wood, crop residues, grass, and the like and can be used in internal combustion engines. Biodiesel – It refers to oil derived from biological sources and modified chemically so that it can be used as fuel in compression ignition (diesel) internal combustion engines, or for heating. Biological sources of biodiesel include, but are not limited to, vegetable oils. Very often Biodiesel is used in combination with Petroleum Diesel. Biogas – By-product of the fermentation of biomass, principally animal wastes, by bacteria. It consists mainly of methane gas and carbon dioxide d) Other Traditional Fuels : Fuel wood, Bagasse, Charcoal, Animal Waste, Vegetable Waste, Municipal Waste, Industrial Waste, etc. 1.2 Classification of Forms of Energy 1.2.1 Primary energy - is an energy form found in nature that has not been subjected to any conversion or transformation process. It is energy contained in raw fuels, and other forms of energy received as input to a system. Primary energy can be non-renewable or renewable All forms of energy that occur naturally and can be used directly to do some useful work - capable of obtaining useful energy or used as primary inputs to obtain secondary forms of energy, such as electricity, heat, motive energy etc. Examples: Water at an elevation, Solar energy, wind, biomass, Coal, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Uranium etc. 1.2.2 Secondary Energy - Primary energy sources are transformed in energy conversion processes to more convenient forms of energy (that can directly be used by society), such as electrical energy, refined fuels, or synthetic fuels such as hydrogen fuel. These forms are also called energy carriers and correspond to the concept of "secondary energy". 1.2.3 Primary electricity refers to electrical energy of geothermal, hydro, nuclear, tide, wind, wave/ocean and solar origin. Its production is assessed at the heat value of electricity (3.6 TJ/million kWh). 1.2.4 Secondary electricity is defined as thermal electricity, which comprises conventional thermal plants of all types, whether or not equipped for the combined generation of heat and electric energy. Accordingly, they include steam-operated generating plants, with condensation and plants using internal combustion engines or gas turbines whether or not these are equipped for heat recovery. A unit of primary electricity may be equated theoretically with the amount of coal or oil required to produce an equivalent unit of thermal electricity. In the case of hydro-electricity, the ideal condition (assuming 100% efficiency), is taken to be 3.6 TJ per million kWh which corresponds to 0.123 tons of coal equivalent or 0.086 tons of oil equivalent per 1,000 kWh. In the case of nuclear and geothermal electricity, the average condition is assumed (33% and 10% efficiency respectively) and is taken to be 10.909 and 36 TJ per million kWh which corresponds to 0.372 and 1.228 tons of coal equivalent or 0.261 and 0.860 tons of oil equivalent per 1,000 kWh. The procedure to convert from original units to common units and from one common unit to another is as follows: Data in original units (metric tons, kWh, m3 TJ) multiplied by specific conversion factors gives Tons of Coal Equivalent (TCE) or 1 TCE multiplied by 0.0293076 gives TJ and 1 TCE multiplied by 0.7 gives Tons of Oil Equivalent TOE. The base used for coal equivalency comprises 7,000 calories per gram. One TCE is defined as 7 x 106 kcal or 0.0293076 TJ. One TOE is defined as 10.0 x 106 kcal or 0.041868 TJ (1 calorie =4.1868 joules). Source: United Nations Statistics Division Table 1.2.1 Examples of Conversion of Primary Energy to Secondary Energy Primary energy sources Non- Fossil renewable fuels Secondary Energy systems Oil (or crude oil) Oil refinery Coal or natural gas Fossil fuel power station Energy or Energy carriers(main) Fuel oil sources Mineral fuels Renewable Enthalpy, mechanical work or electricity Nuclear power plant Natural uranium Electricity (thermonuclear fission) Solar energy Photovoltaic power plant Electricity converted sources to by Solar power tower, solar furnace Enthalpy Mechanical work or work or Wind energy Wind farm Falling and flowing Hydro water, tidal wave, tidal power station electricity Biomass sources Biomass power station Enthalpy or electricity Geothermal energy Geothermal power station Enthalpy or electricity Source : Wikipedia. electricity power plant, Mechanical 1.3 Global Energy Situation The table below shows the Primary Energy Production and consumption of commercial energy in the world in the few years compiled by the UN statistical office. Please note this table does not include the forms of energy not traded in any formal markets; this also exclude traditional forms of energy such as fuel wood used in the households and small and medium scale industries. Table 1.3.1 Production and consumption of commercial energy Thousand metric tons of oil equivalent and kilograms per capita Year Primary Energy Production Consumption Total Solids Liquids Gas Electricity* Per Capita Total Solids Liquids Gas Electricity 2008 10940354 3422619 4082704 2893280 541751 1498 10114239 3355555 3343015 2874125 541545 2009 10837694 3473055 3998677 2815956 550006 1469 10038443 3358399 3309847 2819963 550235 2010 11379332 3693812 4083090 3023157 579273 1523 10532449 3533686 3374421 3044571 579771 2011 11684148 3843962 4130416 3133620 576150 1547 10822618 3752027 3383896 3109553 577142 *Primary electricity - refers to electrical energy of geothermal, hydro, nuclear, tide, wind, wave/ocean and solar origin. Its production is assessed at the heat value of electricity (3.6 TJ/million kWh). Source: 2011 Energy Statistics Yearbook – United Nations Statistics Division Apart from the UN statistical Office (UNSO), the Department of Energy of the USA and World Energy Council collects global energy statistics and publishes periodic reports giving their own analysis of the global energy issues. These publications give insights to the world energy scenarios and also an indication of the world energy outlook in the years to come. These reports assist the world economies to forecast and plan their energy production and consumption patterns to suit the future energy outlook. The more recent global environmental impacts have had a significant bearing on the energy plans for the future. Global Energy Reserves depend on a variety of factors, there is the notion of probable reserves also known as Estimated additional amount in place, then there is the notion of possible energy reserves also known as Proved recoverable reserves and proven reserves also known as Proved amount in place. Proved amount in place is the resource remaining in known deposits that has been carefully measured and assessed as exploitable under present and expected local economic conditions with existing available technology Proved recoverable reserves are the reserves within the proved amount in place that can be recovered in the future under present and expected local economic conditions with existing available technology Estimated additional amount in place is the indicated and inferred reserves additional to the proved amount in place that is of foreseeable economic interest. It includes estimates of amounts which could exist in unexplored extensions of known deposits or in undiscovered deposits in known fossil fuel bearing areas, as well as amounts inferred through knowledge of favourable geological conditions. Speculative amounts are not included. RPR = (amount of known resource) / (amount used per year) Figure 1.3.1 Figure 1.3.2. Figure 1.3.3 Total Primary Energy Supply Evolution Table 1.3.2: Key Global Energy indicators for 1993, 2011 and 2020 Energy Source 1993 2013 2020 TPES* Mtoe 9 532 14 092 17 208 Percentage increase from 1993 to 2020 48% Coal Mt 4 474 7 520 10 108 68% Oil Mt 3 179 3 973 4 594 25% Natural Gas 2 176 bcm Nuclear TWh 2 106 3 518 4 049 62% 2 386 3 761 13% Hydro TWh 2 767 3 826 21% Power 2 286 Biomass Mtoe Other renewable** TWh 1 036 44 1 277 515 1 323 1 999 23% n/a * TPES Total Primary Energy Suply **Includes figures for all renewables, except Hydro Source: 1993, 2020 figures from Energy for Tomorrow’s World (WEC, 1995). 2011 figures from World Energy Resources (WEC, 2013). Other renewables 2020 figure from World Energy Scenarios report (WEC, 2013 Table 1.3.4 Global Energy Reserves , Production Rates and Reserves to Production Ratios Reserves 2011 891,530 Coal (Mt) 223,454 Oil (Mt) Natural Gas 209,742 Source (bcm) R/P years Production 1993 1,031,610 140,676 141,335 2011 7,520 3,973 3,518 1993 4,474 3,179 2,176 > 100 56 55 Table 1.3.5 Global Installed Capacity and Annual Production of Nuclear and Renewable Energy Sources Source Nuclear Hydro Power Wind Solar PV Installed Capacity (MW) 2011 1993 364,078 340,295 946,182 609,264 Actual Generation (GWh) 2011 1993 2,385,903 2,106 000 2,767,118 2,285,960 238,049 n/a 377,613 68,850 n/a 52 878 n/a n/a 1.3.1 Types of Energy Resources a) Coal as an Energy Source: Coal is playing an important role in delivering energy access, because it is widely available, safe, reliable and relatively low cost. Despite its poor environmental credentials, coal remains a crucial contributor to energy supply in many countries. Coal is the most wide-spread fossil fuel around the world, and more than 75 countries have coal deposits. The current share of coal in global power generation is over 40%, but it is expected to decrease in the coming years, while the actual coal consumption in absolute terms will grow. Although countries in Europe, and to some extent North America, are trying to shift their consumption to alternative sources of energy, any reductions are more than offset by the large developing economies, primarily in Asia, which are powered by coal and have significant coal reserves. China alone now uses as much coal as the rest of the world. The continuing popularity of coal becomes particularly obvious when compared to the current production figures with those from 20 years ago. While the global reserves of coal have decreased by 14% between 1993 and 2011, the production has gone up by 68% over the same time period. Compared to the 2010 survey, the most recent data shows that the proved coal reserves have increased by 1% and production by 16%. The future of coal depends primarily on the advance of clean coal technologies to mitigate environmental risk factors, CO2 emissions, in particular. Today Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage (CCS/CCUS) is the only large-scale technology which could make a significant impact on the emissions from fossil fuels. It is, however, still at the pilot stage and its future is uncertain, mainly because of the high costs and efficiency penalty. Coal will play a major role in supporting the development of base-load electricity where it is most needed. Coal-fired electricity will be fed into national grids and it will bring energy access to millions, thus facilitating economic growth in the developing world. Figure 1.3.4 World Coal Reserves b) Oil as an Energy Source: The oil crisis in the 1970s and 1980s resulted in sky-rocketing price of oil. In the following years, heated discussions about “peak oil” were based on the expectation of the world running out of oil within a few decades. Now, the peak oil issue is not an issue any longer, however since oil is a finite resource this issue will return in the future. Global oil reserves are almost 60% larger today than 20 years ago, and production of oil has gone up by 25%. If the unconventional oil resources, including oil shale, oil sands, extra heavy oil and natural bitumen are taken into account, the global oil reserves will be four times larger than the current conventional reserves. Oil still remains the premier energy resource with a wide range of possible applications. Its main use however, will be shifting towards transport and the petrochemical sector. In future oil’s position at the top of the energy ladder will face a strong challenge from other fuels such as natural gas. The oil resource assessments have increased steadily between 2000 and 2009, and about a half of this increase is due to the reclassification of the Canadian oil sands and the revisions undertaken in major OPEC countries: Iran, Venezuela and Qatar. Compared to the 2010 survey, the proved oil reserves increased by 37% and production by 1%. Oil is a mature global industry but a number of countries, for political reasons, have limited the access of international companies. Figure 1.3.5 World Oil Reserves c) Natural Gas as an Energy Source: Natural gas is yet another fossil fuel resource that will continue making significant contribution to the world energy economy. The cleanest of all fossil-based fuels, natural gas is plentiful and flexible. It is increasingly used in the most efficient power generation technologies, such as, Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (CCGT) with conversion efficiencies of about 60%. The reserves of conventional natural gas have grown by 36% over the past two decades and its production by 61%. Compared to the 2010 survey, the proved natural gas reserves have grown by 3% and production by 15%. The exploration, development and transportation of gas usually requires significant upfront investment. Close coordination between investment in the gas and power infrastructure is necessary. In its search for secure, sustainable and affordable supplies of energy, the world is turning its attention to unconventional energy resources. Shale gas is one of them. It has turned upside down the North American gas markets, and is making significant strides in other regions. The emergence of shale gas as a potentially major energy source can have serious strategic implications for geopolitics and the energy industry. Figure 1.3.6 Natural Gas Reserves d) Uranium and Nuclear as an Energy Source: The nuclear industry has a relatively short history: the first nuclear reactor was commissioned in 1954. Uranium is the main source of fuel for nuclear reactors. Worldwide output of uranium has recently been on the rise after a long period of declining production caused by oversupply following nuclear disarmament. The present survey shows that total identified uranium resources have grown by 12.5% since 2008 and they are sufficient for over 100 years of supply based on current requirements. Total nuclear electricity production has been growing during the past two decades and reached an annual output of about 2600 TWh by the mid-2000s, although the three major nuclear accident have slowed down or even reversed its growth in some countries. The nuclear share of total global electricity production reached its peak of 17% by the late 1980s, but since then it has been falling and dropped to 13.5% in 2012. In absolute terms, the nuclear output remains broadly at the same level as before, but its relative share in power generation has decreased, mainly due to Fukushima nuclear accident. Japan used to be one of the countries with a high share of nuclear (30%) in its electricity mix and high production volumes. Today, Japan has only two of its 54 reactors in operation. The rising costs of nuclear installations and lengthy approval times required for new construction have had an impact on the nuclear industry. The slowdown has not been global, as new countries, primarily in the rapidly developing economies in the Middle East and Asia, are going ahead with their plans to establish a nuclear industry. e) Hydro Power as an Energy Source: Hydro power provides a significant amount of energy throughout the world and is present in more than 100 countries, contributing approximately 15% of the global electricity production. The top 5 largest markets for hydro power in terms of capacity are Brazil, Canada, China, Russia and the United States of America. China significantly exceeds the others, representing 24% of global installed capacity. In several other countries, hydro power accounts for over 50% of all electricity generation, including Iceland, Nepal and Mozambique for example. During 2012, an estimated 27– 30GW of new hydro power and 2–3GW of pumped storage capacity was commissioned. In many cases, the growth in hydro power was facilitated by the lavish renewable energy support policies and CO2 penalties. Over the past two decades the total global installed hydro power capacity has increased by 55%, while the actual generation by 21%. Since the last survey, the global installed hydro power capacity has increased by 8%, but the total electricity produced dropped by 14%, mainly due to water shortages. f) Wind Power as an Energy Source: Wind is available virtually everywhere on earth, although there are wide variations in wind strengths. The total resource is vast; estimated to be around a million GW ‘for total land coverage’. If only 1% of this area was utilized, and allowance made for the lower load factors of wind plants (15–40%, compared with 75–90% for thermal plants) that would still correspond, roughly, to the total worldwide capacity of all electricity-generating plants in operation today. World wind energy capacity has been doubling about every three and a half years since 1990. Total capacity at the end of 2011 was over 238GW and annual electricity generation around 377TWh, roughly equal to Australia’s annual electricity consumption. China, with about 62GW, has the highest installed capacity while Denmark, with over 3GW, has the highest level per capita. Wind accounts for about 20% of Denmark’s electricity production. It is difficult to compare today’s numbers with those two decades ago, as measuring methodologies and tools are different. As governments begin to cut their subsidies to renewable energy, the business environment becomes less attractive to potential investors. Lower subsidies and growing costs of material input will have a negative impact on the wind industry in recent years. g) Solar PV as an Energy Source: Solar energy is the most abundant energy resource and it is available for use in its direct (solar radiation) and indirect (wind, biomass, hydro, ocean etc.) forms. About 60% of the total energy emitted by the sun reaches the Earth’s surface. Even if only 0.1% of this energy could be converted at an efficiency of 10%, it would be four times larger than the total world’s electricity generating capacity of about 5,000GW. The statistics about solar PV installations are patchy and inconsistent. The use of solar energy is growing strongly around the world, in part due to the rapidly declining solar panel manufacturing costs. For instance, between 2008–2011 PV capacity has increased in the USA from 1,168MW to 5,171MW, and in Germany from 5,877MW to 25,039MW. The anticipated changes in national and regional legislation regarding support for renewables is likely to moderate this growth. h) Bio-energy and Waste as an Energy Source: Bioenergy is a broad category of energy fuels manufactured from a variety of feedstocks of biological origin and by numerous conversion technologies to generate heat, power, liquid biofuels and gaseous biofuels. The term “traditional biomass” mainly refers to fuelwood, charcoal, and agricultural residues used for household cooking, lighting and space-heating in developing countries. The industrial use of raw materials for production of pulp, paper, tobacco, pig iron so on, generates byproducts such as bark, wood chips, black liquor, agricultural residues, which can be converted to bioenergy. The share of bioenergy in TPES has been estimated at about 10% in 1990. Between 1990 and 2010 bioenergy supply has increased from 38 to 52EJ as a result of growing energy demand. New policies to increase the share of renewable energy and indigenous energy resources are also driving demand. However, it is difficult to make accurate comparisons with earlier figures because of poor availability and low level of standardization of data. 1.3.2 The World Energy Outlook in the past 20 years sharp increase in the price of oil since 2001 after 15 years of moderate oil prices financial crisis and slow economic growth with drastic reduction in energy consumption in large economies shale gas in North America Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident The volatile political situation in the energy supplying countries in the Middle East and North Africa, “The Arab Spring” lack of global agreement on climate change mitigation collapse of CO2 prices in the European Emissions Trading System exponential growth in renewables, in particular in Europe due to generous subsidies for producers which can become a problem instead of an opportunity deployment of ‘smart’ technologies energy efficiency potential still remaining untapped growing public concerns about new infrastructure projects, including energy projects and their impact on political decision-making process The above Outlook has resulted in: The changes in the energy industry over the past 20 years have been significant. The growth in energy consumption has been higher than anticipated even in the high-growth scenarios. The energy industry has been able to meet this growth globally assisted by continuous increment in reserves’ assessments and improving energy production and consumption technologies. The results of the 2013 WEC World Energy Resources survey show that there are more energy resources in the world today than 20 years ago, or ever before. It is obvious that moving away from fossil fuels will take years and decades, as coal, oil and gas will remain the main energy resources in many countries. Fuel-switching does not happen overnight. The leading world economies are powered by coal: about 40% of electricity in the United States and 79% of the electricity in China is generated in coal fired thermal plants. These plants will continue to run for decades. The main issue for coal is the CO2 penalty. Contrary to the expectations of the world running out of oil within a few decades, the so called notion of ‘peak oil’ which prevailed 20 years ago, has almost been forgotten. The global crude oil reserves are almost 60% larger today than in 1993 and the production of oil has gone up by 20%. If the unconventional oil resources such as oil shale, oil sands, extra heavy oil and natural bitumen are taken into account, the oil endowment of the world could be quadrupled. An increasing share of oil will be consumed in the rapidly growing transport sector, where it will remain the principal fuel. Natural gas is expected to continue its growth spurred by falling or stable prices, and thanks to the growing contribution of unconventional gas, such as shale gas. In addition to power generation, natural gas is expected to play an increasing role as a transport fuel. The future of nuclear energy is uncertain. While some countries, mainly in Europe, are making plans to withdraw from nuclear, other countries are looking to establish nuclear power generation. The development of renewables, excluding large hydro, has been considerably slower than expected 20 years ago. Despite the exponential growth of renewable resources in percentage terms, in particular wind power and solar PV, renewable energy still accounts for a small percentage of TPES in most countries. Their contribution to energy supply is not expected to change dramatically in the coming years. The continuing growth of renewables strongly depends on subsidies and other support provided by governments. Integration of intermittent renewables in the electricity grids also remains an issue, as it results in additional balancing costs for the system and thus higher electricity bills. Energy efficiency helps addressing the “energy trilemma” and provides an immediate opportunity to decrease energy intensity. This will achieve energy savings and reduce the environmental impacts of energy production and use. 1.3.3 In Summary: Finally, demand for energy will continue to grow. Even if global energy resources seem to be abundant today, there are other constraints facing the energy sector, above all, significant capital investment in developing and developed economies is needed. The environment and climate, in particular, pose an additional challenge. Clean technologies will require adequate financing, and consumers all over the world should be prepared to pay higher prices for their energy than today. Energy is global and to make the right choices, decision makers should look at the global picture and base their decisions on a thorough life cycle analysis and reliable energy information. One of the major challenges facing the world at present is that approximately 1.2 billion people live without any access to modern energy services. Access to energy is fundamental pre-requisite for modern life and a key tool in eradicating extreme poverty across the globe. 1.4 Sri Lanka Energy Situation 1.4.1 Energy Resources Used in Sri Lanka Both indigenous resources available in the country (such as biomass and hydro power) and imported fossil fuels are the main resources used in the country to fulfill its energy needs. a) Indigenous Energy Resources Available in Sri Lanka Attributed to geo-climatic settings, Sri Lanka is blessed with several types of renewable energy resources. Some of them are widely used and developed to supply the energy requirements of the country. Others have the potential for development when the technologies become mature and economically feasible for use. Following are the main renewable resources available in Sri Lanka. Biomass Hydro Power Solar Wind In addition to the above indigenous renewable resources, the availability of petroleum within Sri Lankan territory is being investigated. Apart from the above and for some Peat resources in the Muthurajawela swamp, there are no known commercially tradable energy resources in the country. i) Biomass Large quantities of firewood and other biomass resources are used for cooking in rural households and to a lesser extent, in urban households. A large portion of energy needs of the rural population is fulfilled by firewood. There are other uses of biomass for energy in the country, especially for thermal energy supply in the industrial sector. ii) Hydro Hydro power is a key energy source used for electricity generation in Sri Lanka. A large share of the major hydro potential has already been developed and delivers valuable low cost electricity to the country. Currently, hydro power stations are operated to supply both peaking, intermediate and base load electricity generation requirements. A substantial number of small hydro power plants operate under the Standardized Power Purchase Agreement (SPPA) and many more are expected to join the fleet during the next few years. iii)Solar Two solar power plants at the Hambantota Solar Park, are operated at a relatively low level, with annual plant factors of 16.01% from the 737 kW plant and 15.04% from the 500 kW. This is mainly due to technical issues and overcast weather conditions which prevailed in 2013. In a typical year, both plants operate with plant factors closer to 18%. Approval has been granted for three 10 MW Solar PV plants and several more solar based power plants with storage capability, however no appreciable progress has been achieved by the developers. This may be due to the unfamiliarity of solar technologies to the local financiers and low skills of project developers. More than 100,000 Solar Home Systems were installed during several attempts to introduce standalone systems to provide basic lighting and TV applications in rural households but there are no reliable data to indicate how many of them are in actual operation. The main reasons of disuse of these systems may be attributed to: Rapid state sponsored Rural Electrification providing more versatile source of reliable electricity. The maintenance of the electricity infrastructure is taken care by the CEB Most of the system limitations (which were meant only for lighting and TV applications) were ill understood by the users. Mainly a private sector driven marketing mechanism and lack of expertise in the private sector to maintain them High initial costs and lack of understanding of regular maintenance of the system example the batteries and other basic elements. This effort has given way to solar roof top units spurred by high cost of grid electricity to households in the high consuming categories. Net-metering scheme which was introduced in 2010, reached maturity much sooner than expected with more than fifty service providers connecting more than 3 MW of roof top PV systems to the national grid as at end 2013. This development in turn contributed towards reaching the policy target of generating 10% of electricity from NRE sources well ahead of the time target of 2015. By end 2013, approximately 550 installations operated, with a capacity of 3.3 MW. The estimated generation was 4.7 GWh. Generation statistics were estimated based on average energy yields expected in a Typical Meteorological Year (TMY). iv)Wind Wind development was first initiated as a wind driven water pumping systems for irrigation purposes. This initiative supported by the Government of Netherlands in late 1970’s and early 80’s gave way for a detailed wind resource data collection initiative in mid 1980’s. in the South Eastern and North Western quarters of the country with a few monitoring stations in the central hills. This was the first step towards introduction of wind for power generation. The first pilot scale 3MW wind power project was installed with world Bank assistance in the early 1990’s. With the availability of more data on wind resources in the entire country conducted with assistance of the USAID, so called NREL studies, Sri Lanka was identified as a high wind resource country. With this revelation and the Small Power Purchase Agreement spurred the installation of several 10MW wind power projects mainly in the North Western Puttalam area now with about 75 MW installed in the country. With the wider acceptance of the need to move away from the prevalent method of developing wind resources through small scale private initiatives, the Mannar Island wind resource assessments were initiated. Two studies funded by ADB under the Technical Assistance Programme TA 8167 - SRI Capacity Building for Clean Power Development, were completed, leading to valuable addition of knowledge on the potential of wind as a major contributor to the energy resources map of Sri Lanka and the limits of permissible penetrations of various renewable energy resources in the national grid. v)Oil/Gas Exploration A significant milestone was achieved in the oil and gas exploration work in Sri Lanka, with the granting of the exploration licenses for the Mannar Basin Block SL2007-01-001, to Cairn Lanka (Pvt) Ltd (CLPL) and entering into an agreement with the Government on July 7, 2008. CLPL has completed its work commitment for the first phase successfully, which resulted in two successive gas and condensate discoveries in two of the three exploration wells drilled in 2011 and a fourth well in the second phase in 2013. The investments made in this venture exceeded USD 200 million, which is a clear indication of the economic impact of this sector that can make in Sri Lanka. Subsequent to the first licensing round, the Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) through PRDS launched the second licensing round, opening up more blocks (thirteen blocks) in the Cauvery and Mannar Basins for international operators. The bid round was closed on November 29, 2013 and one bid each for three blocks have been received from the existing CLPL for Mannar Block 5, while a bid for two blocks in Caurvery Basin blocks, C2 and C3 was received from Singapore-based Bonavista Energy Corporation. The Government is yet to declare a policy on gas and a roadmap for commercialisation of the gas discoveries. There is immense potential for economic diversification through the identification of services and industries which may be developed locally to provide not only inputs to these activities, but also to market and distribute the final output. Consequently this is expected to make a significant contribution to the economic growth of the country while creating numerous direct and indirect employment opportunities. No decisions have been made on the second round of bidding, and the industry is hopeful of a clear roadmap, and fear the loss of already acquired capacity and knowledge may dissipate if further delays are experienced in this nascent industry. Table 1.4.1 Indigenous Energy Resources in Sri Lanka and their Applications Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Table 1.4.2 Imported Energy Resources used in Sri Lanka and their Applications Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority 1.4.2 Energy Supply in Sri Lanka The four main sources of Energy Supply in the country are: Biomass Petroleum (Imported) Coal (Imported) Electricity (Generated from both indigenous and imported sources) Energy needs of the country are fulfilled either directly by primary energy sources such as biomass, hydro power and other new and renewable sources of energy, or by secondary sources such as electricity produced using coal and petroleum, or petroleum products either imported directly or produced at the refinery. The primary energy supply of Sri Lanka consists of biomass, petroleum, coal, major hydro and new and renewable energy. Biomass is the most common source of energy supply in the country, of which the largest use is in the domestic sector for cooking purposes. Due to the abundant availability, only a limited portion of the total biomass use is channeled through a commodity market and hence the value of the energy sourced by biomass is not properly accounted. However, this situation is fast changing with many industries switching fuel to reduce the cost of thermal energy. As a result, a sizable fuelwood supply is emerging to supply the new demand, albeit many questions on sustainability. Table 1.4.3 – Primary Energy Supply by Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority a) Sources of Production of Biomass Biomass comes in different forms. Following are the most common forms of biomass available in Sri Lanka. Fuel wood Municipal Waste Industrial Waste Agricultural Waste Table 1.4.4 Traditional Energy Resources and their Conversions Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority b) Energy Supply from Petroleum Sri Lanka totally depends on petroleum imports, both in the form of crude oil and as finished products. The importation of crude oil and finished petroleum products has increased over time. In 2013 however, the imported quantity of crude oil increased by 6.7%, while finished product imports decreased by 32.4%. This decrease is visible nearly in all fuels used in transport, power generation and industries. Table 1.4.5 Crude Oil and Petroleum product imports . Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority c) Energy Supply from Coal The demand for coal continued to rise in 2013 as well, owing to the operation of the coal-fired power Plant. With the commissioning of the entire Coal Power plant in 2014, of 900 MW this coal importation is expected to increase up to 2.5 Mt per year. Table 1.4.6 Coal Imports in ‘000t Figure 1.4.1 Solid and Liquid Fuel Imports to the Country Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority d) Energy Supply from Grid Electricity Production As the sole operator of the Sri Lankan power system, until 1997, CEB owned and operated almost all the power plants in the national grid. Starting from 1997, many IPPs entered the electricity market, supplying electricity to the national grid. IPPs operate by entering into long term agreements with CEB. These contracts are individually executedunder different terms and conditions. By 2013, only seven IPPs were in operation. In the early stages, major hydro played a dominant role in power generation and continued until about 1996. Once the economically feasible major hydro schemes reached their saturation, the share oil based thermal plants in power generation increased. Commencing from the Year 2011, Coal based thermal power plants are being commissioned. There are no plans to install any more oil based power plants except perhaps to meet peaking capacity needs in the future. Different Categories of Power Plants in the National Grid: (i) CEB hydro power plants (ii) CEB non-conventional power plants (only wind power at present) (iii) CEB thermal power plants (oil fired and coal powered) (iv) Independent Power Producers (IPPs) (presently oil-fired thermal power plants) (v) Small Power Producers (SPPs) including, power supply from small hydro , wind, solar, biomass sources and net metered projects. Apart from the above there are off grid power supplies in some industries such as sugar industry and some other small scale industries where they have biomass related power generation sources. There are also a number of village electrification schemes and estates using their own mini hydro power plants of very small capacities. Most of these schemes are either being upgraded so that they can be connected to the grid or going into disuse due to the expansion of the grid. Both CEB and private power producers generate electricity and supply to the national grid. All the large scale hydro power plants in the country are owned by the CEB. There are also oil-fired thermal power plants and the coal power plant owned by CEB. In addition to its own power plants, CEB as the single buyer, purchases electricity to the national grid from private Independent Power Producers (IPPs) who have entered into contracts with the CEB. All large IPPs are oil fired, while many Small Power Producers (SPPs) generating electricity from renewable based power plants sell power to the national grid based on a Standardized Power Purchase Agreement (SPPA). Table 1.4.7 Total Installed Capacity in the Country Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.4 The total installed capacities serving the grid by type of power plant. Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority In the Year 2014, a further 600 MW of Coal Power was added to the national Grid. Hence the power generation significantly changed from a predominantly hydro - oil based system to a predominantly hydro – Coal based system. Table 1.4.7and Figure 1.4.4 shows the total Installed capacity of the system in 2013 and Table 1.4.8 shows the Generation statistics of the system in 2013 and 2014. Please note the significant changes that have taken place in the year 2014 compared to the year 2013. It is also worthy to note the contribution from hydro sources which stood at an all time record generation of nearly 6000 GWh dropping to 3600 GWh in 2014. This shortfall has been met mainly by Coal power plant. Table 1.4.8 Generation Statistics 2013 and 2014. Source: CEB Statistical Digest 2014 i) Supply from Major Hydro The topography of the country provides an excellent opportunity to harness the energy stored in riverwater which flows from the central hills of the country to the Indian Ocean surrounding the island. Although the use of hydro resource for direct motive power was common in yesteryears, mainly to provide motive power to over 600 tea factories in the central hill country in the later part of the 19th century; most of these went into disuse with the provision of grid electricity using major hydro power plants. The major hydropower development commenced with the Kehelgamu Oya – Maskeli Oya Project popularly known as the Laxapana Project. Subsequently with the launching of the Multipurpose Mahaweli Project and later other hydro power projects total installed capacity of hydro power stands at 1200 MW. Electricity production has become the sole use of the hydro as an energy resource in recent times apart from its strategic use in irrigation and drinking water . The contribution of hydro as an energy supply source is always through its secondary form, which is electricity. Sri Lanka has two main hydro power complexes; namely Laxapana and Mahaweli, each consisting of several power plants. Laxapana complex is based on Kelani River and its tributaries, while Mahaweli complex is based on Mahaweli River and its tributaries. Other than these major schemes, there are two independent large scale hydro power stations, namely Samanalawewa on Walawe basin and Kukule Ganga on Kalu ganga basin, while small scale power plants such as Inginiyagala and Uda Walawa are also generating hydropower using their respective irrigation reservoir storages owned and operated by CEB. a)Laxapana Complex Laxapana Complex is a result of Kehelgamu – Maskeli Oya development project. The five power stations in the Laxapana Complex are situated along Kehelgamu oya and Maskeli Oya. The main reservoir at the top of Kehelgamu oya is Castlereagh reservoir. The rain water from the catchment above the reservoir flowing along the Kehelgamu Oya gets collected in this reservoir. Main reservoir associated with Maskeli oya is Maussakelle reservoir. Water collected in the Castlereagh reservoir is brought along a power tunnel to Wimalasurendra power station to operate the two hydro turbine-generators, each 25 MW in capacity. Water released from Wimalasurendra power plants after operation, gets collected in Norton pond. This water is brought along another tunnel to Old Laxapana power station to operate five turbine-generator units, where 03 units are of 8.33 MW and other two units of 12.5 MW. Water released after operations of Old Laxapana machines gets collected in Laxapana pond. Similarly. Water collected in Maussakelle reservoir is taken along a tunnel to operate the two Canyon machines of 30 MW each. Water discharged after operations get collected in Canyon pond. This water is brought along another tunnel to operate the two New Laxapana machines which are 50 MW each. These two machines release the water to Laxapana pond as Old Laxapana machines. Water collected in Laxapana pond is taken along a tunnel to operate the two machines, which are 37.5 MW each, at Samanala power station at Polpitiya. Water released from Samanala machines flow into the Kelani river, which is formed by Kehelgamu oya and Maskeli oya. The Total Installed Capacity of Laxapana Complex is 335 MW mainly operated for power generation purposes. Figure 1.4.2 Laxapana Complex b)Mahaweli Complex The first reservoir in Mahaweli complex is the Kotmale reservoir which gets water after generation of power in the run-of-the river power plant at Upper Kotmale power station generating 150 MW. Water is taken to operate the three turbine generator units (each of 67 MW) at Kotmale power station. Water released after operations flows along the river into the Polgolla barrage, which is a small pond. From Polgolla barrage, water is diverted to North Central province for irrigation and other purposes. This is done by carrying the water through a long tunnel to Ukuwela power station to operate two 20 MW machines. Water released after operating these 02 units flow to Bowatenna reservoir. Water is sent to Anuradhapura district direct from Bowatenna reservoir, and water used to operate the 40 MW machine at Bowatenna power station is sent to Elahera anicut, again to distribute water for irrigation. When water spills over the Polgolla barrage, it flows along the Mahaweli river to the large Victoria reservoir. The three 70 MW hydro units at Victoria power station operates using water from Victoria reservoir. Water released after operations at Victoria power station flows to Randenigala reservoir, which is the largest reservoir in Mahaweli complex. Water at Randenigala reservoir is used to operate the two 60 MW machines at Randenigala power station and then released to Rantambe reservoir. Though it is called a reservoir, it is also a small pond which can be regulated. Water at Rantambe pond is taken to operate the two machines at Rantambe power station, which are of 25 MW capacity each. The discharged water from Rantambe power station is sent to Minipe anicut. This water is then distributed to right and left banks of Minipe canals to use for downstream irrigation and other purposes. The primary objective of the Multi Purpose Mahaweli system is to provide water for irrigation and other uses. Power generation is the secondary purpose. Ceylon Electricity Board and Water Management Secretariat of Mahaweli Authority of Sri Lanka jointly decides the water utilisation of these reservoirs, in a manner which both parties benefit, ultimately giving the maximum benefit to the country. The total Installed capacity of Mahaweli Complex is 816 MW operated for hydropower generation and arising from irrigation releases for which the entire project was conceived and implemented. Figure 1.4.3 Mahaweli Complex c) The Samanala Complex The Samanala Complex comprises of the Samanalawewa Power station of 120 MW, Kukule Ganga Hydro power plant of 74 MW and two other irrigation related power plants of 6 MW at Udawalawe and 11 MW at Inginiyagala. 3 MW pilot wind power plant at Hambantota is also grouped under Samanala Complex making a total of 214 MW of installed capacity. Table 1.4.9 Storage Capacities and Generation of Major Hydro Power Stations Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority ii) Supply from Thermal Power Plants There are seven oil-fired thermal power plants and one Coal Power plant that operate under the CEB. Seven Independent Power Producers (IPPs) operate in private capacity, supplying power to the national grid. Table 1.4.10 summarises thermal power generation in 2013. Table 1.4.10 Installed Capacities and Generation of Thermal Power Plants Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority In the year 2013 the oil-fired CEB power plants generated 1,326.4 GWh, while the coal-fired power plant generated 1,469.4 GWh. The IPPs generated 2,023.9 GWh in total. A new oil-fired power plant (Uthuru Janani) of 24 MW was commissioned by the CEB in Jaffna in 2013, commenced generation in early 2013. Seven IPPs remained operational by end 2013. IPPs operate by entering into long term agreements with CEB. These contracts are individually executed under different terms and conditions. In the year 2014, these contributions changed significantly to 1,696 GWh from CEB owned oil fired power plants while CEB owned Coal Power plant after its commissioning in 2014 generated 3,202 GWh. IPP generation in 2014 was 2,610 GWh. The main reason for this shift is the availability of the Coal power plant generation at a very cheap cost while the generation of hydro from the previous year was significantly low. iii) Small Power Producers New Renewable Energy power plants are operated by private sector investors and the installed capacityis limited to 10 MW since the plants are non dispatchable. The first Small Power Producing Plant (Dick Oya) was commissioned in 1996, turning a new leaf in the New Renewable Energy industry. The number of small power producers has increased rapidly. Attractive tariffs are offered through the costreflective, technology-specific tariff scheme, a policy intervention of the Ministry of Power and Energy through the Working Group on Renewable Energy, and the dedicated financing facilities provided by a funding programme, also contributed to the development of the industry. At present the number and variety of SPPs have increased many folds, and is scattered islandwide. Table 1.4.11 summarises the installed capacities and generation of SPPs contributing to the NRE industry. In the year 2013 total renewable based Small Power Producers had an installed capacity of 356MW from 148 Plants which rose to 437MW in 2014 from 168 plants yielding 1,176 GWh in 2013 and 1,215 GWH in 2014 indicating a percentage of around 10% of gross generation. Table 1.4.11 Details of grid connected Small Power Producers Year Source Small Hydro Wind Other iv) Number 131 10 7 2013 MW 356 78 14 GWh 916 232 28 Number 144 15 9 2014 MW 437 128 21 GWh 902 270 43 Net-metered Projects Net-metering is a billing system that allows electric customers to sell any excess electricity generated by their distributed generation (DG) systems. Some common examples include rooftop solar panels, energy storage devices, fuel cells, micro-turbines, small wind, and combined heat and power systems. Customers with these types of generation systems connect to the local electric grid and use the grid both to buy power when the DG systems are not producing sufficiently, and to sell power when excess is generated. While many different distributed generation sources may be eligible for net metering credits, solar rooftop installations are by far the most common type of distributed generation promoted with net metering. The purchase of electricity from the Small Power Producers (SPP) operational since 1996, allows a developer to finance and build a renewable-energy based power plant up to 10 MW, and sell its output to the grid at a standardized price. In addition to the above programme, the Government made a policy decision in 2008 to allow any electricity customer who generates electricity using a renewable energy source to connect his facility to the distribution network. The customer shall be billed only for the net amount of energy purchased from the Distribution Licensee. CEB Distribution Licensees and Lanka Electricity Company (Pvt.) Limited have implemented the net-metering programmes, with effect from June 1, 2010. Both electricity distributors, that is, the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) and the Lanka Electricity Company Pvt. Ltd. (LECO), offer net metering to their customers. Both regulations are nearly the same, with the only difference in fees for net-metering. Net-metering involves a ten year contract, a generation facility with a limit of 10 MW or the contract demand of the premises and any renewable resource for power generation. The surplus will be credited to the customer but no payment will be made for the surplus nor can the customer sell it to another customer. Further to these developments, a funding programme under the Sustainable Power Sector Support Project of the ADB engaged two financing institutions to finance rehabilitation of old micro hydro schemes in the plantation factories. These facilities which were operating in the off-grid mode will be grid connected under the net-metering scheme in few years time. v) CEB Wind Power In 1999, CEB commissioned the first grid connected wind power plant, primarily as a pilot project. The pilot wind plant is located in a 17 ha land close to Hambantota town. Table 1.4.12 gives the capacity and generation of the wind power plant. Table 1.4.12 Installed Capacity and Generation of CEB Wind Power Plant Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority vi) Gross Generation of Grid Connected Power Plants The total generation from major hydro plants, thermal plants, new renewable energy plants and net metered projects in 2013 was 12,005.5 GWh. Compared with the gross generation of 2012, which was 11,878.8 GWh, the generation in 2013 marks an increment of 1.1%. In early stages, the energy mix included only major hydro plants and oil-fired thermal plants. The generation mix started diversifying from 1996. At present however, the thermal share is dominant and it would continue to do so with the advent of the scheduled commissioning of coal power plants. Table 1.4.13 Gross Generation of Grid Connected Power Plants Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.4 Gross Generation to CEB Grid Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority The bulk of electricity generation in Sri Lanka is from grid-connected power plants. Table 1.4.14 gives the summary of electricity generation from grid-based and off-grid, conventional and non-conventional sources. Table 1.4.14 Total Gross Generation in Sri Lanka Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority 1.4.3 Energy Conversion As far as supply from secondary energy sources is concerned, conversion of primary energy in the form of hydro potential, coal or petroleum to electricity is the most prominent. However, the conversion of energy in petroleum fuels such as furnace oil or diesel, fuel wood and other biomass resources to steam used as an energy source in most industries for their thermal application is also another important conversion taking place in a multitude of industries. All petroleum products used in the transport sector is also considered as secondary energy. Hence in this case, all primary energies are either converted to electricity, or steam and other thermal applications where electricity and oil are considered as secondary energy. 1.4.4 Gross Energy Demand in Sri Lanka Energy demand arises owing to energy needs of households, industries, commercial buildings, etc. According to the needs of the user, the supply of energy has to take different forms. For example, the energy demand for cooking is in the form of biomass in rural areas, while it is in the form of either LP gas or electricity in urban areas. Therefore, not only the quantity of energy, even the quality and the form it is delivered, is determined by the demand. Supply of energy discussed up to now is a direct consequence of the demand for energy, which is analysed in detail in this chapter. Energy is a vital building block for economic growth. This chapter analyses the energy demand from electricity, petroleum and biomass. a) The Electricity System Demand Electricity demand has two aspects. The first being the energy demand where the cumulative electrical energy requirement is met by the supply system. The peak demand is the other criterion to be fulfilled in meeting the national electricity demand. The generating system needs to be able to meet the peak demand of the national grid. Since the national demand profile has an evening peak, the capability of the supply system in meeting the demand during the evenings (i.e. peak period) is important. Figure 6.1 shows the hourly demand profile of 8 April, 2013, the day the system recorded the annual peak. Figure 1.4.5 Electricity System Demand Profile on April 08, 2013 Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority System load factors in the range 55%-65% are typical of a customer mix dominated by households with a high demand for electricity used for lighting in the evening. The peak demand in 2013 was 2,164.2 MW. The system reserve margin declined by 4.9% in 2013. Figure 6.2 depicts the development of the system load factor, reserve margin and peak demand from 1977 to present . Table 1.4.15 shows the development of the system peak demand, Total Gross generation system load factor and other salient data over the years. The system load factor and the reserve margin increase indicate a healthy growth and stability in the electricity sector. Table 1.4.15 The Growth in System Capacity and Demand Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.6 Development of System Load Factor, Reserve Margin and Peak Demand Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority b) Petroleum Demand Demand for Different Petroleum Products The demand for different petroleum products vary primarily on their potential usage. For instance, auto diesel is widely used for transportation and power generation; in contrast to kerosene, which is used only for rural household energy needs, some industrial applications, agriculture and fisheries. Therefore, the demand for auto diesel is substantially higher than for kerosene. The refinery production process is adjusted to produce more of the high demand products while some products are directly imported to bridge the gap between refinery output and the demand. The demand for petroleum products decreased in 2013 compared with 2012, owing to the reduced consumption in power generation. Table 1.4.16 summarises the demand for different petroleum products. Table 1.4.16 Demand for Different Petroleum Products Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority c) Demand for Coal Coal is an energy resource used in industries, rail transport and power generation. Until the first coal power plant commissioned in 2011, coal was not a widely traded commodity in Sri Lanka (Table 1.4.17). Table 1.4 17 Demand for Coal Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority d) Demand for Biomass As the most significant primary energy supply source in the country, biomass has a widespread demand for both commercial and non-commercial applications. However, the informal nature of supply, mainly through users’ own supply chains, has prevented accurate and comprehensive usage data being compiled for biomass. Therefore, estimation methods are used to develop reasonable information based on available data. Mid-year population data and LPG consumption are used to estimate household firewood consumption. Meanwhile, industrial biomass consumption is estimated based on the industrial production data and surveys. Most of the information on biomass presented is based on estimates and sample surveys. Table 1.4.18 summarises the total usage of biomass from different sources Bagasse is the waste form of sugar cane, which is used in sugar factories for combined heat and power generation. By 2013, the bagasse production was 191 kt, generated from the Pelawatta and Sevanagala sugar factories. Charcoal is produced mainly from coconut shell and wood. A major portion of the production of coconut shell charcoal is exported as a non-energy product Table 1.4.18 Demand for Biomass Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority 1.4.5 Sectorial Energy Demand a) Electricity Demand by Different End Use Categories Based on the usage type, electricity consumers are separated into the following categories †† Domestic †† Religious purpose †† Industrial †† Commercial †† Street Lighting Amounts of electricity used by different customer categories are given in Table 1.4.19 which also includes off-grid electricity generation using conventional and non-conventional sources. Although the electrical energy demand of different end users is established using electricity sales data, individual power demand of different categories cannot be established due to the lack of a monitoring system or regular load research. Nevertheless, by analysing the typical load profiles of different user categories, it is visible that the domestic category is most influential in the morning and evening peaks and the consequent low load factor of the system. Table 1.4.19 Electricity Sales by End Use Category Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.7 Electricity Sales by Consumer Category Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority b) Petroleum Demand in Different Sectors Petroleum has a wide range of applications as a convenient energy source. Transport, power generation, industrial thermal applications, domestic lighting and cooking are the most common uses of petroleum in Sri Lanka. In addition, due to the strategically important geographic location of Sri Lanka in terms of maritime and aviation movements, foreign bunkering and aviation fuel sales also create a demand for petroleum in the country. i)Transport Sector Transport is the most important sector as far as petroleum is concerned. Almost all the vehicles in Sri Lanka are powered by either diesel or gasoline. Road transport is 100% fuelled by petroleum, while rail transport is fuelled by diesel. The Internal Combustion (IC) engines in all these vehicles intrinsically introduce considerable energy wastage in terms of conversion efficiency from petroleum energy to motive power. Use of electricity to at least energize the train transportation can be an efficient and economical alternative to burning petroleum fuels in the transport sector. Table 1.4.20 summarises the demand for fuels in the transport sector. Table 1.4.21 summarises the auto diesel demand in road transport and rail transport. Only a marginal share of 2.2% of the total transport diesel demand is consumed by rail transport. The demand for transport fuels has increased in 2013, compared with 2012. The demand for super diesel is marginal in the transport fuel mix. Table 1.4.20 The demand for fuels in the transport sector. Figure 1.4.8 Transport Demand by Fuel Type Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Table 1.4.21 Auto Diesel Demand in Road and Rail Transport ii) Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Petroleum Usage in Other Sectors Transport and the power sector are the largest petroleum consuming sectors. Domestic sector petroleum consumption is limited to kerosene and LPG. However, with the increased use of LPG, especially in urban households for cooking purposes, the demand for petroleum by the domestic sector has also become significant. Industrial sector petroleum usage is mostly for thermal applications where diesel and fuel oil is used to fuel industrial steam boilers. LPG usage is also increasing in industrial thermal applications where the quality and control of heat generation is important for the industry operation. LPG fired kilns in the ceramic industry is one such example. The commercial sector including the service sector organizations such as hotels also contribute to the national petroleum demand, but to a lesser degree than the above-mentioned high petroleum consumers. Table 1.4.22 details LPG demand by sector. The Total LPG demand has increased over the years. The domestic demand for LPG is increasing substantially. This is often attributed to the improved per capita income levels. Although the LPG demand is increasing in the household sector, it is decreasing in the industrial and transport sector. According to the Household Income and Expenditure Survey conducted by the Department of Census and Statistics, the demand for LPG as a cooking fuel is increasing in every sector. Table 1.4 22 Demand for LPG by Sector Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority c) Coal Demand in Different Sectors The total coal demand is given in Table 1.4.23. In the past, the total demand for coal had been in the transport sector or industries. However since the commissioning of the first coal power plant in 2011 (300 MW), there has been an increased demand for coal in power generation. In 2013, the demand for coal for power generation alone was 89.0%. Table 1.4 23 Demand for Coal by Sector Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority d) Biomass Demand in Household, Commercial and Other Sector Firewood is the main source of cooking fuel in many parts of the country. Table 1.4.24 gives the total firewood requirement in the household and commercial sector. A marginal decrease in firewood consumption is reported in 2013, compared with 2012. According to the Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2012/2013 of the Department of Census and Statistics, the majority of the households in Sri Lanka still use fuelwood as their cooking fuel, which stands at 77.5%. LP gas is used by 19.0% of households and only 3.5% used Kerosene and other types of fuels. Most urban sector households used LPG as the main type of cooking fuel (55.5%) and one out of every five rural households also use LPG as the main cooking fuel in 2012. Fuelwood is the most common cooking fuel in both the rural and estate sectors. Its usage in the estate sector is 95.3%. However, the usage of firewood in each sector is declining as indicated in Table 6.19 and Figure 6.14. Data was obtained from the Household Income and Expenditure Surveys carried out by the Department of Census and Statistics Table 1.4.24 Demand for Firewood in Household, Commercial and Other Sector Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority 1.4.6 Total Energy Demand in Common Energy Units To summarise the demand for different energy sources presented above, demand data is presented in a comparable unit of energy (tonnes of oil equivalent [toe] and Peta Joules [PJ]) in this section. Table1.4.25 summarises the total energy demand by source. Table1.4.25 Total Energy Demand by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority The petroleum demand figures presented are only in terms of final energy use, this does not include the fuels consumed in electricity generation. The share of biomass consumption in the total energy demand is 53.9% in 2013. The demand for biomass has marginally increased, compared with 2012, while the demand for petroleum and electricity has marginally decreased. As can be expected from any growing economy, the share of biomass in the energy demand portfolio is on a decreasing trend, while the share of petroleum and electricity is on an increasing trend. With the economic development of the country, these trends will further accentuate in the medium term. Figure 1.4.9 Total Energy Demand by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.10 Evolution of Energy Demand by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority a) Total Industrial Energy Demand Table 1.4.26 Total Energy Demand of Industries by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Figure 1.4.11 Total Energy Demand of Industries by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority b) Total Transport Energy Demand Table 1.4.27 Total Transport Energy Demand by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Both, road and rail transport were fuelled by petroleum in 2013. The number of electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles are growing and any accurate assessment of electricity consumed by the transport sector cannot be made due to non-availability of information. c) Total Energy Demand in Household, Commercial and Other Sectors Table 1.4.28 Total Energy Demand in Household, Commercial and Other Sectors by Energy Source Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority Biomass accounts for approximately 77.2% of the total household, commercial and other energy demand. The share of biomass and electricity has shown a marginal increase, while the share of petroleum shows a marginal decrease. The petroleum decrease could be attributed to the substantial price increase experienced in 2013. Figure 1.4.12 Total Energy Demand of Household, Commercial and Other Sector by Energy Source Table 1.4.29 Total Energy Demand by Sector Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority d) Total Energy Demand by all Sectors In 2013, households, commercial and other sectors accounted for the largest share of energy being 45.8%. The transport and industry sector accounted for 28.8% and 25.4% respectively. Figure 1.4.13 Total Energy Demand by Sectors Source: Sri Lanka Energy Balance 2013. Sustainable Energy Authority