Chapter 8 - Incremental Rate of Return Analysis Click here for Streaming Audio To Accompany Presentation (optional) EGR 403 Capital Allocation Theory Dr. Phillip R. Rosenkrantz Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Department Cal Poly Pomona EGR 403 - The Big Picture • Framework: Accounting & Breakeven Analysis • “Time-value of money” concepts - Ch. 3, 4 • Analysis methods – – – – Ch. 5 - Present Worth Ch. 6 - Annual Worth Ch. 7,7A,8 - Rate of Return (incremental analysis) Ch. 9 - Benefit Cost Ratio & other techniques • Refining the analysis – Ch. 10, 11 - Depreciation & Taxes – Ch. 12 - Replacement Analysis EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 2 Incremental Analysis • Required for examining three or more alternatives. • Defined as the examination of differences between alternatives to determine if the increased costs are justified by the increased benefits. High cost alt. - Low cost alt. = Difference between alt. EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 3 Elements of Rate of Return Analysis • Identify all acceptable alternatives that fulfill similar system outcomes. • Arrange the alternatives in ascending order of investment. • Compute the rate of return for each alternative. Discard alternatives where ROR < MARR. • Make a pair-wise analysis of the contender and present selection. For investment: – If DROR MARR select the contender. – If DROR MARR keep the present selection. EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 4 Incremental Rate of Return Analysis Example 8 - 7 •PWB = A (P/A, 6%, 20) = A (11.47) •MARR = 6% (given) •All projects are initially acceptable because IRR MARR Cost EUAB (A) PWB IRR P/A A 4000 639 7330 15% 6.26 B 2000 410 4700 20% 4.88 C 6000 761 8730 11% 7.88 EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 D 1000 117 1340 10% 8.55 E 9000 785 9000 6% 11.47 5 Incremental Analysis 1. Rank from lowest cost to highest cost 2. Start with two lowest cost alternatives 3. Compare increments using MARR criteria 4. Repeat until a “winner” is determined Cost EUAB (A) Increment incr. Cost incr. UAB incr. ROR Keep P/A D 1000 117 B 2000 410 A 4000 639 C 6000 761 E 9000 785 B-D 1000 293 29% B 3.413 A-B 2000 229 10% A 8.73 C-A 2000 122 2% A 16.393 E-A 5000 146 < 0% A 34.236 EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 6 Graphical Solutions PWB vs. PWC at MARR Above the 45 degree line projects are acceptable (NPW>0) Benefit-cost Graph MARR 6.00 % Alternatives 30 Present Worth of Benefit POSITIVE NPW 25 0.06 20 15 0 0 $26.42 $26.42 10 5 NEGATIVE NPW 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Present Worth of Cost EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 7 Graphical Solution • Projects B, A, C and E shown. • Incremental analysis looks at adjacent points on the BenefitCost Graph EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 8 Graphical Incremental Analysis If line between two alternatives is > 45 degrees, accept higher cost alternative. Alternative A wins. EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 9 Graphical Incremental Analysis • Graphical solution has a logical connection to NPW •Incremental analysis seeks out the alternative with highest NPW. Alternative A maximizes NPW. EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 10 Choosing an Analysis Method Method MARR Computations* Explanation PW Required for calculation Required for calculation Less Depends Less Depends For comparison More Depends AW ROR *Not an issue when using a spreadsheet. Do what the Organization requires. Occasionally augment with alternate methods where the method adds beneficial information. EGR 403 - Cal Poly Pomona - SA11 11