European Securitisation: Market Update and Transparency Initiatives OECD Workshop on Securitisation Madrid, 27 May 2010 Agenda • Introduction • European Securitisation Market Update • Transparency Initiatives 2 Who We Are • • • • The Association for Financial Markets in Europe (AFME) represents the shared interests of a broad range of global and European participants in the wholesale financial markets Our policy and advocacy section brings together a group of knowledgeable professionals to communicate the industry perspective to regulators, policy makers, and the general public Our business policy section supports the day-to-day commercial activities of our members through industry initiatives related to market standardisation and good practice in a particular business area or product line Previous affiliates of SIFMA (the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association) - the European Covered Bond Dealers Association, the European High Yield Association, the European Securitisation Forum, the European Primary Dealers Association, the European Securities Services Forum, and the European Primary Markets Division - have been integrated into the business policy section's divisions. 3 European Securitisation Market Update ESF Research AFME / ESF Securitisation Data Report • Information on issuance, balances outstanding, rating changes, prices, spreads, indices and global comparative data for European and US ABS and ABCP AFME / ESF Securitisation Monthly Data Supplement • Updates of selected charts contained in the quarterly Securitisation Data Report, including spreads and prices of European and US CMBS, RMBS and ABS, indices and total return data 5 European Securitisation Market Issuance • • New issuance in the European securitisation market during 2009 amounted to EUR 414.1 bn Retained deals accounted for about 99% of total issuance in 2009 and 98% in 2008, compared to about 24% in 2007 (more than 50% in H2 2007) European securitisation issuance, EUR billion 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sources: Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, RBS, Thomson Reuters, Unicredit, SIFMA 6 European Securitisation Market Issuance by Asset Class European securitisation issuance, 2007 European securitisation issuance, 2008 ABS 10.3% ABS 12.7% CDO 6.8% CMBS 0.7% CDO 19.5% RMBS 57.2% RMBS 82.3% CMBS 10.5% Total EUR 453.7 billion Total EUR 711.3 billion European securitisation issuance, 2009 ABS 13.7% CDO 28.1% RMBS 57.7% CMBS 3.7% Total EUR 414.1 billion Sources: Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, RBS, Thomson Reuters, Unicredit, SIFMA 7 European Securitisation Market Issuance by Country European securitisation issuance, 2007 Belgium European securitisation issuance, 2008 OthersBelgium France 5% 2% Multinational 1% Germany 4% 7%Greece 2% Ireland UK 6% 38% Italy 12% Germany Others 1% France 4% Greece 1% 1% Multinational 1%Ireland 21% 2% Italy 6% Netherlands 9% Portugal 2% Russia 0% UK 39% Spain 13% Spain 11% Netherlands Portugal 10% Russia 2% 0% Total EUR 453.7 billion Total EUR 711.3 billion European securitisation issuance, 2009 Multinational 10% Belgium France 7% 2% Germany 6% Greece 5% UK 22% Ireland 3% Italy 16% Spain 15% Russia Portugal 0% 3% Netherlands 11% Total EUR 414.1 billion Sources: Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, RBS, Thomson Reuters, Unicredit, SIFMA 8 European Securitisation Performance Update European 3-5 year AAA RMBS Spreads European 3-5 year AAA RMBS Prices Source: Markit. Data as of 30 April 2010 Source: Markit. Data as of 30 April 2010 9 ABS Evolution in the ECB Collateral Framework 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average ABS eligible € 0.5 trillion € 0.7 trillion € 1.1 trillion € 1.3 trillion Average value of assets put forward € 930 billion1 € 1,101 billion2 € 1,579 billion € 2,034 billion Average share of ABS 12% 16% 28% 23% € 112 billion € 176 billion € 442 billion € 468 billion Overall ABS amount submitted • European securitisation outstandings totaled EUR 1.88 tn as of 31 December 2009, EUR 1.74 tn, EUR 1.29 tn and EUR 1.11 tn as of end 2008, 2007 and 2006, respectively 1Figure subsequently revised to EUR 906 billion Figure subsequently revised to EUR 1,148 billion Sources: ECB 2009, 2008, 2007 and 2006 Annual Reports 2 10 Transparency Initiatives RMBS Issuer Principles for Transparency and Disclosure • Published in December 2008: • Principles for transparency and disclosure • Two data reporting templates for RMBS issuers (Prime RMBS Standardised Reporting Template and a combined uniform Credit Rating Agency Reporting Template for UK Non-Conforming RMBS) • Developed through active consultation with RMBS issuers and other market participants including investors from Italy, the Netherlands, Spain and the UK • Enhance four aspects of data disclosure: transparency, accessibility, comparability and granularity 12 RMBS Issuer Principles for Transparency and Disclosure (cont’d) • AFME / ESF presented the Principles to the European Commission, Governments, the European Central Bank and various National Central Banks • 14 Endorsing Firms (12 in the UK, 2 in The Netherlands) and 19 Programme issuers endorsed the Principles and agreed to report at least 90% of mandatory fields by 31 December 2009 • Three credit rating agencies agreed to adopt a uniform reporting template for the minimum data to be provided by UK non-conforming RMBS issuers from 31 March 2009 • Work is under way to continue developing the RMBS Issuer Principles and increase the number of endorsing firms • Version 2 of the Principles will be developed in a variety of areas, including standardisation of definitions 13 AFME / ESF Principles – 14 Endorsing Firms and 19 Programmes Issuer Programme Jurisdiction Obvion N.V. Storm The Netherlands SNS Bank N.V. Hermes and PEARL The Netherlands Abbey National PLC Holmes Master Issuer PLC United Kingdom Barclays Bank PLC Gracechurch Mortgage Financing PLC United Kingdom Bradford & Bingley PLC Aire Valley Master Trust United Kingdom Britannia Building Society Leek United Kingdom Clydesdale Bank PLC Lanark Master Issuer PLC United Kingdom GMAC-RFC Ltd (UK) RMAC United Kingdom HBOS Permanent Master Issuer PLC United Kingdom Investec Bank PLC Residential Mortgage Securities, Money Partners Securities, Kensington Mortgage Securities and Landmark Mortgage Securities United Kingdom Lloyds TSB Bank PLC Arkle Master Issuer PLC United Kingdom Nationwide Silverstone Master Issuer PLC United Kingdom Paragon Group Paragon Mortgages PLC United Kingdom Royal Bank of Scotland Group Arran Residential Mortgages Funding PLC and Greenock Funding Limited United Kingdom 14 ESF UK Working Groups 1. AFME / ESF Working Group on Standardisation of Investor Reports Working on a standardised reporting template for UK RMBS applying to both stand alone and master trust structures 2. AFME / ESF Working Group on Standardisation of Definitions Creating commonly agreed definitions for terms such as prime and non-prime, arrears, valuation amounts, early repayments among others 3. AFME / ESF Working Group on Standardisation of Documentation Building a standardised prospectus for stand alone RMBS first, and master trust RMBS thereafter 15 AFME / ESF Investor ABS Transparency Survey AFME / ESF Survey based on 31 investors from across European jurisdictions as of 28 April 2010 Percentage of the ABS investments among the respondents: # Answer Response % 1 SENIOR TRANCES 28 90% 2 MEZZANINE TRANCHES 21 68% 3 EQUITY TRANCHES 6 19% Question 1: Would loan-level data be of use to you? # Answer Response % 1 YES 24 77% 2 MAYBE 7 23% 3 NO 0 0% Total 31 100% 16 AFME / ESF Investor ABS Transparency Survey (cont’d) Question 2: If originators provided loan-level data, what is your capability to manipulate and use the large amount of data that would be provided? # Response % 1 WE HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO USE THIS FORM OF DATA Answer 20 67% 2 WE ARE NOT INTERESTED IN LOANLEVEL DATA 0 0% 3 WE WOULD LOOK TO THIRD PARTIES TO PROVIDE PRODUCTS TO HELP ASSESS THIS DATA 10 33% Total 30 100% Question 3: Would standardised investor reports make analysis of ABS? # Answer Response % 1 2 SIGNIFICANTLY EASIER 26 84% MARGINALLY EASIER 3 10% 3 MAKE NO DIFFERENCE 2 6% Total 31 100% 17 AFME / ESF Investor ABS Transparency Survey (cont’d) Question 4: Would historical performance data be of use to you (i.e. performance data for the loans prior to securitisation)? # Answer Response % 1 YES 27 87% 2 MAYBE 3 10% 3 NO 1 3% Total 31 100% Question 5: Would more accurate cash flow models be of use to you? # Answer Response % 1 YES 26 84% 2 MAYBE 3 10% 3 NO 2 6% Total 31 100% Question 6: Would a standardised summary of the legal structure of each transaction be of use to you? # Answer Response % 1 YES 28 90% 2 MAYBE 1 3% 3 NO 2 6% Total 31 100% 18 Regulatory Initiatives Overview CRD changes ECB and BoE projects re loan-by-loan reporting IOSCO and CESR projects re pre- and post-trade transparency (MiFID review) SEC revision of ABS Offering Rules 19 Questions? Contact details: Anna Zennaro afme / Association for Financial Markets in Europe P: +44-207-743-9305 anna.zennaro@afme.eu www.afme.eu 20