Alaska Sustainable Salmon Fund Statement of Work I. Project Title: Chignik Late-Season Escapement Enumeration – Phase 1 II. Project Number: 44611 III. Principal Investigator Adam St. Saviour ADF&G, Commercial Fisheries Division 351 Research Court Kodiak, AK 99615 Phone: (907) 486-1805 Email: adam.stsaviour@alaska.gov PCSRF Objective: RM&E Co-Principal Investigator Todd Anderson ADF&G, Commercial Fisheries Division 351 Research Court Kodiak, AK 99615 Phone: (907) 486-1806 Email: todd.anderson2@alaska.gov IV. Project Start and End Date: 4/1/11 – 10/31/13 V. Project Description 1. Synopsis In 2004, the Alaska Board of Fisheries recognized that the late run of salmon in the Chignik River watershed provides a crucial subsistence resource to local communities and mandated that an additional 50,000 sockeye salmon escapement above ADF&G’s existing escapement goal to provide for subsistence harvest in August and September. Current salmon escapement is monitored at the Chignik weir through August 31, after which a model is used to estimate September sockeye salmon escapement based on extrapolation from August escapement counts. These post-weir models have never been validated with actual counts in September, and little is known of the magnitude, timing, or dynamics of the late run in September, nor is there information on the size or structure of the coho salmon run, which is also an important subsistence resource to Chignik River residents. This project will estimate the escapement of late-run sockeye and coho salmon with a dual-frequency identification sonar (DIDSON), collect ASL data, and use this information to evaluate current models of September escapement; this data will assist fisheries managers maintain the sustainability of these important subsistence runs. See related AKSSF project 44911 (Phase 2). 2. Introduction The two distinct runs of sockeye salmon in the Chignik River watershed (Black Lake early run and Chignik Lake late run) provide a crucial cultural and subsistence resource for five subsistence communities. Sockeye salmon enter the Chignik River Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 1 of 10 3/18/2016 from late May through October and sufficient numbers of both early-run and late-run fish are necessary for subsistence use; local users harvest early-run sockeye salmon when still bright for drying, smoking, and canning, while late-run fish are harvested as “redfish” late in the season specifically to take advantage of cooler weather for drying and smoking. Coho salmon are also an important subsistence resource in the fall, with an average of 1,700 coho harvested annually between 1998 and 2007. Current escapement is monitored via a large, unconventional weir which requires two managers and four technicians to operate. The weir is typically dismantled in August as the commercial fishing season winds down, and before fall weather conditions create hazards such as debris, carcass loading, and high water events. September sockeye salmon escapement is estimated using time series analysis, which estimates the rate of decay in the run and forecasts future escapements assuming that the forecast escapement follows the same rate of decay as the run. This assumption, however, may not be entirely accurate, as Scale Pattern Analysis, genetic identification information, and anecdotal evidence from local subsistence users suggest there may be significant pulses of late fish that enter the watershed after weir removal as a “late-late run” of sockeye salmon; subsistence users often harvest sockeye salmon into December. Further, despite the importance of September sockeye salmon as a subsistence resource, this model has never been validated by actual counts of escapement in the fall. Additionally, despite the importance of coho salmon to subsistence users in the Chignik Management Area (CMA), coho escapement to the Chignik River has never been precisely quantified and no escapement goal is set. While sockeye salmon are the focus of subsistence harvests in the CMA, coho salmon are also an important subsistence resource, and information derived from quantifying the magnitude of both the sockeye and coho salmon runs in September will be valuable information for ADF&G managers and Chignik fishery stakeholders. Monitoring escapement in September with the Chignik weir is currently impossible due to environment conditions as well as logistical and financial constraints. A DIDSON deployed in the Chignik River through September will allow for investigation into the size and stock characteristics of the September portion of the late-run sockeye salmon run, and for the first enumeration of coho salmon entering the Chignik watershed. The dynamics of the September portion of Chignik watershed late-run sockeye and coho escapement are currently unknown, and validating the model used for late-run sockeye salmon escapement estimates will provide managers with valuable information for ensuring the continued sustainability of this critical subsistence resource. The work entailed in this proposal will also provide reliable estimates of late run sockeye and coho escapement age/sex/length (ASL) through beach seining. 3. Location Latitude: 56.258055 N Longitude: 158.729338 W 4. AKSSF Objective Westward: 2A-3 Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 2 of 10 3/18/2016 VI. Objectives 1. Project Objectives Objective 1: Accurately characterize the population size and timing of late run sockeye and coho salmon escapement to the Chignik River through September Objective 2: Obtain reliable ASL data from sockeye and coho salmon after removal of the Chignik River weir Objective 3: Evaluate the current statistical model used to estimate sockeye salmon escapement in September Methods Operating the DIDSON concurrently with the weir at select times in the summer will allow researchers to compare the DIDSON’s performance at periods of high, medium, and low salmon abundance, and thereby improve the quality of the data collected in September. This overlap will be repeated in the second year. The specific tasks needed for fulfillment of each objective are as follows: Objective 1: Accurately characterize the population size and timing of late run sockeye and coho salmon escapement to the Chignik River through September Task 1. A DIDSON LR, compass module, automatic rotators, and cable will be purchased from Ocean Marine Industries, Inc., in April 2010. An aluminum adjustable mount similar to those used at Chignik in 2010 will be fabricated by staff at the Chignik weir. Using the site and bottom profiles already established in 2010 as suitable for escapement monitoring, the DIDSON will be deployed in the Chignik River just upstream of the Chignik weir. Task 2: The DIDSON will be operated in the Chignik River June 10-17, July 2-9, and August 1-10 to calibrate and groundtruth to weir estimates at varying levels of salmon escapement and species composition, and from Sept 1-Sept. 30 for enumeration of late-run sockeye and coho salmon escapement. Task 3. Research and management staff will be trained to monitor DIDSON operations, report problems that arise to management staff and the project PI, and count fish images from the DIDSON files. Counting and image processing software provided with the DIDSON will be used for escapement enumeration. Task 4. Bottom profiles and fish vertical distribution profiles will be created according to standard ADF&G protocols established elsewhere in the state. Task 5. Beginning September 1, salmon escapement will be estimated via sonar counts. Using standard DIDSON processing software, technicians and the project leader will estimate sockeye and coho escapement through September 30. Tenminute, hourly, and daily totals as well as 24 hour counts once per week will be relayed to management staff inseason. All fish passage will be recorded to backup hard drives and counted daily to create a census of late-run salmon escapement. Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 3 of 10 3/18/2016 Task 6. Counts from DIDSON enumeration will be apportioned by species based on seine catches. Daily escapement estimates will be reported to management staff inseason for potential commercial fishery opening management decisions, and to inform stakeholders inseason. Escapement estimates will be incorporated into the 2010 AMR. Objective 2: Obtain reliable ASL data from sockeye and coho salmon after removal of the Chignik River Weir Task 1. Using a 6’x100’ purse seine, technicians will capture migrating salmon inriver upstream of the sonar site and collect species composition and ASL data from 80 coho salmon and 80 sockeye salmon every other day from August 1August 10. These data will be compared to the ASL data collected at the weir to ensure no size or species selectivity exists in the beach seine catches at the DIDSON site. Task 2. From September 1-September 20, technicians will capture migrating salmon in the river upstream of the sonar site before they enter Chignik Lake and collect species composition and ASL data from 80 sockeye salmon and 80 coho salmon every third day. If low escapement makes obtaining the required samples with the suggested protocol difficult, beach seines will be deployed daily to supplement the ASL samples. Objective 3: Evaluate the current statistical model used to estimate sockeye salmon escapement in September Task 1. A traditional time series analysis of the forecasted September escapement will be created for comparison with actual escapement counts. In all three years of this project, the traditional model-forecasted escapement as well as the actual counted escapement will be assessed and reported to managers and stakeholders postseason and used to evaluate the validity of the traditional model. The results of this will be included in Annual Management Reports (AMRs). Prior to commencement of project activity, PI will obtain ADF&G Fish Collection, Fish Resource, Fish Transport, and/or other required permits, as appropriate. VII. Benefits This project will provide the first true counts of the portion of the sockeye salmon late run most critical to subsistence users. Doing so will validate the models historically used and estimate the size of this run component, while providing the first empirical evidence of the shape and biological characteristics of the run. In addition to directly improving knowledge of the abundance of this subsistence stock, this data will also be used to update production estimates for the whole run, which in turn has the potential to either verify or improve existing escapement goals. Enumeration of September escapement also provides the platform for estimating coho salmon escapement, obtaining reliable biological data from this important secondary subsistence resource, and providing the first empirical estimate of coho entering the Chignik watershed. Results from this work will aid in the effective management and maintenance of Chignik salmon stocks through Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 4 of 10 3/18/2016 more accurate escapement estimation of the sockeye salmon late-run, increased management precision, and by providing a reliable safeguard for counting fish against flooding and uncontrollable environmental and mechanical events. VIII. Products, Milestones, and Timelines April 2011 - June 2011: Project mobilization, equipment purchasing (including DIDSON hardware and software), site preparation, hiring of personnel, etc. May 2011: Installation of the Chignik River weir and construction of tripods for DIDSON operation upstream June 10 – June 17, 2011: Initial DIDSON deployment, site analysis, and bottom profiling during typical period of highest fish passage July 2, 2011 – July 9, 2011: Second DIDSON deployment on Chignik River during the “overlap period” between the early and late runs to evaluate accuracy of sonar counts during low fish passage at weir August 1, 2011 – August 10, 2011: DIDSON deployment on Chignik River during the “decay period” typically used in post-weir escapement estimates; technicians trained in beach seining techniques; comparison of seine ASL data to weir ASL data September 1- September 30, 2011, 2012, and 2013: Enumeration of late-run sockeye and coho salmon in Chignik River October 1-November 30, 2011, 2012, and 2013: Compilation of escapement and ASL data for publication in fishery data series and inclusion in AMRs January 2012, 2013, and 2014: Presentation of results at annual Chignik Regional Aquaculture Association (CRAA) meeting in Anchorage April 2012, 2012, and 2014: Chignik AMRs published July 2012 and 2013: Field season preparation December 15, 2013: Provide final report to AKSSF PI will submit PCSRF performance metrics, semiannual, and project completion reports according to the AKSSF schedule, as well as copies of any other report/product/ deliverable produced with this funding. All invoices will be submitted for payment within 30 days of the project end date in accordance with the current AKSSF invoicing P&P. Any report or product developed as a result of this funding will include the following language: This [report/video/website] was prepared by [recipient/author name] under award NA10NMF4380428 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, administered by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. The statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Commerce, or the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. Any displays produced (e.g., signs, interpretive displays, posters) must include logos from both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Alaska Department of Fish and Game (please contact AKSSF staff for graphics). Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 5 of 10 3/18/2016 IX. Partners CRAA X. Project Budget ADF&G 100 Personnel 200 Travel 300 Contractual 400 Supplies 500 Equipment Subtotal MTDC 600 Indirect @ 14% TMDC Total FY11 $1,493 $1,250 $400 $4,920 $91,400 $99,463 $8,063 $1,129 $100,592 FY12 $28,780 $2,500 $2,996 $6,550 $0 $40,826 $40,826 $5,716 $46,542 FY13 $32,522 $1,250 $2,996 $7,600 $0 $44,368 $44,368 $6,212 $50,580 FY14 $36,224 $0 $2,996 $7,975 $0 $47,195 $47,195 $6,607 $53,802 Total $99,019 $5,000 $9,388 $27,045 $91,400 $231,852 $140,452 $19,664 $251,516 Budget Narrative: FY11 Line 100: Personnel (All salaries were calculated using the state salary calculator.) One Fish and Wildlife Technician (FWT) III will fabricate the DIDSON mount and tripods and help in initial June installation: 1 week @ $1,493/week including 7.5 hrs OT = $1,493. Line 200: Travel The PI will travel Kodiak to Chignik June 10-17 to deploy, operate, and calibrate the DIDSON: Airfare: $1,100 Lodging (one night in Anchorage while in transit): $150 Total: $1,250 Line 300: Contractual Shipping of DIDSON unit from Ocean Marine Industries, Inc.: $400 Line 400: Supplies 45m cable for DIDSON: $450 Compass module for DIDSON: $1,500 Lumber and hardware for 3-tripod diversion weir between shore and sonar: $270 4 12V batteries at $100/battery = $400 Field laptop: $1,200 Electronic equipment and power supplies (inverter, communication cables, hard drive backups): $500 Aluminum and hardware for DIDSON mount: $600 Total: $4,920 Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 6 of 10 3/18/2016 Line 500: Equipment 1 DIDSON LR unit: $75,900 2 Rotators @ $7,750/rotator = $15,500 Total: $91,400 Line 600: Indirect ADF&G’s federally negotiated indirect cost recovery rate for FY11 is 14% of total modified direct costs (TMDC) which excludes indirect on equipment. FY12 Line 100: Personnel One FWT III (PCN 11-1850) will assist in project installation and sonar operation, oversee data entry, and assist with post-project analysis: 3 months @ $7,367/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $22,101. One FWT II (PCN 11-1969) will operate the sonar: 1 month @ $6,679/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $6,679. Total FY12 Personnel: $28,780 Line 200: Travel The PI will travel Kodiak to Chignik twice to deploy, operate, and continue DIDSON calibration to weir counts June 12-19 and August 1-10. Airfare: 2 tickets @ $1,100/ticket = $2,200 Lodging (2 nights in Anchorage while in transit): 2 nights @ $150/night = $300 Total FY12 Travel: $2,500 Line 300: Contractual Two round trip air charters Kodiak - Chignik for project installation and removal: 2 flights @ $1,498/flight = $2,996 Line 400: Supplies Food and fuel for PI and FWT III: 50 days @ $25/day x 2 people = $2,500 Room and board for one FWT II: 30 days at $25/day = $750 Field sampling gear for crew (notebooks, tallywhackers, gloves, boots): $300 Fuel for operation of Chignik weir facility: 30 days @ $4/gal x 25 gal/day = $3,000 Total FY12 Supplies: $6,550 Line 600: Indirect ADF&G’s federally negotiated indirect cost recovery rate for FY11 is 14% of total modified direct costs (TMDC) which excludes indirect on equipment. FY13 Line 100: Personnel One FWT III (PCN 11-1850) will operate the sonar, oversee data entry, and assist with post-project analysis: 3 months at $8,325/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $24,975. Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 7 of 10 3/18/2016 One FWT II (PCN 11-1969) will operate the sonar: 1 month @ $7,547/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $7,547. Total FY13 Personnel: $32,522 Line 200: Travel The PI will travel Kodiak to Chignik once to deploy, operate, and continue DIDSON calibration to weir counts: Airfare: $1,100/ticket Lodging (one night in Anchorage while in transit): $150 Total FY13 Travel: $1,250 Line 300: Contractual Two round trip air charters Kodiak - Chignik for project installation and removal: 2 flights @ $1,498/flight = $2,996 Line 400: Supplies Food and fuel for the PI, one FWT III, and one FWT II: 45 days @ $25/day * 3 people = $3,375 Cables and other electronic and power equipment: $500 12V battery: $100 Field sampling gear for crew (notebooks, tallywhackers, gloves, boots): $250 Fuel for operation of Chignik weir facility: 30 days @ $4.50/gal x 25 gal = $3,375 Total FY13 Supplies: $7,600 Line 600: Indirect ADF&G’s federally negotiated indirect cost recovery rate for FY11 is 14% of total modified direct costs (TMDC) which excludes indirect on equipment. FY14 Line 100: Personnel One FWT III (PCN 11-1850) will operate the sonar, oversee data entry, and assist with post-project analysis: 3 months @ $9,263/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $27,789. One FWT II (PCN 11-1969) will operate the sonar: 1 month @ $8,435/month including 7.5 hrs OT/wk = $8,435. Total FY14 Personnel: $36,224 Line 300: Contractual Two round trip charters Kodiak - Chignik for project installation and removal: 2 flights @ $1,498/flight = $2,996 Line 400: Supplies Food and fuel for PI, one FWT III, and one FWTII: 45 days @ $25/day x 3 people = $3,375 Cables and other electronic and power equipment: $500 12V battery: $100 Field sampling gear for crew (notebooks, tallywhackers, gloves, boots): $250 Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 8 of 10 3/18/2016 Fuel for operation of Chignik weir facility: 30 days @ $5/gal x 25 gal = $3,750 Total FY14 Supplies: $7,975 Line 600: Indirect ADF&G’s federally negotiated indirect rate for FY11 is 14% of total modified direct costs (TMDC) which excludes indirect on equipment. Budget adjustments between line items are allowed for amounts equal to or less than 10% of the total award without prior AKSSF approval; any amount above 10% requires prior AKSSF approval. All costs in lines 100-500 must represent actual cash expenditures. All direct and match expenses shall be adequately documented and filed. All invoices will be submitted for payment within 30 days of the project end date in accordance with the current AKSSF invoicing P&P. Invoices submitted after that deadline will not be reimbursed. Expenses incurred after the project end date will not be reimbursed. Entities are required to provide current federally negotiated indirect cost rate agreements (NICRAs) throughout the life of the project. Indirect costs will not be reimbursed if NICRAs have expired or if documentation (i.e., the federally approved rate letter) is not provided. Complete AKSSF indirect requirements are available at http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=akssf.policies. XI. Match Budget ADF&G 100 Personnel 200 Travel 300 Contractual 400 Supplies 500 Equipment Total Direct Costs FY11 $40,898 $0 $0 $1,149 $0 $42,047 FY12 $18,550 $0 $0 $0 $0 $18,550 FY13 $20,788 $0 $0 $0 $0 $20,788 FY14 $16,040 $0 $0 $0 $0 $16,040 Total $96,276 $0 $0 $1,149 $0 $97,425* *Match budget shows more match than is required for this project. Total required ADF&G match (35%): $88,031 Match Budget Narrative: FY11 Line 100: Personnel One FB III (PCN 11-1032, Anderson) will provide managerial oversight, oversee facility and daily operation of the Chignik weir, and assist in logistics: 2 months @ $8,578/month = $17,156. One FB I (PCN 11-1419, Nichols) will provide logistics, direct weir personnel in beach seining and ASL sampling and escapement enumeration at the weir, and Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 9 of 10 3/18/2016 assist in DIDSON operation during the June testing period: 2 months @ $8,318/month including 7.5 OT/week = $16,636. One FWT III (PCN 11-1591, Bear) will construct tripods, assist in sonar deployment and operation in June, maintain skiffs, and provide logistic support: 1 month @ $7,106/month including 7.5 OT/wk = $7,106. Total FY11 Personnel: $40,898 Line 400: Supplies 1000 watt portable generator to power the DIDSON and laptop at the sonar site: $1,149 FY12 Line 100: Personnel One FB II (PCN 11-1419, Nichols) will direct weir personnel in beach seining and ASL sampling at the weir and provide logistical support to sonar crew and management presence and oversight during the late run: 2 months @ $9,275/month = $18,550. FY13 Line 100: Personnel One FB II (PCN 11-1419, Nichols) will direct weir personnel in beach seining and ASL sampling at the weir and provide logistical support to sonar crew and management presence and oversight during the late run: 2 months @ $10,394/month = $20,788. FY14 Line 100: Personnel One FB II (PCN 11-1419, Nichols) will direct weir personnel in beach seining and ASL sampling at the weir and provide logistical support to sonar crew and management presence and oversight during the late run: 1.5 months @ $10,693/month = $16,040. Chignik Escapement Enumeration 44611 Page 10 of 10 3/18/2016