Online Appendix
Organizations, Homebases and drug trade involvement (full data will be posted with paper in Excel and
Stata)
group
Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG)
Andres Castro United Front (FUAC)
Basque Fatherland and Freedom (ETA)
Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-M)
Communist Party of Nepal-Maoists (CPN-M)
Communist Workers Movement
Continuity Irish Republican Army (CIRA)
DHKP-C
Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA)
East Turkistan Liberation Organization
Hezbollah
Irish National Liberation Army (INLA)
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU)
Jemaah Islamiya (JI)
Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA)
Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK)
Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT)
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE)
Loyalist Volunteer Force (LVF)
Maras Salvatruchas
National Democratic Front of Bodoland (NDFB)
National Liberation Army (Colombia)
National Socialist Council of Nagaland-Isak-Muivah (NSCN-IM)
Orange Volunteers (OV)
Real Irish Republican Army (RIRA)
Red Hand Defenders (RHD)
Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)
Russian National Bolshevist Party
Self-Defense Groups of Cordoba and Uraba (ACCU)
Shining Path
Taliban
Ulster Defence Association/Ulster Freedom Fighters
Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF)
United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC)
al-Qaeda
1920 Revolution Brigades
21 June
313
Abdurajak Janjalani Brigade (AJB)
Abu Bakr al-Siddiq Fundamentalist Brigades
Abu Hafs al-Masri Brigade
Abu Nayaf al-Afgani
Abu al-Abbas
Abu al-Rish Brigades
homebase
Philippines
Nicaragua
Spain
India
Nepal
Turkey
UK (N. Ireland)
Turkey
Burma
China
Lebanon
Ireland
Central Asia
Southeast Asia
Macedonia
Turkey
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
United Kingdom
United States
India
Colombia
India
UK (N. Ireland)
UK (N. Ireland)
UK (N. Ireland)
Colombia
Former Soviet
Colombia
Peru
Afghanistan
UK (N. Ireland)
UK (N. Ireland)
Colombia
Pakistan-Afghanistan
Iraq
Greece
Pakistan
Philippines
Iraq
Europe
Spain
Iraq
Israel (West Bank/Gaza)
drugtrade2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Accolta Nazinuale Corsa
Achik National Volunteer Council (ANVC)
Action Committee of Winegrowers
Action Directe
Action Group Extreme Beate
Aden Abyan Islamic Army (AAIA)
Adivasi Cobra Force (ACF)
Akhil Krantikari
Al-Bara bin Malek Brigades
Albanian National Army (ANA)
Alex Boncayao Brigade (ABB)
Ali Bin Abu Talib Jihad Organization
All Tripura Tiger Force (ATTF)
Amal
Anarchist Attack Teams
Anarchist Faction
Anarchist Faction for Subversion
Anarchist Liberation Brigade
Anarchist Street Patrol
Anarchist Struggle
Anarchists' Attack Group
Anarkhiki Omadha 20 Louli
Angry Brigade
Animal Liberation Front (ALF)
Ansar Allah
Ansar al-Islam
Ansar al-Jihad
Ansar al-Sunnah Army
Anti-Authority Erotic Cells
Anti-Communist Command (KAK)
Anti-Mainstream Self Determination Faction
Anti-Olympic Flame
Anti-Power Struggle
Anti-Racist Guerrilla Nuclei
Anti-State Action
Anti-State Defense
Anti-State Nuclei
Anti-Zionist Movement
Anticapitalist Attack Nuclei (NAA)
Apo's Revenge Hawks
Apo's Youth Revenge Brigades
April 19 Movement
Arbav Martyrs of Khuzestan
Armata Corsa
Armata di Liberazione Naziunale
Armed Forces Revolutionary Council (AFRC)
Armed Islamic Group
Armed Revolutionary Left
Corsica
India
France
France
Denmark
Yemen
India
Nepal
Iraq
Macedonia
Philippines
Iraq
India
Lebanon
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Italy
United States
Lebanon
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq
Greece
Indonesia
Greece
Greece
Greece
Italy
Greece
Greece
Greece
Italy
Italy
Turkey
Turkey
Colombia
Iran
Corsica
Corsica
Sierra Leone
Algeria
Ecuador
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Army of God
Army of the Corsican People
Army of the Followers of Sunni Islam
Asbat al-Ansar
Autonomous Cells of Rebel Action
Autonomous Decorators
Babbar Khalsa International (BKI)
Badr Forces
Bagramyan Battalion
Baloch Liberation Army (BLA)
Battalion of the Martyr Abdullah Azzam
Bersatu
Birsa Commando Force (BCF)
Black Panthers (West Bank/Gaza)
Black Star
Black Widows
Black and Red Brigades
Bodo Liberation Tigers (BLT)
Bolivarian Liberation Forces (FBL)
Borok National Council of Tripura (BNCT)
Breton Revolutionary Army (ARB)
Brigades of Imam al-Hassan al-Basri
Brigades of Martyr Ahmed Yassin
Brigades of the Victorious Lion of God
Burning Path
Cambodian Freedom Fighters (CFF)
Carapaica Revolutionary Movement
Catholic Reaction Force (CRF)
Caucasian Front for the Liberation of Abu Achikob
Chaotic Attack Front
Children of Fire
Chukakuha
Clandestini Corsi
Coalition to Save the Preserves (CSP)
Comando Jaramillista Morelense 23 de Mayo
Combatant Proletarian Nucleus
Commando Anarchist Group
Committee for the Security of the Highways
Communist Revolutionaries in Europe
Communists Liberation Faction
Conscientious Arsonists (CA)
Consciously Enraged
Cooperative of Hand-Made Fire & Related Items
Corsican Revolutionary Armed Forces (FARC)
Cypriot Nationalist Organization (OKE)
Dagestan Liberation Army
Dario Santillan Command
Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP)
United States
Corsica
Iraq
Lebanon
Greece
Germany
India
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Georgia
Pakistan
Middle East
Thailand
India
Israel (West Bank/Gaza)
Greece
Russia (Chechnya)
Greece
India
Venezuela
India
France
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq
Greece
United States
Venezuela
UK (N. Ireland)
Germany
Greece
Greece
Japan
Corsica
United States
Mexico
Italy
Greece
Israel
Netherlands
Greece
Greece
Greece
Italy
Corsica
Cyprus
Russia
Argentina
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Divine Wrath Brigades
EPA (Ejercito del Pueblo en Armas)
Earth Liberation Front (ELF)
Ecuadorian Rebel Force
Egyptian Islamic Jihad (EIJ)
Enraged Proletarians
Eritrean Islamic Jihad Movement (EIJM)
Ethnocacerista
Fighters for Freedom
Fighting Ecologist Activism
Fighting Guerillas of May
Fires of Hell
First of October Antifascist Resistance Group (GRAPO)
Five C's
For a Revolutionary Perspective
Francs Tireurs (Mavericks)
Free Aceh Movement (GAM)
Free Papua Movement (OPM)
Free People of Galillee
Free Vietnam Revolutionary Group
Freedom for Mumia Abu-Jamal
Friendship Society
Front for Defenders of Islam (FPI)
Front for the Liberation of the Cabinda Enclave
Fronte di Liberazione Naziunale di a Corsica (FLNC)
Gazteriak
Global Intifada
God's Army
Group Revolutionary Reconstruction
Group for Social Resistance to the State Mechanism
Group of Carlo Giuliani
Group of Guerilla Combatants of Jose Maria Morelos y Pavon
(CGNJMMP)
Group of Popular Combatants (GPC)
Guevarista Revolutionary Army (ERG)
Hamas
Harakat al-Shuhada'a al-Islamiyah
Harakat ul-Mudjahidin (HuM)
Hawks of Thrace
Hikmatul Zihad
Hindu Sena Rashtriya Sangh Party
Hisba
Hizb-I-Islami
Hizbul Mujahideen (HM)
Iduwini Youths
Immediate Action
Indigenous People's Federal Army (IPFA)
Indomitable Marxists
Informal Anarchist Federation
Iraq
Venezuela
United States
Ecuador
Egypt
Greece
Eritrea
Peru
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Spain
Italy
Switzerland
France
Indonesia
Indonesia
Israel
International
Switzerland
Greece
Indonesia
Angola
Corsica
France
Sweden
Burma
Germany
Greece
Greece
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mexico
Ecuador
Colombia
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Libya
Pakistan
Greece
Bangladesh
India
Nigeria
Afghanistan
Pakistan (Kashmir)
Nigeria
Greece
Philippines
Greece
Italy
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
International Solidarity
Iparretarrak (IK)
Iraqi Revenge Brigades
Irish Republican Army (IRA)
Islami Chhatra Shibir (ICS)
Islamic Army in Iraq
Islamic Defense Force
Islamic Glory Brigades in the Land of the Nile
Islamic Great Eastern Raiders Front
Islamic Jihad Brigades
Islamic Resistance Brigades
Islamic Shashantantra Andolon (ISA)
Jagrata Muslim Janata Bangladesh
Jaime Bateman Cayon Group (JBC)
Jaish al-Taifa al-Mansoura
Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM)
Jaish-ul-Muslimin
Jamatul Mujahedin Bangladesh
Jamiat ul-Mujahedin (JuM)
Janashakti
Jenin Martyrs' Brigade
Jihad Committee
July 20th Brigade
Jund Allah Organization for the Sunni Mujahideen in Iran
Jund al-Sham
Justice Army of the Defenseless People
Kach
Kakurokyo
Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL)
Kangleipak Communist Party
Karbala Brigades
Kayin National Union (KNU)
Kenkoku Giyugun Chosen Seibatsutai
Knights of the Tempest
Knights of the Torched Bank
Kuki Liberation Army (KLA)
Kurdistan Freedom Hawks
Lashkar-I-Omar
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ)
Laskar Jihad
Latin American Patriotic Army (EPLA)
Leftist Nucleus
Lord's Resistance Army (LRA)
Macedonian Revolutionary Organization (VMRO)
Macheteros
Mahdi Army
Maoist Communist Center (MCC)
Mariano Moreno National Liberation Commando
Italy
France
Iraq
UK (N. Ireland)
Bangladesh
Iraq
India
Egypt
Turkey
Iraq
Iraq
Bangladesh
Bangladesh
Colombia
Iraq
Pakistan
Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Pakistan
India
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
India
Italy
Iran
Afghanistan
Mexico
Israel
Japan
India
India
Iraq
Burma
Japan
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Greece
India
Turkey
Pakistan
Pakistan
Indonesia
Venezuela
Greece
Uganda
Macedonia
Puerto Rico (US)
Iraq
India
Venezuela
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Martyr Abu-Ali Mustafa Brigades
May 15
May 98
Melting Nuclei
Midnight Saboteurs
Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF)
Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF)
Movement Against State Arbitrariness
Movement for Democracy and Justice in Chad (MDJT)
Movement of the Revolutionary Left
Movsar Baryayev Gang
Mujahedin-e-Khalq (MeK)
Mujahideen KOMPAK
Mujahideen Message
Mujahideen Shura Council
Mujahideen al-Mansooran
Muslim United Army
Muslims Against Global Oppression (MAGO)
Muttahida Qami Movement (MQM)
National Army for the Liberation of Uganda (NALU)
National Liberation Front of Tripura (NLFT)
National Warriors
Nationalist Kurdish Revenge Teams
New People's Army (NPA)
New Revolutionary Alternative
New Revolutionary Popular Struggle (NELA)
Night Avengers
November's Children
Nuclei for Promoting Total Catastrophe
Odua Peoples' Congress
Oromo Liberation Front (OLF)
Overthrown Anarchist Faction
Padanian Armed Separatist Phalanx (FASP)
Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ)
Pattani United Liberation Organization (PULO)
People Against Gangsterism And Drugs (PAGAD)
People's Liberation Army of Kurdistan (ARGK)
People's Liberation Forces (El Salvador)
People's Revolutionary Army (Colombia)
People's Revolutionary Militias
People's War Group (PWG)
Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP)
Popular Justice
Popular Liberation Army
Popular Resistance
Popular Resistance Committees
Popular Revolutionary Action
Popular Revolutionary Army (Mexico)
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Greece
Greece
Greece
Greece
Philippines
Philippines
Greece
Chad
Chile
Russia (Chechnya)
Iraq
Indonesia
Afghanistan
Iraq
Kashmir (Indian)
Pakistan
South Africa
Pakistan
Uganda
India
South Africa
Turkey
Philippines
Russia
Greece
Honduras
Greece
Greece
Nigeria
Ethiopia
Greece
Italy
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Thailand
South Africa
Turkey
El Salvador
Colombia
Ecuador
India
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Greece
Colombia
Greece
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Greece
Mexico
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Popular Revolutionary Front (LEM)
Popular Self-Defense Forces (FAP)
Proletarian Combatant Groups
Proletarian Nuclei for Communism
Proletarian Reprisals
Proletarian Resistance
Proletarian Solidarity
Protectors of Islam Brigade
Pueblo Regrupado
Purbo Banglar Communist Party (PBCP)
Rebolusyonaryong Hukbong Bayan (RHB)
Red Brigades
Red Guerrillas
Red Line
Resistenza Corsa
Revenge of Hebrew Babies
Revolutionary Armed Corps (CAR)
Revolutionary Armed Forces of the People (FARP)
Revolutionary Army
Revolutionary Brigades
Revolutionary Cells Animal Liberation Brigade
Revolutionary Front for Communism
Revolutionary Leninist Brigades
Revolutionary Liberation Action
Revolutionary Memory
Revolutionary Nuclei
Revolutionary Offensive Cells
Revolutionary Organization 17 November (RO-N17)
Revolutionary Perspective
Revolutionary Proletarian Initiative Nuclei
Revolutionary Proletarian Nucleus
Revolutionary Socialists
Revolutionary Struggle
Revolutionary Subversive Faction-Commando Unibomber
Revolutionary Torch-Bearing Run
Revolutionary United Front (RUF)
Revolutionary Violence Group (RVG)
Rigas Fereos
Riyad us-Saliheyn Martyrs' Brigade
Russian National Unity
Saif-ul-Muslimeen
Salafia Jihadia
Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC)
Salah al-Din Battalions
Saraya al-Shuhuada al-jihadiyah fi al-Iraq
Sardinian Autonomy Movement (MAS)
Save Kashmir Movement
Shurafa al-Urdun
Greece
Congo - Kinshasa
Italy
Italy
Greece
Greece
Greece
Iraq
Chile
Bangladesh
Philippines
Italy
Russia
Greece
Corsica
Israel
Ecuador
Mexico
Japan
Greece
United States
Italy
Italy
Greece
Greece
Greece
Italy
Greece
Spain
Italy
Italy
Sweden
Greece
Greece
Greece
Sierra Leone
Greece
Greece
Russia (Chechnya)
Russia
Afghanistan
Morocco
Algeria
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Iraq
Italy
Kashmir (Indian)
Jordan
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Sihala Urumaya
Solidarity Gas Canisters
Solidarity for Political Prisoners
Solidarity with 17N
South Londonderry Volunteers (SLV)
South Maluku Republic (RMS)
Sri Nakharo
Strugglers for the Unity and Freedom of Greater Syria
Students Islamic Movement of India (SIMI)
Sudan People's Liberation Army
Supporters of Horst Ludwig Meyer
Sword of Islam
TKEP/L
TKP/ML-TIKKO
Takfir wa Hijra
Tanzim
Tawhid Islamic Brigades
Tawhid and Jihad
Territorial Anti-Imperialist Nuclei
The Committee for Promotion of Intransigence
The Holders of the Black Banners
The Inevitables
The National Anti-Corruption Front
Tigers
Torrid Winter
Totally Anti-War Group (ATAG)
Tupac Amaru Revolutionary Movement
Tupamaro Revolutionary Movement - January 23
Turkish People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
UNITA
Ummah Liberation Army (ULA)
Uncontrolled Rage
Underground Government of the Free Democratic People of
Laos
United Kuki Liberation Front (UKLF)
United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA)
United National Liberation Front (UNLF)
United People's Democratic Solidarity (UPDS)
United Revolutionary Front
United Self-Defense Forces of Venezuela (AUV)
United Tajik Opposition (UTO)
Usd Allah
Uygur Holy War Organization
Vigorous Burmese Student Warriors
Vitalunismo
White Legion
Young Liberators of Pattani
Zomi Revolutionary Army (ZRA)
al-Aarifeen
Sri Lanka
Greece
Greece
Greece
UK (N. Ireland)
Indonesia
Thailand
Lebanon
India
Sudan
Denmark
Russia (Chechnya)
Turkey
Turkey
Middle East & Europe
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Egypt
Iraq
Italy
Greece
Iraq
Bolivia
Bolivia
Swaziland
Greece
France
Peru
Venezuela
Turkey
Angola
Sudan
Greece
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Laos
India
India
India
India
Venezuela
Venezuela
Tajikstan
Iraq
China
Burma
Italy
Ecuador
Thailand
India
Pakistan
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
al-Ahwal Brigades
al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades
al-Badr
al-Faruq Brigades
al-Fatah
al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya (GAI)
al-Haramayn Brigades
al-Intiqami al-Pakistani
al-Madina
al-Mansoorain
al-Nawaz
al-Qaeda Organization in the Land of the Two Rivers
al-Qaeda in the Arabian Penninsula (AQAP)
al-Quds Brigades
al-Umar Mujahideen
Sort milperPerCap
tab milperPerCap
Iraq
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Pakistan
Iraq
Israel (Gaza/West Bank)
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
Pakistan
Kashmir (Indian)
Kashmir (Indian)
Pakistan
Iraq
Saudi Arabia
Israel
Pakistan
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Actual Regression
logit drugtrade2 milperPerCap
degree ContainEthno2
gle_rgdp p_polity2 , cluster (HomeBaseCCODE) robust
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
0:
1:
2:
3:
4:
5:
log
log
log
log
log
log
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
Logistic regression
Log pseudolikelihood = -77.321256
ContainRelig2 terrStrong
= -118.22524
= -94.41055
= -78.91032
= -77.34585
= -77.321257
= -77.321256
Number of obs
Wald chi2(8)
Prob > chi2
Pseudo R2
=
=
=
=
395
51.46
0.0000
0.3460
(Std. Err. adjusted for 65 clusters in HomeBaseCCODE)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
Robust
drugtrade2 |
Coef.
Std. Err.
z
P>|z|
[95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+---------------------------------------------------------------milperPerCap | -142.6801
61.87567
-2.31 0.021
-263.9542
-21.40604
degree |
.3103307
.0715464
4.34 0.000
.1701023
.4505591
ContainEthno2 |
1.248723
.5448866
2.29 0.022
.1807645
2.316681
ContainRelig2 | -.1296744
.8304926
-0.16 0.876
-1.75741
1.498061
terrStrong |
1.172305
.5252916
2.23 0.026
.1427522
2.201857
ordsize
ordsize |
.8683679
.2883362
3.01 0.003
.3032392
1.433497
gle_rgdp |
.0000748
.000043
1.74 0.082
-9.38e-06
.000159
p_polity2 | -.0357444
.0597394
-0.60 0.550
-.1528315
.0813428
_cons | -4.041747
.7477284
-5.41 0.000
-5.507268
-2.576226
------------------------------------------------------------------------------. prchange
logit: Changes in Predicted Probabilities for drugtrade2
milperPerCap
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
ordsize
gle_rgdp
p_polity2
0->1
-0.1062
0.0061
0.0458
-0.0032
0.0478
0.0224
0.0000
-0.0011
-+1/2
-1.0000
0.0079
0.0335
-0.0033
0.0313
0.0227
0.0000
-0.0009
-+sd/2
-0.0326
0.0205
0.0135
-0.0011
0.0093
0.0183
0.0176
-0.0061
MargEfct
-3.6309
0.0079
0.0318
-0.0033
0.0298
0.0221
0.0000
-0.0009
0
1
0.9739 0.0261
Pr(y|x)
gle_rgdp
x=
11019.1
sd(x)=
9080.17
min->max
-0.0967
0.9808
0.0458
-0.0032
0.0478
0.1717
0.1208
-0.0221
milperPerCap
p_polity2
.010428
5.24304
.008527
6.72496
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
ordsize
1.38734
.23038
.136709
.108861
.513924
2.5429
.42161
.343975
.311859
.813393
without Al Qaeda
logit drugtrade2 milperPerCap
gle_rgdp p_polity2 if
Al==0
> cluster (HomeBaseCCODE) robust
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
0:
1:
2:
3:
4:
5:
6:
log
log
log
log
log
log
log
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
Logistic regression
degree ContainEthno2
,
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
ContainRelig2 terrStrong
-115.78855
-95.923308
-79.142735
-77.368347
-77.321221
-77.321092
-77.321092
Number of obs
=
394
ordsize
Wald chi2(8)
Prob > chi2
Pseudo R2
Log pseudolikelihood = -77.321092
=
=
=
51.39
0.0000
0.3322
(Std. Err. adjusted for 65 clusters in HomeBaseCCODE)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
Robust
drugtrade2 |
Coef.
Std. Err.
z
P>|z|
[95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+---------------------------------------------------------------milperPerCap |
-142.671
61.88274
-2.31 0.021
-263.959
-21.38306
degree |
.3102957
.0716246
4.33 0.000
.169914
.4506774
ContainEthno2 |
1.248688
.5449249
2.29 0.022
.1806547
2.316721
ContainRelig2 | -.1298008
.830704
-0.16 0.876
-1.757951
1.498349
terrStrong |
1.172281
.5253106
2.23 0.026
.1426909
2.20187
ordsize |
.8683664
.2883259
3.01 0.003
.3032581
1.433475
gle_rgdp |
.0000748
.000043
1.74 0.082
-9.39e-06
.000159
p_polity2 | -.0357396
.059744
-0.60 0.550
-.1528357
.0813566
_cons |
-4.04168
.74776
-5.41 0.000
-5.507263
-2.576097
------------------------------------------------------------------------------. prchange
logit: Changes in Predicted Probabilities for drugtrade2
milperPerCap
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
ordsize
gle_rgdp
p_polity2
Pr(y|x)
gle_rgdp
x=
11040.7
sd(x)=
9081.55
.
min->max
-0.0942
0.8460
0.0445
-0.0031
0.0466
0.1679
0.1174
-0.0215
0->1
-0.1035
0.0061
0.0445
-0.0031
0.0466
0.0218
0.0000
-0.0010
-+1/2
-1.0000
0.0077
0.0326
-0.0032
0.0304
0.0220
0.0000
-0.0009
-+sd/2
-0.0317
0.0154
0.0131
-0.0011
0.0090
0.0177
0.0171
-0.0059
MargEfct
-3.5247
0.0077
0.0308
-0.0032
0.0290
0.0215
0.0000
-0.0009
0
1
0.9747 0.0253
milperPerCap
p_polity2
.010443
5.26904
.008532
6.7136
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
ordsize
1.30711
.230964
.134518
.106599
.510152
1.98329
.421986
.341642
.308995
.810961
with a control for groups born after 9/11
logit drugtrade2 milperPerCap
Since911
ordsize gle_rgdp p_polity2 , clus
> ter (HomeBaseCCODE) robust
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
Iteration
0:
1:
2:
3:
4:
5:
log
log
log
log
log
log
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
pseudolikelihood
=
=
=
=
=
=
degree ContainEthno2
ContainRelig2
-118.22524
-94.407004
-78.683124
-77.037508
-77.011377
-77.011376
Logistic regression
Number of obs
Wald chi2(9)
Prob > chi2
Pseudo R2
Log pseudolikelihood = -77.011376
=
=
=
=
395
51.92
0.0000
0.3486
(Std. Err. adjusted for 65 clusters in HomeBaseCCODE)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
Robust
drugtrade2 |
Coef.
Std. Err.
z
P>|z|
[95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+---------------------------------------------------------------milperPerCap | -137.7367
62.11866
-2.22 0.027
-259.487
-15.98637
Since911 | -.5137872
.6790568
-0.76 0.449
-1.844714
.8171396
degree |
.3006083
.0722346
4.16 0.000
.1590311
.4421855
ContainEthno2 |
1.192109
.5422856
2.20 0.028
.1292489
2.254969
ContainRelig2 | -.1857267
.8234557
-0.23 0.822
-1.79967
1.428217
terrStrong |
1.122839
.5220388
2.15 0.031
.0996619
2.146016
ordsize |
.8408485
.2950705
2.85 0.004
.262521
1.419176
gle_rgdp |
.0000733
.000043
1.71 0.088
-.0000109
.0001575
p_polity2 | -.0401268
.0568758
-0.71 0.480
-.1516013
.0713477
_cons | -3.853204
.7994045
-4.82 0.000
-5.420008
-2.2864
------------------------------------------------------------------------------. prchange
logit: Changes in Predicted Probabilities for drugtrade2
milperPerCap
Since911
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
ordsize
gle_rgdp
p_polity2
min->max
-0.0898
-0.0119
0.9803
0.0417
-0.0043
0.0436
0.1572
0.1135
-0.0247
0->1
-0.0986
-0.0119
0.0058
0.0417
-0.0043
0.0436
0.0211
0.0000
-0.0012
-+1/2
-1.0000
-0.0128
0.0074
0.0309
-0.0046
0.0290
0.0213
0.0000
-0.0010
-+sd/2
-0.0304
-0.0061
0.0193
0.0125
-0.0016
0.0087
0.0172
0.0167
-0.0067
MargEfct
-3.4022
-0.0127
0.0074
0.0294
-0.0046
0.0277
0.0208
0.0000
-0.0010
terrStrong
Pr(y|x)
ordsize
x=
.513924
sd(x)=
.813393
.
0
1
0.9747 0.0253
milperPerCap
gle_rgdp
.010428
11019.1
.008527
9080.17
Since911
p_polity2
.346835
5.24304
.476566
6.72496
degree
ContainEth~2
ContainRel~2
terrStrong
1.38734
.23038
.136709
.108861
2.5429
.42161
.343975
.311859
rare event logit
Corrected logit estimates
Number of obs =
395
------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
Robust
drugtrade2 |
Coef.
Std. Err.
z
P>|z|
[95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+---------------------------------------------------------------milperPerCap | -131.1437
60.49726
-2.17 0.030
-249.7161
-12.57125
degree |
.2920963
.0699526
4.18 0.000
.1549918
.4292009
ContainEthno2 |
1.184381
.532748
2.22 0.026
.1402136
2.228547
ContainRelig2 |
.0475041
.8119916
0.06 0.953
-1.54397
1.638978
terrStrong |
1.108153
.5135896
2.16 0.031
.1015362
2.11477
ordsize |
.8263433
.2819129
2.93 0.003
.2738041
1.378882
gle_rgdp |
.0000705
.000042
1.68 0.093
-.0000118
.0001529
p_polity2 | -.0360497
.0584086
-0.62 0.537
-.1505285
.0784291
_cons | -3.832412
.7310711
-5.24
0.000
-5.265285
-2.399539