Bus 411 Day 15 Copyright 2005 Prentice Hall 1 Agenda Assignment 5 Corrected 2 A’s, 3 B’s, 2 C’s and 3 F’s Everyone that submitted all the work on time got an A or B Mid-term exam Sent to you on WebCT Fill out the answers and send it back using WebCT eail Due on March 16 Finish Discussion on Finance/Accounting, R&D, & MIS Issues Discussion on Strategy review, evaluation and control Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-2 Midterm The following 20 short essays comprise the midterm exam for this class. This is a take home exam and you may use any resource other than another person. With the exception of Question 18, you should be able to complete the exam using the text as your only resource. Any evidence of collaboration with any other person on this exam will result in a score of zero and a formal charge of cheating to the Student Conduct Officer. If you have questions about the exam, please contact your instructor. The completed exam is due no later than Friday, March 16, 2007 at the beginning of class (9:30AM). Please e-mail your completed exams using WebCT e-mail to Tony Gauvin. Exams submitted beyond the due date will receive a twenty-point reduction per day. Exams submitted on the correct day but beyond the required time will receive a ten-point deduction. There will be no exceptions. Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-3 teams Team 1 J. Harbison N. Lozier M. Martin Team 2 C. Brusig C. Pennine T. Nhundu J. Jalbert Team 3 K. Beaulieu M. Doucette D. Lemon Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-4 Timeline March 13 Tony Case study One Apple Computer Case study team work March 23 Team 1 Case Study Two Dell Computer Case study team work Team 3 Case Study Four Molson Coors Brewing Company Case study team work April 10 Team 2 Case Study Three PepsiCo Case study team work April 6 March 20 How to present a case study Mid-term due Case study team work April 3 March 16 Finish Chapter 8 Chapter 9 Mid-term assigned Team 1 Case Study Five Hershey Foods Corporation Case study team work April 13 (Friday the 13th) Team 2 Case Study Six Kellogg Company Case study team work March 26-30 Spring Break Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-5 Assignment 5 Swot Matrix Leave Blank Strengths – S 1. Strong brand recognition and recall 2. Brand equity 3. Talented employee base 4. Access to Google available to anyone with Internet 5. Good cash reserves 6. Strong revenues and profit margins 7. Relationships with major corporations like AOL 8. Culture of innovation and accountability 9. Products based on solving consumer needs Weaknesses – W 1. Corporate governance 2. Lack of independence of board 3. Unclear vision 4. Fast growth 5. Potential for inappropriate positioning of client brands on Web sites 6. Small relative to competitors 7. Little physical presence in some global markets Opportunities – O 1. Internet-based technologies and businesses continue to develop 2. Worldwide growth in Internet coverage and use 3. Asia makes up most of world’s population, but has low Internet penetration 4. Increasing demand for Web-based business and consumer solutions 5. Advertising spending increasing online 6. Potential to expand into other media SO Strategies 1. Continue to develop new offerings that build upon brand and increase unique visitors to sites (e.g., Google Video, Froogle, Gmail) – S4, S9, O4, O5 2. Expand Google into additional countries (particularly in Asia) and languages (especially Mandarin) – S4, O2, O3 3. Increase advertising sales (S1, S2, S9, O5, O6) 4. Target business solutions in addition to consumer solutions (S7, S8, O1) WO Strategies 1. Develop clear vision for company (W3, O1, O4) 2. Partner when possible with organizations to develop new applications (W6, W7, O2, O3, O4) 3. Target growth in specific areas (W6, W7, O2, O3, O4) 4. Develop presence in Asia (especially in China) and South America (W7, O2, O5) Threats – T 1. Competition, especially Microsoft and Yahoo! 2. Potential for click fraud 3. Potential for attack on servers 4. Legal constraints in the are of intellectual property rights 5. Consumer attitudes toward online advertising ST Strategies 1. Defend against competitors by ensuring people are satisfied with Google services and developing new services (S5, S6, T1) 2. Build excellence in areas of importance to consumers in order to encourage Yahoo! users to switch to Google (S9, T1) 3. Harness innovation to develop preventative measures to protect against attacks from hackers (S8, T2, T3) 4. Be proactive in the interpretation of intellectual property rights laws and regulations (S3, S8, T4) 5. Develop new streams of revenue that are not based on advertising models (S5, S3, S8, T5) WT Strategies 1. Establish a plan for addressing threats from Microsoft and other competitors (W1, W2, W3, W6, T1) Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-6 Space matrix Goog_Space_matrix1.xls Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-7 QSPM In this example, option 1 is market development in China and option 2 is product development of an online paym Both options are suggested by Google’s aggressive position in the Grand Strategy Matrix. Weight Option 1 AS TAS Option 2 AS TAS Strengths Brand recognition and recall .05 2 .10 4 .20 Brand equity (#1 among online brands) .05 3 .15 4 .20 Talented employee base .10 3 .30 2 .20 Free to consumers with Internet access .10 4 .40 2 .20 Cash resources ($426 million) .10 4 .40 3 .30 Strong profits and revenues (up over 100% since previous year) .05 4 .20 3 .15 No reliance on specific software/hardware .05 4 .20 2 .10 Culture of innovation .10 2 .20 3 .30 Powerful business relationships .05 3 .15 4 .20 Lack of presence in key international markets (especially Asia) .05 4 .20 1 .05 Lack of clear visionary leadership .10 3 .30 2 .20 Issues with corporate governance .10 2 .20 1 .10 Vulnerability in product applications .05 - - - - Weak profitability compared to competition .05 4 .20 2 .10 Total 1.0 Weaknesses Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-8 In this example, option 1 is market development in China and option 2 is product development of an online payment system like PayPal (e.g., new Internet-based business solutions). Both options are suggested by Google’s aggressive position in the SPACE Matrix. Opportunities Internet-based technologies and businesses continue to develop .10 1 .10 4 .40 Worldwide growth in Internet coverage and use .05 4 .20 2 .10 Large market still to be tapped (currently only 15.7% of the world has Internet access). Asia, in particular, is a valuable potential market. It makes up 56.4% of the world’s population, but only 9.9% of its population are online (according to www.internetworldstats.com .05 4 .20 1 .05 Increasing demand for Web-based business and consumer solutions .15 2 .30 3 .45 Advertising spending declining in other media but increasing online .15 3 .45 4 .60 Potential to expand into other media .05 2 .10 3 .15 Microsoft has stated its plans to threaten Google’s future .10 2 .20 3 .30 Other competitors (Yahoo!, eBay, MSN, and others) .10 4 .40 2 .20 Potential for click fraud .05 2 .10 - - Potential for attacks on Google’s servers .05 - - 1 .05 Legal constraints in the area of intellectual property rights .10 1 .10 3 .30 Consumer attitudes toward online advertising .05 - - 4 .20 Total 1.0 Threats Sum Total Attractiveness Score Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall 5.15 5.10 Ch 7-9 BCG data Revenues Profits % Industry Growth Rate Market Share Google websites Advertising 1589032 198629 1 31.5 high Google Network Web Site Advertising 1554256 194282 0.5 31.5 high 45935 5741.875 20 high 3189223 398652.875 Licensing (and other revenues) > 0.1 399199 MSFT Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall 8128000 1000's in 2004 Ch 7-10 Google BCG Matrix Relative Market Share Position Industry Sales Growth Rate High 1.0 Medium .50 Low 0.0 High +40 Stars II Question Marks I Cash Cows III Dogs IV Medium 0 Low -40 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-11 Steps in Preparing Case Studies Identify Existing Mission, Vision, Objectives, Strategies Develop New Vision and Mission Most are poor CPM EFE Identify internal strengths and weaknesses IFE Financial ratios Analyze SWOT Matrix SPACE BCG IE matrix Grand Strategy Matrix QSPM Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Give advantage and disadvantages of alternative strategies Recommend Identify external opportunities and threats Strategies and long range objectives Show cost Specify how strategies are to be implemented and what results to expect Recommend specific annual objectives (goal) and polices Recommend procedures for evaluation Be Original – Take chances Remember business rewards risk taking Ch 7-12 Finance/Accounting Issues Capital acquisition to implement strategies Debt Equity Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-13 Finance/Accounting Issues Debt vs. Equity Decisions EPS/EBIT analysis Earnings per share/Earnings before interest and taxes Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-14 EPS-EBIT Analysis (in $millions) Heinz Company – Year End 2001 $Amount Needed: $500 Stock Price $40 EBIT Range $1000 to $2000 Tax Rate 175/673 = .26 = 26% Interest Rate 5% # Shares Outstanding 350 (million) Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-15 EPS-EBIT Analysis (in $millions) – Heinz Company Stock Financing Financing Combination 60/40 High Low High Low High Low $2000 $1000 $2000 $1000 $2000 $1000 0 0 25 25 10 10 EBT 2000 1000 1975 975 1990 990 Taxes 26% 520 260 514 254 517 257 EAT 1480 740 1461 721 1473 733 # Shares outstanding 362.5 362.5 350 350 357.5 357.5 EPS 4.08 2.04 4.17 2.06 4.12 2.05 EBIT ($982.4 in 2001) Interest (5%) Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-16 Finance/Accounting Issues EPS-EBIT Analysis Heinz Conclusion: Heinz should use debt to raise the $500 million Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-17 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-18 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-19 Finance/Accounting Issues Projected Financial Statements Allow an organization to examine the expected results of various actions and approaches Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-20 Finance/Accounting Issues Steps in Preparing Projected Financial Statements 1. Prepare income statement before balance sheet (forecast sales) 2. Use percentage of sales method to project CoGS & expenses 3. Calculate projected net income Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-21 Finance/Accounting Issues Steps in Preparing Projected Financial Statements (cont’d) 4. Subtract dividends to be paid from Net Income and add remaining to Retained Earnings 5. Project balance sheet times beginning with retained earnings 6. List comments (remarks) on projected statements Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-22 Projected Income Statement for Litten Company (in millions) Prior Year 2005 Projected Year 2006 Remarks Projected Income Statement Sales 100 150.00 50% increase 70 105.00 70% of sales 30 45.00 10 15.00 10% of sales 5 7.50 5% of sales 15 22.50 3 3.00 12 19.50 Taxes 6 9.75 Net Income 6 9.75 2 5.00 4 4.75 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Margin Selling Expense Administrative Expense EBIT Interest EBT Dividends Retained Earnings Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall 50% rate Ch 7-23 Finance/Accounting Issues Financial Budget -- Details how funds will be obtained and spent for a specified period of time. Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-24 Finance/Accounting Issues Types of Budgets Cash budgets Operating budgets Sales budgets Profit budgets Factory Budgets Expense Budgets Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-25 Finance/Accounting Issues Types of Budgets Divisional budgets Variable budgets Flexible budgets Fixed budgets Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-26 Finance/Accounting Issues Evaluating Worth of a Business Central to strategy implementation – integrative, intensive, & diversification strategies often implemented through acquisitions of other firms Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-27 Finance/Accounting Issues Evaluating Worth of a Business: 3 Basic Approaches 1. What a firm owns 1. 2. 2. What a firm earns 1. 3. Total assets – liabilities (discount overvalued assets) Stockholders equity 5 X times annual earnings (tax consequences) What a firm will bring in the market 1. Outstanding shares Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-28 Worth of a Business Analysis (see 8-8) Southwest Airlines Stockholders’ Equity: Net Income: Stock Price: EPS: Shares Outstanding Company Worth Analysis Stockholders Equity Net Income x 5 Share Price/EPS x NI # Shares x Share Price Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall $ 5,524 313 15.70 .45 784 $ 5,524 1,565 10,920 12,309 Ch 7-29 Research & Development Issues -- New products and improvement of existing products that allow for effective strategy implementation Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-30 Research & Development Issues Constraints Level of support constrained by resource availability Technological improvements shorten product life cycles Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-31 Research & Development Issues 3 Major R&D approaches to implementing strategies 1. 2. 3. 1st firm to market new technological products Innovative imitator of successful products Low-cost producer of similar but less expensive products Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-32 Management Information Systems (MIS) Issues -- Information is the basis for understanding the firm. One of the most important factors differentiating successful from unsuccessful firms Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-33 MIS Issues Functions of MIS Information collection, retrieval, & storage Keeping managers informed Coordination of activities among divisions Allow firm to reduce costs Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-34 Chapter 9 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategic Management: Concepts & Cases 11th Edition Fred David Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-35 Strategic Management Process Model Perfrom External Audit Chap 3 Develop Mission and Mission Statements Chap 2 Establish Long-term Objectives Chap 4 Generate, Evaluate and Select Strageies Chap 3 Implement Strategies Management Issues Chap 7 Implement Strategies Marketing, Finance, accounting, R&D, MIS issues Chap 8 Measure and Evaluate Performance Chap 9 Perform Internal Audit Chap 4 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-36 Strategy Evaluation Organizations are most vulnerable when they are at the peak of their success -R.T. Lenz Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-37 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control -- Strategies become obsolete -- Internal environments are dynamic -- External environments are dynamic Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-38 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Vital to the organization’s well-being Alert management to potential/actual problems in a timely fashion Erroneous strategic decisions can have severe negative impact on organizations Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-39 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control 3 Basic Activities 1. Examine the underlying bases of a firm’s strategy 1. 2. 2. 3. Did we do a careful analysis? Did things change? Compare expected to actual results Identify corrective actions to ensure that performance conforms to plans Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-40 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Complex & sensitive undertaking Overemphasis can be costly & counterproductive Too much time spent measuring rather than doing Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-41 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Appraisal of Strategic Performance Have assets increased Increase in profitability Increase in sales Increase in productivity Profit margins, ROI, & EPS ratios increased Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-42 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-43 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Strategy should not present inconsistent goals & policies Issue and not “people” problems Success for one department means failure for another Policy problems rise to the top Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-44 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-45 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consonance Need for strategies to examine sets of trends Need a Holistic view (internal and external) Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-46 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-47 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Feasibility Neither overtax resources or create unsolvable sub-problems Can it be done with the given or available resources? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-48 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-49 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Advantage Creation or maintenance of competitive advantage If it doesn't create a competitive advantage then what’s the point? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-50 Process of strategic evaluation Management should be continually aware of progress Management by wandering around Don't wait for information get to you, go out and get the information Things Change Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-51 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Difficulties in Strategy Evaluation 1. 2. 3. Increase in environment’s complexity Difficulty predicting future with accuracy Increasing number of variables Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-52 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Difficulties in Strategy Evaluation 4. 5. 6. Rate of obsolescence of plans Domestic and global events Decreasing time span for planning certainty Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-53 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Should - Initiate managerial questioning Trigger review of objectives & values Stimulate creativity in generating alternatives Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-54 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review of Underlying Bases of Strategy - Develop revised EFE Matrix Develop revised IFE Matrix Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-55 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review Effectiveness of Strategy -1. 2. 3. 4. Competitors’ reaction to strategy Competitors’ change in strategy Competitors’ changes in strengths & weaknesses Reasons for competitors’ strategic change Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-56 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review Effectiveness of Strategy -5. 6. 7. 8. Reasons for competitors’ successful strategies Competitors’ present market positions & profitability Potential for competitor retaliation Potential for cooperation with competitors Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-57 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Monitor Strengths & Weaknesses; Opportunities & Threats Are strengths still strengths? Have we added additional strengths? Are weaknesses still weaknesses? Have we developed other weaknesses? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-58 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Monitor Strengths & Weaknesses; Opportunities & Threats Are opportunities still opportunities? Other opportunities develop? Are threats still threats Other threats emerged? Are we vulnerable to hostile takeover? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-59 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-60 Review Underlying Bases New IFE & EFE Differences? Evaluation Framework Yes NO Measure Firm Performance Differences? Take Corrective Actions Yes NO Continue present course Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-61 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Measuring Organizational Performance Compare expected to actual results Investigate deviations from plan Evaluate individual performance Progress toward stated objectives Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-62 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Quantitative Criteria for Strategy Evaluation Financial Ratios Compare performance over different periods Compare performance to competitors Compare performance to industry averages Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-63 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Key Financial Ratios Return on investment (ROI) Return on equity (ROE) Profit margin Market Share Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-64 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Key Financial Ratios Debt to equity Earnings per share (EPS) Sales growth Asset growth Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-65 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Qualitative Evaluation of Strategy Internal consistency of strategy Consistency with environment Appropriateness in view of resources Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-66 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Qualitative Evaluation of Strategy Acceptable degree of risk Appropriate time frame Workability of the strategy Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-67 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Balanced Scorecard -- Evaluate strategies from 4 perspectives: 1. Financial performance 2. Customer knowledge 3. Internal business processes 4. Learning & growth Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-68 Balanced Scorecard Area of Objectives Measure or Target Time Expectation Primary Responsibility Customers 1 2 Managers/Employees 1 2 Operations/Processes 1 2 Community/Social Responsibility 1 2 Business Ethics/Natural Environment 1 2 Financial 1 2 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-69 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-70 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Characteristics of Strategy Evaluation Economical Meaningful Generates useful information Timely information Provides accurate picture of events Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-71 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Contingency Planning Alternative plans that can be put into effect if certain key events do not occur as expected Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-72 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Auditing Financial audits determine correspondence between assertions based on strategic plan & established criteria Environmental audits insure sound and safe practices Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-73 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control 21st Century Challenges in Strategic Management Process is more an “art” than “science” You can learn the “science”, the “art” part requires experiences and practice Should strategies be visible or hidden from stakeholders Only when secrecy gives some competitive advantage Should process be more top-down or bottom up Current research suggests bottom-up Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 7-74