The effectiveness of conservation efforts in the Little Bear River Watershed Douglas Jackson-Smith: SSWA Dept, USU Nancy Mesner: WATS Dept, USU David Stevens, Jeff Horsburgh, Darwin Sorensen: CEE Dept, USU Overview Background Analysis of Existing WQ Data Implementation & Maintenance Study Alternative Approaches – Riparian Study Targeting Critical Areas Common BMP Monitoring Problems Rethinking Monitoring USDA’s Conservation Effectiveness Assessment Projects National Assessment Watershed Studies Bibliographies and Lit Reviews CEAP Program Objectives Determine whether publicly-funded programs to reduce phosphorus loadings from nonpoint sources into surface waters in the Little Bear River watershed are effective; Examine the strengths and weaknesses of different water quality monitoring programs; and Make recommendations to stakeholders to ensure that future agricultural management efforts are targeted towards the most effective and socioeconomically viable BMPs. USU Project Overview Original LBR watershed project (~1990-2002) Funds from HUA; EPA 319; EQIP USU Conservation Effects Assessment Program (CEAP) Grant – 2005-2009 Assess effects of historical conservation practices Review historical data Map practices and their implementation Model watershed and stream response Outreach and education Establish water quality monitoring network Little Bear Watershed Little Bear River Hydrologic Unit Project Pre-treatment problems: Bank erosion, manure management, flood irrigation problems Treatments: bank stabilization, river reach restoration, off-stream watering, manure and water management, grazing management Analysis of Historic Water Quality Trends Seasonal Kendall Trend for TP concentration at Mendon Rd (mouth of LBR). 1.0 Conservation project initiation Total Phosphorus, mg/L 0.8 Slope -0.0043 mg/L yr Since 1992 No Significant 0.6 slope before 1990 0.4 0.2 0.0 1980 1985 1990 Date 1995 2000 2005 Flow data may drag down ‘post’ estimates Ambient Monitoring Data Little Bear at Paradise Moist Dry Cons ‘Normal’ Projects Dry OBSERVATIONS Trends suggest water quality improvements Data Record Insufficient to Tease out Exogenous Variables – project coincided with changes in background climate conditions Link Trends to BMP Implementation Support Traditional Modeling Approaches Implementation and Maintenance of BMPs Socioeconomic Component PROGRAM SIGNUP C O N T R A C T E D B M P S I M M P A L I E N M T BEHAVIOR E E N N T A A N T C I E O N WATER QUALITY Socioeconomic Methods Gather formal practice info from NRCS files Went through every file – 90 landowners Create master list of practices (871 total) Copied key maps for interviews Conduct field interviews with participants Validate file information Contacted 70 of 90 participants 55 agreed to be interviewed 61% of all landowners; 79% of those we contacted Conducted field interviews - ~90 minutes Detailed discussoin about BMP experience Findings - Implementation Individual BMPs 83% of BMPs successfully implemented Reasons for non-implementation (17%) Some cases – not recognized as contracted BMP Many – management practices that did not change behavior (based on interview discussion) Farm-Level 32% farms implemented all BMPs 60% farms implemented more than ½ Maintenance of BMPs Is it still there? If not, why not? Overall – 21% of implemented BMPs not still there Combined with non-implemented practices = 1/3 of all originally contracted BMPs not currently there Why not maintained? No longer farming or sold land – 32% Still farming, no longer use – 68% BMP Implementation & Maintenance by "Type" 100 90 83 83 80 70 60 49 50 40 30 20 10 0 Structural Planting, Clearing and Leveling Percent implemented Percent original BMPs still there Management Percent maintained Implications: Maintenance Good news: Not so good news: Producers did not discontinue the practices because they did not like them The management practices had the shortest lifespan ALSO: Nonfarm Development and Farm Changes can also affect long term impacts Implications: Implementation Management practices are the heart of conservation programs Failure to fully implement may have huge impacts on success Big Question: How can management behaviors be implemented more effectively? Analysis of Riparian Area BMPs Videography Analysis Component Limitations to WQ monitoring data in 1990s Search for alternative indicators of BMP impact Discussions with colleagues led to discovery of 1992 aerial 3-band videography for stretches of LBR Arranged to re-fly the river in 2007 Analysis Strategy Match images from 1992 and 2007 Classify vegetative conditions for both time periods within identical riparian zones Riparian trees Small shrubs & grasses Bare soil Water & Shadows Quantify changes in riparian vegetation and stream geomorphology between 1992-2007 Associate presence or absence of ‘riparian-relevant’ BMPs to these changes ‘Riparian Area’ Focused BMPs Stream channel structural BMPs Stream access controls for livestock Clearing & snagging (326) Streambank and shoreline protection (580) Stream channel stabilization (584) Riparian fencing (5383) – subset of 382 Stream crossing (578) Riparian vegetation BMPs Channel vegetation (322) Critical area planting (342) Tree/Shrub establishment (612) (13,825’) 2007 digital images 1992 video images Site: Upstream from Hyrum Dam 1992 Multispectral Mosaic Detail 2007 Multispectral Mosaic Initial Observations Significant vegetation growth Trees significantly larger throughout watershed Significant geomorphologic changes in main stream channel path Moving centerline New ‘islands’ Major bank cuts & shifts in some new erosion BIG QUESTION: Is it because of BMPs? 1992 2007 1992 2007 STATISTICAL RESULTS Calculate area for each of 5 different vegetative classes PREVIEW: analysis approach Document overall patterns of change Shows the ‘background’ trends Compare changes in “BMP impact zones” Aggregated riparian-relevant BMPs Individual riparian-relevant BMPs Comparison to Non-BMP areas Percent of Riparian Zone by Vegetation Type, BMP and Non-BMP Impacted Zones 80% 66% 70% 61% Percent of Riparian Zone 60% 53% 50% 39% 40% 30% 20% 20% 24% 17% 15% 17% 17% 9% 10% 18% 15% 13% 8% 9% 0% Water/Shadow Riparian Trees Shrubs & Grasses Bare Soil BMP areas 1992 BMP areas 2007 Non-BMP areas 1992 Non-BMP areas 2007 Percent Change in Riparian Vegetation by BMP Status, 1992 to 2007 80% Percent Change 1992-2007 60% 55% 40% 33% 25% 20% 0% (-20%) (-40%) (-46%) (-47%) (-46%) (-47%) (-45%) (-48%) Shrubs & Grasses Bare Soil (-60%) Riparian Trees BMP area NonBMParea Overall Quick Summary Riparian conditions improving throughout watershed (more trees, less exposed soil) BMPs installed in areas with less vegetation BMPs associated with much more rapid growth in tree cover, similar rates of decline in exposed soil Fences = reduced exposed soil most Instream work = increased trees the most Targeting Critical Areas Idea behind Targeting… Growing Recognition of Landscape Variability Research Q: Is there evidence that the BMPs implemented in LBR specifically targeted critical areas? Critical Areas: areas where the potential contribution of pollutants (i.e., sediments, phosphorus) to the receiving water is significantly higher than other areas Combined Map of Risk Zones Description of LBR Area Lowinfluence km2 (%) Low-risk km2 (%) Sub-risk km2 (%) Risk km2 (%) Total km2 LBR Watershed (total) 365 (53%) 225 (33%) 57 (8%) 35 (5%) 682 Farm Field Area 173 (67%) 47 (18%) 20 (8%) 19 (7%) 259 Contracted Farm Field Area 38 (48%) 21(26%) 12(15%) 9(11%) 80 Non-Contract Farm Field Area 135 (75%) 26 (15%) 8 (4%) 10 (6%) 179 Sub-Risk Low-Influence 23% Covered By BMPs 62% 62 % 23% Low Risk Risk 47% 47 % 47% 47 % Implications: Spatial Analysis Evidence exists that higher risk zones were targeted with BMPs (not random) More than ½ of riskiest areas covered by BMPs More than 70% of BMPs in zones that are not considered at high risk for runoff erosion Suggests opportunity for greater targeting & efficiency Related to structure of program Common Problems in BMP Monitoring Programs Lessons Learned: Common problems in BMP monitoring programs • Failure to design monitoring plan around BMP objectives Failure to identify and quantify sources of variability in these dynamic systems. • • Failure to understand pollutant pathways and transformations choosing inappropriate monitoring approaches v Little Bear River Watershed, Utah Total Observations at Watershed Outlet site Discharge 1976 - 2004: 1994 - 2004: 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Total phosphorus 162 72 241 99 11 10 10 11 6 7 6 4 2 4 1 13 13 13 4 10 10 5 7 8 8 8 Number of observations each year Was the original UDWQ monitoring program a failure? No….Program was intended to detect exceedences of water quality criteria. The failure was ours…. In attempting to use these monitoring data for detecting change in loads • Failure to design monitoring plan around BMP objectives • Failure to identify and quantify sources of variability in these dynamic system. • A failure to understand pollutant pathways and transformations choosing inappropriate monitoring approaches “lower watershed site” “upper watershed site” Monitoring stations Data Processing Applications Internet Monitoring/data system Base Station Computer(s) Data discovery, visualization, analysis, and modeling through Internet enabled applications Workgroup HIS Server Programmer interaction through web services Internet Telemetry Network Observations Database (ODM) Environmental Sensors Workgroup HIS Tools Upper Site Flow (cfs) Turbidity (NTU) • Seasonal and annual variation • Variation between sites • Different pathways of pollutants Lower Site Flow (cfs) Turbidity (NTU) January – December 2006 Sample Data Surrogate monitoring results Sources of variability in sampling data • Relationship of surrogate to target pollutant • Sampling frequency • Timing of sampling • Rare events Turbidity vs TSS at Upper Site • Variability in correlations between turbidity and water quality parameters (TSS and TP) Impact of “rare” events TSS Load Upper Site Lower Site 8.9 X 106 1.4 X 107 Runoff (% of total) 89% 54% Baseflow (% of total) 11% 46% Storms (% of baseflow) <1% 16% Annual (kg) • Failure to design monitoring plan around BMP objectives • Failure to identify and quantify sources of variability in these dynamic system. • A failure to understand pollutant pathways and transformations choosing inappropriate monitoring approaches Problems with “one-size-fits-all” monitoring design Rees Creek TSS load 50000 45000 40000 kg / day 35000 30000 25000 20000 Above 15000 Problem: excess sediment 10000 Below Average flow = 20 cfs 5000 BMP = series of in-stream sediment basins 0 1 2 3 4 5 weeks 6 7 8 9 Bear River phosphorus load 400 350 load (kg/day) 300 250 200 150 100 Problem: excess phosphorus 50 Average flow = 1000 cfs 0 BMP = fence cattle OUT of 4riparian 1 2 3 5 area 6 and 7revegetate 8 weeks 9 Rethinking Monitoring Designing Monitoring Programs to Evaluate BMP Effectiveness Nancy Mesner, Dept of Watershed Sciences Utah State University nancy.mesner@usu.edu; 435 797 7541 Ginger Paige, University of Wyoming University of Wyoming gpaige@uwyo.edu; (307) 766-2200 The road to more effective monitoring…. Monitoring plans require careful thought before anything is implemented. Consider how the data will be used to demonstrate change. Use your understanding of your watershed and how the pollutants of concern behave to target monitoring most effectively. Use different approaches for different BMPs. The road to more effective monitoring…. Keep project goals and objectives in mind when monitoring BMPs Monitor at an appropriate scale Keep time lags in mind Be selective, consider individual situations Monitor surrogates when appropriate Control or measure human behaviors / other watershed changes. Focuses on the considerations and decisions necessary as a project is first being considered. NOT a “how-to” manual of protocols Online, interactive version Currently being used to develop monitoring plans in MT, CO, WY, UT and tribes Target Audience State Environmental Agencies Conservation Groups Land Management Agencies Citizen Monitoring Groups Table of Contents INTRODUCTION SECTION 1 What is Your Monitoring Objective? SECTION 2 Understanding Your Pollutant and Your Natural System SECTION 3 Consider the Scale SECTION 4 Monitoring versus Modeling: Different Approaches to Detecting Impacts SECTION 5 Choosing the Best Monitoring Design SECTION 6 Site Specific Considerations SECTION 7 Protocols SECTION 8 Quality Assurance and Quality Control SECTION 9 Data Management SECTION 10 Analysis of Data SECTION 11 Interpreting and Using the Data REFERENCES APPENDIX A-C: DEFINITIONS & RESOURCES Additional Resources - Tools Check list Decision Tree identify KEY components of a monitoring program non- linear process – very interactive Web Version of the Guidance Document: (Under Development) active links to the information and references in the Guidance Document Check List ► Method to help identify KEY components that need to be considered ► Takes one through the thought process. Decision Tree ► Identifies KEY components ► Shows links between components ► Links to information in the Guidance doc ► Non – linear!! Next Steps Finalizing document Available as a document & online as pdf Northern Plains and Mountains Website http://region8water.colostate.edu/ Developing web version Links to “key” information models websites water quality standards Using in watershed WQ monitoring programs Getting and incorporating feedback Additional Conclusions Formal USDA Program files are imperfect guide to actual BMP implementation & maintenance Fieldwork can generate important insights into waterquality relevant behaviors More accurate behavioral component of models Understanding barriers to implementation & maintenance Face to Face Contact = particularly useful Takes time & money Future Actions Assistance with Watershed Coordinators in developing effective monitoring plans; Application of many of the lessons learned on a Utah watershed project Evaluation of effectiveness of Utah’s NPS program. QUESTIONS? CONTACT INFO: nancy.mesner@usu.edu doug.jackson-smith@usu.edu david.stevens@usu.edu This research is supported by CSREES CEAP Competitive Watershed Grant UTAW-2004-05671