Bridge Engineering Lecture 1 A Planning of Bridges Dr. Shahzad Rahman Bridge Planning • • • • • • • Traffic Studies Hydrotechnical Studies Geotechnical Studies Environmental Considerations Alternatives for Bridge Type Economic Feasibility Bridge Selection and Detailed Design Traffic Studies New Road Link Existing Network New Bridge City Center Traffic Studies • Traffic studies need to be carried out to ascertain the amount of traffic that will utilize the New or Widened Bridge • This is needed to determine Economic Feasibility of the Bridge • For this Services of a Transportation Planner and or Traffic Engineer are Required • Such Studies are done with help of Traffic Software such as TransCAD, EMME2 etc. Traffic Studies • Traffic Studies should provide following information – Traffic on Bridge immediately after opening – Amount of traffic at various times during life of the Bridge – Traffic Mix i.e. number of motorcars, buses, heavy trucks and other vehicles – Effect of the new link on existing road network – Predominant Origin and Destination of traffic that will use the Bridge – Strategic importance of the new/improved Bridge Hydrotechnical Studies • A thorough understanding of the river and river regime is crucial to planning of Bridge over a river • Hydrotechnical Studies should include: • Topographic Survey 2km upstream and 2km downstream for small rivers including Longitudinal section and X-sections • For big rivers 5kms U/S and 2kms D/S should be surveyed • Navigational Requirements Hydrotechnical Studies • Scale of the topographic map – 1:2000 for small rivers – 1:5000 for large rivers • The High Flood Levels and the Observed Flood Level should be indicated map • Sufficient Number of x-sections should be taken and HFL and OFL marked on them • River Bed surveying would require soundings Hydrotechnical Studies • Catchment Area Map • Scale recommended – 1:50,000 or – 1:25,000 • Map can be made using GT Sheets available from Survey of Pakistan • All Reservoirs, Rain Gauges Stns., River Gauge Stns., should be marked on map Catchment of River Indus Hydrotechnical Studies River Catchment Area Hydrotechnical Studies River Catchment Boundaries with Tributaries Hydrotechnical Studies River Catchment Boundaries with Sub-Basin Boundaries Hydrological Data • Following Hydrological Data should be collected: • Rainfall Data from Rain Gauge Stations in the Catchment Area • Isohyetal Map of the Catchment Area showing contours of Annual Rainfall • Hydrographs of Floods at River Gauge Stations • Flow Velocities • Sediment Load in River Flow during floods Hydrologic Data Example of an ISOHYETAL MAP Hydrologic Data Example of River Hydrograph Hydrologic Data Example of a River Hydrograph Design Flood Levels • AASHTO Gives Following Guidelines for Estimating Design Flood Levels Design Flood Levels • AASHTO Gives Following Guidelines for Estimating Design Flood Levels Design Flood Levels • CANADIAN MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION Gives Following Guidelines for Estimating Design Flood Levels Design Flood Levels • CANADIAN MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION Gives Following Guidelines for Estimating Design Flood Levels Design Flood Levels FREEBOARD REQUIREMENTS • CANADIAN MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION Gives Following Guidelines for Estimating Freeboard Requirements Estimating Design Flood • Flood Peak Discharge at Stream or River Location Depends upon: • Catchment Area Characteristics – Size and shape of catchment area – Nature of catchment soil and vegetation – Elevation differences in catchment and between catchment and bridge site location • Rainfall Climatic Characteristics – Rainfall intensity duration and its spatial distribution • Stream/River Characteristics – Slope of the river – Baseline flow in the river – River Regulation Facilities/ Dams, Barrages on the river Methods of Estimating Design Flood 1. Empirical Methods 2. Flood Frequency Analysis 3. Rational Method Empirical Methods of Peak Flood Estimation • Empirical Formulae have been determined that relate Catchment Area and other weather or river parameters to Peak Flood Discharge • Popular Formulae for Indo-Pak are: – Dickens Formula Q = Discharge in Cusecs A = Catchment Area in Sq. Miles Q 825 A 3/ 4 – Inglis Formula 7000 A Q A4 – Ryve’s Formula Q C A2 / 3 C = 450 for areas within 15 miles off coast 560 between 15 – 100 miles off coast Flood Frequency Analysis Method • Usable at gauged sites where river discharge data is available for sufficient time in past • Following Methods are commonly used – Normal Distribution Method – Log-Normal Distribution – Log-Plot Graphical Method Flood Frequency Analysis Method • Normal Distribution Method – Based on Assumption that events follow the shape of Standard Normal Distribution Curve probability Normal Distribution Method QP QM KTr Q Q QP = Discharge Associated with Probability of Occurrence P QM = Mean Discharge over the data set σQ = Standard Deviation of the Discharge data set KTr = Frequency factor corresponding to Probability of Occurrence P Example of Peak Flood Estimation Flood Example Flood Frequency Analysis Actual Year 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Year (No.) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Normal Distribution Method 2 Max Flood Xi - Xavg (Xi - Xavg) Q 2 (cumecs) (cumecs) (cumecs ) 26 2.9 8.3 42 18.9 356.3 17 -6.1 37.5 35 11.9 141.0 16 -7.1 50.8 32 8.9 78.8 48 24.9 618.8 14 -9.1 83.3 13 -10.1 102.5 21 -2.1 4.5 18 -5.1 26.3 16 -7.1 50.8 Ranked Flow (Decending Order) 48 45 42 35 35 32 26 25 23 21 21 20 Rank R Probability Return Period P = R/n Tr = 1/P (yrs) 1 0.04 24.00 2 0.08 12.00 3 0.13 8.00 4 0.17 6.00 5 0.21 4.80 6 0.25 4.00 7 0.29 3.43 8 0.33 3.00 9 0.38 2.67 10 0.42 2.40 11 0.46 2.18 12 0.50 2.00 Example of Peak Flood Estimation Flood Actual Year 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Year (No.) 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Sample Pts = n = Mean Qm = M Sum of Squares = Variance = Standard Deviation = (Xi - Xavg) 2 Max Flood Xi - Xavg Q (cumecs) (cumecs) 20 15 35 45 23 14 12 17 25 15 21 15 S 2 -3.1 -8.1 11.9 21.9 -0.1 -9.1 -11.1 -6.1 1.9 -8.1 -2.1 -8.1 S ( n V 2 1 ) Coefficient of Variation = Cv = σ/M = 3 Skewness Coefficient = SC = 3 Cv + Cv = Input Return Period (Years) = Tr = Probability = p = 1/ Tr Flood Estimate = Qt = Rank R (cumecs2) 24 23.125 1 (x j x )2 n 1 V Ranked Flow (Decending Order) 9.8 66.0 141.0 478.5 0.0 83.3 123.8 37.5 3.5 66.0 4.5 66.0 18 17 17 16 16 15 15 15 14 14 13 12 2638.6 114.72 10.71 0 . 4 6 3 1.49 100 0.01 Input Value 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Probability Return Period P = R/n Tr = 1/P (yrs) 0.54 0.58 0.63 0.67 0.71 0.75 0.79 0.83 0.88 0.92 0.96 1.00 1.85 1.71 1.60 1.50 1.41 1.33 1.26 1.20 1.14 1.09 1.04 1.00 Example of Peak Flood Estimation Flood Input Return Period (Years) = Tr = Probability = p = 1/ Tr Flood Estimate = Qt = w ln 1 p 2 100 0.01 w= K Input Value 3.03485528 Tr w 2 . 51557 0 . 802853 w 0 . 010328 1 1 .532788 w 0 .189269 KTr = Flood Estimate = Qt = w 2 w 2 0 . 001308 2.32678649 Q Q t m Qt = Ktr 48.05 Cumecs 10 w 3 Log-Normal Distribution Method probability • Yields better Results Compared to Normal Distribution Method ln QP ln QM KTr ln Q Log Q or Ln Q lnQP = Log of Discharge Associated with Probability of Occurrence P lnQM = Mean of Log Discharge over the data set σlnQ = Standard Deviation of the Log of Discharge data set KTr = Frequency factor corresponding to Probability of Occurrence P QP = Antilog (ln QP) = Discharge Associated with Probability of Occurrence P Example of Peak Flood Estimation Flood Log-Plot Method Log Plot Discharge Vs Return Period 80 70 Discharge (cumecs) 60 50 40 Observed Discharge Log. (Observed Discharge) 30 20 y = 12.724Ln(x) + 11.733 10 0 1 10 100 Retun Period (Yrs) Trendline Equation is Qt = 12.724 Ln(Tr) + 11.213 For Return Qt = For Return Qt = Period Tr = 12.724 Ln (50) + 11.213 = Period Tr = 12.724 Ln (100) + 11.213 = 50 yrs 61.0 cumecs 69.8 cumecs 100 yrs Rational Method of Peak Flood Estimation • Attempts to give estimate of Design Discharge taking into account: – The Catchment Characteristics – Rainfall Intensity – Discharge Characteristics of the Catchment Q C IT A Q = Design Discharge IT = Average rainfall intensity (in/hr) for some recurrence interval, T during that period of time equal to Tc. Tc = Time of Concentration A = Area of the catchment in Sq. miles C = Runoff coefficient; fraction of runoff, expressed as a dimensionless decimal fraction, that appears as surface runoff from the contributing drainage area. Rational Method of Peak Flood Estimation • Time of Concentration can be estimated using Barnsby Williams Formula which is widely used by US Highway Engineers 0 .9 L Tc 0.1 0.2 A S L = Length of Stream in Miles A = Area of the catchment in Sq. miles S = Average grade from source to site in percent Rational Formula – Runoff Coefficient Area Characteristic Steep Bare Rock Steep Rock with Woods Run-off Coefficient C 0.90 0.80 Plateau with light cover Densely built-up areas Residential areas 0.70 0.90 – 0.70 0.70 – 0.50 Stiff Clayey soils Loam Suburbs with gardens Sandy soils 0.50 0.40 – 0.30 0.30 0.1 – 0.20 Jungle area Parks, Lawns, Fields 0.10 – 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 Geotechnical Studies • Geotechnical Studies should provide the following Information: • The types of Rocks, Dips, Faults and Fissures • Subsoil Ground Water Level, Quality, Artesian Conditions if any • Location and extent of soft layers • Identification of hard bearing strata • Physical properties of soil layers Geotechnical Studies Example Geological Profile: Cross section of the soil on the route of the Paris The diagram above shows the crossing over the Seine via the Bir Hakeim bridge and the limestone quarries under Trocadéro Geotechnical Studies Example: Cross section of the Kansas River, west of Silver Lake, Kansas Typical Borehole Seismic Considerations Source: Building Code of Pakistan Tectonic Setting of the Bridge Site Source: Geological Survey of Pakistan Environmental Considerations • Impact on Following Features of Environment need to considered: – River Ecology which includes: • Marine Life • Wildlife along river banks • Riverbed • Flora and fauna along river banks – Impact upon dwellings along the river if any – Impact upon urban environment if the bridge in an urban area – Possible impact upon archeological sites in vicinity Bridge Economic Feasibility • Economic Analysis is Required at Feasibility Stage to justify expenditure of public or private funds • A Bridge is the most expensive part of a road transportation network • Types of Economic Analyses – Cost Benefit Ratio Analysis – Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Analysis Construction Stage Project Start Date Benefits Stream Project Life Project Life End Date Salvage Value Costs Stream Bridge Economic Analysis/ Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) Time Project Cost Benefit Analysis • The objective of LCCA is to – Estimate the costs associated with the Project during Construction an its service life. These include routine maintenance costs + Major Rehab Costs – Estimate the Benefits that will accrue from the Project including time savings to road users, benefits to business activities etc. – Bring down the costs and benefits to a common reference pt. in time i.e. just prior to start of project (decision making time) – Facilitate decision making about economic feasibility by calculating quantifiable yardsticks such as Benefit to Cost Ratio (BCR) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • Note: Salvage Value may be taken as a Benefit This includes cost of the Right-of-Way and substructure What is Life Cycle Cost? • An economic analysis procedure that uses engineering inputs • Compares competing alternatives considering all significant costs • Expresses results in equivalent dollars (present worth) Time Period of Analysis • Normally equal for all alternatives • Should include at least one major rehabilitation • Needed to capture the true economic benefit of each alternative • Bridge design today is based on a probabilistic model of 100 years • Project Life Project Life End Date Time Salvage Value Construction Stage Project Start Date Problem: Benefits Stream Costs Stream Bridge Economic Analysis/ Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) Costs and Benefits Change over the life of the Project • Amount of Money/Benefit accrued some time in future is worth less in terms of Today’s money • Same is the case with the benefits accrued over time • The Problem now is as to How to find the Worth of a Financial Amount in Future in terms of Today’s Money • This is accomplished by using the instrument of “DISCOUNT RATE” Bridge Economic Analysis/ Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) DISCOUNT RATE: The annual effective discount rate is the annual interest divided by the capital including that interest, which is the interest rate divided by 100% plus the interest rate. It is the annual discount factor to be applied to the future cash flow, to find the discount, subtracted from a future value to find the value one year earlier. For example, suppose there is an investment made of $95 and pays $100 in a year's time. The discount rate according the given definition is: Discount Rate d 100 95 5.0% 100 Interest Rate is calculated as $ 95 as Base 100 95 Interest Rate i 5.26% 95 Interest Rate and Discount Rate are Related as Follows i Discount Rate d i i2 1i Discount Rate • Thus Discount Rate is that rate which can be used to obtain the Present Value of Money that is spent or collected in future Cn Co Project Start Date Benefits Stream Costs Stream Cost/ Benefit Projected Backward Year n Time Bo Bn Project Life Net Present value of Cost incurred = Co = (1 - d)n Cn In Year n Net Present value of Cost incurred = Bo = (1 - d)n Bn In Year n What Discount Rate to Use? • A first estimate of appropriate Discount rate can be made as follows: Estimate of Discount Rate = Federal Bank Lending Rate – Average Long-term Inflation Rate Note: By subtracting the Inflation Rate in arriving at a Discount Rate the effect of Inflation can be removed from consideration during Economic Analysis The Discount Rate after subtracting the Inflation Rate is also Referred to as the “Real Discount Rate” Govt. of Pakistan uses a Discount Rate of 6-7% for economic analysis Asian Development Bank uses a Discount rate of 12% for evaluation of projects Discount Rate is less than the Real interest Rate as Governments do not take a purely commercial view of an infrastructure project Cost Considerations Present Worth Salvage Costs Costs Initial Cost Rehabilitation Cost Maintenance and Inspection Cost Years Salvage Value Cost Benefit Ratio Formula for Cost Benefit Ratio L Benefit To Cost Ratio = Present Value of Benefits Present Value of Costs (1 d ) Bn n Cn 0 L (1 d ) 0 Where L = Life Span of the Project in Years d = Discount Rate Bn = Benefit in year n Cn = Cost incurred in year n n Net Present Worth/ Value • Net Present Worth/ Value = NPW or NPV is defined as follows: NPW = NPV = Present Value of Benefits – Present Value of Costs Note: If a Number of alternatives are being compared, the alternative that has the highest Net Present Worth is the preferable one and will also have the higher Benefit to Cost Ratio What is Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • IRR may be defined as that Discount Rate at which the Benefit to Cost Ratio (BCR) of a Project becomes exactly 1.0 • It is a better measure of economic viability of a project compared to Benefit to Cost Ratio • It is a good indicator of how much inflation increase and interest rate hike a project can tolerate and still be viable Present Worth Factor pwf (1 d ) pwf d n n = Present Worth Factor for discount rate d and year n = Discount rate = Number of year when the cost/ benefit will occur Present Worth Analysis • Discounts all future costs and benefits to the present: t=L PW = FC + pwf [MC+IC+FRC+UC] + pwf [S] t=0 PW FC t MC IC FRC UC S pwf = Present Worth/ Value of the Project = First (Initial) Cost = Time Period of Analysis (ranges from 0 L) = Maintenance Costs = Inspection Costs = Future Rehabilitation Costs = Users Costs = Salvage Values or Costs = Present Worth Factor Time Period of Analysis • Normally equal for all alternatives • Should include at least one major rehabilitation – Needed to capture the true economic benefit of each alternative • Bridge design today is based on a probabilistic model of 100 years Maintenance Costs • Annual cost associated with the upkeep of the structure • Information is difficult to obtain for a given project • Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) • Best Guess Values – Frequency - Annual – Concrete 0.05 % of Initial Cost – Structural Steel 0.05 % of Initial Cost Inspection Costs • Should be taken for all alternatives preferably every two years • Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) and by construction material • Best Guess Values – Frequency - Biannual – Concrete 0.15 % of Initial Cost – Structural Steel 0.20 % of Initial Cost Future Painting Costs • Only applies to structural steel structures but excludes weathering steel • Should occur every 20 years • Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) • Best Guess Values – Frequency – every 20 years – Concrete 0.0 % of Initial Cost – Structural Steel 7.0 % of Initial Cost Future Rehabilitation Costs • The frequency is not only a function of time but also the growing traffic volume and the structural beam system • Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) and structural beam system • Best Guess Values – Frequency • First occurrence – Concrete 40 years • First occurrence – Structural Steel 35 years • Annual traffic growth rate .75 % (shortens rehab cycles) – Concrete 20.0 % of Initial Cost – Structural Steel 22.0 % of Initial Cost Salvage Value/Costs • Occurs once at end of life of structure • Difference between – Removal cost – Salvage value • Best Guess Values – Removal cost 10 % of Initial Cost – Salvage Value – Concrete - 0 % of Initial Cost – Salvage Value – Structural Steel - 2 % of Initial Cost Benefits from a Bridge Monetizable Benefits • Time savings to road users • Growth in economic activity • Saving of Vehicular wear and tear • Reduction of accidents if applicable Other Non-Monetizable Benefits • Strategic Benefits