Oregon Fair Trade Forum; June 12th 2014 Comments on GMOs and TPP Alan Journet SOCAN Co-Facilitator Presentation (as pdf) on web site: click ‘Projects’ – select ‘Presentation Project’ scroll down to listed presentation schedule Outline • Climate Change / GEOs / TPP • SOCAN on the issues • Sustainable Living • SOCAN & SOCAN Projects • If time and Interest… • Rogue Valley Climate • What this summer portends… Climate Change: Parallels The Scientific Consensus is clear: (a) the planet is warming, and (b) human activities are contributing Opposition is: Fossil Fuel Corporations (Exxon-Mobil, Koch Industries, etc.), Chamber of Commerce, etc. funding a denial campaign of lies and distortions. Genetically Engineered Organisms: The Science in unclear because: (a) GE corporations hold patent rights preventing free, independent, and open research on their product, and (b) While corporate research suggests health benefits and yield benefits these results are tainted, and (c) Independent studies range from far less positive in their conclusions to substantially negative, and GE corporations exhibit a single objective: “profit at whatever cost.” TPP: Parallels The evidence on Environmental / Health Cost vs Economic Benefit is unclear, however: (a) Corporations are promoting treaty development in secret with unknown provisions, and (b) Those negotiating treaties claim they will be economically beneficial and include health and environmental safeguards, but (c) Previous trade treaties (e.g. NAFTA) have produced questionable outcomes, where environmental costs exceeded economic benefits The problem: again, corporations with a single motive: “profit at whatever cost.” Recall Also: Tobacco Pesticides – DDT - Dioxin Drugs - Thalidomide Parallels The pattern of corporate economic benefit trumping societal cost rings clearly in our ears. It is time for citizens to decide: Should the people and the planet serve the economy? Or should the economy serve the people and the planet? Problems: 1 – Burden of Proof; Should this fall on the developer to demonstrate safety or ‘society’ to demonstrate a threat? 2 – Precautionary Principle (Science & Environmental Health - Wingspread 1998) 3 – Corporate Fiduciary Requirements: In most jurisdictions, courts will exhort directors to use their best efforts to maximize shareholder wealth. But B Corporations… SOCAN Position on Genetically Engineered Organisms • SOCAN has grave reservations about the role of Genetically Engineered Organisms in terms of their potential negative impacts on our ability to address climate change. In particular, SOCAN favors a moratorium on GEO crops until independent research is conducted demonstrating an absence of negative impact of GEOs on yield, drought tolerance, water use efficiency, genetic diversity among crops, fertilizer and pesticide use, carbon storage, and long term health effects. TPP • Where freedom is valued, ‘free trade’ seems a ‘no-brainer…’ • The 1993 North American Free Trade Agreement incorporated a side agreement designed to protect the environment. • In the case of the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) linking 12 Pacific Rim nations, this lesson should be learned. • A leaked copy of the Environment Chapter suggests that current environmental regulatory provisions will lack teeth and be totally inadequate for the job. SOCAN on Trans Pacific Partnership • In letters to Senators Merkley and Wyden, August 2013, we urged: • Including an environment chapter that would obligate countries to enforce domestic environmental protections and abide by global environmental agreements that are enforceable through international lawsuits. • Rejecting the proposed TPP investment chapter that would authorize foreign investors to bypass domestic courts and bring suit before special international tribunals biased in favor of multinationals to seek awards of unlimited monetary damages in compensation for the cost of complying with environmental and other public interest regulations. • Rejecting "provisions of the TPP intellectual property chapter that would provide international legal protections for corporate patents on plant and animal life, granting companies ownership and sole access to these building blocks of life." • Rejecting the regulatory coherence chapter that could hamstring environmental regulation and "encourage cost-benefit analysis that exaggerates financial costs and minimizes the intrinsic value of protecting living things, wild places, and the stability of the ecosystem." • And finally that the TPP "must serve to strengthen environmental protection and support the biodiversity in the Pacific Rim and not facilitate a race to the bottom in environmental deregulation." Sustainable Living? • We have to appreciate that we cannot live in a finite world, with • An infinitely expanding economy and resource requirement, • An infinitely expanding population, and • An infinitely expanding by-production of pollution • Reality has limits…. • While we must recognize legitimate aspirations of other peoples, we should help them avoid the ‘cowboy’ economic phase through which we are passing It’s all about future generations! http://socan.info Co-Facilitators: Alan Journet alanjournet@gmail.com 541-301-4107 Kathy Conway kathleendconway@gmail.com 541-324-4501 MONTHLY MEETINGS: Last Tuesday of the month June 24th Special Topic Presentation 6:00 – 6:30 pm Carbon Credits / Offsets General Meeting: 6:30 – 8:00 pm ‘Projects to Make a Difference’ Medford Pubic Library, 205 S. Central Ave. SOCAN Projects • • • • • • • Divestment from Fossil Fuel Master Climate Protector Climate in the Curriculum Weather Reporter Presentations Oregon Legislative District Writing Corps • • • • • • • SOCAN RED Federal Government State Government Local Government Regional Recognition Forest-Climate Change Interface Networking Some Comments on Our RV Likely Future Business As Usual Rogue Valley Temperature Trends and Projections 63 HISTORICAL AVERAGE 61 59 CSIRO Annual Ave HADLEY Annual Ave MIROC Annual Ave 55 53 51 49 47 45 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040 2044 2048 2052 2056 2060 2064 2068 2072 2076 2080 2084 2088 2092 2096 2100 Temperature ⁰F 57 1961-1990 Ave – 50.030F Summer Ave – 63.580F Winter Ave – 38.170F Years 1900 to 2100 Rogue Basin Temperature History and Projections Projected Increases 2035-2045 Average 1.6 – 4⁰F (51.6 – 53.8⁰F) 2075-2085 Average 4.3 – 8.2⁰F (54.3 – 58.2⁰F) Winter 1 – 3.5⁰F (39.1 – 41.7⁰F) Winter 3.4 – 6.3⁰F (41.5 – 44.5⁰F) Summer 1 – 6⁰F (64.4 – 69.5⁰F) Summer 5.5 – 11.8⁰F (69.1 – 75.4⁰F) August 1 – 7.5⁰F (67.1 – 73.5⁰F) August 6.7 – 16.8⁰F (72.7 – 82.8⁰F) Related Climatic Factors: Local Trends & Projections Precipitation Accumulated as of May 2014 % “Normal” Climate Summary Observed Temperatures in May 2014; departure from “Normal” U.S. Drought Monitor June th 10 2104 Short & Long Term http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?OR Precipitation since October 1st 2013 as % of “Normal” Snow Water Equivalent as % of “Normal” Rogue Valley: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Fossil Fuels for energy production Utility Energy Production for use in our homes & local businesses (app. ¾ = 18%) Natural gas for heating Private cars/trucks Public Transit Local Freight Energy to make stuff Energy to transport stuff here Clothes, shoes, ‘phones, TVs Projected Regional Solutions Current Non-Renewable Need = 2.1 M MWH Could be reduced to 1.2 M MWH or 57% Renewable = 43% reduction in C intensive electrical generation need i.e. 18% of our GHG emissions = nearly 8% of Regional GHG emissions http://rvcog.org/cogboard/2011/Dec_14/RVCOG-REA-Final_PPT-121511.pdf Energy efficiency: where are the greatest savings? http://rvcog.org/cogboard/2011/Dec_14/RVCOG-REA-Final_PPT-121511.pdf We Have Choices! Individually & Collectively Now…. Back in the Day… CO2 Energy Accounting Money inflows & outflows Hopium Carbon Accounting Finally – Definitive, Irrefutable, Confirmation of Global Warming… Is there a conspiracy? OR $271 b in US 97% socanhotline@gmail.com • Questions? Any comments or questions ????