Austerity has failed: What are the alternatives? Taxation & public spending Ownership 3 ways governments can influence the economy Laws & regulation Austerity The neoliberal triangle of doom Privatisation Deregulation 2008: A catastrophic failure of neoliberalism… ... used to justify more neoliberalism Austerity: ‘Basic economics’ – or a strategy for the 1%? “The austerity ideology that dominated elite discourse five years ago has collapsed, to the point where hardly anyone still believes it. Hardly anyone, that is, except the coalition that still rules Britain – and most of the British media.” - Paul Krugman (economist) What happened next? Cyclically-adjusted net borrowing, 2008-2019 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 -1 -2 Actual Forecast Summer 2010 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Labour didn’t rack up debt by overspending Labour didn’t rack up debt by overspending UK debt, 1987-2012 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Public It’s private debt that’s the big problem…. UK debt, 1987-2012 600 500 %GDP 400 300 200 100 0 Public Private Source: ONS Blue Book … and austerity’s making it worse Privatisation Individual share ownership, 1963-2010 ‘Balancing the books’ with a firesale of public assets Deregulation “…puts driving the reform of regulatory enforcement in the hands of business” - Department for Business, Innovation & Skills … So why austerity? • Ideological: an excuse to shrink the state and harden public attitudes to welfare (even if it doesn’t actually bring the deficit down) • A political choice: we need ‘fiscal space’ to bail out the banks next time they fail • A political strategy: ‘permanent austerity’ creates fear, insecurity and makes people believe we ‘can’t afford’ progressive policies “Let's be clear austerity is a political choice, not an economic necessity” - Jeremy Corbyn, 15 September 2015 “Big arguments have returned to British politics” - George Osborne, 15 September 2015 Telling a new story: From ‘anti austerity’ to ‘pro investment’ Austerity can only be beaten by a politics of hope and a positive vision – ‘we deserve better than this’ • It makes sense to invest in the future • Government is like a business, not a household • Economic security comes from fixing our broken banks – not cutting public services Finding Common Ground amongst progressives What we’ve found: principles for a new economy? • • • • • Common ownership of public goods Collective provision of basic needs Co-operation and sharing Redistributing power (economic democracy) Control over our work and time – paid and unpaid • Respecting environmental limits www.neweconomics.org @NEF