FLORIDA ECONNECTION August 2013 Volume 2, Issue 1 PUBLISHER: BRETT BURKEY/SENIOR EDUCATION ADVISOR FLORIDA COUNCIL ON ECONOMIC EDUCATION Special Interest Articles: Welcome Back!! • Market Prices • Market Concentration • Market Interference Individual Highlights: Ticket Scalping 1 Helium Prices 2 Wedding Premium 2 Prices Speak 2 Praise Gouging 3 China Loves Nuts 3 Soda Pop Wars 4 McDonald’s Reality 4 Supermarket Choice? 4 Price Floors 5 Destroy Beer 5 Purchasing Power 6 Argentina’s Pride 6 Allow me to be the 47th person to say “welcome back, how was your summer?”, since you’ve arrived back at school. I guess there is no avoiding the truth. I’m excited to bring you a second year of monthly newsletters, beginning with this August issue that will focus on markets. These articles will be helpful in articulating the mechanisms of the market and what can go wrong when they are meddled with. It is unbelievable how many great examples there are of markets at work in everyday life. That is success in teaching Economics, in my opinion, when you can illustrate for your students that the subject is woven through every aspect of life. Two of the examples I am offering reference the adult beverage market, one illustrates market concentration in the beer industry and the other provides an example of price floors in the spirit industry. If those aren’t subjects you want to tackle in your classroom, there are plenty of others. As always, I encourage you to communicate your thoughts and suggestions on how I can make this better. I hope you have a successful school year and that you are refreshed and ready to go. Brett AN ALTRUISTIC MUSICIAN IS A SCALPER’S DREAM http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/09/magazine/the-secret-science-of-scalpingtickets.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2013/06/27/196277836/kid-rock-takes-onthe-scalpers Your favorite musical artist is always thinking of his fans. Yes, he can sell out the biggest arenas but prefers smaller venues for a more intimate concert experience. Yes, he can charge hundreds of dollars for seats but would rather keep ticket prices low for the legion of blue-collar followers. The heart might be in the right place but ticket scalpers salivate when a small supply of tickets are kept at below market prices in the face of frenzied demand. Few products are so frequently underpriced that an entire secondary market thrives in both shadow and light to take advantage of the discrepancy. There is the traditional individual hovering at the margins of an event hawking tickets inconspicuously and then there are companies like Stubhub and Ticketmaster that control vast online resell markets. 1. Why is there a greater degree of acceptance in paying the market price from a scalper than the artist themselves? 2. Why is it clear that Taylor Swift underpriced her tickets? 3. Why is it that artists that charge the least tend to see the most scalping? Page 2 of 6 FLORIDA ECONNECTION The Price of Helium is Floating Away http://www.nytimes.com/ 2013/05/26/sundayreview/up-up-andaway.html?nl=todayshea dlines&emc=edit_th_201 30526 “Shopping for my wedding dress was a bizarre and emotional experience.” For most of us, helium serves two functions; a continuous source of lift for our party balloons and a sure-fire source of entertainment when it’s inhaled. But, for the uninitiated, we are unaware of all the fabulous medical and technological uses. The strange thing is that helium is the second most abundant element in the universe, but the supply cannot keep up with demand. As a result, the market price has more than doubled in the last five years. Though abundant, helium is difficult to capture and there a few methods and locations for it that are economically prudent. The Federal government has been stockpiling helium for over 50 years and in the mid-1990s decided to begin selling it off. The odd feature to this story provides an unusual example of a price floor turned price ceiling, as recent discoveries of its usefulness have relegated the market for helium to a state of disequilibrium. How Much Does the Word “Wedding” Cost? http://www.npr.org/blogs/ money/2012/04/03/14992 9993/why-did-mywedding-dress-cost-somuch?sc=fb&cc=fp When shopping for a wedding dress or preparing the final resting place of a loved one, the consumer enters the market in an emotional state. This represents rare times when price is not necessarily a key factor in making that market connection. Both of these events are also moments that few of us rehearse for and (hopefully) have little experience with. As a result, the sellers of the items we seek tend to have a significant advantage. They benefit from asymmetric information, in other words, the deck is stacked in their favor. Few people really know the cost involved in making a wedding dress or casket. People are most interested in the look or legacy, thus pay little mind to the significant sacrifices necessary to pay for these milestone occasions. The link connects to a video clip of a woman pursuing the truth about her wedding dress in the weeks after her wedding. She ultimately learns a lot, but you hope she’ll never have to apply it. What Do Prices Know That You Don’t? http://www.youtube.com/w atch?feature=player_emb edded&v=WPy-QKXofQs Listen to the price system. The narrator compares prices to a genie that knows everything in the world and tells you exactly what goods and services humanity needs most. He tells a story of two hypothetical farmers. One ignores the price system and tries to plant what the world needs most. Overwhelmed by the quantity and complexity of the data needed to figure out what crop is most needed, he eventually fails. The other farmer is selfish and profit-driven. He doesn't understand that the high soybean price reflects increased demand for a new soybased product in Asia -he just wants to make money. But by listening to the price system, he produces exactly what the world needs most. Page 3 of 6 FLORIDA ECONNECTION In Praise of Price Gouging http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/11/01/in-praise-price-gouging/ It’s hurricane season in Florida, heck it’s hurricane season everywhere considering the crazy weather patterns we have endured recently. Crossing everything, you hope for one more uneventful year but inevitability rules. Despite the mountain of information out there on preparedness, some people invariably don’t and find themselves scrambling in the aftermath for the basics. The urgency changes the market conditions and this is bound to cause prices to rise. But 34 states have passed versions of anti-price gouging laws to prevent price spikes. This may seem like benevolent governing, but the article offers a different opinion. Caption describing picture or graphic. 1. According to the author, what do the politicians get wrong when they pursue people they call “price gougers”? 2. In the author’s opinion, what three things would change if New Jersey dropped its laws forbidding price increases during an emergency? 3. Why might a roofer in Texas hesitate to travel to New Jersey where the crisis has created a great demand for his skills? 4. Describe the experience of the Shepperson family from Kentucky in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. China Goes Nuts Over Our Nuts http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704076804576180774248237738.html When the Chinese consumer speaks, the world listens. Read about how their increased taste for pecans has turned the nut world upside down. Instructions: After reading the article found at the link above, review each of the statements below. In each case decide if the information will cause a change in the current market demand for pecans. If so, decide if it is an increase or a decrease, and write the correct answer. For example, if you think headline 1 means there will be a decrease in demand, write "decrease". For headline 2, if you think demand will increase, write "increase." If the event causes no change in demand, write "no change." 1. Chinese authorities reveal to their citizens that pecans are more nutritious than walnuts or hickory nuts. 2. For the second Christmas in a row, sales of holiday fruitcakes slump. 3. Prices of walnuts increase. 4. The household income for Chinese families increases for the third year in a row. 5. Price of pecans increases dramatically. 6. Europeans begin consuming more fruit and cream pies. 7. Pecan prices expected to be higher next year, pecans freeze well. 8. Stuckey’s is successful in introducing its pecan roll to Chinese consumers. “Five years ago, China bought hardly any pecans. In 2009, China bought one-quarter of the U.S. crop, and there's no sign demand is abating.” Page 4 of 6 FLORIDA ECONNECTION Where Soda Pop Prices Never Go Up “In such a crowded market, a price increase by any company would be an open invitation for an onslaught of rivals to wrestle away market share, industry insiders say..” http://www.nytimes.com/2 013/06/01/business/global /in-japan-a-hard-to-budgeobstacle-looms-over-thefight-withdeflation.html?nl=todaysh eadlines&emc=edit_th_20 130601 Japan has embarked on an aggressive monetary expansion that, at the outset, has begun to move prices upward after close to two decades of deflation. The lengthy period of falling prices has led to consumer expectations of lower prices and delayed purchases. This article addresses the one stubborn item that refuses to budge, soft drinks. The vending machines are so common and so widely owned with no one having significant market share. As a result, the cutthroat competition makes suppliers reluctant to raise prices even though their costs have been rising. It is not uncommon to pay less today for a beverage than one did twenty years ago. McDonalds’ Gaffe and a Sad Reality http://finance.yahoo.com/n ews/mcdonalds-cantfigure-workers-survive153900349.html McDonald’s, probably with good intentions, provided a blueprint for its employees recently on how to manage their finances. A sample budget showing income and expenditures was offered as a template. The problem was that the author couldn’t conceive how a worker could live solely on their McDonald’s wages and was in fantasy land when estimating what typical living expenses would be. As you will see in the article, a second income was assumed. In the last few weeks, fast food workers across the nation have walked off the job on prescribed days to demand a living wage for their labor. This budget has clearly provided ammunition for the cause. Choice at the Supermarket? “Seventy-one percent of chicken farmers live below the federal poverty line.” http://www.forbes.com/site s/csr/2012/08/06/choiceat-the-supermarket-is-ourfood-system-the-perfectoligopoly/ between growers and eaters sit a handful of giant corporations, what economists call an oligopoly.” “Our food system is an hourglass. In one chamber are tens of thousands of farmers and ranchers, but their sands are steadily receding. In the other are hundreds of millions of eaters, whose sands continue to swell. In the narrow middle Just five companies account for almost half of the supermarket food sales in the U.S. Just four companies provide us with 79 percent of our beef, 65 percent of our pork, and 57 percent of our poultry. Though the typical grocery store is stocked with three times the number of choices offered thirty years ago, more and more of these items are emanating from a very small number of sources. These mega-food companies control taste and dictate conditions on the farms and in the factories where they are produced. Huge debtloads have them continually cutting costs which affects wages and your dinner plate. Page 5 of 6 FLORIDA ECONNECTION Back Page Story Headline Price Floors and Unintended Consequences http://news.heartland.org/ newspaperarticle/2011/10/12/liquored -why-michigan-shouldexit-its-liquor-wholesalebusiness Michigan is one of eighteen states in which the government is the statewide wholesaler for all hard liquor (or “spirits”) sold to consumers by retailers, bars, and restaurants. The presumption is that concentrated control will result in less crime and alcohol related fatalities. Yet, the consequences of this control have resulted in no appreciable difference in safety when compared to nonregulated states but unquestionably higher prices for the consumer. As wholesaler, the state is in a unique position to drive up the cost of liquor. The Michigan Liquor Control Commission tacks on a 65 percent markup on every bottle sold, plus four separate taxes earmarked for various purposes. On top of this the state imposes a 6 percent retail sales tax. Michigan then artificially restricts competition between retailers by imposing a price control floor, below which stores may not sell. The idea of state control was born in 1933 after the end of Prohibition, due in part to teetotalers’ fears that bootleggers would smuggle in illegal or adulterated products. Yet ironically, Michigan still has a smuggling problem—in part because of state-mandated price differentials with other states. It has been estimated that Michigan loses $14 million a year in revenue to smuggling from neighboring states and recently a truck filled with liquor was hijacked and the driver shot. The Plot to Destroy America’s Beer http://www.businessweek. com/printer/articles/78040the-plot-to-destroyamericas-beer When one thinks of soft drink producers, the duopoly of Coke and Pepsi come immediately to mind. Breakfast cereal? Kellogg’s, General Mills, and Post are the dominant forces. Telecommunications? AT&T and Verizon control the vast majority of the market’s share. Now, the U.S. pays a great amount of attention to beer, but few can accurately name the primary purveyors of this classically American libation. Brands are familiar and most consumers probably believe they can tell a domestic from an imported name. But, the reality is that the picture is cloudier than ever because of a monster company called AB InBev. It was created in 2008 when InBev, the Leuven (Belgium)-based owner of Beck’s and Stella Artois, swallowed Anheuser-Busch, the maker of Budweiser, in a $52 billion hostile takeover. Today, AB InBev is the dominant beer company in the U.S., with 48 percent of the market. It controls 69 percent in Brazil; it’s the secondlargest brewer in Russia and the third-largest in China. The company owns more than 200 different beers around the world. Though the company has been wildly profitable, beer connoisseurs have come to realize that many of their beers have begun to taste very similar. Thus, while you think you’ve purchased an import, it may only be true if you believe that St. Louis is located in another country. “What will AB InBev buy after this? There’s not much left. There is Pepsi, of course. Analysts speculate that it will acquire SABMiller the world’s secondlargest brewer. Page 6 of 6 FLORIDA ECONNECTION Brett Burkey can be reached via: PHONE: 561-302-4143 E-MAIL: BBURKEY@FCEE.ORG BRETT.BURKEY @ PALMBEACHSCHOOLS.ORG PLEASE SHARE SUBMISSION IDEAS WITH ME, INCLUDING: LESSON PLANS CURRENT EVENTS WORKSHOP DATES VIDEO CLIPS BELLRINGER IDEAS PODCASTS ANYTHING ELSE THIS WILL BE A COMMUNITY PROJECT IN AN EFFORT TO MOVE ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL LITERACY FORWARD. We’re on the Web! See us at: fcee.wikispaces.com Argentina No Longer the King of Beef http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/14/world/americas/argentina-falls-from-its-throneas-king-ofbeef.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20130614 At one time, not too long ago, beef was such an integral part of Argentina’s identity that the president declared that vegetarians were not welcome in the country. Once the biggest per capita beef consumer in the world, tastes and concerns for health have knocked the country off that perch and forced an entire national re-evaluation. The graphic on the left indicates that Argentinians have reduced their annual per capita consumption by 100lbs. in the last 50 years, but they still digest more than double that of the average American. As is often the case, there are multiple causes for the change. Farmers have found more profitable things to grow in catering to the voracious appetites of the Chinese consumer. The Argentinian economy collapsed in 2001 and has slowly recovered. But, a significant accelerant has been the government’s attempts at fixing the problem through export limits and price controls. Have students respond to the following questions. 1. List and describe all of the determinants of demand you can uncover in the story resulting in the significant change in Argentinian demand for beef. 2. What methods has the government implemented to reverse the trend of declining beef consumption? 3. What have been the unintended consequences of the government’s actions in the market for beef? 4. What are some signs that this might be an irreversible movement in the nature of the Argentinian diet?