Matakuliah Tahun : <<Manajemen Keuangan>> : <<2009>> DERIVATIVES DAN MANAJEMEN RISIKO Pertemuan 26 Learning Outcomes Pada akhir pertemuan ini diharapkan : Mahasiswa dapat menghubungkan berbagai cara dalam manajemen risiko menggunakan derivatives. Bina Nusantara University 3 Outline Materi Derivatives: Forward, futures, options Put call parity, Black Scholes Formula Other derivatives: swaps, rights, warrants Hedging with derivatives Bina Nusantara University 4 What is a derivative? • A derivative is a financial contract between two parties to transact an asset at a fixed price at a future date. • It derives value from other assets or events. Bina Nusantara University 5 Definitions • • • • • Buyer: one who buys the derivative. Writer: one who sells the derivative. Long position: the position of the buyer. Short position: the position of the writer. Expiry date: the date when cash flows would be exchanged. Bina Nusantara University 6 • Underlying asset: the asset to be transacted. • Strike price (or exercise price): the transaction price of the underlying asset at the expiry date. • Counter parties: the opposite party in the derivative contract Bina Nusantara University 7 The Forward Contract Payoff • Payoff: the profit brought about by the contract. Bina Nusantara University 8 The Futures Contract • Similar to forward contracts • Specifications standardized: underlying asset, contract size, expiry date. • Traded in exchanges • Many types: e.g. commodity, interest rates, equity, FX etc. Bina Nusantara University 9 What is an option? • A contract that gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy (or sell) an asset at some predetermined price within a specified period of time. • It’s important to remember: – It does not obligate its owner to take action. – It merely gives the owner the right to buy or sell an asset. Bina Nusantara University 10 Option terminology • Call option – an option to buy a specified number of shares of a security within some future period. • Put option – an option to sell a specified number of shares of a security within some future period. • Exercise (or strike) price – the price stated in the option contract at which the security can be bought or sold. • Option price – option contract’s market price. Bina Nusantara University 11 Option terminology (con’t) • Expiration date – the date the option matures. • Exercise value – the value of an option if it were exercised today (Current stock price - Strike price). • In-the-money call – a call option whose exercise price is less than the current price of the underlying stock. • Out-of-the-money call – a call option whose exercise price exceeds the current stock price. Bina Nusantara University 12 The Call Option Payoff (long position) Bina Nusantara University 13 The Call Option Payoff (short position) Bina Nusantara University 14 Determining option exercise value and option premium Stock price $25.00 Strike price $25.00 Exercise value $0.00 Option price 3.00 Option premium 3.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 7.50 12.00 16.50 21.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 50.00 25.00 25.00 25.50 0.50 Bina Nusantara University 15 Call Option Intrinsic Value and Time Value • Intrinsic Value: the value of the call option if exercised now • Time value (or premium): the difference between the value of the call option and the intrinsic value Bina Nusantara University 16 Call Option Intrinsic Value and Time Value Bina Nusantara University 17 Relationship of Call Value with other Factors Factor Change: An increase in… Call Value Change Relationship spot price of the underlying asset Increase Positive time to expiry date Increase Positive strike price Decrease Negative risk-free interest rate Increase Positive the return volatility of the underlying asset Increase Positive Bina Nusantara University 18 The Put Option Payoff (long position) Bina Nusantara University 19 The Put Option Payoff (short position) Bina Nusantara University 20 Relationship of Put Value with other Factors Factor Change: An increase in… Call Value Change Relationship spot price of the underlying asset Decrease Negative time to expiry date Increase Positive strike price Increase Positive risk-free interest rate Decrease Negative the return volatility of the underlying asset Increase Positive Bina Nusantara University 21 Put Call Parity • Relates the call price and the put price with the strike price and the spot price • P = K exp(-rT ) - S + C • Arbitrage opportunities exist if put and call prices violate the relationship Bina Nusantara University 22 Swaps • The exchange of cash payment obligations between two parties, usually because each party prefers the terms of the other’s debt contract. • An interest rate swap is a financial contract based on a notional amount, whereby the buyer of the contract pays a fixed interest based on the notional amount periodically to the seller, and the seller of the contract pays a floating rate interest based on the same notional amount periodically to the buyer. Bina Nusantara University 23 Other Types of Derivatives • Rights and Warrants: like call options allowing the holder to buy stocks at a strike price. • The Shares as a Call Option: shares have a limited liability, hence it is like a call option. Bina Nusantara University 24 An Approach to Risk Management • Identify the situations when the firm would make a loss— quantify the loss. • Find a hedging instrument that rewards when the lossmaking situations occur—quantify the rewards. • Compute the satisfactory quantity of hedging instrument to purchase. • Purchase the satisfactory quantity of the hedging instrument. • Monitor the cash flows necessary to maintain the hedge. Bina Nusantara University 25 Why Derivatives are Good Hedging and Speculating Instruments • Good speculating instrument: built in leverage magnifies investment risk and return. • Good hedging instrument: built in leverage allows little overhead cost to get into hedge position. Bina Nusantara University 26 Closing • Perusahaan-perusahaan menghadapi berbagai risiko setiap hari. Perusahaan-perusahaan sulit menjadi sukses tanpa berani mengambil risiko karena ada tradeoff antara risk dan return. • Tetapi ada tindakan yang dapat menurunkan risiko tanpa menurunkan terlalu banyak return sehingga dapat meningkatkan nilai. Salah satu alat untuk mengelola risiko adalah pasar derivatif. Bina Nusantara University 27