MA354 Mathematical Modeling T H 2:45 pm– 4:00 pm Dr. Audi Byrne Your Instructor • Instructor: Dr. Audi Byrne Dr. Audi Byrne PhD in mathematics from the University of Notre Dame Dr. Audi Byrne Research area in biomathematics. (Dynamical systems and modeling. ) Cellular automata Multi-cellular Systems Stochastic Processes Contacting Your Instructor • Office: ILB 452 • Office Hours: 10:00am-11:00am daily And by appointment. • E-mail: abyrne@jaguar1.usouthal.edu Course Information • Course webpage • Google ‘Byrne South Alabama’ • Eventually, stuff on Ecompanion. Mathematical Modeling • Model design: – Models are extreme simplifications! – A model should be designed to address a particular question; for a focused application. – The model should focus on the smallest subset of attributes to answer the question. • Model validation: – Does the model reproduce relevant behavior? Necessary but not sufficient. – New predictions are empirically confirmed. Better! • Model value: – Better understanding of known phenomena. – New phenomena predicted that motivates further expts. Types of Models • Discrete or Continuous • Stochastic or Deterministic • Simple or Sophisticated • Good or bad (elegant or sloppy) • Validated or Invalidated Continuous or Discrete Modeling Approaches • Continuous Approaches (PDEs) • Discrete Approaches (lattices) Continuous Models • Good models for HUGE populations (1023), where “average” behavior is an appropriate description. • Usually: ODEs, PDEs • Typically describe “fields” and long-range effects • Large-scale events – Diffusion: Fick’s Law – Fluids: Navier-Stokes Equation Continuous Models http://math.uc.edu/~srdjan/movie2.gif Rotating Vortices Biological applications: Cells/Molecules = density field. http://www.eng.vt.edu/fluids/msc/gallery/gall.htm Discrete Models • E.g., cellular automata. • Typically describe micro-scale events and short-range interactions • “Local rules” define particle behavior • Space is discrete => space is a grid. • Time is discrete => “simulations” and “timesteps” • Good models when a small number of elements can have a large, stochastic effect on entire system. Hybrid Models • Mix of discrete and continuous components • Very powerful, custom-fit for each application • Example: Modeling Tumor Growth – Discrete model of the biological cells – Continuum model for diffusion of nutrients and oxygen – Yi Jiang and colleagues Stochastic vs Deterministic Stochastic Models • Accounts for random, probabilistic phenomena by considering specific possibilities. • In practice, the generation of random numbers is required. • Different result each time. Deterministic Models • One result. • Thus, analytic results possible. • In a process with a probabilistic component, represents average result. Stochastic vs Deterministic • Averaging over possibilities deterministic • Considering specific possibilities stochastic • Example: Random Motion of a Particle – Deterministic: The particle position is given by a field describing the set of likely positions. – Stochastic: A particular path if generated. Other Ways that Model Differ • What are the variables? – A simple model for tumor growth depends upon time. – A less simple model for tumor growth depends upon time and average oxygen levels. – A complex model for tumor growth depends upon time and oxygen levels that vary over space. Spatially Explicit Models • Spatial variables (x,y) or (r,) • Generally, more sophisticated. • Generally, more complex! • ODE: no spatial variables • PDE: spatial variables Other Ways that Model Differ • What is being described? – The largest expected diameter of a tumor. – The diameter of the tumor over time. – The shape of the tumor over time. Objective 1: Model Analysis and Validity The first objective is to study the behavior of mathematical models of real-world problems analytically and numerically. The mathematical conclusions thus drawn are interpreted in terms of the real-world problem that was modeled, thereby ascertaining the validity of the model. Objective 2: Model Construction The second objective is to model real-world observations by making appropriate simplifying assumptions and identifying key factors. Model Construction.. • A model describes a system with variables {u, v, w, …} by describing the functional relationship of those variables. • A modeler must determine and “accurately” describe their relationship. • Regarding Accuracy: simplicity and computational efficiency may trump accuracy. Functional Relationships Among Variables x,y • No Relationship – Or effectively no relationship. – No need to use x in describing y. • Proportional Relationship – Or approximately proportional. – x = k*y • Inversely proportional relationship – x=k/y • More complex relationship – – – – Non-linearity of relationship often critical Exponential Sigmoidal Arbitrary functions Hooke’s Law • An ideal spring. • F=-kx x = displacement k = spring constant F = resulting force vector (variable) (parameter) Other Examples • Circumference of a circle is proportional to r • Weight is proportional to mass and the gravitational constant