Expand Adopt Create vCustomer : Global expansion in a changing environment Clement Kang Isabel Kuo Lin Na Stephanie Chong Create Expand Agenda: A sneak peak Decision Problem and ACE strategy External and Internal Analysis 1 : Adopt key industry verticals 2 : Create barriers through technology Adopt 3 : Expand Globally Timeline and financials In light of changing trends: How to grow beyond India and build sustainable competitive advantage? Create Expand Key question and strategy : ACE dopt key industry verticals reate barriers through technology Adopt xpand globally Decision problem Expand Needs to expand beyond India • 16 - 18% Pay Hike Create • Increasing demand for Companies with Global Presence • Increase in MNC’s Rising Wages Talent scarcity • Limited Pool of Talent • Demand >> Supply Adopt Global presence Demand for multilanguage services Trends Near-shoring • Cultural Affinity Demand for BPO Services • CAGR of 10.9 till 2009 • Most Sought after in US, Europe then Asia Global Expansion with BPO focus to (1) Address Labour Issues (2) Build Language Capability External Analysis Create Expand What is vCustomer good at? Technology- based • Scott Oki: investment funding •US$1B Funding available • Create barriers via technology • Cutting edge facilities Language Capabilities • English, Spanish, French, German Global Presence • US, India, UK and Philippines Adopt Strong Financial Position Resources Strategic Partnerships • Tech support in Bulgaria • Experience in strategic alliances BPO Service Provider • One of the top firms • Many industries Expand via strategic partnerships & differentiate with value-added services Internal Analysis Adopt Create Expand External + Internal = Strategy Expand via strategic partnerships & differentiate with value-added services Global Expansion with BPO focus to (1) Address Labour Issues (2) Build Language Capability ACE Strategy Internal Analysis Expand Adopt key verticals in BPO Industry Focus Trend of moving from taskoriented to process-oriented BPO services - Doing more tasks within a process instead of just one single task Healthcare Create (current) Retail banking Market size of US$34B Adopt Insurance Broad shared services market in 2008 - US$57B Market size of US$28B Adopt BPO Relationship managers for BPO clients Expand vCustomer Client’s Process A A B Create Roles of RMs C D Coordinate between vCustomer and its clients B RM C D Promote vCustomer’s services to existing clients Receive and relay feedback from customers E E Adopt Build relationships and foster trust Adopt BPO Expand Increase in competition as more firms enter the industry Need for higher value-added services for higher margins and increased barriers to entry Downward margin pressures and reduced profitability in the future Adopt Low barriers to entry in the provision of BPO and CRM services Create BPO and CRM are imitable Create Barriers Create barriers through software solutions Expand • Data capture • Routine work Adopt Create Process A B C Currently in BPO services on data capture and routine work • Report generation • Decision-making • Decision-making • Implementation analysis D E F Move forward to provide more value-added services Provide Software Solutions G H I • Attract more customers • Create customer loyalty • Increase revenue per customer • Create barriers to entry through technology Create Barriers Expand Expand globally: China & Bulgaria Adopt Create ● Bulgaria ● ● ● ● China New Expansion Expand Expand Why China? Adopt Create Regula -tory cost Infrastructure Access to Language Low Wages External Env Talent Pool Econo mic/Po litical •Government •AT Kearney encourages •High tech FDI to •One Global •AT Kearney ofServices six • Predominantly promote infrastructure China in to favored Location Global Services industries Index Mandarin be major major cities : •Median 2007 : Financial Location weekly Index speaking outsourcing airports and wage •Computer Attractiveness 2007 : isFull estimated results country highways •Close proximity to to be 34 graduates euros science Japanese and •Booming •Govt investments industry, increase •#3 after •Rank #2from Thailand after 40k Korean speaking retail to improve sector at to and India 140k Indonesia yearly $938 infrastructure billion •Asian culturein second tier cities Expand China: Acquisition strategy Physical Attributes: Acquisition: • 3 production centers • 500 employees • In Xi’an, Wuhan and Hebei •51% stake •Value at 38m •20% premium ~ 45-50m Create Expand CPI Data Analysis Projected Revenue: Adopt Key Benefits: • Software development expertise • Focus on Healthcare, Financial, Insurance and Manufacturing 80 60 40 Optimistic 74 m Expected 44 m Pessimistic 20 15 m 0 FY07 Expand FY08 FY09 Expand Why Bulgaria? Infrastructure Low Wages External Env Talent Pool Econo mic/Po litical •AT Kearney • Over 450,000 Global •Necessary Services students •20,000 students studyingin Location infrastructure Index in at IT-related least one degree 2007 place: Financial in capital of foreign programs language Attractiveness •Median weekly Sofia wage is estimated •German •28,000 (20%), to be 37 euros in •#1 •Development among French professionals (20%),in IT Eastern Plovdiv European and Varna Spanish, sector Russia, countries English (70%) Adopt Create Regula -tory cost Access to Language Expand Expand Bulgaria: Joint venture strategy JV Partner Firm partner Adopt Create + vCustomer Company A vCustomer Company B vCustomer’s vCustomer’s clients clients Expand Expand Three-year horizon outlook Mid 2007- Mid 2008 TPE Preparation Mid 2008-Mid 2009 Expansion in China Acquire CPI Mid 2009-Mid 2010 Synergy Realization Integration Create Build up on CRM, BPO and software arms Develop software for other locations Expansion into Bulgaria Adopt Joint venture Review the JV relations Build up on CRM and BPO services Develop software capabilities Financial Projections Expand Revenue Projection (in US$M) 40 30 20 10 0 Total for software Create Total for CRM/BPO FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 9.6 23.04 27.648 4.182 9.1392 10.235904 Profit Projection (in US$M) 8.00 7.00 6.82 6.00 5.79 5.00 4.00 3.00 Adopt 2.00 NPV = 13.4mil 2.48 1.00 0.00 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Financials Adopt Create Expand Winning strategy, winning team ACE Strategy Adopt Create Expand Further Analysis Case US Call Center Attrition Rates Risk Mitigation BPO Market China IP Rights Global BPO Market- Industry Alternative Chinese Coy Global BPO Market- Geography Alternative Bulgarian Coy Global BPO Market- Segments Technology risks Competitors Country Too diversified Country Comparison Measures Financials Country Comparison Worldwide Valuation of Companies Country Comparison Worldwide Numbers ( financial attractiveness) Cost of Workers Country Comparison- Asia Profit Margin Competition Country Comparison- EU Industry Comparisons Country Comparison- EU II Education and Language in Bulgaria Assumptions What happens after 3 years Address cultural differences Types of Outsourcing Top 4 Languages Spoken Adopt Create Expand Types of Outsourcing 1. Offshoring describes the relocation of business processes from one country to another. 2. Nearshoring: relocation of business processes to (typically) lower cost foreign locations, but in close geographical proximity 3. Rightshoring-Projects are designed and managed locally. U.S Call centers service rightshoring demand in uS 1. Mandarin 1.051 billion 2. English 510 million 3. Hindi 490 million 4. Spanish 420 million 9. French 130 million 10. German 129 million Adopt Create Expand Top Languages Spoken Source: Ethnologue:Languges of the World,15th Ed, 05 Create Expand Global BPO Market By Industry IT 43% Financial 17% Communcation 16% Manufacturing 15% Adopt Consumer Goods 9% Adopt Create Expand Global BPO Market by Geography U.S. 59% Europe 27% Asia Pacific 9% Others 5% Adopt Create Expand Global BPO Market Segments Simple Bulk Transactions $58B Broad share services $57B Niche Verticals $24B High Volume Vertical Procedures $6B Expand Country Comparison Scores • Financial Score – Compensation – Infrastructure – Tax & Regulatory Create • People Score – – – – – IT/ BPO Industry size/ quality Laborforce Availibility Educational Skills Language Skills Attrition Risks Adopt • Environmental Score – Economical/ Political – Infrastructure Quality – Cultural Exposure – IP Security Source: A.T. Kearny Global Services Location Index 2007 Adopt Create Expand Country Comparison- Worldwide Adopt Create Expand Country Comparison Worldwide Adopt Create Expand Countries comparison- Asia Adopt Create Expand Countries comparison- Asia India China Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines Singapore Financial 3.22 2.93 2.84 3.19 3.29 3.26 1.65 People 2.34 2.25 1.26 1.21 1.47 1.23 1.51 Environmental 1.44 1.38 2.02 1.62 1.06 1.26 2.53 Total 7 6.56 6.02 6.02 5.82 5.75 5.69 Adopt Create Expand Countries Comparison- Eastern Europe Bulgaria Slovakia Estonia Czech Republic Latvia Financial 3.16 2.79 2.44 2.43 2.64 People 1.04 1.04 0.96 1.1 0.91 Environmental 1.56 1.79 2.2 2.05 2 Total 5.76 5.62 5.6 5.58 5.55 Adopt Create Expand Countries Comparison- Eastern Europe II Poland Hungary Lithuania Romania Russia Ukraine Financial 2.59 2.54 2.6 2.88 2.61 2.76 People 1.17 0.95 0.83 0.87 1.38 0.98 Environment 1.79 1.98 1.98 1.53 1.16 1.09 Total 5.47 5.41 5.28 5.15 4.83 5.55 Adopt Create Expand Higher education and foreign language in Bulgaria Adopt Create Expand US Call Centres Objective Satisfy Demand for rightshoring in US Strategy Continue doing so as demand for BPO Services in US remains at 59% Attrition Rates in India Expand Cause High Turnover Rates are a result of talent scarcity, which led to the pursuit Of many firms to attract talents from other firms through higher pay Adopt Create vCustomer • #2 in Industry in terms of employee satisfaction • Main reason for leaving : lack of growth Opportunity/ Promotions Solution: Focus on Employee Growth Opportunities • Global Expansion translates into overseas job prospects & leadership positions • Systematic key performance indicator and appraisal systems to encourage employee growth opportunity and satisfaction Source: http://www.physorg.com/news69676084.html BPO E-Stat 2006, Balancing Right, dgindia.com Expand IP Rights in China • Companies are starting to demand for protection for thei IP rights. Adopt Create • International pressures that force china to improve its IP laws • For e.g,New progress for IP rights. From a survey done by OECD, China is making changes to Bankruptcy law, company law and implementation of the Constitutional amendment on property rights Adopt Create Expand Alternative Chinese Company • IT United- Similar functions, slightly smaller and fewer branches compared to CPI. • Many firms in the Xi-an province • They are the china outsourcing capital focusing primarily on software solution • 20% Premium Adopt Create Expand Alternative Bulgarian Firm • Form an alliance with the firm Sofica • Sofica focuses on – end-to-end BPO solutions – highly competitive cost & premium quality – CRM and consulting expertise Adopt Create Expand Valuation (in mil USD) Kingdee AsiaInfo Neusoft Revenue 79.2 109.5 291 Net Income 13.5 5.8 35 No. of Employees 3200 1800 6740 500 Market Capitalization 361 275 1245 75 Mkt Capitalization per worker 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.146 Premium: 20% Estimate CPI 90 Adopt Create Expand Numbers • Revenue: Rs 320 (05) – Rs353 (06) (grew 10%) • MCI’s deal: expected to gain revenue of 100m at yearly from this deal • Now about 6000 workers in India Expand • China: 34 eur / wk $44 / wk Create Cost of workers • Bulgaria: 37 Eur / wk $48 / wk – Total cost for 1 CRM / BPO worker in a year = 44*52= 2288 – Total cost for 1 software worker in a year = 44*1.5*52= 3432 – Total cost for 1 CRM / BPO worker in a year = 48*52 = 2496 Adopt • India: 22 Eur / wk $29 / wk – Total cost for 1 CRM / BPO worker in a year = 29* 52 = 1508 Adopt Create Expand Profit Margin comparison • Tata Consulting Group • Cost of employee ~ 35% • Profit Margin ~ 26% • Wipro • Cost of employee ~ 39% • Profit Margin ~ 23% Adopt Create Expand Industry comparisons Cost of employee Profit Margin Tata Wipro Polaris (Software) 35% 39% 10% 26% 23% 4% Adopt Create Expand Assumptions • vCustomer: – 25% Cost of Employees – 18% Profit Margin • 150m in Revenue – 37.5m in staff costs – Profits 27m Adopt Create Expand Revenue Revenue: China Bulgaria India CRM / BPO (numbers) 300 100 6000 CRM / BPO Revenue per worker 20400 20400 20400 Software (numbers) 200 0 0 Software Revenue per worker 96000 96000 96000 25.32 2.04 122.4 Total (in mil USD) Grand total 149.76 Expand Cost Costs: Create Worker Cost CRM / BPO Cost per worker 2288 2496 1508 Software Cost per worker 3432 0 0 0.2496 9.048 Adopt Total cost (in mil USD) 1.3728 Grand total 10.6704 Adopt Create Expand 3 Year Financials FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 China CRM / BPO 3.1 6.9 7.7 China Software 9.6 23.0 27.6 Bulgaria CRM / BPO 1.1 2.3 2.6 Bulgaria Software 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 13.8 32.2 37.9 Revenue: Create Expand 3 Years Financial II Total Revenue Profit Margin = 0.18 13.8 32.2 2.5 Adopt Discount rate: 10% NPV 13.4 37.9 5.8 6.8 5.3 5.6 Adopt Create Expand Risk Mitigation – technology risks • Cannot match bigger players in terms of financial muscle. • Technology demand is less than expected. • Focus on core business CRM and BPO. Adopt Create Expand Risk Mitigation - competitors • Tier II firm like 24/7 ,ICICI, WNS Global – Do not yet have focus on software technology – Focus on BPO and BOT • Focus on mid-sized firms, SMEs • We are attractive to them because we embrace technology earlier than them. • First mover advantage • Software takes time to develop, one step ahead of the competitors Expand Risk Mitigation – Too diversified • Where industry trend is headed – Providing broader range of service Create • Not too many because learning curve for each industry is not steep. – Eg: data entry is pretty standard all industries Adopt • Reap economies of scale Adopt Create Expand What happens after three years? • Expect CRM market to be very saturated • BPO accounts for large portion of revenue • Higher demand from Asia • Higher demand for software, value added services we provide • Make additional investments in software capabilities • Expect to expand to cheaper countries like Vietnam, Indonesia and Africa. Adopt Create Expand How to address cultural differences? • Relationship manager should be of the local culture (from China in China) • Integration phase: replicate business environment across regions , inculcate corporate culture • 1 manager to manage portfolio of clients. • Depending on size, estimate for large companies at about 1-15. • Small companies : 60 -80