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COEUR - BCM

Business Creativity Module

Opportunity Recognition and the

Screening Process

Carolyn McNicholas

Aberdeen Business School, RGU

Today’s Objectives

• Understand where business ideas come from

• Understand how to perform an initial high level screening / evaluation of business opportunities

• Understand the influence of the external environment

• Take away action – screening checklist

Business Creation & Start-up Process

Adapted from Deakins (2006)

Idea formulation

Opportunity Recognition

Pre-start Planning and

Preparation

Entry and Launch

Post-entry Development

where can you find

BIG

IDEAs

?

Sources of Ideas

• Every day problems / needs / complaints

– E.g. Sports Division / Cisco / Netflix

• Personal experience

– Work, home, education, skills and talents

• Hobbies and interests

– Lifestyle entrepreneurs

• Newspapers, magazines, media

• Other countries

• Deliberate Search

– Business Opportunity Profiles

– On-line databases

– Patents and licensing

• Factors of Change

Pizza Express Case Study

• Founded Peter Boizot – 1965

• Influenced by Italian and German experiences - pizzaiolos

• Formed an exclusive alliance with London’s only mozzarella maker

• By 2003 over 300 outlets in UK, Ireland,

Spain and France

External Environment Drives Change

P olitical/ L egal - legislation, taxation policy, employment law, health and safety, foreign trade, terrorism, war

• E conomic - local, national, global, industry – inflation, interest rates, employment rates, exchange rates, money supply, energy costs

S ocio-cultural

– population demographics, income distribution, lifestyle changes, education levels, social mobility, values, attitudes

T echnological - new products, new processes, new and emerging discoveries, internet, etc

E cological/Environmental

– Climate change, pollution, waste products, recycled technology, energy efficiency

USA – Some Hot Recent

Business Ideas

(www.entrepreneur.com)

• Consulting services

• Financial planning

• Personal Trainer

• Pet Products

• Mobile computer training

• Household cleaning

• Doula service

• Gardening

• Health services

• Tech Education

– For Kids

– For Seniors

• Maternity Clothes

• Online Learning

• Life Coach

• Security

• Senior Care Market

• Senior Clothes

• Art services

Drucker’s 7 Sources of Innovative

Opportunities

Organisational /

Sectoral

• The unexpected (event or success or failure)

• The incongruity – between what actually happens and plan

• The inadequacy in underlying processes

• The changes in industry or market structure

External

• Demographic changes

• Changes in perception, mood and meaning

• New knowledge (both scientific and non scientific)

Last is most difficult, least reliable and least predictable

The New Economy Favours Innovative

Companies / Entrepreneurs

The Economy :

• Globalisation

• Better world-wide communication

• The Internet and mobile communications

• Travel

• More economic interdependence

- EU, NAFTA etc.

• More volatility – terrorism, etc

Opportunity Recognition

• Converting an idea into a business opportunity is the key element of the process of business creation

• Entrepreneurs are attuned to opportunity

• Opportunity must take priority over innovation

• Opportunities are generated by change

Opportunity has Four

Essential Qualities -

Barringer and Ireland, 2006

• Attractive

• Durable

• Timely http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckLJVLhxzDA&feature=player_embedded

• Anchored in product/service which adds value to buyer/end user

“I never perfected an invention that I did not think about in terms of the service it might give others... I find out what the world needs, then I proceed to invent” Thomas Edison

Wow products /services such as the Dyson vacuum cleaner and the bar and massage service in Virgin Upper Class, Amazon

One Product is Not Enough!

• Dyson vacuum cleaner took 5 years and 5,127 prototypes

• First product, G-Force, sold for $2000 each in

Japan

• Vacuums, washing machines, Airblade hand dryer (sales $6 billion worldwide), Air

Multiplier

Window of Opportunity Varies

Internet Search Engines

• 1995 – Yahoo

• Quickly followed by Lycos, Excite,

AltaVista, etc

• 1998 – Google (advanced technology)

Ideas not Innovative

Opportunities

• Sinclair C5

• E-stamps and Stamps.com

• Tartan tanks

Evaluating Idea / Opportunity

• Must be a clearly defined market need

– Customer analysis, segments, motivations, unmet needs, gaps in market

• Idea needs to be economically viable

– Market attractiveness e.g. size? growth? trends? entry barriers?

– Profit potential?

– Resources needed / available?

• Technical feasibility

• Competitive advantage / USP

– Competitor analysis

• Fit with your personal / company objectives / experiences / core competencies

• Timing must be right – window of opportunity

• Risks / threats – Environmental analysis

What to look for

• Limitations of what’s currently available

• Trends and changes (beware fads)

• Something new and different

• Unfilled niche

• Technological advances

• Speed to market

Conclusions

• Generating ideas and new products is easy but you need customers and markets

• The real challenge is converting ideas into a business opportunity

• The better you understand your consumer the better your chances of winning in the market place

• Evaluation and assessment of markets is key to developing business ideas and new products and services

References

• Trott, P 2008 Innovation management and New Product Development

4th ed. Harlow:Prentice Hall

• Deakins, D and Freel, M. 2009. Entrepreneurship and Small Firms. 5th

Edition, McGraw Hill.

• Drucker, Peter F. Innovative and Entrepreneurship, Practice and

Principles. Harper & Row, Publishers, Inc. 1985

• Burns, P 2007 Entrepreneurship and Small Business 2 nd ed. Palgrave

• Barringer, B & Ireland, D 2006 Entrepreneurship: Successfully

Launching New Ventures 2nd ed. Prentice Hall

• Kotter, J.P 1997 The New Rules. Simon & Schuster .

• Franke, N, von Hippel, E & Schreier, M 2006 Finding commercially attractive user innovations: A test of lead user theory. Journal of

Product Innovation Management. V.23 pp301-315

• Venkataraman, S., and Shane, S., (2000) The Promise of

Entrepreneurship as A Field of Research, Academy of Management

Review , V. 25 (1) pp217-226.

• Cooper, R (1985) Selecting Winning new product projects; using the

NewProd system. Journal of Product Innovation Managment v2 0034-

44

• http://www.startups.co.uk/

• http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ctm/idm/cases/

COEUR - BCM

Business Creativity Module

Screening Checklist

Carolyn McNicholas

Aberdeen Business School, RGU

Screening Check List – Market Factors

Yes No

Is the market large?

Is the market highly competitive?

(Direct/indirect)

Is this an emerging / growth market?

Is there any pending legislation which might impact market demand?

Are there any obvious barriers to entry?

Are there reachable / receptive customers close by? (Think about distribution channels, etc)

Screening Check List – Competitive

Advantage?

Is there a well identified market need for the product/service?

Yes No

Can we establish a USP for our product / service? – Price?

Quality? Speed of response? Unique features?

Is our product / service a significant improvement on our competitors?

Can we protect our product?

Can we establish first mover advantage?

Screening Check List – Management

Capability

Yes

Do we have personal knowledge / experience / the right skills / experience?

Do we have an interest in the service?

Do we know other people who have the rights skills / experience?

Have we the right contacts and networks?

Is there specific training we can receive to improve our chances of success?

No

Screening Check List – Resources /

Economics

Yes No

Is this a low cost start up business model?

Do we have access to the money necessary to start this business?

Is this a sizeable / scaleable business opportunity?

Is it worth doing?

Screening Check List – Other

European dimension?

Personal / corporate values? e.g.

Environmental considerations

Cultural barriers and attitudes?

Yes No

Summary

• Need to tailor checklist to individual idea

• Seeking

– Large and growing market

– Reachable customers

– An innovative product which adds value

– Right window of opportunity

• Assess whether to abandon, reform or enhance the idea

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