Technical Report Interviews round 1 Final version (January 20th, 2014) 1. Summary The first round of interviews described in this report was the first fieldwork effort in the framework of the INFOPOL project. The INFOPOL project is supported by the European Research Council (Advanced Grant ‘INFOPOL’, N° 295735) and the Research Fund of the University of Antwerp (Grant N° 26827). Stefaan Walgrave (University of Antwerp) is principal investigator of the INFOPOL project, which has additional teams in Israel (led by Tamir Sheafer) and Canada (led by Peter Loewen). The aim of the first round of interviews was to gather qualitative and quantitative data on the goals and role conceptions of politicians, the way they get informed (exposure) and how they decide what to pay attention to. The goal was to conduct a one-hour interview with at least 50 politicians (MPs, party leaders and ministers) at the federal / national level in Canada, Belgium and Israel. The interviews started with an online survey which was completed by the politician, followed by a semi-structured interview. Often, the interview took place while the survey was being completed. This was not originally anticipated, but decided upon during fieldwork since it improved the flow of the interviews. All interviews were recorded. At the end of the interview, we asked politicians whether they had personal staffers. If so, we asked whether we could interview one of their staffers. If the politician agreed, that staffer was then recruited for the staffer survey (see the report for that study for more information). This report briefly describes the objectives of the study, and then extensively describes the methods used: first, it addresses the populations and sampling procedures for the three countries, including the contact procedures and timing of the fieldwork, and the settings of the interviews. Second, it discusses response rates. Third, a number of issues related to the field work and that bear upon the quality of the data are discussed. Finally, it lists the questionnaires that were used in the three languages. 2. Objectives From the outset, the team agreed to focus on the following topics in the interviews: - Which sources of information are politicians exposed to? What factors determine which information is paid attention to? What factors determine which information is acted upon? What are the various goals and motivations of politicians? 3. Method 3.1 Population The population of potential politicians to be interviewed consisted of - all Members of Parliament at the Federal / National level; all Federal / National government ministers and secretaries of state, and the prime minister; all party leaders of parties with elected representatives at the Federal / National level. In Canada, the population thus consisted of 308 politicians, in Israel of 120 politicians and in Belgium of 100 politicians (note that in Belgium, only national politicians of Flemish parties were part of the population). 3.2 Sampling The aim is to achieve a sample size of at least 50 politicians for each country. Belgium and Canada planned to contact a stratified sample of politicians (stratified on seniority, party, and constituency). In Israel all politicians were going to be contacted due to lower expected response rates. In Belgium, a stratified sample of politicians was selected to be contacted first. However, due to the fact that the contact sequence could sometimes take multiple weeks (see next section), this initial sample was quickly exhausted – that is, all sampled politicians had been contacted at least once, yet not all of them had committed to an interview or no date had been set. Because of this, the decision was made very quickly to initiate contacts with all politicians in the population. In Canada, also a stratified sample of 150 politicians (half of the total number of MPs) was selected from the population. It proved impossible to include members of the government, so we focused on former cabinet members instead. Finally, Israel attempted to contact all politicians except for the PM and some other ministers (security, finance, foreign affairs) whom the Israeli team estimated would be extremely challenging to get their collaboration. 3.3 Contact Sequence and Timing The contact sequence differed slightly between countries. However, all countries initiated contact through a formalized letter to the politician. The full English contact letter can be found in Appendix A. The letter contained information on the funding, the goals of the project, and a description of the interview’s setup. Following this initial contact, the way in which the actual interview was arranged depended on each country’s needs and best practices. Belgium In Belgium the letters were sent out on June 13th, 2013. A few days later, on June 18th, 2013 the principal investigator (Stefaan Walgrave) started contacting politicians by telephone. After roughly one month, the two Belgian post-docs also started contacting politicians. Contacting politicians through telephone was quite effective in getting a hold of politicians; once a politician was reached, three responses were common: - Acceptance to grant an interview: this was actually quite common. The telephone method may have played a role here, since it is harder to refuse directly by phone compared to via email. In case of acceptance, we tried to immediately set a (preliminary) interview time and date. If an acceptance was given, immediately a personalized email was sent to the politician in which we thanked them for cooperating. If possible, the e-mail also served to confirm the agreed interview time and date, and provide the actual interviewers’ contact data (e.g. cell phone number). - - Refusal: if a politician gave a hard refusal (e.g. “I do not want to cooperate”) the contact procedure was aborted. However, many politicians gave soft refusals (e.g. “I am too busy”), in which case we indicated that the interview lasted only an hour, could occur on a location of the politicians’ choosing, and at any moment in the coming three months. These counterarguments were quite effective, and a large amount of soft refusals were converted to acceptances. Request for more information: the information letter often did not reach the politician (e.g. it was read by a staffer, but not passed on), so politicians were not always aware of the project or its goals. In this case, a short description of the project was given, and immediately after the telephone call an e-mail with the contact letter in pdf format attached was sent to the politician. For a substantial number of politicians, getting a hold of them was the key threshold. Actual hardrefusals were rare (11), but implicit refusals (e.g. not answering the phone after an initial contact, or postponing the decision indefinitely) were more common. However, the team attempted a lot of contacts with each politician to maximize the response rates (in many cases numerous messages were left on voice mail systems), and a good number of these difficult to reach politicians eventually agreed to an interview. We ceased calling politicians we had not reached yet on September 18th, 2013. Politicians that we had not been able to contact by then were marked as non-contacts. Of course, politicians that had been reach by that time were followed up. The interviews were conducted over multiple months. The first interview was conducted on June 26th, 2013. Almost all interviews were conducted by two interviewers, one senior (professor or postdoc) and one junior (Ph.D. student). For some exceptional cases, either one senior or two junior researchers conducted the interview. Importantly, the PI conducted all interviews with high-ranking politicians (ministers, party leaders and front benchers). Especially in the beginning of the fieldwork, the senior interviewers took the lead during the interviews, though the role of the two interviewers became more balanced as the fieldwork progressed. To account for the fact that the interviewers might affect the answers of the politicians, the dataset contains variables that indicate which interviewers conducted the interview. After each interview, politicians received a small token of appreciation (bottle of wine with ‘thank you’ card and Infopol-logo attached). This seemed to be appreciated, and might help in increasing response rates on follow up research efforts. The final interview was conducted on November 6th, 2013. Though initially fieldwork was not planned to extend this long (3 months were expected), most of the final interviews were rescheduled multiple times because the politician was unable to do the interview. This was in part due to the summer break, in which many politicians were unavailable. This happened substantially more with highranking politicians (ministers and party leaders). Israel In Israel, initial contact took place on June 1st, 2013. First, personal letters were sent to each MK (excluding the PM and some other non-reachable ministers), a few days later, the senior researcher or one of the PhD's created a second contact by phone call. Soon enough, we realized that the MK's gatekeepers ignored or simply discard the emails we sent, and in cases we did get response for our e-mails, it usually was asking us to contact them again in the future. At this point we decided to change the way we contact MK's to a more direct one. We divided the MK's list among the research group, based on personal connection to the MK or one of his staffers, and then we contacted them directly by phone (to their office phone which is public or to their private cell phone). In the conversation we introduced the research and immediately tried to set up a date for interview. In most cases when we managed to reach the MK's, they agreed to participate and told us to talk to their assistant in order to set a meeting (but yet, this consent did not promise a meeting). MK's who refused to participate in the research usually reacted in one of the following ways: - "Soft refusal" saying that they are overloaded with their parliamentary / other political assignments, or saying that they will contact us / asking us to contact them in the far future. Setting dates far into the future hoping we will give up the interview. Also in these cases we persisted and tried to meet their request for a later date. Ongoing postponements – setting dates for a meeting and then cancelling at the last moment. "total refusal" - Only a few MK's (7) gave as a harsh closing refusal, saying that they are not interested in taking part in such research without specifying why. Due to the low response rate of the Israeli politicians and the Knesset summer recess which was followed immediately by the Jewish high holidays, we conducted the interviews from June 2013 till February 2014. At the end of the process we reached a total of 36 MKs, including: 4 ministers, the speaker of the Knesset, the head of the opposition and her successor and 5 party leaders (Labor, Kadima, Meretz, Balad & Hadash). Almost all interviews were conducted by two interviewers, one senior researcher (the PI or PhD student) and one Master student. Interviews with high-ranking politicians such as Party leaders and Ministers, were usually conducted by the PI and one of the PhD students. In other cases, due to the strong connections of the PhD's with some of the MKs (Tal Shahaf was a political correspondent at the Knesset. Yogev Karasenty served as a policy advisor at the PM office and wrote policy papers to the Government and the Government Secretary), they conducted the interviews themselves. Canada In Canada, first contact was initiated through private meetings with the caucus chairs of the three leading parties. The caucus chairs of the New Democratic Party and the Liberal Party pledged to formally and actively support our research and contact efforts while the Conservative Party Caucus would not actively support us, but would not prevent us from contacting its members directly. Letters were then sent out in two different waves from November 27, 2013 onwards; a first batch to 50 conservative and 50 NDP and Liberal MPS, and a second wave to the following 50 conservative MPs. A few days later, on December 2nd, the principal investigators (Stuart Soroka, Peter Loewen) and the postdoctoral researcher (Jeroen Joly) started contacting politicians by telephone. Direct contact with politicians was mostly established through their office in Ottawa in their own main language. First contacts almost never directly resulted in appointments and several phone calls were often needed before obtaining a meeting and the three following responses were most common: - - - Request for more information: most Canadian MPs have several staffers working for them – both in Ottawa and in their constituency. Communication among them regarding our meeting request was often not optimal. Hence, the first telephone conversation most often resulted in a request to resend our information letter to a different email account, which would then require follow up. We would then immediately resend the initial personalized information to the appropriate person in charge of the MP’s agenda. Immediate acceptance to grant an interview: such responses were fairly uncommon. In a very limited number of cases, staffers would respond to our emails before we would even call them to confirm that the MP was interested in collaborating with us. Similarly, only few MPs (or rather their staffers) would immediately respond positively to our request for a meeting over the phone. In those instances, a meeting was immediately set up and a confirmation email was sent with information regarding the exact date and location of the interview Refusal: hard refusals occurred in response to our initial email, but were most common over the phone at the first telephonic contact. Most MPs refused during follow-up. These were mostly soft refusals due to agenda restraints (e.g. parliamentary recess). In those instances, we tried to accommodate the MP by offering alternative dates or locations (in the constituency). In most of those cases, however, we were unfortunately not able to obtain a meeting after all, despite thorough follow up. We ceased calling politicians we had not reached yet in May, 2014. Politicians that we had not been able to contact by then were marked as non-contacts. Of course, politicians that had been reach by that time were followed up. The interviews were conducted over multiple months. The first interview was conducted on December 4th, 2013. Almost all interviews were conducted by one single interviewer, and most interviews were conducted by a senior member of the team (professor or post-doc) or an experienced interviewer (Ph.D. student). Interviewers were chosen in function of the language of the MP and interviewer agendas. The last interview was conducted on May 13th, 2014. For geographic reasons (the large distance between Ottawa and Montreal, and especially between Ottawa and Toronto), as well as frequent parliamentary recesses, it was planned to conduct the interviews over an extended period of time (6 months). For practical reasons, the goal was to regroup a maximum of interviews during those days were a researcher was in Ottawa and to interview all MPs close to Montreal and Toronto in their constituency. 3.4 Interview contexts Belgium The interviews took place wherever and whenever the politician wanted. Because Belgium is a relatively small country, it was feasible to send interviewers to politicians’ home if needed, although the majority of interviews took place in the ‘House of Representatives’, which is next to the parliament. In general, the interviews took place in appropriate locations – that is, locations without too much background noise, and where the politician and the interviewers could sit alone for the duration of the interview. Two exceptions to this should be noted. First, in some instances the staffer of the politician attended the interview. This did not occur often, and it never seemed to be much of an issue. If the staffer took an active role during the interview, the interviewers reminded that it was the politicians’ answers we were interested in. The staffers mostly helped the politician recall a specific fact, but did not in fact answer in the politicians’ place. Second, due to circumstances some interview contexts were less than ideal. A few interviews had to be conducted in a public place (e.g. bar or restaurant) because of unforeseen circumstances or because the politician wanted this. The key issue here is that the audio recordings sometimes suffered due to the background noise. In terms of the politicians’ answers we feel there was no effect: they seemed at ease, and because we were able to sit somewhat secluded we do not expect that they would have answered differently in a different setting. Israel In Israel, due to the very tight timetable of the politicians and In order to increase the likelihood of their participation in the research, we have met with them whenever and wherever they could meet. Although the vast majority of the interviews took place at the Knesset, in some cases when there was no other option, we have met with MK's at their privet offices or in their official offices outside Jerusalem. At the Knesset, most of the interviews took place at the MK’s office which provided a peaceful environment, where the politician and the interviewers could sit alone for the duration of the interview. In other cases, the interviews took place at the MK's dining room during plenary voting, this was not ideal, but to the best of our judgment, it did not affect the quality or the sincerity of the responses we got. The same is true for staffers' presence, in some cases staffers were present during the interviews, but they never intervened in the answers or affected the interview intimate atmosphere. Canada The majority of Canadian interviews were conducted in MPs’ offices in Ottawa, close to Parliament. A fair number also took place in constituency offices, mostly in and around Montreal. It was up to the politician to decide which location and time was most convenient for them. Most interviews were one on one interviews with the MPs. Exceptionally, a staffer also discretely attended the meeting. Staffers never actively participated in any of the interviews. Interviews took place in almost ideal conditions. In one exceptional case, the interview had to be conducted in a corner of the hallways of Parliament. Nevertheless, this did not prevent going through the entire interview and obtaining spontaneous answers. 3.5 Response rates Type of response Interviews conducted Refusals Non-contacts Total N Response rate Belgium 87 11 2 100 87% Canada 43 105 45 150 29% Israel 36 84 16 120 30% 3.6 Transcription and coding of interview recordings All interviews were recorded. After the interviews were conducted, the entire recordings were transcribed by students. These students signed a clause that confined them to strict secrecy about the content of the interviews outside of the research environment. In contrast to the survey data set, the raw transcriptions will not be made available due to anonymity concerns. Requests to access these data should be made to the principal investigator (Stefaan Walgrave). 3.7 Field work issues As with any study, during the field work a number of issues were encountered. These are discussed on a country-per-country basis since the specific context caused different issues, though some were present in all countries. Belgium - Internet connectivity problems. The Qualtrics survey software required an active internet connection on the tablet, but sometimes internet connectivity was not good enough to allow a smooth interview. For example, when waiting times between questions exceeded one minute, this hampered the flow of the interview, or even annoyed politicians. It was up to the interviewers to decide what to do. In two cases, internet connectivity was extremely bad and the survey could not be completed during the interview. Both politicians were sent customized Internet links and completed the survey afterwards. In two other cases, the interviewers decided to switch to the pen and paper version midinterview. In the dataset, these cases are tracked in the dataset by means of a variable that indicates the first question that was completed using pen and paper. - Interviewing during Qualtrics survey: During the field work in Belgium, it was decided to allow interviewers to ask questions during, or politicians to comment on, the closed Qualtrics survey. Although at the outset the closed survey was not meant to be used for interviewing, oftentimes this felt extremely awkward in the actual interview setting. Also, asking follow up questions (e.g. Why did you answer this? Can you give an example?) helped explain and understand some of the answers of the closed survey. However, in some cases the first part took an extensive amount of time leaving more limited space for the last part which included the semi-structured interview. Israel - Internet connectivity problems. The Qualtrics survey required an active internet connection on the tablet, but sometimes internet connectivity was not good enough to allow a smooth interview. In order to solve this problem we geared each of the tablets with cellular simcards which usually solved the problem. In other cases of connectivity problems or computer failure we switched to hard copy questionnaires during the interview and uploaded the data to the Qualtrics later on that day. - Hardware problems. In three cases we had a hardware problem when the iPad suddenly stopped responding half way through the interview. In those cases we either switched to another iPad or to paper. At the end of each of those interviews we restored the first part of the MK's answers and coded into Qualtrics. - Software problems. In a couple of cases we had a problem with the Qualtrics Hebrew version, which suddenly changed and made the text unreadable or dislocated. Our solution to these cases was again switching to hardcopy and feeding the answers later on. - During the first set of interviews, we noticed politicians responding badly (refused to answer or simply guessed) to the k‐level reasoning question, and to the framing question. We raised that issue to the entire staff to discover the Belgian team experienced a similar problem after which it was agreed upon to remove the K-level question out of the questionnaire. - As to the survey in general, many MKs said that they feel that the questions are biased towards election systems with regional constituencies. In response we ask them to ignore the bias or to regard the entire country as one constituency zone. - Overall we felt that the MKs found the questionnaire interesting and some even used it to do some kind of reflection on their parliamentary work. Canada - Internet connectivity problems. The Qualtrics survey required an active internet connection on the tablet. To ensure internet connectivity, each of the tablets was provided with a cellular simcard. Since no connectivity or other technical problems occurred, interviewers never had to switch to a hard copy. - Hardware problems. No hardware problems occurred. - Software problems No software problems occurred. - The survey served as the basis for an actual interview. MPs were approached for an interview meeting and more open, and in-depth, questions were asked as follow-up to survey questions. The extra information provided by politicians was very useful as background information and in understanding the reasons and motives behind certain answers or even trends in answers. - Overall, most MPs seemed to enjoy the meeting and expressed that they found the questionnaire very interesting and a nice way to reflect on their role and work in Parliament. 3.8 Questionnaire Questionnaires were kept as constant as possible for all politicians. Two factors caused variations in the questionnaire: (1) the type of politician (member of parliament, party leader or minister), and (2) the country. Regarding the type of politician, not all questions or answering categories were relevant to ask for the same types of politicians. E.g. a question on parliamentary initiatives is not relevant for party leaders. However, these differences were minor. In the questionnaire we indicate when a question was omitted or formulated differently for a specific type of politician. Differences between countries also exist since the institutional context differs substantially between the cases. Again, we indicate in the questionnaire which questions were formulated differently between countries. One question was dropped from the survey not long after starting the Belgian fieldwork. In the original version a K-level reasoning question was included, but it quickly became apparent that the politicians did not really understand it at first glance. Moreover they did not take their time to think it through as was needed and gave low quality responses to it. Moreover the question took time to read and seemed to be unpleasant to some respondents, so it was dropped. The interview had two main parts: first, a closed survey completed by the politician. For this first part the Qualtrics software for survey research was used. This was followed by an open-ended interview. Qualtrics survey After a short introduction, which mentioned anonymity guarantees and asked for permission to record the interview, the interviewer asked the politician to complete a Qualtrics survey on an iPad. Though the initial part of the interview was a survey, respondents were encouraged to comment on questions in between; as a result, most of the survey itself gave rise to additional follow-up questions by interviewers and the survey part and the interview part were mixed. After a brief introduction screen, the actual questionnaire began. Every question was displayed on a separate screen. The report only includes the English version of the questionnaire, but any differences between languages are also mentioned. 1. Do you read most of your information on paper (e.g. printed reports, notes) or through digital means (e.g. email, online)? Everything on paper Everything through digital media |__________________________________________| 2. To what extent do you feel overwhelmed by the information you receive on a daily basis? Not overwhelmed Overwhelmed |__________________________________________| 3. To what extent do you think that other politicians feel overwhelmed? Not overwhelmed |__________________________________________| Overwhelmed 4. What features of information make you take action (e.g. ask a staff member to follow up on it, write a press release, and so on)? Please indicate for the following features how much they matter to you. Doesn’t matter at all Deals with something that is important for my voters. Deals with something that is important for my constituency. Can be used to generate positive attention for my party. Can help me realize reelection or a higher position. Can help me realize my policy goals. Deals with an issue that my party is specialized in. Can be used to generate negative attention for another party. Has a lot of potential to gather media attention for me and my party. Deals with an issue that I am specialized in. Matters very much |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| |____________________________________| 5. Information can take different forms, and it can deal with different topics. Please use the bars to indicate your preference for each feature Information that is useful Information that is useful in the short term in the long term |____________________________________________________________________| Information that contains Information that contains only facts only opinions |____________________________________________________________________| Information that is very Information that is very specialized general |____________________________________________________________________| Information about an issue Information about an that is already on the issue that is not yet on agenda the agenda |____________________________________________________________________| 6. Please rank the following types of information by order of their importance to your work. Drag the answers to change their ranking. □ Information on new policy issues □ Information on your constituency □ Information related to your responsibilities as a member of parliament □ Information on political developments and events □ Information on ongoing policy issues you are interested in 7. How frequently do you check the following sources of information? Multiple times per hour Once an hour Multiple times per day Once per day Less than once per day Never Twitter News websites Email Social media (Facebook, Linked in,…) News agency Print newspapers TV news broadcasts Radio news 8. Of the initiatives you personally raised in Parliament or in government last year (e.g. motions for the agenda, bills, written and oral questions), roughly what percentage were inspired by the following: Interest and action groups ………% Personal experience ………% Meeting with individual citizens ………% Within the party (e.g. leadership, research center) ………% The media ………% Other ………% 9. Of the initiatives you personally raised in caucus in the last year, roughly what percentage were inspired by the following: Interest and action groups ………% Personal experience ………% Meeting with individual citizens ………% Within the party (e.g. leadership, research center) ………% The media ………% Other ………% 10. Please rank the following tasks according to their importance to you as a politician. Drag the tasks to change their order: □ Looking after the collective social and economic needs of my local area □ □ □ Influencing government policy Liaising between members of the parliamentary party and the party leadership and managing Parliament’s business Providing assistance to individual voters in their dealings with public authorities 11. Some politicians specialize in one or two policy areas, while others prefer to speak and act upon a wide range of issues from different policy areas. Where would you place yourself on the following scale? I focus on one issue I focus on a wide range of issues |____________________________________________________________________| 12. How important is it to you, personally, to promote the views and interests of the following groups of people? Very unimportant Unimportant Important Very important All the people in my constituency All people in my region A specific group in society All the people who voted for me All people in the country All the people who voted for my party My party 13. If you were to decide to stand at the next general election, how confident do you feel that you would be renominated by your party? o I would surely win the nomination contest o I would probably win the nomination contest o It could go either way o I would probably lose the nomination contest o I would surely lose the nomination contest 14. If you were to decide to stand at the next general election, how confident do you feel that you would be re-elected? o I would surely be elected o I would probably be elected o It could go either way o o I would probably not be elected I would surely not be elected 15. If it was up to you, where would you like to be five years from now? Tick as many as applies. Belgium □ A cabinet member in a provincial government □ A cabinet member in the Federal government □ Working in the non-profit sector □ A Member of the Federal Parliament □ A Member of the Flemish parliament □ A member of the European parliament □ Working in business □ Mayor □ Working for a public agency □ Retired from public life □ A member of a provincial legislature □ Senator □ Other Canada Israel □ A cabinet member in a provincial government □ A cabinet member in the Federal government □ Working in the non-profit sector □ A Member of Parliament □ Working in business □ Mayor □ Working for a public agency □ Retired from public life □ A member of a provincial legislature □ Senator □ Other 16. Politicians need to balance between different goals. What do you think is the right balance a politician should have on the following issues: Represent the views of Represent their party citizens and transform platform and gain the them into policy as public’s support for it. accurately as possible. |____________________________________________________________________| Resist the demands of Take into account other other interests and keep to interests. 1 the party line . |____________________________________________________________________| 17. How do you get informed about current affairs? Please tell us the three information sources that are most important to you: 1. ………………………………………………… 2. ………………………………………………… 3. ………………………………………………… 1 Note that in Belgium, this item was translated as ‘neglect’ other interests, which might have caused politicians to refrain from choosing this option. 18. Please tell us the three most important issues for you as a politician: 1. ………………………………………………… 2. ………………………………………………… 3. ………………………………………………… 19. How do you get informed about the three top issues you have indicated? Please mark the three channels most important to these issues. □ Federal bureaucrats □ Social media □ Individual citizens □ Industry associations □ Personal contacts □ Politicians from other parties □ My political party □ Scientific institutions □ Mass media □ Parliamentary officers, e.g. Library of Parliament, PBO □ Politicians from my own party □ Interest groups 20. For the following question, we’d like to know about how you make decisions and about the kinds of decisions that you make. [Note: politicians were randomly assigned to one of four conditions] Condition A: Canada/Belgium/Israel is planning for the outbreak of an unusual disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed and are brought up for vote in the Healt Committee, and you are a member of the committee. The exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the program is as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is a 33% probability that 600 people will be saved, and 66% probability that no people will be saved. Which of the two programs do you favour? □ □ Program A Program B Condition B: Canada/Belgium/Israel is planning for the outbreak of an unusual disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed and are brought up for vote in the Healt Committee, and you are a member of the committee. The exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the program is as follows: If program A is adopted, 400 people will die. If program B is adopted, there is a 33% probability that nobody will die, and 66% probability that 600 people will die. Which of the two programs do you favour? □ □ Program A Program B Condition C: Imagine that the US is planning for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. The exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the program is as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is a 33% probability that 600 people will be saved, and 66% probability that no people will be saved. Which of the two programs do you favour? □ □ Program A Program B Condition D: Imagine that the US is planning for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. The exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the program is as follows: If program A is adopted, 400 people will die. If program B is adopted, there is a 33% probability that nobody will die, and 66% probability that 600 people will die. Which of the two programs do you favour? □ □ Program A Program B Open Interview After completion of the survey, a semi-structured open interview ensued. Below are the five questions. 1. The survey contained a number of questions on your goals and motivations. Can you try to explain, in your own words, which aspect of your work as a politician gives you the most satisfaction? 2. We already mentioned several information properties that might cause you to spend more or less attention on it. Can you explain what makes information interesting for you? - How important is the source of the information? 3. Can you describe what the role of the party is in your work, what you do, and what you pay attention to? 4. How many personal staffers do you have? 5. Can you describe what their role is, and what they do? Appendix A: Contact Letter (English) To Mr./Ms. xxx xxx xxx UW KENMERK ONS KENMERK Collaboration Research INFOPOL DATUM 27 February 2013 BIJLAGE Questions Prof. dr. Stefaan Walgrave Department Political Science University of Antwerp Sint-Jacobsstraat 2 B-2000 Antwerpen Dear Sir/ Madam, As you probably know from personal experience, politicians are confronted with enormous amounts of information. Recently, a European Research Council project (ERC; http://erc.europa.eu), named INFOPOL, started at the University of Antwerp. The project compares information processing routines of high-ranking politicians in Belgium, Canada and Israel. The aim of this project is to investigate how politicians manage to distinguish important from unimportant information, which type of information takes priority, and which information politicians act upon. We study these processes from the viewpoint of the individual politician, and not from an outsiders’ perspective. We want to understand, for the very first time, how politicians themselves perceive and experience the daily struggle with tons of information. To that end, I want to kindly ask you whether you would be willing to participate in an interview of about one hour. Enclosed is a document answering some questions you might have about our research: How did I get selected? What does the research entail? And what about the anonymity and the confidentiality of my answers? Shortly, I will contact you by phone to give you more information about the study and to answer further questions. You can, of course, contact me in the meantime with any question or comment. (coordinates added below). More information about the project is also available on our website www.infopol-project.eu. I truly hope you will participate in our important project. It will enhance our understanding of how politicians work, how they represent society, and how they get informed about the problems in society. Your participation is indispensable to turn it into a success! Yours truly, Prof. Dr. Stefaan Walgrave Research group M²P (www.M2P.be) University of Antwerp 0471/55 21 31 - stefaan.walgrave@ua.ac.be www.infopol-project.eu Questions concerning the research What is INFOPOL? INFOPOL is a research project focusing on how politicians in three countries deal with information coming from their societies. The research covers Belgium (University of Antwerp – Stefaan Walgrave as principal investigator), but also Israel (Hebrew University) and Canada (McGill University and University of Toronto). The aim of the project is to analyze how high-ranking politicians (members of parliament, party leaders and ministers) in the three countries prioritize the problems they deal with and what role incoming societal information plays in that process. The research project is generously funded by a rare and prestigious Advanced Grant of the European Research Council (ERC; http://erc.europa.eu). The project will generate unique data on the connection between politics and society. How did I get selected? In each country—also in Belgium where we only cover Dutch-speaking politicians from the federal level—we look for fifty top politicians who are prepared to share with us how they deal with information. We drew a random sample of fifty Belgian politicians and you are part of that sample. The more people of our original sample refuse to collaborate, the less representative our findings risk to be. What does the research entail for me, personally? Your collaboration would imply that you would be contacted shortly for an interview of about one hour. The interview would be held at a convenient place and time for you during one of the coming months (June-September). It will be partially based on closed questions (survey format) followed by a number of open questions. We will, for example, ask you about your most important source of information or to which kinds of information you give most attention. Of the interview you will be given a written transcript for rectification and ratification. At the end of the interview, we will ask you whether you would be willing to participate in some of the next steps of our research. Of course, you can refuse. Will I be informed about the results? You will, of course, be informed about the outcome of the study when it is completed. We will send you a report containing an executive summary with the key findings. These results could be of great use for your daily routine concerning information processing as they will inform you about your colleagues’ information-seeking behavior and will put your own routine into perspective. The European Research Council (ERC) funds research that is driven by fundamental questions, not by applied questions. Yet, we expect the research to contribute to the current debate on the quality of representation and democracy in general. We anticipate it may lead to policy changes, for example in further professionalizing the support (staff) politicians get to help them process information. What about anonymity and confidentiality of the data? We understand that being interviewed about your work as a politician can be threatening. Therefore, INFOPOL incorporates a host of measures that ensure anonymity and confidentiality. These measures have been screened by the Ethical Boards of the three participating universities in the three countries and correspond to the most stringent norms of social-scientific research. All measures below have also been screened according to the very strict rules of the European Research Council (ERC). The core of the matter is that the data that you personally provide to us will never be made public in a way that may lead to personal identification. We elaborate briefly on these measures: Potential participants (you) are briefed about the goal and procedure of the study. This is accomplished by this letter but also by the aforementioned phone call the principal investigator hopes to have with you shortly. As soon as the data are collected, they are stored in an anonymous format: the answers you provide are stored separately from any identifying information, making it impossible to trace answers back to you personally. Only one researcher in the Belgian INFOPOL team at the University of Antwerp will be able to trace the data back to individuals. This is necessary to be able to connect other data. The anonymized data will be encrypted as well. This means that they can only be read when providing a password so that only INFOPOL researchers have access. The INFOPOL researchers are all knowledgeable about the absolute requisite of anonymity and confidentiality and they have signed a special confidentiality agreement with their employer (University of Antwerp). INFOPOL and its researchers will never inform third parties about the fact that you participate in the INFOPOL research. Your participation is confidential and secret. Research and reporting of the results will always be done based on aggregate data across participants and never drawing on individual data. Even when providing examples, researchers will make sure that it is impossible to retrace specific evidence to you personally. At the end of the study (2017), all personal information will be destroyed. Even so, the anonymized dataset will still be password-protected. The data can, at that stage, be used by other researchers outside of INFOPOL but these individuals must ask for access via a written request procedure and the decision to grant access is taken by the principal investigator personally. In any case, and again, your answers will never be traced back to you personally. Appendix B: contact letter Israel (Hebrew). 12/17/2012 לכבוד, הנדון :פרויקט מחקר בינלאומי -עיבוד מידע וקבלת החלטות ע"י פוליטיקאים שלום רב, ברצוננו לבקש את הסכמתך להתייעץ אתך בעניין פרויקט ,INFOPOLפרויקט מחקר אקדמי בינלאומי ,העוסק בדרכי עיבוד המידע וקבלת ההחלטות של פוליטיקאים .בשלב זה של הפרוייקט אנו עוסקים בשרטוט קווי המתאר של המחקר ובחינת הדרכים הנאותות לביצועו ולשם כך אנו מבקשים להיעזר במספר מומחים ,פוליטיקאים ואנשי אקדמיה ,שיכולים לסייע מניסיונם והיכרותם את המערכת הפוליטית. פרויקט המחקר INFOPOLנערך בעת ובעונה אחת בישראל ,בקנדה ובבלגיה על ידי חוקרים בכירים באוניברסיטה העברית בירושלים ,אוניברסיטת UAבאנטוורפן ,אוניברסיטת McGillבמונטריאול ואוניברסיטת UTM בטורונטו .המחקר זכה למענקי מחקר משמעותיים מטעם האיחוד האירופי ואנו צופים כי יוביל להבנה טובה יותר של המערכת הפוליטית ושל חשיבות עבודתם של הפוליטיקאים .בהמשך צירפנו רקע קצר על המחקר ,ממנו ניתן ללמוד על חשיבותו לחקר הדמוקרטיה וחקר הפוליטיקה בישראל. נשמח אם תמצאי לנכון לסייע למחקר .לשם כך אנו מבקשים לראיין אותך במשך כשעה בנושאים שונים הקשורים לעבודת הפוליטיקאים ולדרכים הנאותות לחקור ולנתח אותה .ראיונות דומים מתקיימים בימים אלה עם מומחים בכירים בשלוש המדינות המשתתפות במחקר .נשמח לעמוד לרשותך בכל שאלה או הצעה. בכבוד רב, פרופ' תמיר שפר מרכז פרויקט INFOPOLישראל האוניברסיטה העברית אודות מחקר INFOPOL איך השחקנים הפוליטיים יודעים מהן הבעיות בחברה? איך הם מגבשים פתרונות אפשריים לבעיות אלה? איך הם מזהים את עמדות האזרחים בעניינים אלה? מדובר בשאלות מרכזיות בחקר הדמוקרטיה .מטרת המחקר היא ללמוד ולנתח את תבניות זרימת המידע אל הפוליטיקאים ,תהליך סינון המידע והענקת תשומת לב לחלק ממנו ,ובסופו של דבר בחלק מהמקרים גם ייזום פעולות על בסיס מידע זה .מהם הגורמים הקובעים את מידת ההיענות של הפוליטיקאים? האם הם תורמים לחיזוקה את הדמוקרטיה או שמא לערעורה? לראשונה במחקר זה נבחן תהליך עיבוד המידע של הפוליטיקאי הבודד באופן יש יר ומעמיק ,תוך השוואה בין פוליטיקאים בשלוש מדינות בעלות מערכות פוליטיות שונות ,ובין בעלי תפקידים שונים במערכת הפוליטית. המחקר יוצא לדרך בימים אלה ,ובשלב זה של גיבוש מערך המחקר אנו עורכים ראיונות עם מומחים ,פוליטיקאים ואנשי אקדמיה היכולים לסייע לנו מניסיונם .המידע שייאסף במסגרת מחקר פיילוט זה ישמש כרקע למחקר המרכזי והמרואיינים אינם חלק מהאוכלוסייה הנחקרת--אוכלוסייה המורכבת מפוליטיקאים מכהנים .שמות המרואיינים לא יתפרסמו זולת אם יוסכם אחרת. צוות המחקר כולל כ 15-חוקרים מארבע אוניברסיטאות בשלוש מדינות ,ומובילים אותו פרופ' Stefaan Walgrave מאוניברסיטת אנטוורפן בבלגיה ,פרופ' תמיר שפר מהאוניברסיטה העברית בירושלים ,ופרופ' Stuart Soroka מאוניברסיטת מק'גיל בקנדה. ליצירת קשר פרופ' תמיר שפר msstamir@huji.ac.il 052-2861501 מר יוגב קרסנטי yogevkty@gmail.com 052-5272383 מר טל שחף tal.shahaf@mail.huji.ac.il 050-3396060