AP Macroeconomics Unemployment Problem Set Define Labor Force in words. Define Labor Force in an equation: What characteristics must someone meet to be considered unemployed? The number of people who are working and who want to work. People who are working includes people working part-time. # Employed + # Unemployed Age 16+, actively seeking a job in the last month How does one calculate the unemployment rate? (# Unemployed / Labor Force) X 100 Define Natural Rate of Unemployment Normal rate of unemployment; Includes frictional and structural unemployment Define Full Employment Occurs at the natural rate of unemployment when there is NO CYCLICAL unemployment What do economists suggest the natural rate of unemployment should be? Define Frictional Unemployment 4-6% Unemployment that results when people are between jobs or looking for their first job. Define Structural Unemployment Unemployment that occurs when workers’ skills no longer match the needs of the labor market. Define Cyclical Unemployment Unemployment that follows the business cycle; Occurs when there is a contraction of the business cycle Which type of unemployment must be absent to have full employment? Cyclical Unemployment Define and categorize seasonal unemployment Seasonal is a type of frictional (normal) unemployment. Economists do not worry about this because they know the jobs will come back. Define and categorize technological unemployment Occurs when jobs are replaced by technology (technological unemployment) Define Discouraged Worker Worker who has been without a job so long they have stopped looking for a job Occurs when 1) Part-time workers want full-time work; 2) Worker is overqualified for the job he/she is doing The unemployment rate is actually much too low. It only includes people who are actually looking for jobs. It does not include discouraged workers or underemployed/dissatisfied workers. Define Underemployment What are some criticisms of the way the unemployment rate is calculated? Module 12 – Check Your Understanding p.124 #1 The websites would help reduce unemployment over time by helping people find jobs more quickly. However, the websites that induce people who have given up looking to re-enter the job search would increase in the unemployment rate. #2 a. b. c. d. e. Not counted – not looking for work - discouraged worker Not counted – teacher has a job Unemployed – actively looking for work Underemployed- working part-time Not counted –full time student, but “marginally attached” ** A,D,E – all show labor force underutilization Item A is consistent – Typically during a fall in Real GDP (contraction of the business cycle), unemployment will rise Item B is consistent – As the economy recovers (Rise in Real GDP) more people tend to find jobs Item C is inconsistent – If real GDp falls, the unemployment rate typically rises. KEY IDEA: INVERSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP AND UNEMPLOYMENT #3 Multiple Choice Questions – p.125 # 1 2 Answer E B 3 A 4 D 5 B Explanation Definition of unemployed Labor Force Participation rate is what percentage of the population that is ELIGIBLE for work is actually in the labor force (whether employed or unemployed). Here, we have a population of 200,000 people who are age 16+, but we only have a labor force of 100,000. That means that there are 100,000 people who are not employed or unemployed. You have a labor force of 100,000. 70,000 people are working full time. 20,000 people are working part-time. That leaves 10,000 people who must be seeking work. In #3, you figured out that there are 10,000 people who are in the labor force who are not employed. 10,000/100,000 X100 = 10% unemployment rate Discouraged workers are not reflected in the labor force because they are neither employed nor looking for work. Tackle the Test: FRQ p. 125 #1 c. Unemployment Rate = (#Unemployed/Labor Force)X100 a. Labor Force = # Employed +# Unemployed 5 million + 1 million Labor Force = 6 million 1 million/(5million + 1 million) = (1 million / 6 million)X 100 = 17% b. Labor Force Participation Rate = (Labor Force/ Population)X100 (6 million/12 million)X100 = 50% #2 a. Julie is employed, but she is underemployed. Her skills exceed the requirements for her job. b. Jeff is not counted as unemployed because he is no longer looking. He is an example of a discouraged worker, and is an example of labor force underutilization. c. Ian is employed. He has a job and is content with part-time hours. d. Raj is not counted in the labor force because he is not actively working or seeking employment. Module 13 – Check Your Understanding p.132 #1 a. Frictional unemployment is always going to exist because people who move from one job to another will always need time to look for a new job. In addition, there will always be people who graduate who are looking for a job, and they will need time to find that job. b. When the unemployment rate is low, frictional unemployment will account for a greater percentage of unemployment because structural, and especially CYCLICAL unemployment will be much lower. A minimum wage is a price floor that prevents wages from falling to the equilibrium level. As a result of minimum wage, there will be some workers who will not be able to enter the labor force because of the artificially high wage. Collective bargaining creates a price floor because unions insist that wages cannot fall toward equilibrium. Hence, you will have a lot of people seeking to get a lower number of highly-paid, good union jobs. #2 #3 If the US greatly increases unemployment benefits, then the unemployed will experience less cost in being unemployed. They may decide to spend more time looking for a new job. (EX: Not applying for that seasonal position at Toys R Us so you can spend more time looking for a job as a real estate agent.) The natural rate of unemployment would increase because people will take a longer time in finding an ideal job. Tackle the Test: Multiple Choice Questions p.133 # 1 2 Answer A C 3 4 5 B D E Explanation Definition of frictional unemployment Definition of cyclical unemployment; Remember, CYCLIcal unemployment follows the business CYCLE Skills that the worker is supplying are not needed The natural rate of unemployment will NEVER be 0% due to frictional unemployment Ask if you have questions. Tackle the Test: FRQ p. 133 #2 a. Frictional unemployment. Melanie has valued skills. She is simply between jobs. b. Structural. In the global marketplace, Melanie and her co-workers are demanding wages above equilibrium. Her skills can be purchased more cheaply elsewhere. c. Cyclical. There is a slump in investment spending, which is a result of an economic slow-down. The job will return. p.153 #13, 15, 18 13. In general, the change in the unemployment rate varies inversely with the rate of growth in real GDP: when the economy is growing, we expect the unemployment rate to be falling rapidly. However, after several quarters of a severe recession, unemployed workers may become discouraged and stop looking for work. Since the definition of unemployed persons requires that they be looking for work, unemployment falls as workers become discouraged and stop looking. We could see an increase in the official unemployment rate after several quarters of a strong expansion as existing workers, encouraged by an increase in wages to attract new workers, leave existing jobs to search for new ones and discouraged workers begin to search for jobs again. 15. a. To find the number of people employed in each region, you would complete the following for each: Labor Force – Number Unemployed To find the third column (Change), simply do the following: March 2008 data- March 2007 data Region Northeast South Midwest West March 2007 26,665.7 51,902.9 33,106.1 33,643.8 Employed (thousands) March 2008 26,685.3 52,300.1 33,177.8 33,988.9 Change 19.6 397.2 71.7 345.1 b. To calculate labor force growth for each region, complete the following: Labor Force March 2008 – Labor Force March 2007 Region Growth in the Labor Force (thousands) Northeast 172.1 South 670.1 Midwest 224.3 West 671.5 c. The unemployment rate is calculated as (number unemployed/labor force)X100 Unemployment Rate Region Northeast South Midwest West March 2007 4.3% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% March 2008 4.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% d. Across the different regions of the United States, more people were employed in March 2008 than in March 2007. However, the unemployment rates increased because an even larger number of people were in the labor force, seeking jobs. 18. a. The job-for-life system of employment in Japan led to a very low level of frictional unemployment. The only search for jobs occurred when workers first joined the labor force. The low level of frictional unemployment led to a low natural rate of unemployment. Since the stock market crash of 1989 and the slow economic growth of the 1990s, Japan has moved away from the job-for-life system. As some Japanese firms laid off workers who believed they had their jobs for life, it was difficult for many to find new jobs. Consequently, frictional unemployment has risen in Japan, leading to a higher natural rate of unemployment. b. The increase in real GDP growth should result in a decrease in the unemployment rate in Japan. Indeed, the unemployment rate has dropped from 5.3% in 2003 to 3.9% in 2007. The likely cause of this is a decrease in the cyclical unemployment rate. The increase in real GDP growth indicates that the Japanese economy has expanded during this period.