Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial For SEBC May 8, 2004 Sanjiv Parekh Welcome • Sloan Trading Room Task Force was established in 1997 by Prof. Andrew Lo. • Trading room is used for research, trading games and simulations, and finance classes. • Types of trading games include: equity, fixed income, derivatives, and foreign exchange. • Information: • Email Us: Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial http://mitsloan.mit.edu/trader taskforce@mit.edu Agenda • Today’s Game: – Zero coupon bonds and 10% coupon bond • • • • • • Bond Valuation Trading Mechanics: Bid-Ask Trading Interface Two Practice Games Questions and Answers The Final Game Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Case Scenario • Four Securities: – 10% coupon bond maturing in 3 years – 3 Zero coupon bonds maturing in 1, 2, and 3 years – Face value for all bonds is $100 • Two periods: Year 1, Year 2, and Year 3 • Variable interest rates • Replication of coupon bonds with Zeros Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Coupon Bonds • • • • PV = Present Value = price of bond today Ct = Coupon at end of year t FV = Face Value = $100 rt = Interest rate for year t C3 FV C1 C2 PV 1 r1 (1 r1 )(1 r2 ) (1 r1 )(1 r2 )(1 r3 ) Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial 10 10 110 1 2 Year 3 Zero Coupon Bonds FV 1-year maturity: PV (1 r1 ) FV 2-year maturity: PV (1 r1 )(1 r2 ) FV 3-year maturity: PV (1 r1 )(1 r2 )(1 r3 ) Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial 100 1 2 Year 3 100 1 2 Year 3 100 1 2 Year 3 Uncertainty • Have to “guess” what future rates will be • To prevent arbitrage, pricing between coupon bond and zero coupon bonds should be related • Replicating Portfolio – Use zero coupon bonds to match amount and timing of cash flows of the coupon bond – Should have the same price as the coupon bond – If not same price then arbitrage Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Building Replicating Portfolio • • • • • • • w1 = Weight of 1-year zero w2 = Weight of 2-year zero w3 = Weight of 3-year zero C1 = w1 * 100 C2 = w2 * 100 C3 = w3 * 100 PCoupon = w1P1-year + w2P2-year + w3P3-year Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Arbitrage Opportunity • Price of replicating portfolio: PR • Price of coupon bond: PC • If PR < PC – Sell coupon bond, Buy the appropriate zeros • If PR > PC – Buy coupon bond, Sell the appropriate zeros • Buy low and Sell high Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Trading Mechanics • Traders who want to sell stocks at a certain price post an Ask • Traders who want to buy stocks at a certain price post a Bid • Only Market Makers have the ability to post Bids and Asks Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial The Bid-Ask Spread BID ASK 158 1/8 158 7/8 Market maker buys Market taker sells Market maker sells Market taker buys Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Stay Within the Spread Bid buy 160 sell 159 $$$ • • Ask sell 159 buy 160 $$$ Do not trade outside the spread Be the market maker with unsophisticated traders in the market Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Being the Market Maker Ask 90 89* Bid 80 81* MARKET New Bid Makes the Market New Ask Makes the Market (Market Maker) (Market Maker) • Bid-Ask spread goes from 10 to 8 once the new bid and the new ask make the market Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Being the Market Maker Ask 90 Bid 80 91 79 MARKET Bid does NOT Make the Market Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Ask does NOT Make the Market Terminology • Going Long: buy the bond – You think the bond price will go up • Going Short: sell the bond – You think the bond price will go down – Selling more units than you have, known as short selling, ends up with negative number of units. – In this game, you can short sell as much as you want – Have to cover short position at end by buying back the bond. Done automatically in the game. Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Trading Interface You can borrow or lend at a variable interest rate Security Names Seconds remaining for current trading period. Traders in the FTS markets determine prices Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial Realized payouts displayed here Individual endowments Logging In Enter any trading name (at least 3 characters) Type in the actual names of each trader on the team DO NOT PRESS CONNECT UNTIL ASKED TO DO SO Fixed Income Trading Game and Tutorial