Capital Structure: Making the Right Decision P.V. Viswanath Based on Damodaran’s Corporate Finance A Hypothetical Scenario Assume you operate in an environment, where (a) there are no taxes (b) there is no separation between stockholders and managers. (c) there is no default risk (d) there is no separation between stockholders and bondholders (e) firms know their future financing needs P.V. Viswanath 2 The Miller-Modigliani Theorem In an environment, where there are no taxes, default risk or agency costs, capital structure is irrelevant. The value of a firm is independent of its debt ratio. P.V. Viswanath 3 Implications of MM Theorem (a) Leverage is irrelevant. A firm's value will be determined by its project cash flows. (b) The cost of capital of the firm will not change with leverage. As a firm increases its leverage, the cost of equity will increase just enough to offset any gains to the leverage. P.V. Viswanath 4 Can debt be irrelevant in a world with taxes? In the presence of personal taxes on both interest income and income from equity, it can be argued that debt could still be irrelevant if the cumulative taxes paid (by the firm and investors) on debt and equity are the same. Thus, if td is the personal tax rate on interest income received by investors, te is the personal tax rate on income on equity and tc is the corporate tax rate, debt will be irrelevant if: (1 - td) = (1-tc) (1-te) P.V. Viswanath 5 Is there an optimal capital structure? The Empirical Evidence The empirical evidence on whether leverage affects value is mixed. Bradley, Jarrell, and Kim (1984) note that the debt ratio is lower for firms with more volatile operating income and for firms with substantial R&D and advertising expenses. Barclay, Smith and Watts (1995) looked at 6780 companies between 1963 and 1993 and conclude that the most important determinant of a firm's debt ratio is its' investment opportunities. Firms with better investment opportunities (as measured by a high price to book ratio) tend to have much lower debt ratios than firms with low price to book ratios. Smith(1986) notes that leverage-increasing actions seem to be accompanied by positive excess returns while leverage-reducing actions seem to be followed by negative returns. This is not consistent with the theory that there is an optimal capital structure, unless we assume that firms tend to be under levered. P.V. Viswanath 6 How do firms set their financing mixes? Life Cycle: Some firms choose a financing mix that reflects where they are in the life cycle; start- up firms use more equity, and mature firms use more debt. Comparable firms: Many firms seem to choose a debt ratio that is similar to that used by comparable firms in the same business. Financing Hierarchy: Firms also seem to have strong preferences on the type of financing used, with retained earnings being the most preferred choice. They seem to work down the preference list, rather than picking a financing mix directly. P.V. Viswanath 7 The Debt Equity Trade Off Across the Life Cycle P.V. Viswanath 8 Comparable Firms When we look at the determinants of the debt ratios of individual firms, the strongest determinant is the average debt ratio of the industries to which these firms belong. This is not inconsistent with the existence of an optimal capital structure. If firms within a business share common characteristics (high tax rates, volatile earnings etc.), you would expect them to have similar financing mixes. This approach can lead to sub-optimal leverage, if firms within a business do not share common characteristics. P.V. Viswanath 9 Preference rankings : Results of a survey Ranking Source Score 1 Retained Earnings 5.61 2 Straight Debt 4.88 3 Convertible Debt 3.02 4 External Common Equity 2.42 5 Straight Preferred Stock 2.22 6 Convertible Preferred 1.72 P.V. Viswanath 10 What managers consider important in deciding on how much debt to carry... A survey of Chief Financial Officers of large U.S. companies provided the following ranking (from most important to least important) for the factors that they considered important in the financing decisions Factor Ranking (0-5) 1. Maintain financial flexibility 4.55 2. Ensure long-term survival 4.55 3. Maintain Predictable Source of Funds 4.05 4. Maximize Stock Price 3.99 5. Maintain financial independence 3.88 6. Maintain high debt rating 3.56 7. Maintain comparability with peer group 2.47 P.V. Viswanath 11 Rationale for Financing Hierarchy Managers value flexibility. External financing reduces flexibility more than internal financing. Managers value control. Issuing new equity weakens control and new debt creates bond covenants. P.V. Viswanath 12 Financing Choices You are reading the Wall Street Journal and notice a tombstone ad for a company, offering to sell convertible preferred stock. What would you hypothesize about the health of the company issuing these securities? Nothing Healthier than the average firm In much more financial trouble than the average firm P.V. Viswanath 13