Factors considered when outsourcing a DSS Bjarne Berg Ph.D. Research Seminar UNCC-Charlotte 3/2/2007 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 2 Limitations, Assumptions, Risks The study is limited to organizations engaged in SAP activities such as running, implementing or managing SAP resources i.e. R/3, NetWeaver, or BW (SAP data warehouses). Reliability was tested for consistency in 4 separate samples of sizes ranging from 230 to 802. Validity was tested within a construct using Cronbach alphas on the instrument. Not all constructs has multiple questions, so not all measures were validated (i.e. labor costs, overall costs). However, measures used in this study was separately validated by other published studies. I.e. Our supplier factors had 11 questions and an average inter-item correlation of 0.83 (equivalent to an average of only 69% shared variance between items) have a reliability coefficient of .964 3 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 4 Theoretical Rational In the IT sense, the cost advantage has recently been sought through outsourcing of transactional processing and the challenge has been to decide how far to take outsourcing of supplementary systems. A good example is the Decision Support Systems (DSS). A DSS provides intelligence about operations, increases alternative exploration and leads to increased choices for the organization (Simon, 1960). In short, the benefit of a DSS is to provide managers with an opportunity to anticipate, identify, and creatively respond to changing consumer demands. The challenge is that good DSS are very expensive to implement and that a general approach to outsourcing can “depress industry profitability if companies outsource to the same providers and their solutions become more alike” (Porter, 2000). 5 Background Companies that outsource their DSS and focuses on cost as the main source of competitive advantage may experience significant risks to their future ability to differentiate their products and services. In short, in organization’s that has outsourced IT, inflexibilities to market changes may also be a risk to business performance (Earl, 1996). The risks may be disproportional to larger companies, as outsourced systems can be used on an economy of scale, where small companies can effectively compete with larger companies (Rayport & Sviokla, 1994). 6 Our research questions A recent survey of 357 firms, suggested that total outsourcing can be a very dangerous strategy, due to the inflexibility it creates and managers should be very selective in what IT functions are outsourced (Gonzales et. al, 2005). We propose that DSS are at the heart of the firm’s ability to become aware of new opportunities, and therefore these systems must have a very high degree of flexibility. Our research questions are therefore: 1. Are organizations that employ a niche or a differentiating strategy less likely to consider overall costs, or labor costs, than organizations that are primarily competing using a low cost strategy. 2. Is an organization’s competitive advantage strategy a factor in the current, and planned, IT spending on OLTP and DSS. 3. Are larger organizations more likely than smaller organizations to consider factors related to their service providers when considering outsourcing DSS. 4. Are smaller organizations more likely to consider technology factors when deciding to outsource decision support systems. 7 Measures Research on measures associated with risk factors for information technology outsourcing (Bahli & Rivard, 2002), has examined three sources of risks known as transactional risks, client risks and supplier risks. Since the service provider’s value proposition of outsourcing (Levina & Ross, 2003) may be different from that those of the organization doing the outsourcing we examined the established measures from a follow-up study that examined this divergent value proposition (Djavanshir, 2005). In this study, a survey 114 senior IT manager demonstrated that labor cost reduction, access to host country's skilled workforce and talents, ability to take advantage of host country's universities, providing continuous operations, improved flexibility and agility were the main reasons given by managers for moving IT functions to an outside provider. 8 Measures Access to the expertise of the employees of the service provider may also be a factor. In a research effort to build a success model prediction model, a set of measures given by management for deciding who to outsource to gain access to expertise was examined (Gable, 1996). Where Our Construct Bahli & Rivard (2002) Supplier factor Predictive model of Supplier factor success Supplier factor Technology factor Internal factor Supplier factor Technology factor Internal factor Internal factor Supplier factor Supplier factor Gable (1996) Supplier factor Outsourcing IT advise Supplier factor Supplier factor Djavanshir (2005) Why Cost outsource Overall costs Supplier factor Supplier factor Internal factor Internal factor Literature Measures Supplier's investment Human Resources specificity Small number of suppliers Uncertainty Internal relatedness External relatedness Task complexity Expertise of the client with the IT operations Expertise of client with outsourcing Expertise of this supplier with the IT operations Expertise of the supplier with the outsourcing Consultant's demonstrated understanding of client needs Apparent trustworthiness of consultant The consulting company's prior experience Labor cost reduction Access to host country's skilled workforce and talents Taking advantage of host country's universities 24/7 operations Improved flexibility and agility 9 Survey development As measures of company size, published revenues and number of employees for the world’s largest 1000 organizations were used (Fortune, 2005). Based on these measures, a survey was created in March 2006. The instrument was reviewed by a group of five information technology professors from two institutions as well as a set of graduate students. Based on this input, a test sample was made (n=23) of a preliminary instrument to examine it for clarity, terminology, and organization. We obtained UNC-C human subject research approval in April, and conducted survey’s at 4 major SAP conferences (convenience sampling) through out April – November in Florida, California and Nevada. The survey had 47 questions. 10 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 11 Sample Size and Response Rates The study is limited to organizations engaged in SAP activities such as running, implementing or managing SAP resources i.e. R/3, NetWeaver, or BW (SAP data warehouses). Over a period of 8 months we sampled a total of 1,889 individuals using a written survey. The anonymous convenience samples were taken at four different SAP national conferences with a combined attendance of over 15,800 individuals Responses Survey 1 Survey 2 Survey 3 Survey 4 Organization Size Number for surveys Response Fortune- FortuneSmaller No Issued vs. returned rates 500 1000 organizations answer 220 65 173 8 623 / 466 75% (47%) (14%) (37%) (2%) 400 108 274 20 968 / 802 83% (50%) (13%) (34%) (2%) 234 36 108 13 492 / 391 79% (59%) (9%) (28%) (3%) 125 19 83 3 298 / 230 77% (54%) (8%) (36%) (1%) 2381 / 1889 79% 979 228 638 44 12 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 13 Most important factors for OLTP outsourcing The service provider's prior experience with the transaction system The service provider's expertise with outsourcing in general The trustworthiness of the service provider's employees The service provider's employees' understanding of our needs The service provider's experience with performing similar activities as us The service provider's current overall investments in transaction systems To take advantage of the skilled workforce of our service partner To improve our transactional flexibility and agility To reduce labor costs To reduce overall costs To provide 24 hour transactional operations The complexity of the transaction system The service provider working in a similar industry as our organization Our unfamiliarity with outsourcing in general The number of available outsourcing service providers Knowing the service provider's employees Uncertainty in our long-term transactional system technology choice To take advantage of different education systems at our service partner's location Our unfamiliarity with OLTP technology 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 14 Most Important factors for DSS outsourcing The service provider's expertise with outsourcing in general The trustworthiness of the service provider's employees The service provider's employees' understanding of our needs The service provider's prior experience with the DSS technology To reduce labor costs Our unfamiliarity with DSS technology The service provider's current overall investments in DSS The service provider's experience with performing similar activities as us To take advantage of the skilled workforce of our service partner To improve our DSS flexibility and agility To reduce overall costs To provide 24 hour DSS operations The service provider working in a similar industry as our organization Knowing the service provider's employees The complexity of DSS The number of available outsourcing service providers To take advantage of different education systems at our service partner's location Our unfamiliarity with outsourcing in general Uncertainty in our long-term DSS technology choice 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 15 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 16 Questions and average scores Our unfamiliarity with OLTP/DSS technology To reduce labor costs Knowing the service provider's employees The service provider's expertise with outsourcing in general The trustworthiness of the service provider's employees The service provider's current overall investments in OLTP/DSS The service provider's employees' understanding of our needs To take advantage of different education systems at our service partner's location The service provider working in a similar industry as our organization The complexity of OLTP/DSS To improve our OLTP/DSS flexibility and agility The service provider's prior experience with the OLTP/DSS technology To take advantage of the skilled workforce of our service partner The service provider's experience with performing similar activities as us The number of available outsourcing service providers To reduce overall costs Uncertainty in our long-term OLTP/DSS technology choice To provide 24 hour OLTP/DSS operations Unfamiliarity with outsourcing in general OLTP 2.06 3.07 2.42 3.56 3.50 3.18 3.44 2.18 2.68 2.70 3.08 3.57 3.18 3.38 2.59 3.05 2.23 3.03 2.65 DSS Differences 3.39 1.32* Factor that are 3.41 0.34* more important to 2.74 0.32* a DSS outsourcing 3.77 0.21* effort 3.66 0.15* 3.30 0.12* 3.53 0.09*** 2.27 0.09*** 2.76 0.08 No major 2.73 0.03 differences 3.05 0.02 3.50 0.07 3.08 0.09*** 3.27 0.11** Factor that are 2.44 0.15* more important to 2.89 0.16* an OLTP 2.05 0.19* outsourcing effort 2.77 0.26* 2.11 0.54* * Significant at 99% confidence level, two-tailed matched pair t-test of sample means assuming equal variance.** Significant at 95% confidence level. *** Significant at 90% confidence level. Mean Mean Differenc St. dev var n Pooled t= Degrees of OLTP DSS es variance Freedom 2.064 3.387 1.32 1.094 1.196 1380 1.055 -30.496 2323 3.072 3.412 0.34 1.282 1.643 1565 1.599 -6.402 2449 2.423 2.741 0.32 1.140 1.300 1428 0.886 -7.865 2299 3.557 3.767 0.21 1.181 1.394 1335 1.248 -4.322 2206 3.505 3.659 0.15 1.389 1.928 1430 1.436 -2.987 2301 3.180 3.299 0.12 0.920 0.847 1359 0.966 -2.801 2230 3.443 3.530 0.09 1.198 1.435 1430 1.254 -1.809 2301 2.181 2.268 0.09 1.006 1.011 1378 1.127 -1.854 2192 2.682 2.763 0.08 1.202 1.445 1397 1.409 -1.577 2249 2.704 2.734 0.03 1.301 1.692 1433 1.436 -0.603 2376 3.078 3.053 0.02 0.947 0.897 1416 0.750 0.690 2447 3.568 3.496 0.07 1.168 1.364 1464 1.195 1.547 2335 3.175 3.082 0.09 1.329 1.767 1426 1.440 1.803 2298 3.384 3.271 0.11 1.110 1.232 1391 1.410 2.200 2263 2.585 2.437 0.15 1.166 1.359 1391 1.467 2.847 2283 3.050 2.888 0.16 1.441 2.076 1335 2.077 2.882 2631 2.232 2.046 0.19 1.007 1.015 1333 0.980 4.420 2284 3.031 2.770 0.26 1.322 1.749 1440 1.798 4.596 2350 2.651 2.106 0.54 1.286 1.654 1320 1.317 11.169 2271 Critical Significant critical Significant critical Significant t= alpha = 0.05 t= alpha = 0.10 t= alpha = 0.01 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 NO 1.645 SIG 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 SIG 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 NO 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 NO 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 NO 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 NO 2.576 NO 1.960 NO 1.645 SIG 2.576 NO 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 NO 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 1.960 SIG 1.645 SIG 2.576 SIG 17 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 18 Determining Strategies Clustering of responses to three different survey questions regarding competitive strategies was performed using group average and Minikowski as a distance measure (p=3). The WPGMC method (Lance & Williams, 1967) yielded 3 useful clusters, each representing a niche, a low cost, and a differentiating strategy, using a 5 point Likert scale. As the cluster centroids were established, each response was classified based on their Minikowski distance. K-means Manhattan distance Minekowski distance The intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC) aka choptic-r was calculated for the significance of the 3 forced clusters (Donner, Birkett, Buck, 1981). All clusters were found to be significant at a alpha=0.05 level. Differentiator Low Cost Final centroid location- Differentiator 2.8963 1.8532 Final centroid location- Low cost 1.3093 2.9965 Final centroid location- Niche 1.7677 1.5835 Niche 2.2300 1.4421 3.5547 19 Determining Strategies Of the 1,899 respondents, 44 did not identify company size, and 36 did not identify a strategy (response = ‘n/a’). This yielded a sample size of 1,809 for further study, Employer's organization size Fortune 500 Fortune 1000 Smaller organizations Total Niche strategy 279 68 182 529 Differentiation Low cost No stated Total number of strategy strategy respondents 361 327 12 979 135 13 12 228 365 79 12 638 861 419 36 1845 20 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 21 Findings When examining each organization size and the factors considered for overall OLTP and DSS outsourcing, we found that Fortune-500 organizations would rate cost factors (labor and overall costs) as most important, regardless of competitive strategies. Fortune-1000 organizations would rate internal factors (improved flexibility, agility, familiarity with outsourcing, 24hrs operations) a most important, while smaller organizations would rate supplier factors (skilled work force, number of providers, investments, prior experience, similar activities, similar industry, knowledge of provider’s employees, trust, general expertise, understanding of needs, education system at provider location) as the most important factors. Factors considered when outsourcing IT Niche strategy - Fortune-500 Niche strategy - Fortune-1000 Niche strategy - Smaller org Niche strategy average Differentiator - Fortune-500 Differentiator - Fortune-1000 Differentiator - Smaller org Differentiator average Low cost - Fortune-500 Low cost - Fortune-1000 Low cost - Smaller org Low cost strategy average Supplier factors 2.90 2.69 3.20 2.93 2.78 3.41 3.15 3.11 3.24 2.38 2.73 2.78 Internal Technology factors factors 2.33 2.38 3.20 2.57 2.88 2.35 2.80 2.43 2.56 2.31 3.64 2.78 3.05 2.81 3.08 2.63 2.98 2.60 3.41 2.17 2.69 2.28 3.03 2.35 Costs 3.33 2.89 2.72 2.98 2.96 2.87 3.09 2.98 3.39 2.79 2.38 2.85 Significant differences found within strategy groups (single factor ANOVA), and within system (two-factor ANOVA without replication) using alpha = 0.05 (p ranging from 5.93E-05 and 2.63E-55). Note: 270 respondents did not engage in any form of outsourcing and was not planning to do so either (within 3 years) or had no responses to factors considered. Overall sample size is therefore 1,575. 22 Findings While the factors considered were uniform across the various strategies, we did find that the magnitude was different based on organizational size. As expected, low cost Fortune-500 organizations had the highest emphasis on costs when outsourcing, while smaller niche players had a significantly higher emphasis on supplier factors. Factors considered when outsourcing IT 3.75 3.50 3.25 Supplier factors Internal factors 3.00 A surprising finding was that Fortune-1000 organizations engaged in a differentiation strategy placed a statistically significantly higher emphasis on internal factors when compared to other same size niche or low costs organizations. Further research would be needed to establish why this may be the case. T echnology factors Costs 2.75 2.50 2.25 Fortune-500 Fortune-1000 Smaller org 23 What We’ll Cover… • Introductions • Literature and Research Questions • Population Definitions & Sampling methods • Findings The most important factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing overall Divergent factors for OLTP and DSS outsourcing Determining Strategies Factors considered in outsourcing by competitive strategies Outsourcing trends and expectations 2007-2009 24 Expected Outsourcing trends by Organization Size Status and expectations (%) Size % of IT budget % of IT budget Expected % of IT Expected % of IT spent on OLTP spent on DSS budget spent on OLTP budget spent on outsourcing today outsourcing today outsourcing within 3 DSS outsourcing yrs within 3 yrs Fortune-500 6.9% 5.5% 15.1% 12.6% Fortune-1000 6.4% 4.1% 11.4% 8.6% Small organization 7.0% 5.5% 10.1% 7.8% 6.8% 5.1% 12.2% 9.7% Average The respondents reported that an average of 6.8% of IT budgets were spent on outsourced OLTP efforts. There were no significant differences between the organization sizes. As expected, the respondents also reported slightly less spending on DSS outsourcing initiatives. The major differences were in the expectation levels, where respondents from Fortune-500 companies reported the highest growth in both OLTP and DSS outsourcing over the next 3 years. Overall, the expected annualized growth rate in spending on OLTP outsourcing (2007-2009) was 21.6% and 12.6% for DSS systems. 25 Next steps 1. Need a volunteer (faculty?) who want to work with me to complete this paper and put the findings back into context. 2. Submission – where? 3. Deadline – when? 26 Core work reviewed Bahli, B. and Rivard, R (2003) “A Validation of Measures associated with risk factors in information technology outsourcing”., Proceedings of the 36th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, IEEE. Donner A, Birkett N, Buck C (1981) Randomization by cluster. Sample size requirements and analysis. 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