Analysis and Interim Report Valeria Balseca Sales & Marketing Manager Claudia Prada MM Manager Jhonattan Polo CEO 1. Strategies of Companies Company DD Company EE Company FF Price Avg Price Decreasing (constant rate) Avg Price Constant (oscillating variations) Avg Price Decreasing (constant rate) Margin Increasing (-29% to 21%) Decreasing (1% to -4%) Increasing (-47% to -3%) Marketing No Marketing Strategy Low Marketing investment $0 $865 High Marketing investment in Q4, but not representative $4170 Inventory Low Inventory Levels (Avg 199,084 un/day) Medium Inv. levels (Avg 205,109 un/day) High Inventory levels (Avg 228,691 un/day) Production No new product lines 2 New Product lines of 500g (Blueberry & Original) 2 New Product lines of 500g (Strawberry & Mixed) Procurement High order quantities (>200,000KG) High order quantities (>200,000KG) Low order quantities (>200,000KG) Investments None Reduce set up time ($200,000: from 12hr to 7.5hr approx.) None 2. Profit and revenues 2. Profit and revenues 3. Investment for reducing setup time 5. Investment for increasing capacity No company invested for increasing capacity 5. Sold quantities and revenue – DC 10 Highest: Company DD 5. Sold quantities and revenue – DC 12 Highest: Company DD 5. Sold quantities and revenue – DC 14 Highest in Units: Company EE Highest in Revenue: Company FF 6. % of Sold quantities of new products 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 218136 118444 227449 39932 1 Kg Raisin Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500 g Blueberry Muesli 500 g Original Muesli Grand Total 109206 118689 87172 150000 1069028 6. % of Sold quantities of new products 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 105455 94000 157811 72085 1 Kg Raisin Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500 g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500 g Strawberry Muesli Grand Total 252063 122000 133621 860 937895 7. % of revenue from new products 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli $ 885,452.66 $ 618,646.33 $ 1,176,048.93 $ 154,035.71 1 Kg Raisin Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500 g Blueberry Muesli 500 g Original Muesli Grand Total $ 479,948.22 $ 660,463.83 $ 322,878.38 $ 398,688.16 $ 4,696,162.22 7. % of revenue from new products 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli $ $ $ $ 596,277.07 466,220.20 631,635.52 312,410.70 1 Kg Raisin Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500 g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500 g Strawberry Muesli Grand Total $ 1,093,085.18 $ 601,734.20 $ 636,182.48 $ 5,762.00 $ 4,343,307.35 8. % of Revenue of each Distribution Channel 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F01 1 Kg Nut Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 4.97 $ 5.58 $ 4.06 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 4.60 $ 3.82 $ 4.05 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F02 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 5.68 $ 4.51 $ 5.65 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 5.71 $ 3.88 $ 5.76 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F03 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 5.42 $ 5.54 $ 4.89 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 5.35 $ 5.61 $ 5.28 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F04 1 Kg Raisin Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 4.69 $ 4.42 $ 4.40 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 4.85 $ 4.54 $ 4.39 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F05 1 Kg Original Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 4.60 $ 3.82 $ 4.05 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 4.78 $ 3.92 $ 4.73 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F06 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli Average Price DD EE FF DC 10 $ 5.31 $ 5.17 $ 4.93 Average Price DD EE FF DC 12 $ 5.51 $ 5.31 $ 5.06 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F02 500 Kg Blueberry Muesli Average Price DC 12 EE $ 3.85 Average Price DC 14 EE $ 4.71 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F03 500 Kg Strawberry Muesli Average Price DC 14 FF $ 6.70 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F05 500 Kg Original Muesli Average Price DC 12 EE $ 2.54 Average Price DC 14 EE $ 3.57 9. Sold quantities and prices of each product FF-F06 500 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli Average Price DC 12 FF $ 4.53 Average Price DC 14 FF $ 5.10 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F01 1 Kg Nut Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 5.26 $ 5.39 $ 5.79 $ FF 5.65 $ 5.29 $ 5.32 $ 5.00 5.07 5.21 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F02 1 Kg Blueberry Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 5.75 $ 5.94 $ 6.08 $ FF 4.68 $ 5.00 $ 5.04 $ 5.50 5.66 5.81 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F03 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 5.61 $ 5.84 $ 5.98 $ FF 5.56 $ 5.59 $ 5.59 $ 5.29 5.39 5.45 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F04 1 Kg Raisin Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 4.60 $ 4.77 $ 5.14 $ FF 4.62 $ 5.03 $ 5.18 $ 4.54 4.67 4.86 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F05 1 Kg Original Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 4.76 $ 4.94 $ 5.37 $ FF 4.15 $ 4.08 $ 4.25 $ 4.26 4.39 4.68 10. Prices changes of each product FF-F06 1 Kg Mixed Fruit Muesli COMPANY DC 10 DC 12 DC 14 DD $ $ $ EE 5.38 $ 5.64 $ 6.03 $ FF 5.26 $ 5.31 $ 5.42 $ 5.38 5.46 5.57 11. Marketing Expense 12. Production 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 DD EE FF DD EE FF DD EE FF DD EE FF F06 40,000 1 92,813 23,000 83,000 2 44,092 71,000 0 3 0 40,000 31,500 4 0 122,000 F05 40,000 25,000 23,000 66,500 100,000 57,000 141,750 60,000 30,000 130,250 50,000 47,000 F04 30,000 50,000 28,000 78,000 44,573 83,000 31,500 24,491 92,000 0 0 66,000 F03 30,000 25,000 29,000 46,500 46,139 63,000 47,250 57,831 30,000 31,500 0 21,000 F02 30,000 25,000 39,000 78,000 37,172 63,000 105,000 200,000 40,000 96,000 50,000 0 F01 60,000 86,687 33,000 51,500 60,000 51,000 144,500 103,578 50,000 115,500 0 42,000 12. Daily Production (continued) 25000 22500 20000 17500 15000 12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0 25000 22500 20000 17500 15000 12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0 25000 22500 20000 17500 15000 12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0 37% 64% 75% 64% 48% 53% 71% 16% 28% 62% 45% 47% 13. Fixed costs (daily) for company FF 14. Production Capacity • Planned production Capacity – 21,000 units per day • Average Productivity – 75% • Production capacity allocation basis – 15,750 units per day • Allocated fixed costs per unit – €1.71 14. Production Capacity (continued) 15. Raw Materials Cost • Average raw material cost per company (from operations table): DD EE FF R01 € 1.75 € 1.78 € 1.79 R02 € 3.81 € 4.20 € 3.85 R03 € 3.67 € 4.11 € 3.96 R04 € 1.19 € 1.07 € 1.25 R05 € 0.99 € 1.01 € 1.00 R06 € 0.83 € 0.88 € 0.83 P01 € 0.29 € 0.28 € 0.28 P02 € 0.12 € 0.12 € 0.12 P03 € 0.21 € 0.21 € 0.21 P04 € 0.09 € 0.09 € 0.09 15. BOM (end of simulation) DD DD DD DD DD DD EE EE EE EE EE EE FF FF FF FF FF FF F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 R01 0.2 0 0 0 0 0.1 R02 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.05 R03 0 0 0.2 0 0 0.05 R04 0 0 0 0.2 0 0.1 R05 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.35 R06 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.35 P01 1 1 1 1 1 1 P02 1 1 1 1 1 1 P03 0 0 0 0 0 0 P04 RM Cost 0 € 1.49 0 € 1.90 0 € 1.87 0 € 1.37 0 € 1.32 0 € 1.71 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 R01 0.2 0 0 0 0 0.1 R02 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.05 R03 0 0 0.2 0 0 0.05 R04 0 0 0 0.2 0 0.1 R05 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.35 R06 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.35 P01 1 1 1 1 1 1 P02 1 1 1 1 1 1 P03 0 0 0 0 0 0 P04 RM Cost 0 € 1.52 0 € 2.00 0 € 1.98 0 € 1.38 0 € 1.31 0 € 1.77 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 R01 0.2 0 0 0 0 0.14 R02 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.01 R03 0 0 0.1 0 0 0.01 R04 0 0 0 0.2 0 0.14 R05 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 R06 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.1 P01 1 1 0 1 1 0 P02 1 1 0 1 1 0 P03 0 0 1 0 0 1 P04 RM Cost 0 € 1.46 0 € 1.87 1 € 1.05 0 € 1.39 0 € 1.27 1 € 0.99 15. Planned Manufacturing Cost • Company FF 15. Planned Manufacturing Costs DD DD DD DD DD DD EE EE EE EE EE EE FF FF FF FF FF FF F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 RM Cost € 1.49 € 1.90 € 1.87 € 1.37 € 1.32 € 1.71 Planned Cost € 3.20 € 3.61 € 3.58 € 3.08 € 3.03 € 3.42 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 RM Cost € 1.52 € 2.00 € 1.98 € 1.38 € 1.31 € 1.77 Planned Cost € 3.23 € 3.71 € 3.69 € 3.09 € 3.02 € 3.48 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 RM Cost € 1.46 € 1.87 € 1.05 € 1.39 € 1.27 € 0.99 Planned Cost € 3.17 € 3.58 € 2.76 € 3.10 € 2.98 € 2.70 DD DD DD DD DD DD EE EE EE EE EE EE FF FF FF FF FF FF F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 DC10 € 4.30 € 5.25 € 5.20 € 4.00 € 4.20 € 4.80 DC12 € 4.50 € 5.25 € 4.50 € 4.25 € 4.40 € 5.00 DC14 € 5.00 € 5.25 € 5.50 € 4.50 € 4.75 € 5.50 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 DC10 € 4.85 € 2.28 € 5.00 € 4.01 € 2.28 € 4.84 DC12 € 4.09 € 2.35 € 5.00 € 4.01 € 2.00 € 4.70 DC14 € 4.09 € 2.33 € 5.00 € 4.01 € 2.00 € 4.84 F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 DC10 € 3.20 € 5.00 € 4.00 € 3.90 € 3.00 € 4.00 DC12 € 3.30 € 5.10 € 4.00 € 4.00 € 3.25 € 4.00 DC14 € 3.40 € 5.00 € 4.00 € 4.00 € 3.25 € 4.00 16. Purchase • Vendors List (Company FF) 16. Purchase (table ekpo) 16. Purchase 17. Inventory Changes F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 Nuts Blueberries Strawberries Raisins Original Mixed Fruits 18. Days out of stock Days without Inventory - F01 Days without Inventory - F04 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 1 2 DD 3 EE 4 1 FF 2 DD Days without Inventory - F02 EE 4 FF Days without Inventory - F05 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 3 0 1 2 DD 3 EE 4 1 FF 2 DD Days without Inventory - F03 EE 4 FF Days without Inventory - F06 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 3 0 1 2 DD 3 EE FF 4 1 2 DD 3 EE FF 4 COMPANY DD EE FF F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 TOTAL 148 185 119 Nuts Blueberries Strawberries Raisins Original Mixed Fruits 19. Days without Production Days without Production 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 3 2 DD EE FF 4 20. Production Utilization Rate 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 1 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 2 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 3 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 4 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 1 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 2 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 3 15 4 100% 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 1 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 2 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 3 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 4 21. Prices and profit correlation. Company FF Correlations: 1) Prices and profit 2) Price and revenue 3) Inventory and profit 4) Inventory and revenue 5) Profit/revenue and marketing expenses 6) Profit/revenue and utilization rate of production 7) Profit/revenue and investment What factor do you think is more critical? 21. Prices and profit correlation. Company EE Correlations: 1) Prices and profit 2) Price and revenue 3) Inventory and profit 4) Inventory and revenue 5) Profit/revenue and marketing expenses 6) Profit/revenue and utilization rate of production 7) Profit/revenue and investment What factor do you think is more critical? 21. Prices and profit correlation. Company DD Correlations: 1) Prices and profit 2) Price and revenue 3) Inventory and profit 4) Inventory and revenue 5) Profit/revenue and marketing expenses 6) Profit/revenue and utilization rate of production 7) Profit/revenue and investment What factor do you think is more critical? 21. Prices and profit correlation. Company DD, EE, FF Correlations: 1) Prices and profit 2) Price and revenue 3) Inventory and profit 4) Inventory and revenue 5) Profit/revenue and marketing expenses 6) Profit/revenue and utilization rate of production 7) Profit/revenue and investment What factor do you think is more critical? 22. Lessons Learned • • • Consider not only raw materials cost when making decisions about setting up product prices. Take into account fixed costs!!! Produce in bigger lot sizes, as there are costs and times associated to changing products. Track of the inventory at all times and don’t run out of stock. Every day there can be significant changes and this could be determinant in the winning/loosing of the simulation. – It takes around 2 days to get raw materials once they are ordered – There is also setup time and production time • • • • Marketing does not seem to have impact on sales. If the company adopted a marketing strategy, it is important to determine the representative amount of marketing for each area an product to get an effect in sales. The decision of changing prices should be well analyzed, based on the available inventory and the sales. Prioritize production keeping inventory levels of products that have high sales In this simulation, sales where not influenced by marketing, and it was not very sensitive to price changes: even though we reduced prices to push our sales, our markets did not respond as expected