A Stakeholder Perspective of eGovernment for Development Partnerships using Business Dynamics Modeling. by Peter Olu Jack Supervisor: Prof. Jun-Seok Hwang Peter Jack, ITPP 1 eGovernment implementation in Africa is generally faced with a myriad of challenges, ranging from uncoordinated efforts by stakeholders and a dearth of Strategic Leadership, to severe funding constraints. Global efforts to fight poverty in Africa through Infrastructure Funding offer hope (MDGs, NEPAD, G8, EU, DFID, WB_GICT, etc). This work aims to invoke the stakeholder theory to model eGovernment implementation using Business Dynamics Modeling Methodology. The Social Enterprise Model will be simulated to develop an operational funding/business model for implementing eGovernment projects. A Survey of eGovernment PPP projects in Nigeria will be carried out to determine the factors influencing Stakeholder Participation, Project Success/Failure and Sustainability. The policy implications of the results will be analysed. Additionally, partnership/management structures for the implementation of e- government projects involving government, academia, private sector firms and civil society organisations will be simulated for different levels of service provision, i.e., at the Federal, State, Local Government, and Community levels. 18/03/2016 2 • Abstract • Motivation • Introduction • Research Objectives • Research questions • Conceptual Model • Literature Review • Methodology • Conclusion • References Peter Jack, ITPP 3 The need for harnessing multi-stakeholder efforts towards the development of eGovernment Projects for people empowerment in Africa. The Potential to develop viable and sustainable business models for “Public Social Private Partnerships” using Simulation Tools to model a Stakeholder Strategy . Globally, in Infrastructure development, there is an evolving Stakeholder /Partnerships (PPP, PSPP, PCSP, PCBOP, PCP, PAP, PIAP, PPPP, PCSRP) focus, as opposed to Contract/Operational Model (BOT, BTO, BOOT, DBFO, BLT, BRT, BOO, SEM, OSM) focus. Modeling and Simulation tools offer a robust latitude for the analysis of complex systems. Peter Jack, ITPP 4 Global Efforts are currently being channelled towards supporting eGovernment initiatives for Development in disadvantages communities such as in Africa. eGovernment is seen as an enabler, sanitizer, resource protector, and catalyst for sustainable development. Public Private Partnerships have become prevalent in the drive towards sustainable infrastructure development primarily in the developed economies, but more aggressively by the Multilateral Agencies and International NGOs for fighting poverty in Africa through people empowerment. Nobel Laureate Mohammad Yunus (Grameen Bank/Foundation) popularised the Social Enterprise Model and it has become part of the Policy Framework for strategic intervention to ensure grassroots empowerment even in the developed nations where poverty is still a challenge in some neighbourhoods. Model: “A model is a simplified version of something that is real” [3] Some Simulation Applications: Stakeholder Dynamics/Business Process Modeling (Focus of this work) Capital Asset Pricing/Budgeting Peter Jack, ITPP Virtual Reality Modeling 5 The research aims to investigate the roles of Stakeholders in eGovernment for Development (eGov4D) Public Private Partnership (PPP) Projects. To also determine the factors that ensure the success/failure and sustainability of the eGov4D PPP Projects. Modeling and Simulation will be employed to allow flexibility, robustness and a variety of Scenario Analysis of Stakeholder Dynamics The interactions between Stakeholders groups involved in eGovernment PPPs at the various arms (Executive, Judiciary, and Legislature) and layers (Federal, State, Local Government and Local Community) of Government will be examined. eGovernment Service Delivery Centre models (CCC, MPTC, IAC, RIRC, eKiosks, etc) will be compared to ascertain the efficient and effective centre deployment mix. 18/03/2016 6 What factors influence Stakeholder Participation, Success/Failure and Sustainability of eGovernment for Development PPP Projects? Is the Stakeholder theory a potent approach for analysing Public Private Partnerships operating as Social Enterprises? Does the “Social Enterprise Model” satisfy multi-stakeholder objectives in the operation of Public Social Private Partnership ventures? Is Simulation an effective Tool for Modeling “Stakeholder Involvement” in the Sustainable implementation of eGovernment projects in Africa? Peter Jack, ITPP 7 Source: Final Report of the Committee on harmonization of Nigerian National Identity Cards, March 2006 Copyright. Peter Jack, ITPP 9 Peter Jack, ITPP 10 Peter Jack, ITPP 11 The Stanford Research Institute (1963) defined “Stakeholders” as “those groups without whose support the organization would cease to exist” (cited in Freeman 1984, 31). Preston (1990) on the other hand, opined that the concept of stakeholders has origins in the period of the great depression in USA (1929-1941) when General Electric categorised four stakeholder groups: Shareholders, Employees, Customers and the General Public. There are three notable approaches to Stakeholder Theory: Descriptive (Rooted in Organizational Behaviour Theory; Organization versus Stakeholders) Instrumental (Competitive advantage is gained by involving key Stakeholders) Normative (The moral responsibility of organizations rests in an all-stakeholder approach) Several works on linking Stakeholder Theory to eGovernment Projects have focussed on the normative approach as it lends itself to the analysis of Public Private Partnerships for eGovernment development. CSR component of corporations’ activities is the central theme of the Normative Approach. Peter Jack, ITPP 12 Author Main Subject Area Title Focus Findings Elias et al (2000) Stakeholder Theory Systems Dynamics Linking Stakeholder literature and Systems Dynamics: Opportunities for Research General Proposition Systems dynamics methodology can contribute to understanding the dynamics of stakeholders. Hans J Scholl (2001) Stakeholder Theory eGovernment Applying Stakeholder Theory to eGovernment: Benefits and Limits General Theory and Case Study Stakeholder theory can be applied to eGovernment Projects in the context of managerial decisions because of the emerging networknature of organizations in both public and private sectors Savita Bailur (2007) Stakeholder Theory Telecenters Using Stakeholder Theory to Analyze Telecenter Projects General Theory and Case Analysis Both Normative and Instrumental approaches can be taken. A social responsibility perspective fits the Normative approach. Janowski , Estevez and Ojo (2007) eGovernment A Project framework for eGovernment. General Framework/ Case Study Presentation of a rigorous framework for foundational e-Government projects/Outline of e-Macau 13 Project. Peter Jack, ITPP Author Main Subject Area Title Focus Findings P. Noumba and S. Dinghem (2004) PPP in Infrastructure Development Private Participation in Infrastructure Projects in the republic of Korea Country/ South Korea Korea relied heavily on PPP to expand and Modernize its infrastructure but not without severe challenges like cartelization and Monitoring and Supervision inadequacy. Hee Joon Song (2006) eGovernment E-Government in Developing Countries: Lessons learned from Republic of Korea Country/ South Korea In this work an effort was made to update UNESCO’s 2005 eGov. Toolkit by drawing from Korea’s experience based on Song’s methodology. Korea, even as a global eGov leader, also experienced a significant number of project failures. Lee et al (2008) ICT for Development Analysing South Korea’s ICT for Development Aid Programme Country/ South Korea Korea ‘s emphasis on ICT for Development Aid is significant. Its aid program has assisted the diffusion of ICTs in poorer nations and brought ICT related benefits as well. Moszoro and Gasiorowski (2008) Public Private Partnerships Optimal Capital Structure of Public Private Partnerships General Proposition Their model shows that PPPs may provide public services cheaper than sole private or sole public entity. Efficiency considerations suggest that optimality requires14 mixed ownership. Peter Jack, ITPP Author Main Subject Area Title Focus Findings Jiang Wu and Bin Wu eGovernment/ Simulation Modeling and Simulation of Group behaviour in eGovernment Implementation General Proposition E-Government Group Behaviour Model (EGGBM) can help decision makers make choices to improve the level of ICT acceptance of groups. P. Zimmermann and M. Finger (2004) Stakeholder theory, Information and Communication Technology The Impact of ICTs on Local Power relationships. Local Govt./ Community The introduction of ICTs, without a counterbalancing control mechanism, heavily decreases the power of the local administration against the businesses and other administrations. Zahir Irani and Tony Elliman (2008) Social Entrepreneurship Creating Social Entrepreneurship in Local Government Local Government The work sought to develop a process to support Local Governments effort to stimulate innovation. The key proposition is to manage the process and let the ideas flourish. Mayanja Meddie (2006) Social Enterprise/ Telecenter Rethinking Telecentre Sustainability: How to Implement a Social Enterprise Approach - Lessons from India and Africa. Regional: Africa/India The Paper concludes that the Social Enterprise Model takes the best out of the Charity Model and the Enterprise Model. The decision as to the appropriate mix will be dealt with on a case-bycase basis. 15 Peter Jack, ITPP THEORY Assumptions Board member role Owners’ interests may differ from managers’ interests Supervisor Owners and managers have similar interests Partner Stakeholder theory Different stakeholder have legitimate but different interests in the organisation. Resource dependency theory Principal-Agent theory Stewardship theory Managerial hegemony theory Main board function Key issues Conformance: - Safeguard owners resources and interests - Supervise management/staff Emphasis on control may stifle innovation and risk taking, and reduce staff motivation Improving Performance: - add value to top decisions/strategy - partner management Management proposals and systems may not be given adequate scrutiny. ‘Represent’ different stakeholder views Political: - represent and balance different stakeholder interests - make policy - control executive Board members may promote stakeholder interests rather than the organisation’s. May be difficult to agree objectives. Organisational survival depends on maintaining coalition of support to obtain resources and legitimacy Supporter External influence: - secure resources - improve stakeholder relations - bring external perspective External focus of board members may mean internal supervision is neglected. Board members may lack expertise. Owners and managers have different interests, but managers control main levers of power. Symbolic Legitimacy: -ratify decisions -support management -give legitimacy Management may pursue own interests at expense of ‘owners’, managers gain little of value from board. (Chosen to represent owners interests, and be independent of management) (Chosen for expertise) (Chosen for influence or resources they may bring.) PHASE ONE • • Stakeholder Dynamics Modeling and Simulation . • Social Enterprise/Business Process Modeling and Simulation • Model Testing with Nigerian Pilot Project PHASE TWO • • Survey Method. • Hypothesis Development • Data Analysis Business Dynamics Modeling is based on pioneering work by Prof. Jay Forrester, Germeshausen Professor Emeritus of Management, MIT-Sloan School of Management, extended by Prof. John D. Sterman, author of “Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World”. Peter Jack, ITPP 17 eGovernment for Development Information Exchange Portal (Funded by CTO*; authored and maintained by Richard Heeks, University of Manchester). World Bank Investment in Infrastructure Database United Nations Development Reports European Union Intervention Reports United Kingdom PFI Reports Survey of Selected Nigerian eGovernment PPP Projects Nigeria’s top 100 listed Companies’ CSR activities. *CTO – Commonwealth Telecommunications Organization. Project Cost Partners (Government, Private sector, Civil Society, etc) Funding Sources (Equity, Debt, Grant, etc) Stakeholders (Citizens, Technology Vendor, International Agency, Government, Consultants, etc.) Funding Features (Interest Rate, Tenure, etc) PPP Nomenclature by Partners (PCSP, PCBOP, PCP etc) PPP Legal Contract Types (BOT, BOO, DBFO, etc) Service Quality (Excellent, VG, G, P, VP) Project Sustainability (LTS, MTS, STS, MS, US) Ownership Structure Board Structure Management Structure Stakeholder Category: Funding Partners H1. The power of a stakeholder is positively associated with the level of funding contribution to the partnership. H2. Stakeholder willingness to contribute funding is positively associated with perception of management’s capability (track record, trustworthiness) H3. A Stakeholder’s decision to contribute funding will depend on the extent to which the Organization’s Values are congruent with its intervention goals. Management Citizens (Users/Customers) Organized Catchment Area Groups (Youth, Women, Local Leaders, etc) Solution Vendors Consultants Peter Jack, ITPP 20 iThink iThink provides a complete set of resources for business process improvement or re- engineering : Identifying the system of business processes Developing a high-level understanding of the system Designing and testing re-engineering and continuous improvement initiatives Organizational learning and the dissemination of process knowledge Powersim Studio 7: What if-scenarios A business simulation model created using Studio 7 can describe several aspects of a company, and at the same time incorporate the factors that are precise and constant, and those who vary dynamically, thereby enabling future planning. The dynamic business simulation using Studio 7 helps to test and analyze how changes over time affects a business – indicating which factors are real-core factors – and which factors are not. Peter Jack, ITPP 21 Vensim is a visual modeling tool for conceptualizing, documenting, simulating, analyzing and optimizing models of dynamic systems, enabling the flexible building of simulation models from causal loop or stock and flow diagrams. By connecting words with arrows, relationships among system variables are entered and recorded as causal connections. This information is used by the Equation Editor to help form a complete simulation model. The model can be analyzed throughout the building process, exploring the causes and uses of a variable and the feedback loops involving the variable. Once a model has been built, Vensim allows one to thoroughly explore the behavior of the model. Peter Jack, ITPP 22 Simulation Tool Visual Modeling Capabilities Simulation Capabilities Input/Output Analysis Applicability to Stakeholder Simulation (*) iThink Powersim Vensim Peter Jack, ITPP 23 Modeling Process: Construct Model Examine the Structure using a structural analysis tool Simulate the Model Examine the Model Behaviour using dataset Analysis Tool Perform Simulation Experiments to understand or refine the Model Present the Results (The final model and its behaviour) Test the Simulation Model by implementing a pilot or analysing existing projects. Peter Jack, ITPP 24 Methods for analyzing the survey data will be explored Some of the data may be employed for some simulation experiments The proposed eGovernment Partnerships for Development Stakeholder Dynamics Model (eGP4D_SDM) will be tested and validated using real data. Peter Jack, ITPP 25 Stakeholder Theory is gaining Momentum in its application to eGovernment research and analysis. Stakeholder Theoretical Analysis offers a credible perspective for understanding Stakeholder dynamics in Public Private Partnerships focussed on eGovernment for Development. Simulation Tools have become prevalent across almost all perceivable facets of human endeavour as they offer a flexible, robust and potent capability for analysing complex system behaviour with minimum exposure to risk. Business Dynamics Modeling (BDM) in particular, has truly evolved; starting with basic budgeting with calculators and spread sheets, through Business Process ReEngineering and Business Process Management, to today’s robust tools handling simulations involving business decision making under dynamic flux and uncertainty. BDM use in Business Process Modeling and Management will prove to be an invaluable tool to model Social Enterprise management and operations. 26 PPP can be a good funding strategy for developing countries to accelerate eGovernment Implementation It must however be approached methodically. The legislative, legal and Institutional frameworks must be in place first. Overwhelming Political Will cannot be substituted by any other factor (Korea is a shining example) All stakeholders must be involved (Stakeholder Theory). Multilateral Agencies have a variety of support initiatives to assist developing countries in their eGovernment Initiatives aimed at improving Efficiency, Transparency and Accountability eGovernment PPPs offer opportunities for widespread social entrepreneurship development and to reach out to the otherwise forgotten grassroots communities. Policy Considerations: Legal (Act), Regulatory (Body/Commission) and Operational (Department/Unit) Frameworks must be in place to ensure the gains from public private partnerships Incentives and special concessions are perceived driving forces to motivate private sector involvement in PPPs Joint Operational Structures may offer the best consensus for addressing potential disputes. [1] D. Winegrad and A. Akere: A Short History of the Second American Revolution, In: ENIAC's 50th Anniversary: The Birth of the Information Age, The University of Pennsylvania Almanac N. 42, Jan. 1996. [2] H. H. Goldstine and A. Goldstine (1946): The Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer (ENIAC). In B. Randell (Eds.): The Origins of Digital Computers, Springer-Verlag (1982). [3] Hermann Schichl (2000): “Models and History of Modeling” Institut f¨ur Mathematik der Universit¨at Wien Strudlhofgasse 4, A-1090 Wien, Austria. 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Swain (2007). “Simulation Software Survey”. Institute of Operations Research and Management Science; http://www.lionhrtpub.com/orms/surveys/Simulations/Simulation.html [15] Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation/ [16] GoldSim: http://www.goldsim.com/ [17] Promodel: http://www.promodel.com/products/promodel/ [18] H. Arsham (2008); http://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/simulation/sim.htm “Systems Simulation: The Shortest Route to Applications” (Site Supported by the US National Science Foundation © 1995-2008) [19] Arena: http://www.arenasimulation.com/ [20] iThink: http://www.hps-inc.com [21] Powersim: http://www.powersim.com [22] Vensim: http://www.vensim.com Peter Jack, ITPP 30 [23] Hans j Scholl (2001); Applying Stakeholder Theory to E-Government: benefits and Limits. Proceedings of the IFIP Conference on Towards The E-Society: E-Commerce, E-Business, EGovernment 2001 October 03 - 05, 2001 [24] Nigeria’s PPP Framework (Presidential Villa, August 2005) [25](UNECE 2007). 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[34] Valentina (Dardha) Ndou (2004). eGovernment for Developing Countries: Opportunities and Challenges, EJISDC 18, 1, 1-24 [35] The eGovernment Handbook for Developing Countries, Centre for Democracy and Technology, Washington DC (November 2002) [36] Danish Dada (2006). The failure of eGovernment in Developing Countries: A Literature Review, EJISDC 26, 7, 1-10. Peter Jack, ITPP 32