Housing Policies: Better Targeting Those Most in Need Christophe André Economics Department OECD European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Outline of the presentation General economic background Housing and welfare systems Homelessness: trends and policy orientations Conclusions: how to target those most in need? European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 General economic background Trends in most OECD countries Rising costs and shortages of housing Rising income inequality and poverty Deepest recession since the 1930s Fiscal crisis European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Housing cost overburden rate, 2009 (% of population) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Income inequality Gini coefficients of income inequality, mid-1980s and late 2000s 0.50 0.45 Increasing inequality Countries where inequality widened 0.40 Little change in inequality 0.35 0.30 0.25 Decreasing inequality 0.20 0.15 Source: OECD, Divided We Stand: Why Inequality Keeps Rising (2011). European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 OECD output growth and unemployment GDP growth over the past 5 years (annualised) 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Unemployment rate General government financial balance Per cent of GDP (2011) 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 NOR HUN KOR EST CHE MEX SWE LUX FIN DEU DNK AUT CZE ITA AUS BEL PRT ISR ISL CAN NLD SVK POL FRA SVN NZL ESP GBR GRC JPN USA IRL -15 Welfare systems and social housing Stylised facts Nordic model: extended welfare and flexibility – Universal social housing Continental Europe: significant welfare but less flexible and universal – Diverse levels and organisation of social housing English speaking countries: safety net approach – residual social housing Transition economies: privatisation of housing at different speeds (e.g. cze,pol / est,svk) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Tenure structure across countries Per cent of dwelling stock Owner Private rental Public rental Co-operative Others % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: Andrews, Caldera Sánchez and Johansson, “Housing Markets and Structural Policies in OECD countries”, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 836. European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Types of social housing systems Based on eligibility and allocation criteria Broad-based system Size: Percentage of social housing in the total dwelling stock Targeted system No income limit: Waiting list Income limits: Waiting list with some combination of priority groups Income limits: Needs/priority based allocation Luxembourg Estonia Korea Mexico Norway Slovak Republic Switzerland United States Australia Italy Portugal Hungary Greece Slovenia 6-10% Belgium New Zealand Ireland Canada Germany Israel 11-20% Sweden Poland Spain Czech Republic Finland France United Kingdom Denmark Netherlands Austria 0-5% More than 20% Source: OECD Housing Market questionnaire. European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Public spending on housing Tax reliefs: tend to be regressive Grants for social housing: generally declining Housing allowances: under pressure Public finances increasingly tight -> need for more focus European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Homelessness: Trends Difficult to measure. But seems to be rising in many countries The recession and budget cuts are likely to make things worse Main causes for homelessness: Relationship breakdown and eviction Personal vulnerabilities (addictions, mental health problems…) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Homelessness: Policy orientations People with no special needs: Welfare safety net Support for housing (allowances, social housing) Forbearance (mortgage/rent arrears)/Prevention People with special needs Housing First (rather than Staircase models) Additional social services Coordination with landlords European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Homelessness and social housing Disconnect between homelessness policies and social housing: path dependency, “policy silos”, stigma, financial risk… Social housing for people with special needs? Difficult for them to access market housing Could face hardship in private rental Coordination with social services European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Conclusions: how to target the most in need? System approach to housing policies: is more social housing needed or are the problems elsewhere? Allocation of social housing is key For people with special needs: need for better coordination with social and health services European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012 Thank you ! European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012