Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Present value of future cash flow FV PV n 1 r r = discount rate n = number of periods Discounting: calculation of present values Compounding: calculation of future values Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Annuities n n In advance PmT In arrears CF0 n n n PmT PmT PmT PmT PmT PmT PmT PmT PmT CFt Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Internal rate of return IRR is that unique discount rate which, when applied to a series of future cash flows, yields a net present value of 0. Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Financial management rate of return CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4 CF5 IRR Series A $ (100.00) $ $ $ $ 141.42 7.18% Series B $ (100.00) $ 7.18 $ 7.18 $ 7.18 $ 7.18 117.18 8.86% Series C $ (50.00) $ (42.82) $ 7.18 $ 7.18 $ 7.18 $ 107.18 8.12% Only Series A is a “pure” IRR Series B and Series C have money extracted from the system Series C has money invested in the system after t0 The IRR model assumes 1) That money invested in the system is held in an account bearing interest at the IRR before being invested; 2) That money extracted from the system is re-invested in an account yielding the IRR. IRR FMRR Negative cash flow s after t0, before they are invested, are held in an account that produces IRR interest at Safe rate Money extracted from the system is reinvested at Re-investment rate IRR FMRR bifurcates negative and positive cash flows Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Financial management rate of return PV’ed at safe rate (50) (50) PV FV (7.18) (7.18) (7.18) (7.18) (107.18) Future valued at re-investment rate FMRR > re-investment rate for worthwhile investments Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Hurdle rates The earnings you forego by deploying capital in a different way The rate you must get on an investment for the deal to make sense If hurdle rate < IRR, NPV is positive Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Sensitivity analysis If HR<IRR, + NPV If you discount your cash flows @ the HR and get a + NPV, the NPV represents your profit over the life of the deal. NPV @ HR is the positive cushion you have FV PV n 1 r Annuitize this figure (calculate PmT) to get Net Uniform Series (NUS) Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Recourse debt Debt Recourse Non-recourse Creditor can sue debtor if not re-paid Borrower has no personal liability Might be secured, might not Must be secured, otherwise, it's nothing Most corporate debt is recourse Exception: real estate You can still sue for fraudulent conveyances, etc. Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Compounded interest Interest I borrow $100 @ 12% Simple At YR1, I owe $12 The $12 does not accrue interest if unpaid Compound At YR1, I owe $12 The $12 interest itself accrues interest Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Capital asset pricing model Cost of capital = Risk-free return + compensation for additional risk beyond a USG bond Cost of capital = Risk free return + (β x market risk premium) Cost of capital = Risk free return + (β x margin by which stock market exceeds risk-free return ke Rf β(Rm Rf ) Cost of capital Risk-free return USG securities Co-variance of returns against the portfolio (departure from the average) Average rate of return on common stocks (S&P 500) B < 1, security is safer than S&P 500 average B > 1, security is riskier than S&P 500 average Cost of equity capital = return expected on firm’s common stock Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Lease financing Lease financing Operating lease Run-of-the-mill "lease" Lessee incurs a tax-deductible periodic expense Lessor enjoys the tax shield of depreciation Capitalized lease Long-term financing Is like long-term debt Title is usually transferred to lessee at the end of the lease term for a nominal amount Are reflected in company's financial statements Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Income statement Total revenues Less Cost of goods sold Less Fixed costs / purchases Less Change in inventory Beginning inventory Ending inventory EBITDA Less depreciation EBIT Less interest EBT Less taxes Earnings for com m on & preferred Less preferred dividends Earnings for com m on & preferred Less sinking fund Unrestricted earnings Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Methods of inventory valuation Ending inventory valuation methods FIFO First goods into inventory are first goods out Lower of cost or market Cost LIFO Last goods into inventory are first goods out Cost ONLY Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Benefits of FIFO and LIFO Technique Econom y Inflationary FIFO Value closing inventory at end-of-year (current) prices Method LIFO Value closing inventory at beginning of year prices Increases value of closing inventory Decreases value of closing inventory LESS change in inventory Higher EBITDA MORE change in inventory Low er EBITDA Decreases value of closing inventory Increases value of closing inventory Deflationary MORE change in inventory Low er EBITDA LESS change in inventory Higher EBITDA Must use the same method for financial & tax accounting Christopher B. Stone ‘01 FIFO and LIFO calculations ITEM Gross revenues Less COGS Purchases Change in inventory Opening inventory Closing inventory Gross incom e Facts Sales Qty Price Purchases Qty Price Opening inventory Qty Price Closing inventory Qty Price Market price @ end of year Year 1 FIFO LCM Cost 200 200 $ $ 150 100 $ $ 100 100 $ $ 50 $ $ 100 100 $ $ 50 100 $ $ 50 100 $ $ LIFO Cost 200 $ 100 $ 100 $ $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ Year 2 FIFO LCM Cost 80 80 $ $ 50 100 $ $ 50 50 $ $ 50 $ $ 50 100 $ $ 50 50 $ $ 30 (20) $ $ LIFO Cost 80 $ 50 $ 50 $ $ 100 $ 100 $ 30 $ Year 3 FIFO LCM Cost 200 200 $ $ 50 50 $ $ 50 50 $ $ $ $ 50 50 $ $ 50 50 $ $ 150 150 $ $ LIFO Cost 200 $ 50 $ 50 $ $ 100 $ 100 $ 150 $ $ 10 20 $ 10 20 $ 10 20 $ 10 8 $ 10 8 $ 10 8 $ 10 20 $ 10 20 $ 10 20 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 10 5 $ 10 5 $ 10 10 $ 5 $ 5 Under FIFO-LCM, opening inventories in the next year should be valued at COST $ 10 Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Depreciation methods Depreciation methods Straight line Accelerated Sum of the years Declining balance = Cost-salvage value Useful life 150% method Double declining balance = Cost-salvage value * remaining years of useful life n(n+1) 2 Keyed off the remaining balance in each year AFTER depreciation Does NOT use salvage value Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Straight line & sum of the years depreciation Year Depreciation Expense 0 1 2 3 4 $ $ $ $ Facts Cost $ Salvage Value $ Useful Life Year 1 2 3 4 Facts Cost Salvage Value Useful Life Straight-line 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 12,000 2,000 4 Calculation (sum of the years) Rem aining years Denom inator Coefficient 4 10 0.4 3 10 0.3 2 10 0.2 1 10 0.1 $ $ 12,000 2,000 4 $ $ $ $ Base 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Depreciation Expense $ 4,000 $ 3,000 $ 2,000 $ 1,000 Sum of the years Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Declining balance depreciation Year % 0 1 2 3 4 Facts Useful life (yrs) Cost Salvage value 150% 150% 150% 150% 150% m ethod Coefficient Calculations Useful Depreciation Rem aining Coefficient life (yrs) expense balance $ 12,000.00 4 0.375 $ 4,500.00 $ 7,500.00 4 0.375 $ 2,812.50 $ 4,687.50 4 0.375 $ 1,757.81 $ 2,929.69 4 0.375 $ 929.69 $ 2,000.00 % 200% 200% 200% 200% Double declining balance m ethod Coefficient Calculations Useful Depreciation Rem aining Coefficient life (yrs) expense balance $ 12,000 4 0.5 $ 6,000 $ 6,000 4 0.5 $ 3,000 $ 3,000 4 0.5 $ 1,000 $ 2,000 4 0.5 $ $ 2,000 4 $ 12,000 $ 2,000 $12,000 x .375 = $4,500 Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Depreciation graphs Methods of depreciation $14,000 Value of asset $12,000 $10,000 Straight line $8,000 Sum of the years $6,000 Declining balance @ 150% $4,000 Double declining balance $2,000 $0 1 2 Year 3 4 Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Capitalization vs. expenses Expenditures Expenses Capitalization Repairs Recurring events that produce long-lived assets Create an asset that produces revenue beyond 1 year Repair + upgrade Upgrade is capitalized Exception: recurring events can be expensed Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Merger accounting Methods of accounting for business combinations Pooling Based on BOOK (historical) values Purchase Based on fair market value (FMV) Results in higher net income on future balance sheets 1) Book value < FMV 2) Goodwill must be amortized MUST be used if and only if all 12 conditions are met Defeat hostile takeovers by ensuring the combination doesn’t qualify for pooling Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Pooling method X Corp Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Plant $ 400,000 Equity Common $ 300,000 R/E $ 150,000 Y Corp Assets Liabiliites Inventory $ 50,000 Debt $ Plant $ 150,000 Equity Common $ 100,000 R/E $ 100,000 Total Total $ 700,000 Total Facts FMV of Y's Inventory Plant $ 700,000 $ 60,000 $ 180,000 $ 200,000 Total $ 200,000 (Notice that FMV's are irrelevant to the pooling method) Earnings X Y $ 15,000 $ 20,000 Consideration for X's acquisition of Y X common $ 250,000 X Corp (after acquisition) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Investment $ 200,000 Plant $ 400,000 Equity Common $ 400,000 R/E $ 250,000 Total $ 900,000 Total $ 900,000 or X Corp (after acquisition) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Inventory $ 50,000 Plant (Y) $ 150,000 Equity Plant $ 400,000 Common $ 400,000 R/E $ 250,000 X Corp (consolidated) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Inventory $ 50,000 Plant $ 550,000 Equity Common $ 400,000 R/E $ 250,000 Total Total $ 900,000 Total $ 900,000 $ 900,000 Total $ 900,000 Pooling: Uses book value, A inherits T’s retained earnings Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Purchase method X Corp Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Plant $ 400,000 Equity Common $ 300,000 R/E $ 150,000 Y Corp Assets Liabiliites Inventory $ 50,000 Debt $ Plant $ 150,000 Equity Common $ 100,000 R/E $ 100,000 Total Total $ 700,000 Total Facts FMV of Y's Inventory Plant $ 700,000 $ 60,000 $ 180,000 $ 200,000 Total $ 200,000 (Purchase method uses FMV) Earnings X Y $ 15,000 $ 20,000 Consideration for X's acquisition of Y X common $ 250,000 X Corp (after acquisition) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Investment $ 250,000 Plant $ 400,000 Equity Common $ 550,000 R/E $ 150,000 Total $ 950,000 Total $ 950,000 or X Corp (after acquisition) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Inventory $ 60,000 Plant (Y) $ 180,000 Equity Plant $ 400,000 Common $ 550,000 Goodw ill $ 10,000 R/E $ 150,000 X Corp (consolidated) Assets Liabiliites Cash $ 300,000 Debt $ 250,000 Inventory $ 60,000 Plant $ 580,000 Equity Goodw ill $ 10,000 Common $ 550,000 R/E $ 150,000 Total Total $ 950,000 Total $ 950,000 $ 950,000 Total $ 950,000 Purchase: Uses FMV, A doesn’t inherit T’s retained earnings Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Goodwill Goodwill Reputation, talented mgmt., good relationships with suppliers, etc. Cannot be sold apart from identifiable assets Enterprise can record goodwill ONLY when it purchases an entire business Amortizable under a 40-yr period (usually - shorter in high-tech) Valuing goodwill Residual method Purchase price Less FMV of assets Excess earnings method Item Average earnings over X years Less expected return on identifiable assets Excess earnings Amount @ 10% interest that w ill produce $50,000 in excess earnings each year (I.e., goodw ill) Facts Identifiable assets (book value? FMV?) Return on assets Amount $ 150,000 $ 100,000 $ 50,000 $ 500,000 $ 1,000,000 10% Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Stock and dividend issuance Scenario 1 (par stock issued) Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 Cash c/s Paid-in capital Total $ 10,000 Total Equity $ $ $ 100 9,900 10,000 Facts 1) Board authorizes and issues 100 shares at @1 par value, selling for $100 per share 2) Board authorizes and issues 100 shares of "no-par stock" for $100/share 3) As in #1; earnings for the year are $5,000 4) As in #3; Board declares dividend of $1,000 Scenario 3 (earnings of $5,000 reported) Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 $ 5,000 Equity c/s $ Paid-in capital $ Retained earnings $ Cash Cash Total Cash Cash Painting Total Cash Cash $ 15,000 Total $ Scenario 5 (Board buys a Van Gogh) Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 $ 2,000 $ 2,000 Equity c/s $ Paid-in capital $ Retained earnings $ $ 14,000 Total $ c/s Total $ 10,000 Total Equity $ $ 10,000 10,000 5) As in #4; Board buys a Van Gogh for $2,000 6) Painting is distributed as dividend ("deemed sale") 7) Covertible debt to stock Scenario 4 (div of $1,000) Assets $ $ Cash Cash Equity c/s $ Paid-in capital $ Retained earnings $ 100 9,900 5,000 15,000 Liabiliites 10,000 4,000 Total $ 14,000 Total $ 100 9,900 4,000 14,000 Scenario 6a (Van Gogh distributed as div - "deem ed sale") Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 $ 2,000 $ 4,000 Equity c/s $ 100 Paid-in capital $ 9,900 Retained earnings $ 6,000 Cash Cash Deemed cash 100 9,900 4,000 14,000 Total $ 16,000 Total $ 16,000 Scenario 6b (Van Gogh distributed as div - "deem ed sale") Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 $ 2,000 Equity c/s $ 100 Paid-in capital $ 9,900 Retained earnings $ 2,000 Total Cash Cash $ 12,000 Total $ Scenario 8: convertible debt (before) Assets Liabiliites $ 100,000 Debt $ c/s Total $ 100,000 Total Equity $ $ 12,000 50,000 Cash Cash c/s Total Com pany has 100 outstanding shares of $5 par value com m on Assets Liabiliites $ 900 Debt $ 300 Cash Cash Equity c/s $ Paid-in capital $ Retained earnings $ Total $ 900 Total $ 1,200 Debt Liabiliites $ $ 100,000 Total Equity $ $ Buys back treasury shares for $150 Assets Liabiliites $ 750 Debt $ Equity c/s $ Paid-in capital $ Retained earnings $ Treasury shares $ 100 200 300 600 Total - Cash Initial condition Assets $ Scenario 8: convertible debt (after) Assets Liabiliites $ 100,000 Debt $ 50,000 100,000 Cash Scenario 2 (no-par stock issued) Assets Liabiliites $ 10,000 Cash $ 750 Total $ - 100,000 100,000 300 100 200 300 (150) 750 Com pany declares a stock dividend of 10 shares @ $6/share Assets Liabiliites $ 1,200 Debt $ - Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Liquidity ratios Current ratio = Current assets Current liabilities Quick ratio = Current assets - inventory Current liabilities Cash flow liquidity ratio Cash flow from operations* = Current liabilities *From the cash flow statement Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Leverage ratios Debt ratio Debt/equity ratio = = Liabilities Assets Liabilities Net worth Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Financial leverage index Is a company trading positively on its leverage? I.e., is it bringing in capital at less than the return? Financial leverage index = Return on equity = Adjusted return on assets Net earnings* / equity** [Earnings + interest (1-tax rate)] / assets * Note this does not include pfd div **Or market cap Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Activity ratios Accounts Net sales* receivable = Accounts receivable turnover Accounts payable turnover = Inventory turnover COGS* = Inventory Total expenses* Accounts payable *From the income statement Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Operating cycle Capital infusion $ Accounts receivable Inventory Sale Operating cycle = Avg. amount of time inventory is outstanding + Avg. amount of time receivables are outstanding Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Cash conversion cycle Capital infusion $ Accounts payable Accounts receivable Inventory (Payment) Sale Cash conversion cycle = Avg. amount of time inventory is outstanding + Avg. amount of time receivables are outstanding (Avg. amount of time payables are outstanding) Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Profitability ratios Gross profit margin = Gross profit Gross sales This is very much driven by variable costs / cost of goods sold. Overhead is NOT included. Measures profitability A business can be profitable and still trade negatively on its leverage Christopher B. Stone ‘01 P/E ratio P/E ratio = Stock price per share Earnings per share Growth stock High P/E ratio Return on total assets = Value stock Low P/E ratio Earnings + interest Assets