Syria Eastern World and Civilizations 2014 “The Arab awakening is a tale of three battles rolled into one: • people against regimes; • people against people; • and regimes against other regimes.” Hussein Agha and Robert Malley Nowhere is this more evident than in Syria: all three dimensions are forcefully present, simultaneously Pair-Share •Discuss this quote with your partner. •Do you agree or disagree? Why? Examples to support position? •“One man’s terrorist, is another man’s freedom fighter” –Gerald Seymour “The Syrian conflict has triggered something more fundamental than a difference of opinion over intervention, something more than an argument about whether the Security Council should authorize the use of force. Syria is the moment in which the West should see that the world has truly broken into two.” (…) “The situation in Syria has mutated from an uprising in a few outlying cities into a full-scale civil war. Now it has mutated again into a proxy war between the Great Powers” Michael Ignatieff, The New York Review of Books First Some Background on Syria… Syria is roughly the size of the state of Missouri and is home to over 20 million people. Background Information • Prior to WWII Syria was a French colony, that gained independence • They constantly go through a cycle of leaders, who are backed by the army/ Muslim group, then overthrown by a coup • The Assad family has been in power since the 60’s under the Baath Party • Hafez al-Assad was the “president” and groomed his first son to take the position • The first son died Background Information • So they turned to Bashar… • Bashar inherited the republic after his dad died in 2000. • The Parliament amended the constitution, reducing the mandatory minimum age of the President from 40 to 34 to allow Bashar to become legally eligible for nomination • 97.29 % Referendum !! Syrian American Council www.sacouncil.com 8 Since 2000, Syria has been ruled by President Bashar alAssad. His rule has been autocratic, meaning governed by one person, without any democracy. Since 2011, the Syrian people have protested against him, demanding their basic human rights. Their revolt has been part of a movement for freedom in the Middle East known as the Arab Spring. The Arab Spring is a pan-Arab movement, meaning that it stretches across the Arab countries of the Middle East. The Arab Spring started in the country of Tunisia. Soon afterwards, other Arab countries also rebelled against autocratic leaders, demanding democracy and a better standard of living. The Rebellion The revolt in Syria was started by students who wrote anti-government graffiti on the walls of their city. Assad’s forces struck back, attempting to crush the rebellion with brutal force. It didn’t work. Current Syria Syria is involved in a violent internal conflict. In early 2011 peaceful demonstrations took place with political activists demanding greater freedom for the people of Syria. The Syrian Government reacted with violent crackdowns on Syrian civilians. Since then retaliations have been going on between both sides – the Government and the Opposition (Free Syrian Army); leading to full blown civil war. cbsnews.com Current Syria • There is still unrest in Syria and the use of chemical weapons has been brought to the forefront • Israeli forces are still attacking them • Rebels are fighting the government still, even killing government personnel • Several investigations have showed that there still is the use chemical warfare in Syria cause hundreds of fatalities of men, women, and children • The US has expressed that they are ready to order a strike but the U.K. parliament has been fighting it • Syrians are clearly losing to the government • The country itself is falling apart, its losing unity and identity Events in Syria 2013 • The U.N.'s refugee agency reports that over 1.5 million Syrians have left their country to escape the war • European Union nations end the arms embargo against the Syrian rebels (May 27, 2013 ) • The Obama Administration says that Syria has crossed a 'red line' with its use of chemical weapons, including the nerve agent sarin gas, against rebels • It will be stepping up its support of the rebels, who have been calling for the United States and others to provide arms need to battle al-Assad's forces (June 13, 2013 ) • Assad will not step down Events in Syria 2013 • Ghassan Hitto is now the prime minister of The National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces (March 19, 2013 ) • Ahmad Assi Jarba is now the new leader of the Syrian National Coalition (July 6, 2013 ) • May 5 2013 Israeli forces conducted an airstrike in Syria targeted at a research a r facility in mountains near Damascus as well as one the previous week • In August a research team was sent into Syria to investigate the use of chemical weapons • Claims that chemical weapons were used on civilians in an attack outside of Damascus • 1,400 people were killed Refugees Refugees are people who have fled their country. Often it is in response to dangerous conditions, and many have to leave illegally and in secrecy. The refugee camps Current Syria • About 110,000 Syrians have been killed; 1.5 million have had to flee due to war • Many refugees have little or no opportunity to take any belongings, they flee with just the clothes on their back and what they can carry. • Syrian refugees are in desperate need of humanitarian assistance, especially the children. • Many are wounded, exhausted, terrified and have health and nutrition problems. Causes of the Syrian Revolution Causes for the Syrian Revolution • Political instability has been a problem for Syria since 1946, when it gained its independence from France • A civil war has been long in the making ever since Assad came to power • In February 2011, 15 school students in Daraa were arrested due to painting a revolution slogan, “As-Shaab / Yoreed / Eskaat el nizam!” (meaning “The people/ want/ to topple the regime!”) on school walls • The schoolboys were taken into custody where they were beaten, burned, and had their fingernails pulled by a “secret police” headed by Gen. Atef Najeeb, a cousin of President Bashar al-Assad • March 15, 2011 - Activists call for a Day of Rage across Syria, inspired by other popular uprisings across the Arab world • In these demonstrations, Syrian addressed their unhappiness with Assad and were asking for democratic reforms Cause for the Syrian Revolution • Government security forces didn’t like this, responded with: • Kidnapping • Torture • Killing- troops even opened fire on protesters who then fired back • On March 18, 5 people were killed as security forces dispersed crowds in the southern town of Daraa (this was the first of many deadly attacks reported in the uprising). • Over the next days, Daraa was reported sealed off, with no one allowed to enter. Cause for the Syrian Revolution • On March 25, troops opened fire on protesters in several cities and crowds clash on the streets of the capital of Damascus • Over 100,000 people reportedly marched in Daraa and about 20 protesters were reportedly killed • So the Syrian people decided to organize and arm themselves to fight back • The government really didn’t like this and so the military started destroying entire neighborhoods and towns • From a here, a war broke out and has been going on for about 2 years Why Syria Matters The Syrian uprising started as a push for freedom and democracy— values we share. The United States has its own history fighting tyranny in the American Revolution. The Boston Massacre, 1770 History has also shown that oppression often spreads to other countries if it is not stopped. Nazi invasion of Poland, 1939 We exist as one interconnected global community. What affects one person often affects us all. Chemical/Biological Weapons Chemical Weapons • Several investigations have proven that the Syrian government used chemical weapons against the people Chemical Weapons Dates of Accused Chemical Weapon Use • Khan al-Assal, 19 March 2013 • Syria's state news agency Sana reported that "terrorists" had fired a rocket "containing chemical materials", killing 16 people in the Khan al-Assal area of Aleppo province. • Al-Otaybeh, 19 March 2013 • Video uploaded showing men having difficulty breathing after and attack on the village • Adra, 24 March 2013 • The Local Co-Ordination Committees, a network of activists in Syria, said in its summary for 24 March that two people had been killed and "dozens" injured when Adra was shelled with "chemical phosphorus" bombs. Chemical Weapons Dates of Accused Chemical Weapon Use • Sheikh Maqsoud, 13 April 2013 • SOHR reported that two women and two children had been killed by poisoning from "gases from bombs dropped by an aircraft on the Sheikh Maqsoud neighborhood.” • Videos show patients experiencing symptoms associated with chemical weapons • Saraqeb, 29 April 2013 • Canisters were dropped above the town from helicopters, believed to be chemical weapons • Ghouta, 21 August 2013 • Activists claimed rockets with toxic agents were launched at the suburbs of the Ghouta region Chemical Weapons Ghoutta Attacks: 2013 • On August 21, 2013, a group of rebels attacked the Ghoutta suburbs, killing between 281 and 1,729 people. • The Syrian government has adamantly denied the use of chemical weaponry, but lab results confirmed the use of sarin nerve gas in weapons. • The region, near Mount Qasion has been the target for Israeli airstrikes. • Independent analysts have proven that the weapons were launched from areas under government control. Chemical Weapons Response to the Ghoutta Attacks • The Syrian Government says that Qatar shipped weapons to Libya and Syria • The citizens have started to protest, and have started raising awareness to the corrupt government • Russian defense experts have called the accusations “distorted” and “one-sided” • Experts claim that the weapons used during the attacks were created in a factory in 1967, and could have been stolen by outside terrorist groups Chemical Weapons Siege of Ghoutta • Rebels still control the city, but loyal troops are besieging east Ghoutta • Ghoutta is still under air raids and rocket attacks • Troops are stationed at the only two entrances to prevent people from entering or leaving the city • The citizens don’t have access to electricity, bread, milk, fuel, medicine and baby milk • They must rely on any products they are able to manually grow (it could take several weeks or more, to produce one serving of food) Chemical Weapons Investigations • UN inspectors sent into Damascus to investigate use of chemical weapons in August 2013 • Concluded that 1,429 people were killed in an attack by the possible use of chemical weapons • In September, the UN finds 'convincing evidence' of chemical attack (nerve agent sarin) • In response, Russia proposes Syrian government give up chemical arms to avoid a attack by the US • October 1, 2013: Weapons inspectors enter Syria • A group of weapons inspectors from Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons arrived in Damascus to begin the task of overseeing the destruction of Syria's chemical weapons program. Chemical Weapons Destruction of Chemical Weapons • Syria destroys chemical weapons facilities • Syria has rendered its declared chemical weapons production facilities inoperable, according to the organization in charge of overseeing the nation’s chemical weapons disarmament. Do you think that this is really the end of Chemical Weapon use by Syria? Who’s guilty of using chemical weapons? The People’s argument • The government is using chemical weaponry against their own people • The government is corrupt, and trying to get rid of anyone who opposes the power Government/ Assad Family’s argument • Outside terrorist groups are challenging our power • Rebels are using chemical weaponry to create international outrage and to involve the Westerners Chemical Weapons Effects of Chemical Weapons of People • Blurred Vision • Convulsions • Muscle Spasms • Excessive Saliva • Difficulty breathing • Foaming at the mouth • Hallucinations • Memory Loss • Suffocation • “a smell like vinegar and rotten eggs” Analyze the following quote: • “Syria’s chemical weapons are a poor man’s nuclear bomb” (Abdel Bari Atwan, former editor-in-chief of the Al-Quds Al-Arabi London-based pan- Arab daily, said on Al-Manar TV) The Regime’s defence of itself • The regime defends itself with some of the following arguments • • • • They feel its clear that domestic and foreign opposition is uniquely designed to overthrow the regime. They say concessions would only embolden the opposition They insist reforms will come once the situation improves. (But these reforms should have been implemented early in 2011, before the situation got out of control. At this point, small reforms will not be sufficient for Syrians harbouring much deeper grievances than before.) They feel the regime was never given a chance. By asking early on for regime change, the opposition shut the door on reform. The regime needs to ensure stability in Syria. No amount of suffering should be allowed to destabilize the country. The Syrian Army continues to support the Assad regime, partly because many Alawites hold key posts. 56 Effects Of the Revolution Effects of the Revolution Death Toll • More than 110,000 people have died in the conflict • 1.5 million have had to flee due to war • In comparison, The Wells Fargo Center can seat a max of 19,500 • THAT MEANS YOU WOULD NEED OVER 5 ½ FILLED WELLS FARGO CENTERS TO REPRESENT THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE KILLED • AND ABOUT 77 FILLED WELLS FARGO CENTERS TO REPRESENT THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO HAVE HAD TO FLEE Effects of the Revolution Economy • The economy has greatly suffered since the start of the revolution in 2011 • 75% of the production facilities in Aleppo (Syria's commercial capital) have been shutdown • Farmers have been unable to till their fields or sell their crops. • Food is becoming scarce and increasingly expensive • “More than 50% of the Syrian healthcare system's infrastructure has been destroyed” • Of the 75 state-run hospitals, just 30 remain in operation. • Over $100 billion is required for the reconstruction of Syria • Syria needs at least 25 years to reconstruct what has been destroyed during the conflict Effects of the Revolution • Other countries have also suffered from the revolution • It has cost Turkey seven hundred and fifty million dollars to host the refugees, with about one hundred million more coming in from outside source • Turkey has been made a target of Assad since it’s borders are open to Syrian refugees • Will slowly drag Turkey into the war Effects of the Revolution • The country has been completely torn apart • Losing their identity and unity • People with Syrian roots who don’t event live in Syria have taken sides on the revolution • Sawsan Jabri and Osama Siblani represent the advancement of the Arab community in the Detroit area • represent dissension among Arab-Americans over Syria and underscore a growing rift over ideological, political and regional differences. • Each speaks for opposing camps: Jabri is a spokeswoman for the Syrian Expatriates Organization (rebels backed by the US) & Siblani has been a voice opposing U.S. intervention through counter-demonstrations and the opinion pages of his newspaper. Internationally, Syria is more isolated than ever • • Russia (unenthusiastically followed by China) is its sole backer The Assad regime has no more political or ideological cards to play • It used to claim that it was the vanguard against US imperialism and Israeli hegemony, but its only goal now is self-survival • As it wages war against its own people, it exposes the country to foreign influences. • Regime ties to important key sectors within the country are now broken • Slow but surely, its military capacity is eroding through a continuous trickle of defectors, declining recruitment and plummeting morale • The economy is weak, between sanctions and disruption to the agricultural sector from the conflict • Despite announcements of elections in May, there is no indication that anything fundamental will change • The regime talks about dialogue with the opposition, but continues to intimidate and jail even the most moderate 62 Effects Of the Revolution What’s Next? • Possible scenarios: • The fall of the Assad regime would require an external intervention and/or supporting the Free Syrian Army with the means to defend themselves and topple the regime. • Assad remains in power for years to come and continues to escalate violence resulting in civil war, inflamed regional conflicts and more death and destruction. • Assad crushes the uprising with the backing of Russia, China and Iran, and cement his rule for the next generation. Think North Korea. Role of the UN, USA, and the World Role of the UN, USA, and the World US • The US is clearly against Assad’s regime but have been careful about how they got involved • They have given some weapons to the FSA • President Barack Obama has been pushing for U.S. military action • Has been talk in UN over US intervention, but the UN is split on the matter Right now it is unclear how long Assad will remain in power. The United States says he must go. Role of the UN, USA, and the World UN and The World • The UN has been divided on the matter • There are many risks in intervention • General Ban Ki-moon (UN Secretary) warned that an "ill-considered" strike could have "tragic consequences" for the strife-torn country • Russia and China have continually vetoed propositions in intervene due to their ally with the Syrian government • Do you think that the UN should take a stand in Syria? Why or not? The U.N. has implemented sanctions on Syria – economic penalties that target Assad’s bank account. UN Accuses Syria of War Crimes • August 2012- U.N. accuses Syria of war crimes • The U.N. Human Rights Council says the Syrian military committed war crimes in the massacre of more than 100 civilians (1/2 of them children) in the village of Houla in May 2012 UN and Allies of Syria • UN Security Council • split on how to intervene • Russia and China have blocked efforts by Western countries pass harsh sanctions. • Unable to come to an agreement on how to respond to August 2013 accusations of chemical weapons use by Assad's regime • Saudi Arabia and Qatar • Saudi Arabia is supplying weapons for its own personal reasons • Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia hate Shia Iran, so they are using the war to weaken it • Qatar is attempting to befriend Syria in hope that one day they will be able to help Qatar China, Russia, and Iran have stood by the Assad regime. They’ve blocked the U.N. from taking strong action. Some Political Cartoons…