The International Derivatives Exchange October 2009 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Risk Statement Risk Statement ● This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice nor an offer, solicitation or recommendation to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction. This presentation is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information. All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this publication are for illustrative purposes only. 2 Tradable Eurex Products from the U.S. Fixed Income Derivatives Equity Index Derivatives Fixed Income Futures Euro-Schatz, Euro-Bobl, Euro-Bund and Euro-Buxl® Futures CONF Futures (CONF), Euro-BTP Futures Benchmark Equity Index Futures DAX® Index, MDAX® Index, TecDAX® Index, Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index, Dow Jones STOXX 50® Index, SLI Swiss Leader Index® and RDxxt® USD - RDX Extended Index Futures Options on Fixed Income Futures Options on Euro-Schatz, Euro-Bobl and Euro-Bund Futures Commodity Derivatives CO2 Derivatives EUA Futures (F2PE), CER Futures (FCER), Options on EUA Futures (O2PE) Agriculture Derivatives European Processing Potato Futures (FEPP), London Potato Futures (FLPI), Piglet Futures (FPIG), Hog Futures (FHOG) Precious Metal Derivatives Gold Futures (FGFX), Gold Options (OGFX) Silver Futures (FSFX), Silver Options (OSFX) Sector Index Futures Dow Jones STOXX® Large 200 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® Mid 200 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® Small 200 Index, Dow Jones EURO STOXX® Banks Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Banks Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Industrial Goods & Services Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Insurance Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Media Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Personal & Household Goods Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Travel & Leisure Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Utilities Index, Dow Jones EURO STOXX® Select Dividend 30 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Index, Dow Jones Global Titans 50 SM Index, SMIM® Index Money Market Derivatives Money Market Futures One-Month EONIA Futures (FEO1) Three-Month EURIBOR Futures (FEU3) Inflation Derivatives Euro-Inflation Futures (HICP) Options on Money Market Futures Options on Three-Month EURIBOR Futures (OEU3) Please find the current products available for trade in the U.S. and the current trading hours on our website: www.eurexchange.com: Trading > Products > Eurex Derivatives in the U.S. Trading > Trading Calendar > Trading Hours 3 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Eurex Why Trade on Eurex? ● Trade during different time zones – Trading hours: 12:50 AM CST - 3:00 PM CST – Follow the sun…..Many moves that begin in Asia and Europe carry over ● Diversify – Exploit new opportunities and product offerings in foreign markets – Use index futures as an alternative to purchase a basket of stocks – and benefit from the leverage effect – Lower transaction costs in futures offer advantages versus other investment vehicles such as cash equities or ETFs – Efficient vehicle to protect index portfolios against market downturns – Euro-denominated contract – Liquid, volatile markets are well suited to intraday trading. ● Markets that provide similar profit risk/reward scenarios – Similar to the most popular products ● Features of Eurex Markets – Extremely liquid – Large open interest – Large depth of market – Good movement/volatility 4 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index Futures Average Daily Volume & Open Interest FESX Octobert. 2009 Contract / Inside Market DJ Euro STOXX 50 Futures 4,500,000 4,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 Open Interest 3,500,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 500,000 500,000 Average Daily Volume 9 p0 Se 09 Ju n- 9 ar -0 M D ec -0 p0 8 0 8 0 Se Average Daily Volume 3,000,000 Open Interest The Average Daily Volume in September 2009 was over 1.5 million contracts, with an open interest of over 2.3 million contracts. The bid-offer spread is regularly 1 tick wide, and the depth of market regularly several thousand contracts, offering excellent liquidity. 5 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details Contract Specifications Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index ● A free float capitalization-weighted index of 50 blue-chips from the Euro zone countries ● DJ EURO STOXX 50® is a price return index ● Calculated by STOXX Ltd., created in 1998 Futures Cash Settlement Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index Trading hours 7:50AM – 10:00PM CET; 12:50AM – 3:00PM CST Minimum tick size 1 index point = €10 / $14.59* Contract size €27,500 / $40,122.50* at 2,750 index level Contract months The 3 nearest quarterly months of Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec Expiration The 3rd Friday of the maturity month at 12:00PM CET / 5:00AM CST Intraday daily settlement 5:30PM CET / 10:30AM CST *EUR/USD = 1.46 6 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details DAX® Futures Average Daily Volume & Open Interest FDAX October 2009 Contract / Inside Market 300,000 250,000 250,000 200,000 200,000 150,000 150,000 100,000 100,000 50,000 50,000 Average Daily Volume Se p0 9 09 Ju n- 9 ar -0 M D ec -0 p0 8 0 8 0 Open Interest 300,000 Se Average Daily Volume DAX Futures Open Interest The Average Daily Volume in September 2009 was over 170,000 contracts, with an open interest of over 170,000 contracts. The bid-offer spread is regularly 1 tick wide, and the depth of market regularly several thousand contracts, offering excellent liquidity. 7 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details Contract Specifications DAX® Index ● A free float capitalization-weighted index comprising the 30 largest German companies listed at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (FWB®) ● DAX® is a performance / total return index ● Calculated by Deutsche Börse AG and is based on prices generated in the electronic trading system XETRA Futures Cash Settlement DAX® Futures (FDAX) Trading hours 7:50AM – 10:00PM CET; 12:50AM – 3:00PM CST Minimum tick size 0.5 index points = €12.50 / $18.25* Contract size €136,688 / $199,564* at 5,467.50 index level Contract months The 3 nearest quarterly months of Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec Expiration The 3rd Friday of the maturity month at 1:00PM CET / 6:00AM CST Intraday daily settlement 5:30PM CET / 10:30AM CST *EUR/USD = 1.46 8 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details A Comparison of Historical Volatility Dow Jones EURO STOXX® and DAX® vs. US Equivalents 360 Day Historical Volatility Monthly Average 45 40 35 30 E-mini S&P 500® Futures 25 DAX® Futures 20 DJ EURO STOXX 50® Futures E-mini DJ Index Futures 15 10 5 0 Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun09 09 09 09 09 09 08 08 08 08 Jul09 Aug- Sep09 09 Source: Bloomberg 9 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Product Details Eurex Products in relation to U.S. Index Futures U.S. Index Futures Eurex Products S&P 500 EMini Future (ESA) S&P 500 Future (SPA) Nasdaq 100 E-mini Future (NQA) Nasdaq 100 Future (NDA) DJIA Mini (DMA) DJIA Index Future (DJA) 1 DAX® Index Futures (GXA) 3.90 0.76 5.99 1.20 4.23 2.11 1 DJ EURO STOXX 50® (VGA) 0.79 0.16 1.21 0.24 0.85 0.43 10 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | EMO European Market Outlook e-Newsletter ● Free weekly e-newsletter ● Produced by CRB (division of Barchart) ● Covers week ahead in European Markets ● What’s driving markets ● Economic calendar ● Sign up under www.eurexchange.com ● ● ● ● Step 1 – Go to the ‘Education’ tab Step 2 – Click on ‘Investor Newsletter’ on the left panel Step 3 – Enter your e-mail address and confirm If you sign up after Monday’s e-newsletter is sent out, you will receive first newsletter NEXT week! 11 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | EMO European Market Outlook e-Newsletter 12 Eurex – The International Derivatives Exchange | Disclaimer Disclaimer © Eurex 2008 Deutsche Börse AG (DBAG), Clearstream Banking AG (Clearstream), Eurex Bonds GmbH (Eurex Bonds), Eurex Repo GmbH (Eurex Repo), Eurex Clearing AG (Eurex Clearing) and Eurex Frankfurt AG are corporate entities and are registered under German law. Eurex Zürich AG is a corporate entity and is registered under Swiss law. Clearstream Banking S.A. (Clearstream) is a corporate entity and is registered under Luxembourg law. Eurex Frankfurt AG (Eurex) is the administrating and operating institution of Eurex Deutschland. Eurex Deutschland and Eurex Zürich AG are in the following referred to as the “Eurex Exchanges”. All intellectual property, proprietary and other rights and interests in this publication and the subject matter hereof (other than certain trademarks and service marks listed below) are owned by DBAG and its affiliates and subsidiaries including, without limitation, all patent, registered design, copyright, trademark and service mark rights. While reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this publication to provide details that are accurate and not misleading at the time of publication DBAG, Eurex, Eurex Bonds, Eurex Repo, the Eurex Exchanges, Eurex Clearing and Clearstream and their respective servants and agents (a) do not make any representations or warranties regarding the information contained herein, whether express or implied, including without limitation any implied warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or any warranty with respect to the accuracy, correctness, quality, completeness or timeliness of such information, and (b) shall not be responsible or liable for any third party’s use of any information contained herein under any circumstances, including, without limitation, in connection with actual trading or otherwise or for any errors or omissions contained in this publication. This publication is published for information purposes only and shall not constitute investment advice respectively does not constitute an offer, solicitation or recommendation to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction. This publication is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information. All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this publication are for illustrative purposes only. Eurex offers services directly to members of the Eurex exchanges. Those who desire to trade any products available on the Eurex market or who desire to offer and sell any such products to others, should consider legal and regulatory requirements of those jurisdictions relevant to them, as well as the risks associated with such products, before doing so. Eurex derivatives (other than Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index Futures contracts, Dow Jones STOXX 50® Index Futures contracts, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Index Futures contracts, Dow Jones STOXX® Mid 200 Index Futures contracts, Dow Jones EURO STOXX® Banks Sector Futures contracts, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Banks Sector Futures contracts, Dow Jones Global Titans 50SM Index Futures contracts, DAX® Futures contracts, MDAX® Futures contracts, and Eurex interest rate derivatives) are currently not available for offer, sale or trading in the United States or by United States persons. Trademarks and Service Marks Buxl®, DAX®, Eurex®, Eurex Bonds®, Eurex Repo®, Euro GC Pooling®, Eurex Strategy WizardSM, FDAX®, iNAV®, MDAX®, ODAX®, SDAX®, StatistiX®, TecDAX®, VDAX-NEW®, Xetra® and XTF Exchange Traded Funds® are registered trademarks of DBAG. Xemac® is a registered trademark of Clearstream Banking AG. Vestima® is a registered trademark of Clearstream International S.A. RDXxt® is a registered trademark of Wiener Börse AG (Vienna Stock Exchange). iTraxx® is a registered trademark of International Index Company Limited (IIC) and has been licensed for the use by Eurex. IIC does not approve, endorse or recommend Eurex or iTraxx® Europe 5-year Index Futures, iTraxx® Europe HiVol 5-year Index Futures and iTraxx® Europe Crossover 5-year Index Futures. Eurex is solely responsible for the creation of the Eurex iTraxx® Credit Futures contracts, their trading and market surveillance. ISDA® neither sponsors nor endorses the product’s use. ISDA® is a registered trademark of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. SMI®, SLI®, SMIM® and VSMI® are registered trademarks of SWX Swiss Exchange. STOXX®, Dow Jones STOXX® 600 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® Large 200 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® Mid 200 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® Small 200 Index, Dow Jones STOXX® TMI Index, VSTOXX® Index, Dow Jones EURO STOXX® Select Dividend 30 Index, Dow Jones EURO STOXX®/STOXX® 600 Sector Indexes as well as the Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50® Index and Dow Jones STOXX 50® Index are service marks of STOXX Ltd. and/or Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Dow Jones and Dow Jones Global Titans 50SM Index are service marks of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. The derivatives based on these indexes are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by STOXX Ltd. or Dow Jones & Company, Inc., and neither party makes any representation regarding the advisability of trading or of investing in such products. The names of other companies and third party products may be trademarks or service marks of their respective owners. 13 MACD vs STOCHASTIC: Which Is Right For You? Prepared and Presented by Daniel Gramza 14 About the Speaker Materials in this presentation are covered under current United States and international copyright laws. NO PORTION OF THIS PRESENTATION MAY BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE AUTHOR. • Daniel Gramza is currently completing two books: • TRADING IN THE EYE OF THE STORM • THE HANDBOOK OF JAPANESE CANDLE TRADING STRATEGIES • You can be notified when these books are available by contacting Daniel Gramza: Daniel M. Gramza President Gramza Capital Management, Inc. e-mail: dmgramza@att.net 15 About Dan Gramza Over 20 years experience trading futures, options on futures, stocks, stock options and cash markets around the world Started on the exchange floors, trades upstairs Has experience with scalping, day trading, swing trading and position trading Has worked with traders from over 36 exchanges, 450 institutions, and 35 countries 16 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. AGENDA Eurex Overview MACD concepts Stochastic concepts MACD vs Stochastic Trading Applications Q&A 17 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. AGENDA Eurex Overview 18 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Dow Jones Euro STOXX 50® - Underlying Index • Benchmark equity index • Tracks the development of the European economy • Focus on the Euro zone countries that have adopted the Euro as their currency • Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, • Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, • Portugal and Spain • Captures approximately 95% of the free float market capitalization of the represented countries 19 Dow Jones Euro STOXX 50® - Underlying Index • Index of 50 European Blue-chips firms • Companies that are included in the index: • Banco Santander • Carrefour • L’Oreal • Nokia • Renault etc. • Calculated by STOXX Ltd., created in 1998 20 Are the Eurex Equity Indexes right for YOU? • Are you making the most effective use of your trading capital? • Have you diversified your investments beyond US corporate stocks? • Have you diversified your investments beyond the US? • Are you taking direct advantage of the European market movement? • Do you hedge or protect your portfolio from adverse price movement? 21 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Benefits of Trading Eurex Products Access to the European equity and debt markets Diversify portfolios Hedge portfolios Hedge or take foreign exchange risk Easy Access 22 AGENDA Eurex Overview Stochastic concepts 23 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MATHEMATICAL STUDIES Mathematical studies are as: DIRECTIONAL techniques that are classified 1. Trend following or 2. Counter trend techniques There are two general categories of mathematical studies: 1. Price overlay studies - Moving averages 2. Oscillator studies - Stochastics - RSI - MACD 24 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Mathematical Study Applications The first step in using a mathematical study is to determine what YOU WANT the mathematical study to add to your trading strategy. 25 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics Stochastics is a study that measures momentum by indicating when prices have gotten high enough to find sellers or low enough to find buyers. It is based on the concept that price tends to close near a periods high when the market is in an uptrend which indicates accumulation of buying pressure and price tends to close near a periods low when the market is in a downtrend which indicates distribution of selling pressure. 26 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) This study is graphed using two signal lines %K and %D, each have values between 0 and 100. %K is a 3 period modified moving average of the ratio of the current period’s close minus the lowest low for the period of study divided by the difference between the highest high and the lowest low for the period of study multiplied by100. %D is a 3 period modified moving average of %K. 27 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) ●Stochastic Applications Stochastic is typically used to indicate trend reversals. ●Crossovers A sell signal occurs when the %K and %D signal lines crossover at a value above 70 for futures and 80 for stocks. A buy signal occurs when the %K and %D signal lines crossover at a value below 30 for futures and 20 for stocks. 28 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) BUY signal typically occurs when the oscillator is in a defined lower range, an "oversold" condition; SELL signal typically occurs when the oscillator is in a defined upper range, an "overbought" condition. Example: Buy when the oscillator lines cross below 30 "oversold" or sell when the oscillators cross above 70 "overbought". Sell Overbought __________________________________________________________ 70 __________________________________________________________ 30 Oversold Buy 29 GRAMZA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. Sell Buy 30 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) ●Divergence and Convergence When price and the oscillator do not move in the same direction at the same time, a condition called divergence or convergence will occur. 31 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) 32 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics (Cont’d) 33 GRAMZA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. Stochastics (Cont’d) How FAST an oscillator will change with a change in price is a measure of the oscillator's sensitivity. 5 Period 20 Period 34 GRAMZA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. Stochastics (Cont’d) ●Stochastic Parameters Standard Parameters are: 14 periods of study Recommended Parameters are: 9 periods of study 35 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. AGENDA Eurex Overview Stochastic concepts MACD concepts 36 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MACD The MACD is created using relationships of three exponential moving averages. The MACD indicator consist of two lines: the MACD line and the signal line. The MACD line is the difference between two exponential moving averages. The signal line is an exponential moving average of the MACD line. 37 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MACD (Cont’d) MACD Applications The MACD is used to indicate trend reversals and trend confirmation. Crossovers A MACD sell signal occurs when the MACD line crosses the signal line from above. A MACD buy signal occurs when the MACD line crosses the signal line from below. 38 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MACD (Cont’d) MACD Applications (Cont’d) Crossing through the zero reference line A MACD sell signal occurs when the MACD line changes from positive to negative values as it crosses the zero reference line. A MACD buy signal occurs when the MACD line changes from negative to positive values as it crosses the zero reference line. 39 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MCAD (Cont’d) BUY signal typically occurs when the MACD line crosses the signal line from below. SELL signal typically occurs when when the MACD line crosses the signal line from above. Sell __________________________________________________________ 0 Buy 40 GRAMZA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. MACD (Cont’d) MACD Applications (Cont’d) Divergence and Convergence When price and the oscillator do not move in the same direction at the same time, a condition called divergence or convergence will occur. 41 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MACD (Cont’d) MACD Applications (Cont’d) Trend Confirmation MACD signals are generated after the market has moved in a new direction and is therefore considered a trend following technique and is used to confirm the trend. The trend is generally considered rising if the MACD is above zero and falling the MACD is below zero 42 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. MACD (Cont’d) MACD Parameters Standard Parameters are: MACD line = 26 period exponential moving average minus 12 period exponential moving average Signal line = 9 period exponential moving average of the MACD line or MACD line = 17 period exponential moving average minus 8 period exponential moving average Signal line = 9 period exponential moving average of the MACD line 43 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. AGENDA Eurex Overview Stochastic concepts MACD concepts Trading Applications 44 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics vs MACD 45 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics vs MACD (Cont’d) 46 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. Stochastics vs MACD (Cont’d) 47 Gramza Capital Management, Inc. AGENDA Eurex Overview Stochastic concepts MACD concepts Trading Applications Q&A 48 Gramza Capital Management, Inc.