Experimental Design Showing Cause & Effect Relationships Limitations of Experiments • Often criticized for having little to do with actual behavior because of strict laboratory conditions • Not always Ethical to create “real life” situations • Natural Experiments – Study natural occurring event to observe and measure the effects of something you could not create or ethically do in a lab. – Problem is you can’t control variables in a Natural Experiment. Definitions • Hypothesis—A testable prediction of the outcome of the experiment or research • Null Hypothesis - the statement that the independent variable will have no effect on the dependent variable. – Rather than trying to "prove" their hypothesis that something will happen, social scientists actually try to disprove the null hypothesis – that something will NOT happen – We assume the null hypothesis is correct (that nothing is going to happen) until we can encounter scientific evidence to reject it. – Helps to avoid confirmation bias • Variables—factors that change in ways that can be observed, measured, and verified • Operational definition—precise description of how the variables will be measured Operational Definitions • How the researcher will define and measure the key variables in the experiment. • In evaluating others’ research, first determine if you agree with the researchers’ operational definitions. Experimental Group • The subjects in an experiment who are exposed to the treatment (independent variable) • Also called the experimental condition • The group being studied and compared to the control group Control Group • Are not exposed to the independent variable • Results are compared to those of the experimental group • Also called the control condition Choosing Your Groups minimizing confounding variables/individual differences • Randomly Select a Random Sample—every member of the population being studied should have an equal chance of being selected for the study • Random Assignment—every subject in the study should have an equal chance of being placed in either the experimental or control group • Randomly select a random sample then randomly assign that sample to the experimental and control groups. • Randomization helps avoid false results & bias & accounts for individual differences in people. Experimental Variables • Independent variable (IV) – the controlled factor in an experiment – hypothesized to cause an effect on another variable • Dependent variable (DV) – the measured facts – hypothesized to be affected Independent Variable • Causes something to happen • The variable manipulated by the experimenter • The variable which should change the dependent variable • variable is controlled by the experimenter Dependent Variable • The experimental variable which is affected by the independent variable • The “effect variable” • The outcome of the experiment • The variable being observed and measured Knowing the Difference • Find DV first by asking: – “What is the researcher measuring or looking for in this study?” • Next, find IV by asking: – “What do the researchers hope will cause the DV in this study?” • Verify with an If/Then Statement: – If this (independent variable) THEN this happens (dependent variable). – If my subject drinks an energy drink (Ind. Variable) THEN they should get a surge in energy (Dep. Variable) OR • They are testing the effect of (IV) on (DV). • Good Way to Remember: An IV in your arm causes something to happen (DV) Potential Problems Experimental Flaws to Look Out For Confounding Variables • Variables, other than the independent variable, which could inadvertently influence the dependent variable • “Outside factors” that could have caused your results. • Need to be controlled/eliminated in order to draw a true, cause-effect relationship in the experiment. • Many confounding variables can be eliminated through random assignment. Confounding Variables: Environmental Differences • Any differences in the experiment’s conditions – between the experimental and control groups • Differences include temperature, lighting, noise levels, distractions, etc. • Ideally, there should be a minimum of environmental differences between the two groups. Confounding Variables: Expectation Effects (Participant/Researcher Bias) • Any changes in an experiment’s results due to the subject or researcher anticipating certain outcomes to the experiment • Change in DV produced by subject’s expectancy that change should happen • Researcher favoring one group over another Sources of Bias • Demand characteristics—subtle cues or signals by the researcher that communicate type of responses that is expected. – Form of Researcher Bias – Also helps to guard against the Clever Hans Effect • Hawthorne Effect (participant bias) - refers to a change in behavior of the subject because they have a great deal of attention focused on them. – Usually a spurt or elevation in performance or physical phenomenon is measured. Eliminating Bias: Placebo • A non-active substance or condition administered instead of a drug or active agent • Given to the control group • Reduces expectancy effects • Ever get a boo boo and have your mom or dad to kiss it and make it better? • Doctors may use Placebos more than you think (NBC Report on Placebo 2 min.) • “Nocebo” – Patients when told a drug won’t work can block it from working. Eliminating Bias: Single Blind Procedure • An experimental procedure where the research participants are ignorant (blind) to the expected outcome of the experiment Eliminating Bias: Double Blind Procedure • Technique in which neither the experimenter nor participant is aware of the group to which participant is assigned Experiments: Data Analysis Are My Results Valid & Reliable? • Validity – Does the experiment measure and predict what it is supposed to? • Reliable – If repeated, will we get similar results? Statistically Significant • Possibility that the differences in results between the experimental and control groups could have occurred by chance is no more than 5 percent • Must be at least 95% certain the differences between the groups is due to the independent variable Experiments: Replication Replication • Repeating the experiment to determine if similar results are found • If so, the research is considered reliable. • Does Vitamin C really prevent colds? 3 Types of Experiments Experimental Method • Play “Water, Water Everywhere” (12:20) Segment #2 from Scientific American Frontiers: Video Collection for Introductory Psychology (2nd edition) – Dousing Rods to find water – An experiment is set up to see if this psychic phenomenon is true.