Is there a difference in relationship between corporate governance and earnings management in different countries? Evidence from comparing the emerging market of China and the developed market of U.S. 21 March 2016 Erasmus School of Economics Master Accounting, Auditing & Control - 2013-2014 Name Rong Zheng Student number 366006 Supervisor Drs. sc. ind. A.H. van der Boom Co-reader E.A. de Knecht RA Date October 2014 Master Accounting, Auditing and Control Page 1 Abstract This empirical thesis aims to investigate whether there is a difference in the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management based on comparing the results of China and U.S. With the datasets of China and U.S. during 2007-2011, this thesis adopts the Performance–Matched Discretionary Accruals Model to calculate and measure earnings management. The specific items - board size, supervisory board size, executive directors, non-executive directors, independent directors, CEO dummy, managerial ownership and block-holder ownership - were employed as proxy for corporate governance mechanism. The OLS regression models and the fixed effect models were performed and the results confirm there is a relationship between corporate governance and earnings management both in sample firms of China and U.S. Especially, these results also stated that there are differences in the relation between those two items comparing China and U.S. Keywords: Corporate governance, Earnings management, China, U.S. Page 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I would like to take the opportunity to acknowledge to all the people who helped me in my study at Erasmus University of Rotterdam. My sincere gratitude is directed to my supervisor Drs. sc. ind. A.H. van der Boom at Erasmus University of Rotterdam. He actively instructed me through the entire thesis, answered all my questions with great patience, offered useful support at every stage of the thesis, and shared the valuable knowledge with me. I would also like to thank Mr. de Knecht for giving me important comments on this research thesis. I would like to acknowledge the teachers, coordinators, and friends at Erasmus University of Rotterdam who were kindly helping me during my study. I owe my loving thanks to my parents, husband and friends. Without their encouragement it would have been impossible for me to finish this study. Rong Zheng Rotterdam, The Netherlands October, 2014 Page 3 Table of Contents Chapter 1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 6 1.1 Background ..................................................................................................... 6 1.2 Objectives ........................................................................................................ 8 1.3 Research question definition ........................................................................... 9 1.4 Methodology ................................................................................................... 9 1.5 Relevance ...................................................................................................... 10 1.6 Limitation ...................................................................................................... 11 1.7 Structure of the research ................................................................................ 11 Chapter 2. Theoretical Background ......................................................................... 12 2.1 Earnings management ................................................................................... 12 2.1.1 Definitions of earnings management ..................................................... 12 2.1.2 Measurements of earnings management ................................................ 15 2.2 Corporate governance ................................................................................... 21 2.3 Relevant theory ............................................................................................. 24 2.3.1 Agency theory ........................................................................................ 24 2.3.2 Positive accounting theory ..................................................................... 24 2.4 Background of China .................................................................................... 26 2.4.1 Ownership structure ............................................................................... 26 2.4.2 Board structure ....................................................................................... 27 2.5 Summary ....................................................................................................... 28 Chapter 3. Literature Review................................................................................... 29 3.1 Literature evidence on corporate governance ............................................... 29 3.2 Reviewing prior literature on earnings management .................................... 31 3.3 Corporate governance and earnings management ......................................... 32 3.3.1 Board characteristics .............................................................................. 33 3.3.2 Ownership structure ............................................................................... 36 3.4 Summary ....................................................................................................... 38 Chapter 4. Hypotheses Development ...................................................................... 40 Chapter 5. Research Design..................................................................................... 42 5.1 Research model ............................................................................................. 42 5.1.1 Measurement of discretionary accruals ................................................. 42 5.1.2 Measurement of corporate governance .................................................. 43 5.1.3 Research regression model .................................................................... 47 5.2 Sample selection ............................................................................................ 50 5.2.1 Dataset of China ..................................................................................... 50 5.2.2 Dataset of U.S. ....................................................................................... 52 5.3 Statistical tests ............................................................................................... 53 Chapter 6. Results and Analysis .............................................................................. 55 Page 4 6.1 Descriptive statistics ...................................................................................... 55 6.2 Correlation matrix (Pearson Correlation test) ............................................... 56 6.3 Multicollinearity test ..................................................................................... 62 6.4 Results and analysis ...................................................................................... 65 6.4.1 OLS Results ........................................................................................... 65 6.4.2 Hausman test of China and U.S. ............................................................ 66 6.4.3 Fixed effect model development ............................................................ 70 6.5 Summary ....................................................................................................... 71 Chapter 7. Conclusions ............................................................................................ 74 7.1 Conclusions ................................................................................................... 74 7.2 Limitations and future recommendations ...................................................... 75 References………...………………………………………………………………….77 Appendix. A Corporate Governance …………………………………………………88 Appendix. B Earnings Management………...………………………………………..89 Appendix. C Corporate governance and earnings management……………………...90 Page 5 Chapter 1. Introduction 1.1 Background Prior empirical evidence shows that managers have incentives to manipulate the earnings information of the company (Teoh et al. 1998a, 1998b; Xie, 2001). A great numbers of researchers and analysts attempt to investigate this phenomenon and to find the solutions to restrict misleading earnings information manipulation. One of the solutions is effective corporate governance which includes internal control and external control. In the previous two decades, the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management attracts increasing attentions from researchers. Especially in the early 2000s, a number of financial scandals took place in the U.S., e.g., Tyco, WorldCom and Enron. The U.S. Congress enacted the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOX) to respond to those scandals, for example, adding an independence auditor, code of ethnic for senior managers and requiring CEO and CFO certifying financial report. These requirements try to enhance the corporate governance, strengthen the corporate accountability and reduce the likelihood of misleading earnings management. Furthermore, a lot of empirical research articles investigated corporate governance and earnings management and confirmed the relationship between these two aspects. Klein (2002) indicated in his research paper that both board independence and audit committee independence have negative relationship with abnormal accruals by analyzing data of the U.S. Davidson et al. (2005) also found the similar results by investigating the data from Australian listed firms, which proves that the board independence and audit committee independence could decrease the likelihood of earnings management. Park et al. (2004) concluded that the outside directors did not reduce the abnormal accruals according to the data from Canada. Audit quality and earnings management were investigated by Piot et al. (2005) based on the data from France. They confirmed that the Big Five-audited companies in France did not have a lower level of earnings management. Ching et al. (2006) used sample firms from Hong Kong and demonstrated that SEO (Seasoned Equity offerings) firms with large board size have a high likelihood of earnings management. According to review the prior empirical researches on corporate governance and earnings management, a tremendous of research results were concluded from developed market countries or areas such as U.S., UK, Canada, and Hong Kong and Page 6 so on (Klein, 2002; Davidson et al., 2005; Park et al., 2004; Piot et al., 2005). However, few empirical researches are based on the emerging markets, such as India, Brazil, Malaysia and China and so on. For instance, Houqe et al. (2007) used a sample of 648 firm-year observations from 2001 to 2006 in Bangladesh and demonstrated that corporate governance system has effective monitoring power on financial reporting. By taking nine Asian emerging markets as test data, Shen and Chih (2007) found that effective corporate governance mechanism tends to reduce earnings management activities. The research field linking to this topic is insufficient in emerging markets, although there have some research results. Furthermore, it is necessary to investigate the corporate governance and earning management in emerging markets. Emerging markets are growing faster than developed markets especially in the economy aspect. These developing regions draw a lot of attentions from investors around the world since the investors take developing markets as a new investment opportunity. Nevertheless, there still are some potential risks of investment in emerging markets. For instance, the information asymmetry problem in emerging markets is worse than in developed countries (Vives, 2006). On the other hand, Klapper and Love (2002) argue that inefficient corporate governance and weak legal infrastructures raise the risks related to emerging markets investments. One of the specific examples of emerging markets is China because it is the biggest and fastest growing market from the emerging counties around the world. According to the government data (National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China), in the end of 2013, China’s GDP (Gross domestic product) scored at 7.7 percentage with 9.31 trillion U.S. dollars. Although the rate of GDP reduced slightly comparing to prior years, China is still the second largest economy in the world. However, China is relatively younger than the developed countries in several aspects and still has some problems and risks as other emerging markets, for instance, high concentrated ownership, less transparency of financial information, inefficient regulation and market instability and so on. Furthermore, previous empirical thesis provided evidence that Chinese listed companies manipulate their earnings information dramatically. Li et al. (2011) investigated the topic of manipulation financial data by using data from Industrial Census of China. They found that earnings management is more common in China than that in developed countries such Page 7 as U.S. Chen et al. (2003) confirmed that local governments take part in earnings management of listed companies by providing fiscal subsidies in China. In conclusion, the subject of this research thesis is to investigate whether or not corporate governance mechanism affects earnings management basing on the specific emerging market of China. On the other hand, as the world largest economy, The United States of America plays a vital and influential role in the world. It is often seen as a remarkable example relating to economy, technology and so on. Moreover, the researches on the corporate governance and earnings management were booming after the financial scandals of 2000s in the U.S. Those research findings can provide a benchmark for investigation of emerging market countries. Therefore, this research thesis will also collect data from the U.S., and use the same methodology and tests to provide empirical results for comparing the case of China. 1.2 Objectives Basing on the previous indication, it is obviously that most of research results are published from developed countries such as U.S., Canada and so on. A few numbers of research articles are based on the emerging markets like India, China and so on. In this research thesis, the first and most important aim is to enrich the empirical evidence on the emerging markets relating to the issue of corporate governance and earnings management. On the other hand, the researches connecting to this issue has different outcomes. For instance, as mentioned before, both Klein (2002) and Davidson et al. (2005) highlighted that the board independence and audit committee independence reduce the likelihood of earnings management. However, Peasnell et al. (2000) found that audit committee and earning management have no relationship by analyzing the data from UK. Ching et al. (2006) indicated that there is a positive association between board size and the level of earnings management. Nevertheless, Xie et al. (2003) found that negative relationship between board size and earnings management. Therefore, the second target of this research thesis is to review this issue and analyze the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management, attempting to provide more empirical evidence in this research topic. Finally, basing on the discussion before, China has some problems in corporate governance and earnings management. Therefore, it is urgent to analyze those issues Page 8 and try to find out the answers. This research will apply a unique step which is to compare the empirical results between the U.S. and China. The purpose of this method is to conclude different results and find out the explanation of these differences. It can provide a guideline for future analysis. 1.3 Research question definition Based on the aforementioned introduction, the research question has been formulated as: “Is there a difference in the relation between corporate governance and earnings management in the emerging market of China and in the developed market of The United States of America?” Before answering such research question, the following sub-questions need to be answered: 1. What is the definition of the term corporate governance? How do we measure corporate governance? 2. What is the definition of earnings management? How do we measure earnings management? 3. What are the underlying economic theories explaining earnings management and corporate governance? 4. What are the prior research results on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management? 5. What are the hypotheses for the empirical research of this thesis? 6. What is the research design for this research thesis? 7. What are the results of this research thesis? 8. What are the analysis and conclusions of this research thesis? 1.4 Methodology The first step of this research is to locate the relevant empirical studies with the content of corporate governance and earnings management. These research articles can provide basic information to explain the term of corporate governance and earnings management. Meanwhile, the research articles relating to this issue also provide the process of hypotheses development, research analysis models, and so on. This information from previous research papers can supply a first clue for this research work. Page 9 After that, in order to test the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management, all data will be collected from Erasmus University Database. The data of China will be selected from CSMAR database. It offers all Chinese listed firms information relating to corporate governance and financial information. Besides, the data for analyzing the U.S. will be selected from Compustat North America, GMI Ratings and Risk Metrics databases. The research period will be draw from 2007 to 2011. Furthermore, Dimitropoulos and Asteriou (2010) employed Modified Jones Model to investigate earnings management. Chen (2010) concluded in his paper that the modified Jones model is the best model to test earnings management comparing to other models. Although Modified Jones Model is widely used in previous research articles, in this research thesis, Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model (Kothari et al., 2005) will be used to calculate the discretionary accruals as proxy for earnings management. This is because it has advantage in reducing model misspecification (Dechow et al., 2012). This will be introduced in Chapter two. Lastly, in the design process of regression model, several corporate governance variables which include board size, CEO dummy, independent directors, supervisory board size and non-executives directors and so on will be tested. On the other hand, it proposes to add some control variables such as firm size, return on equity, Leverage. Moreover, SPSS and Eviews will be applied to perform the statistical analysis which is needed to test the hypotheses. 1.5 Relevance Firstly, the findings of this research thesis could provide useful information for helping regulators to enhance their insight efficiently. Especially, it can help the regulators to design more realistic corporate governance policies which link to the Chinese background. Secondly, the results of this thesis could provide useful guidance for companies to carry out appropriate corporate governance policies with a target of reducing earnings manipulation and facilitating the effectiveness of internal control. And, last but not lease, the thesis can help the future analysts to understand the real situation linking to corporate governance and earnings management in China. In the meantime, some research outcomes can provide a guideline for other emerging Page 10 markets companies to improve corporate governance, effectively restrict on earnings management, and enhance transparency of accounting information. 1.6 Limitation This research thesis has some drawbacks. Firstly, whether the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model could fully detect earnings management or not is still in the debates. Secondly, this research thesis will focus on the connection between corporate governance and earnings management relating to emerging market of China and U.S. Therefore, this study cannot be used to generalize concerning all emerging markets countries and all developed countries. Lastly, this thesis may omit some variables when measures corporate governance. 1.7 Structure of the research The remaining of the thesis will be structured as follow: Chapter 2 will describe the definitions of earnings management and corporate governance. In the meanwhile, it will indicate the measurements of earnings management and the relevant elements of corporate governance. After that, the underlying theories relating to corporate governance and earnings management will be introduced. The prior empirical research outcomes and findings will be presented in Chapter 3. In addition, a summary will be provided for concluding those research results. Furthermore, Chapter 4 will show the process of hypotheses development. After that, in Chapter 5, the research design will be demonstrated. Chapter 6 will provide the results of statistical test and analysis. Chapter 7 will draw conclusions and limitations and provide suggestions for the future empirical researches. Page 11 Chapter 2. Theoretical Background This chapter introduces the theoretical background of this research thesis, which includes the definitions of earnings management, the measurements of earnings management, the definitions of corporate governance and its relevant elements. Then, two important theories related to this thesis will be discussed. In the end, the background of China relating to earnings management and corporate governance will be illustrated. 2.1 Earnings management 2.1.1 Definitions of earnings management Earning(s) is also known as “net income”, which is an important item in the financial reports. It not only reveals the performance of a company relating to profit-generating activities, but also shows the efficiency of management of this company. The earnings information presented in financial reports has effect on the company’s value. For instance, positive earnings information may stimulate the stock price to increase while negative earnings information may lead to the decrease of stock price. Likewise, the increase or decrease of stock price will influence the value of the firm. Therefore, these motivate management to consider how to report the earnings information of their companies, in other word, how to manage earnings. Since earnings management is widely research topic in the current society, a large body of researchers and analysts provided several definitions in their research articles. Davidson et al. (1987, cited in Schipper 1989) gave a definition of earnings management as: “the process of taking deliberate steps within the constraints of generally accepted accounting principles to bring about a desired level of reported earnings.” One of the definitions of earnings management demonstrated by Schipper (1989) is: “…a purposeful intervention in the external financial reporting process with the intent of obtaining some private gains (as opposed to, say, merely facilitating the neutral operation of the process).” Page 12 Healy and Wahlen (1999) defined that: “Earnings management occurs when managers use judgment in financial reporting and in structuring transactions to alter financial reports to either mislead some stakeholders about the underlying economic performance of the company, or to influence contractual outcomes that depend on reported accounting numbers.” Furthermore, Dechow and Skinner (2000) indicated in their article that earnings management is: “The intentional, deliberate, misstatement or omission of material facts, or accounting data, which is misleading and, when considered with all the information made available, would cause the reader to change or alter his or her judgment or decision.” Basing on the above-mentioned four definitions, earnings management can be considered as intentional behavior by management in the financial reporting process. Moreover, there have some self-interested purposes to drive management to distort the earnings information. This intentional behavior will influence the users’ decisions and judgments, and sometimes harm their benefits. Although earnings management is often considered as a negative effect in the previous literature, not all researchers agree that earnings management is always negative. Subramanyam (1996) presented that discretionary accruals increase the information content and help to predict the future of cash flow and earnings of a firm. Jiraporn et al. (2008) took earnings management as something positive. They adopted Agency Theory as a research tool and found that there is a positive relationship between earnings management and firm value. They also argued that earnings management is beneficial to investors because it provides more information, and the company has benefits from that. According to those arguments above, there is still no consensus on the definition of earnings management in previous academic field. As indicated by Ronen and Yaari (2008), earnings management can be categorized into three types: white, grey and black. White earnings management means that managers can choose accounting treatments flexibly and show their private information related to future cash flows. Page 13 This statement emphasizes that earnings management could improve the transparency and quality of financial reports. Grey earnings management is defined as that the chosen accounting treatments maximizes either the managers’ interests or firms’ interests. It emphasizes that earnings management can be opportunistic or economically efficient. Black earnings management reflects that tricks are used by management to misrepresent or decrease transparency of financial reports. In addition, Beneish (2001) described that the information perspective of earnings management and the presented discretionary management are used by management to reflect the private expectation to investors. Jiraporn et al. (2008) even indicated that on the average earnings management is not opportunistic but beneficial to a company. These statements are similar to the definition of white earnings management. Other researchers argued that managers discretionarily manipulate the earnings information so users cannot see the truth of the company due to the biased earnings information (Dechow and Skinner 2000; Healy and Wahlen 1999; Schipper 1989). In this research thesis, the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management is one of the research subjects. It has been argued that corporate governance could reduce activities of manipulating earnings (Shen and Chih 2007; Cornett et al. 2009). Therefore, in this study earnings management is viewed as discretionary behavior by management which may distort financial reporting and mislead some users. After introducing definitions and the relevant arguments of the earnings management, a question which needs to be answered is that what are the motivations of earnings management by managers? The following are some explanations from Healy (1999): I. Capital market motivation Trueman and Titman (1988) claimed that corporate managers have incentives to smooth the companies’ income. The purpose of this action is to keep the company like stable and to avoid the stock price decline. It is well known that financial analysts use the information of financial reports to perform prospective analysis and determine the future performance of a company. Analysts usually set standards to some key figures in the coming years such as future Sales, future Earnings, and etc. If a company fails to meet the standards provided by analysts, the stock price of that Page 14 company will decrease significantly. Therefore, managers have strong incentives to achieve those earnings standards by using earnings management. Teoh et al. (1998) found that managers would adopt income-increasing depreciation policies during the periods prior to initial public offerings (IPO). This means that managers would overstate earnings before the company IPO and try to attract the attention of investors. II. Contracting motivation According to Healy and Wahlen (1999), there are two types of contracts. The first one is management compensation contract. Accounting income is a key figure to evaluate the performance of a firm. Meanwhile, it is also a key benchmark to assess the performance of managers. Furthermore, the compensation which includes salary, bonus and stock options depends on the evaluation of the performance of the managers. Therefore, managers have incentives to manipulate earnings because poor performance will affect the compensation and bonus. Even more, managers will lose the jobs. Matsunaga and Park (2001) found that CEOs’ bonus will be lower when the earnings information misses the analysts’ forecasts. The second one is lending contract which relates to debt covenant hypothesis. The basic idea of this hypothesis is that firm with a lot of debts has motivation to manage earnings. The root of this motivation is that they do not want to breach the debt covenant. This hypothesis will discuss deeper in Section 2.3.2 (positive accounting theory). III. Regulatory incentives Political cost hypothesis was stated by Watts and Zimmerman (1986). According to this hypothesis, managers of big firms have motivations to reduce the earnings because the high earnings information will draw the attention of the regulators and the government and the labor unions. Jones (1991) found that the company uses earnings management to reduce the reported earnings during import relief investigations performed by the United States International Trade Commission. 2.1.2 Measurements of earnings management Before introducing the measurements of earnings management, it is necessary to know two main patterns of earnings management (Gunny, 2010). The first one is real activities earnings management. According to Roychowdhury (2006), the definition of real activities manipulation is “departures from normal operational practices, Page 15 motivated by managers’ desire to mislead at least some stakeholders into believing certain financial reporting goals have been met in the normal course of operations.” Generally speaking, real activities earnings management means that the operation actions chosen by management in order to affect the users of financial reporting. Another pattern of earnings management is discretionary accruals management which is widely used in previous and current years. Under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), managers are required to use accruals to reduce timing and matching problems. However, accruals can be applied to manipulate earnings in order to meet or just beat the analysts’ forecast or other self-interested incentives (Hsu, 2013). This discretionary behavior by management distorts the true face of the company. The biased financial information provided by management will influence the users’ judgment of the company. In this research thesis, discretionary accruals will be employed to proxy earnings management. In the prior empirical evidence, lots of literature use discretionary accruals to proxy earnings management, specifically in China evidence (Liu and Lu, 2007; Gulzar et al., 2011). Moreover, it is more appropriate to compare the research outcomes based on the same measurement of earnings management. There are various accrual-based models in research articles, such as the Healy Model, the DeAngelo Model, the Jones Model and the Modified Jones Model, etc. (Healy, 1985; DeAngelo, 1986; Jones, 1991; Dechow et al., 1995). Before introducing these models, it is necessary to understand total accruals, which is the starting point of measuring discretionary accruals. Earnings management occurs when managers use discretion in accounting information producing process. According to accrual-based method, total accruals should be categorized into discretionary accruals and non-discretionary accruals (see equation 2.1). Discretionary accruals are often adopted as a proxy for earnings management. However, it is difficult to directly identify which part of total accruals are non-discretionary accruals and which part are discretionary accruals. Since management may use discretionary room differently at different time, it is hard to evaluate the discretionary behavior by managers exactly. TAt = NDAt + DAt Where: Page 16 (2.1) TAt = Total accruals in year t NDAt = Non-discretionary accruals DAt = Discretionary accruals In the past years, researchers and analysts attempted to investigate and find out an effective model to proxy earnings management. Before introducing these models, the calculation of the total accruals in prior research studies will be shown (Healy, 1985; DeAngelo 1986; Jones, 1991; Dechow et al., 1995 etc.). (∆CAt − ∆CLt − ∆CASHt + ∆DEBTt − DEPt ) TA𝑡 = At−1 At−1 (2.2) Where: TAt = Total accruals in year t ∆CAt = Change in current assets in year t ∆CLt = Change in current liabilities in year t ∆CASHt = Change in cash and cash equivalents in year t ∆DEBTt = Change in debt included in current liabilities in year t DEPt = Depreciation and amortization in year t At−1 = Total assets in t-1 year In this thesis, the same method for determining the total accruals will be used. 2.1.2.1 The Healy Model (1985) The Healy Model is the starting point of detecting earnings management. Based on the assumption of on the average no earnings management during the estimation period, this model adopts the mean of total accruals (by lagged total assets) in the estimation period as the measurement of non-discretionary accruals in event period. The difference between non-discretionary accruals and total accruals in the event period is the discretionary accruals which proxy for earnings management. This model requires data collected over a long period of time for analyzing, e.g., more than 5 years stated by Ronen and Yaari (2008). The following model was provided: NDAτ = ∑t TAt T Page 17 (2.3) Where NDAτ = estimated nondiscretionary accruals TA = total accruals scaled by lagged total assets t = 1,2, … T is a year subscript for years included in the estimation period τ = a year subscript indicating a year in the event period 2.1.2.2 The DeAngelo Model (1986) The DeAngelo Model actually is an adjusted version of the Healy Model. This model claims that the non-discretionary accruals of current period can be represented by lagged total accruals, suggesting non-discretionary accruals equal to total accruals of last year. Therefore, discretionary accruals can be calculated by the difference between the two successive years. The formula for non-discretionary accruals is defined as: NDAt = TAt−1 (2.4) A common feature of the DeAngelo Model and the Healy Model is that they are all tested under the same assumption: the non-discretionary accruals are constant over time and the discretionary accruals have a mean of zero during the estimation period. However, Kaplan (1985) found that the non-discretionary accruals are not constant over time and respond on the changes in economic circumstances. 2.1.2.3 The Jones Model (1991) The Jones Model is one of the most widely used models in measuring accrual- based earnings management. It is a response to the weakness of the DeAngelo Model and the Healy model. It does not keep the non-discretionary accruals constant over time like the previous two models did. The Jones Model tries to control the effect of changes in economic circumstances on non-discretionary accruals, for instance, by adding lagged total assets to show the size of the company, REV (changes in revenue) to reveal the companies’ business activities, PPE (gross property, plant and equipment) to capture the long-term accruals. This model can be formulated like this: NDAt 1 ΔREVt PPEt = a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) At−1 At−1 At−1 At−1 Where: Page 18 (2.5) NDAt = non-discretionary accruals in year t scaled by total assets in t-1 year ΔREVt = revenues in year t less revenues in year t-1 scaled by total assets at t-1 PPEt = gross property plant and equipment in year t scaled by total assets at t-1 At-1 = total assets in t-1 year a1, a2, a3 = firm-specific parameters In order to calculate the firm-specific parameters, the equation (2.6) is adopted in the estimation period, which assumes that on the average earnings management is zero in the estimation period. The data of changes in revenue, gross property, plant and equipment and lagged total asset from estimation period are applied in (2.6). In the meanwhile, total accruals calculated by equation (2.2) are an input of (2.6). The estimation of firm-specific parameters a1, a2, a3 can be obtained by running an ordinary least squares regression. TAt 1 ΔREVt PPEt = a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) + 𝜀𝑡 At−1 At−1 At−1 At−1 (2.6) Where: TA t = total accruals scales by lagged total assets a1, a2, a3 = the estimates of a1, a2, a3 that are calculated by OLS regression Ɛt = the measurement error in the year t Then, these parameters a1, a2, a3 estimated from equation (2.6) can be substituted into equation (2.5) to calculate the non-discretionary accruals in the event period. The difference between total accruals calculated by equation (2.2) and non-discretionary accruals obtained from equation (2.5) is discretionary accruals. DAt TAt NDAt = − At−1 At−1 At−1 (2.7) 2.1.2.4 The Modified Jones Model (1995) This model is a modified version of the Jones Model (1991). The difference between those two models is the changes in net account receivables subtracted from the changes in revenue. This is because the changes in net account receivables can be seen as a discretionary item which is easier to manipulate by management than revenue. This adjustment is applied to decrease the measurement error of Page 19 discretionary accruals when the discretion is over sales. Dechow (1995) found that the Modified Jones Model has more test power than previous model like original Jones Model, the Healy Model and the DeAngelo Model. This model is presented below as: NDAt 1 ΔREVt − ΔRECt PPEt = a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) At−1 At−1 At−1 At−1 (2.8) Where: ΔRECt = net receivables in year t less net receivables in year t-1 scaled by total assets at t-1 As can be seen from equation (2.8), the changes in net account receivable are removed from the changes in revenue. This demonstrates that Modified Jones Model assorts all changes in credit sales as earnings manipulation. According to Dechow (1995), this adjustment is based on the belief that credit sales are easier to manipulate than sales revenue. 2.1.2.5 The Industry Model This model relaxes the assumption that the non-discretionary accruals stay constant just like the Jones Model (1991). The unique feature of this model is a median value of this relation to derive non-discretionary accruals (Dechow et al., 1995). NDAt = a1 + a2 medianI ( TAt ) (2.9) Where medianI(TAt ) = the median value of total accruals scaled by lagged assets for all nonsample firms in the same 2-digit SIC code 2.1.2.6 The Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model (2005) The previous empirical studies (McNichols, 2000; Kothari et al., 2005) show evidences that discretionary accruals which proxy for earnings management is connected to firm performance. This is obvious that some incentives are associated with the performance of the company. For instance, managers have motivation to manipulate earnings when the companies’ performance is poor which is related to their compensation and bonus. In addition, a company before IPO (initial public offerings) has high incentive to manage earnings and to make the performance of the company looking well. Furthermore, in the situation of firm performance extreme, the Page 20 prior earnings management model miss-specified because they do not consider the performance of the company. Kothari et al. (2005), attempts to control this extreme performance situation. Basing on the Jones Model and the modified Jones Model, he presented a PerformanceMatched Discretionary Accruals Model to measure the accrual-based earnings management. There have two special features in this model. The first one is ROAt-1 or t (return on asset) which represents the effect of the performance on discretionary accruals and is added into the model as control variable. The second one is that a constant term is added in the regression to reduce heteroskedasticity, which is the first step in the measurements of earnings management. Due to the reduced miss-specified effect, this research thesis will employ the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model to calculate discretionary accruals which proxy for earnings management and explain the choice in Chapter 5. The model is proposed as follow: NDAt 1 ΔREVt − ΔRECt PPEt = 𝑎0 + a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) + 𝑎4 (ROAt or t−1 ) At−1 At−1 At−1 A𝑡−1 (2.10) Where a0 = a constant term ROAt or t-1 = the return on assets at period t or t-1. 2.2 Corporate governance Corporate governance has become increasingly important over the past few years. One reason for this is that the huge influence of corporate sandals and financial crisis in the world aroused the concern from those researchers, regulators, academics and other shareholders. Another reason is that some researchers believe that good corporate governance related to higher return of investment, low cost of capital and efficient resources-using (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997). Corporate governance is often cited in academic articles and economic magazines, however, there is no consensus regarding to its definition. Lots of researchers attempt to give a systematic conceptual framework for corporate governance. In 1992, Adrian Cadbury, who is the head of the Page 21 committee on the Financial Aspect of Corporate Governance in the UK, giving a definition as: “Corporate Governance is the system by companies are directed and controlled.”(Cadbury Committee 1992). This definition highlights corporate governance as a set of mechanisms which are operated by the firm. Another definition introduced by Shleifer and Vishny in 1997 is, “Corporate governance deals with the ways in which suppliers of finance to corporations assure themselves of getting a return on their investment.” Moreover, Allen (2005) pointed out a group of comparing definitions of corporate governance. “Narrow view: corporate governance is concerned with ensuring the firm is run in the interests of shareholders.” “Broad view: Corporate governance is concerned with ensuring that firms are run in such a way that society’s resources are used efficiently.” In his paper, the various stakeholders are involved in consideration, not only the shareholders. It takes the definition as a specific-version because it captures the accountability of company to the whole of society. Besides the definition of corporate governance, most researchers take corporate governance into two categories: internal control and external control. Denis and McConnell (2003) investigated the topic of corporate governance and present in their research that corporate governance mechanisms can be classified to internal or external. Figure 2.1 provides a general framework of corporate governance mechanism including internal and external control. This figure is adopted in the article from Gillan (2006), who cited this figure from ‘Corporate Finance’, a financial book written by Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe. Page 22 Internal External Board of Directors Debt Shareholders Debtholders Management Assets Equity Fig. 2.1. Corporate governance mechanism from Gillan (2006) The left side column provides a general framework of internal control. The internal control concentrates on ensuring successful strategy implementation, appropriate management of risks and efficient reliable operations. The internal control includes the interaction between or among firm insiders, specifically, management and board of directors. Management works for the interests of shareholders, and has right to operate the company. Jensen and Meckling (1976) introduced that managers (as agent) act on behalf of the shareholders, who are the owners of the firms. Board of directors is to act as the shareholders' representative in all matters. It has responsibility to monitor the actions of management, protect shareholders’ asset and appoint or fire senior management members. The right side column introduces the external control of the corporate governance which focuses on the debt-holders’ monitoring function. However, the society resources which mentioned in Allen (2005) are mentioned in the description of external control. This is not match the broad view of corporate governance from Allen (2005). Of course, this still has other elements of external control. In the paper, Gillan (2006) highlights the other external elements such as law committee, markets (capital markets, labor market and so on) and culture. Denis and McConnell (2003) also focused on external control and introduced the takeover force and the legal system. The takeover force plays a vital role in the capital reallocation of the world. The underlying thought of this takeover is that the outsider parties are seeking to take over or control the target firm. If the target firm has been taken over, the management would be replaced. This threat of takeover can stimulate Page 23 management to work hard for shareholders’ interests. Consequently, the firm value will be increased and the information bias will decline. Denis and McConnell (2003) also presented that legal system does not attract the attention from the researchers who concentrated on corporate governance analyzing firstly. Then, they highlighted the research outcomes from LaPorta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998) that the legal system is important for corporate governance mechanism. 2.3 Relevant theory 2.3.1 Agency theory One of famous economic theories is Agency Theory. Jensen and Meckling (1976) stated in their article that “We define an agency relationship as a contract under which one or more persons (the principal(s)) engage another person (the agent) to perform some service on their behalf which involves delegating some decision making authority to the agent.” Based on this statement, shareholders can be seen as the principles and managers can be seen as agents. Furthermore, both sides have their own interests’ target. This leads to diverge in the relationship between the two parties (Berle and Means, 1932). Moreover, due to the separation of this ownership and control, managers know more information regarding to the company than shareholders. Thus, managers could be inclined to act for self-interested motivation rather than shareholders’ interest. Meanwhile, managers could also use the unique information which is unavailable to shareholders engaging in earnings management. This behavior will mislead shareholder, and harm the best interest of shareholders. To solve this problem, monitoring can be applied to reduce the conflict of interests between managers and shareholders. “Monitoring” means the shareholders measure the performance of the managers (Fama and Jensen, 1983). The cost, which is generated by the shareholders monitoring the actions of management, is called “monitoring cost”. 2.3.2 Positive accounting theory Before introducing positive accounting theory, it is necessary to know two main streams of accounting theories: Normative and Positive. Normative means that the objective is to tell managers what ought or should do. Positive means that the objective is to predict and to understand what is or will be (Vorster, 2007). The Positive Accounting Theory (PAT) is one of the most important accounting theories Page 24 in the prior decades. It is based on the assumptions that managers work for selfinterest and exhibit opportunistic behavior. It seeks to predict and explain why managers choose to use specific accounting methods (Watts and Zimmerman 1986). According to Scott (2009) PAT is “concerned with predicting such actions as the choices of accounting policies by firm managers and how managers will respond to proposed new accounting standards.” An important background theory that could explain why managers choose to use particular accounting methods is Agency Theory. Because of the separation of ownership and control, controllers know more information than owners, which leads to an information asymmetry problem. In this situation, management may select specific accounting methods to benefit themselves. With this statement, it can be said that Agency Theory is a theoretical cornerstone of PAT. The Positive Accounting Theory has three hypotheses: the bonus plan hypothesis, the debt/equity hypothesis and the political cost hypothesis. These hypotheses will be shortly explained below. The bonus plan hypothesis: as described before, managers work for the maximum selfinterest. Therefore, managers who have bonus plan are more likely to use accounting policies to increase current period reported income. It predicts that if managers’ payments depend on the bonus which is related to the income on the financial report, they may attempts to increase the bonus by increasing the reported income (Watts and Zimmerman, 1986). The debt/equity hypothesis: this hypothesis demonstrates that if a company has higher debt/equity ratio, managers are more likely to adopt accounting methods to shift the reported income from future periods to the current period. It presents that if a company has covenant to have certain level of ratio, managers may use accounting policies to raise income as much as possible in fear of violation of covenant. Dichev & Skinner (2002) in their research article drew a similar conclusion that managers choose accounting policies to maintain covenant ratios and work harder to avoid covenant violation. The political cost hypothesis: it indicates that if a firm has a higher political cost, manager is more likely to reduce the current earnings. Just as presented in the previous section, high profit of a company may attract attention of both government and regulators. Management of the company may choose accounting policies to defer the current earnings to future (Watts and Zimmerman, 1986). Page 25 In this thesis, Agency Theory and Positive Accounting Theory (PAT) are applied as theoretical supporting for empirical researching. PAT may be helpful to evaluate and explain the motivations of observed activities of accounting activities. In the meanwhile, PAT can be adopted to forecast the unobserved accounting activities. Agency Theory may provide a foundation for understanding the issue of corporate governance in greater depth. Specially, the corporate governance mechanism can be discussed by Agency Theory in relation to reduce agency cost, protect shareholders’ interest and align the agent-principal relationship (Davis et al., 1997). 2.4 Background of China In this research thesis, China will be taken as an example of the emerging markets for analysis of the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management. In this section, some background information about China will be introduced and two special features of China will be highlighted. 2.4.1 Ownership structure Although China’s Economy has dramatically growing in the two decades, corporate governance framework is still developing. The first unique feature of China’s ownership structure is highly concentrated ownership. In UK, European countries, U.S., and other developed markets, firms normally belong to private people, families or organizations. However, the situation in China is different. Most of firms of China are state-owned enterprises (SOEs). The term “state-owned enterprises” refers to companies or business entities established by central and local governments, or governments have control power of the company. Moreover, according to a report from Gao Xu, an economist from The World Bank1, there were 154,000 SOEs in the end of 2008. Meanwhile, the average assets of SOEs equal to 13.4 times of non-SOEs. In addition, The CFA institution (2007) shows that the state holds the majority of shares of listed firms in China. It is estimated that 60% shareholding held by state in the end of 2001. According to OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) working group (2009), in the end of 2004, the total number of listed firms is 1342 which consists of 400 Non-SOE listed firms (around 30% of total number of listed 1 Source from: The World Bank: http://blogs.worldbank.org/eastasiapacific/state-owned-enterprises-in-china-howbig-are-they (2010) Page 26 firms) and 942 SOE listed firms (around 70% of total number of listed firms). Table 2.1 introduces the size of Non-SOE listed firms and SOE listed firms from 1998 to 2004 in China. As described in the table, Non-SOE listed firms account for small size of total listed firms constantly. However, SOE listed firms keep account for large size for the total size of listed firms. Table 2.1. Number of listed companies of China from1998 to2004 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Non-SOE listed firm 120 149 187 205 247 313 400 SOE listed firms 701 769 867 931 945 942 942 Total listed firms 821 918 1054 1136 1192 1255 1342 Source from: (OECD, 2009). 2.4.2 Board structure Comparing to the board structure of U.S. and other leading European countries, the board governance structure of China listed firm adopts two-tier structure similar to the Netherlands and Germany. The two-tier board consists of the board of directors and supervisory board. In 1993, China’s Company Law requires all public firms in China to establish supervisory board which includes at least three members. At least one should be selected from employees of the firm and at least one should represent the interests of the shareholders. The board directors, top executives and financial managers cannot be appointed into supervisory board. Moreover, the supervisory board should be independent of the board of directors (Firth et al., 2007). In the meanwhile, Company Law (1993) also requires all listed firms to keep the mechanism as board of directors, board of supervisors and an annual meeting with shareholders (Xiao et al., 2004). It also presents that supervisory board is designed to monitor the day-to-day work of management, control and oversee the actions of board directors and monitor the financial affairs of the company. Figure 2.2 presents the relationship between shareholders, management, board of directors and board of supervisors (Chang et al., 2013). In 2006, the revision version of Company Law highlights the supervisory board should protect the interest of the firm besides the old vision of the Company Law of 1993 (OECD, 2011). In 2002, the code of corporate governance of China was published by China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). One of Page 27 statements of this Code is that the members of supervisory board should have professional knowledge and work experience in accounting and law (CSRC, 2002). Although the two-tier board structure of China is similar to that of the Netherlands and Germany, there still have some differences from the two Counties. For instance, in the Netherlands, the supervisory board has rights to appoint or fire the member of the board directors, whereas the supervisory board of China does not have such rights. Furthermore, the members of supervisory board can be generally nominated by the supervisory board itself 2 . This is also different from the election process of supervisory board in China. Board of Supervisors Monitoring Board of Directors Management Monitoring Shareholder Meeting Fig. 2.2. China two-tier board framework (Chang et al., 2013) 2.5 Summary This chapter provides several definitions of earnings management and corporate governance. In the meanwhile, it introduces the previous literature evidence on how to detect earnings management. Moreover, two important theories (Agency Theory and Positive Accounting Theory) are illustrated to help explain the earnings management behaviors by management. Finally, it introduces the background of China and highlights two special features related to corporate governance (ownership structure and two-tier board). 2 Source from: http://www.eurofound.europa.eu/emire/NETHERLANDS/SUPERVISORYBOARD-NL.htm(2009) Page 28 Chapter 3. Literature Review In order to answer the sub-research question “What are the prior research results on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management?” the prior literature related to this question will be introduced in this chapter. Section 3.1 provides an overview of prior empirical researches on corporate governance. In Section 3.2, the empirical literature evidence linked to earnings management will be introduced. Section 3.3 will present the literature associating to corporate governance and earnings management, especially the explanations of the correlation between specific proxies for corporate governance and earnings management. The last section will give a summary of this chapter. 3.1 Literature evidence on corporate governance Besides the definitions and categories of corporate governance which have been introduced in Chapter 2, the other fields of corporate governance have been also investigated by researchers and analysts. Gregory and Simms (1999) documented that effective corporate governance is critical because it improves the resource use efficiency of the company. In the meanwhile, effective corporate governance helps the company and economies to attract investment capital through the improved confidence of investors from domestic and foreign areas. They also presented that effective corporate governance assists firms to meet the social expectations and enhance the long-term performance of firms. In short, companies’ performance is reflected on whether corporate governance mechanism of firms is effective or not. Furthermore, researchers and analysts attempt to analyze corporate governance more specific. For instance, Patel et al. (2002), Utama (2003) and Basel Committee (2005) all stated that the disclosure is an important part of corporate governance. The information asymmetry problem is reduced because of higher level disclosure. Chung et al. (2010) investigated the relationship between corporate governance and stock market liquidity based on the data collected from Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) and indicated that effective corporate governance mechanism can improve stock market liquidity. Based on the data of Thailand listed firms from 2006 to 2009, Prommin et al. (2014, see Appendix A.4) also came to conclusions similar to Chung et al. (2010) - there is a significant association between corporate governance and Page 29 equity liquidity. Especially, they demonstrated that liquidity is improved significantly as governance quality increases. Moreover, this effect still exists even after controlling lots of relevant factors such as firm size, leverage, and firm age. According to the survey data of Indian firms in 2006, Balasubramanian et al. (2010, see Appendix A.1) established a broad Indian Corporate Governance Index (ICGI) to investigate the association between ICGI and firm value. Although the causal effect could not be verified due to its one year cross-sectional data, they still concluded that there is a positive relationship between ICGI and firm value. This relationship is more significant in large profitable companies in India. They also claimed that corporate governance mechanism is not “one fits all”. This might imply that different industries, cultures, areas, firm size etc. need to be considered into the corporate governance structure. The studies related to corporate governance in China are developing in the decades (Liu 2005). Allen et al. (2005) indicated that standard corporate governance mechanisms are ineffective for public listed firms in China. However, other governance mechanisms based on reputations and relationships have been effective in the private sector. Based on the data from China Stock Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) database and the China Corporate Governance Research (CCGR) database, Li et al. (2007, see Appendix A.3) analyzed the connection of CEO compensation and corporate governance structure, and found less evidence of Chinese CEOs taking advantage of weaker governance structures to boost their compensation. Hass et al. (2014, see Appendix A.2) investigated the association between corporate governance and information environment based on the data from China Stock Market during 2003-2011. They used analyst following, analyst forecast accuracy, and analyst forecast dispersion and price timeliness as proxies for information environment and constructed a parsimonious firm-level score of corporate governance which captures seven characteristics. The research outcome reveals that wellgoverned companies are connected to the larger analyst followings and more information forecasts. The previous paragraphs described some relevant research fields connected to corporate governance. There is a large body of research literature based on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management besides those presented above. It will be introduced in Section 3.3. Page 30 3.2 Reviewing prior literature on earnings management Earnings management is an important research topic in the current society. The incentives of managers carrying out earnings management attract a lot of attentions from the prior literature. Based on the data of companies listed on Taiwan’s Over the Counter (OTC) market and Taiwan Stock Exchange from 2005 to 2007, Chen and Tsai (2010, see Appendix B.2) investigated the motivations of earnings management. They demonstrated that there are three broad categories of motivation which lead to earnings management. These are “altruistic motivation, speculative motivation and pressure from affiliated parties.” Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) found out that the reason of companies attempting to manipulate earnings is to avoid the losses and decreases of earnings. In addition, they also found out that two components of earnings (cash flow from operating and changes in working capital) are easily adopted to manipulate earnings. Based on a sample of 312 Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) of listed firms, Graham et al. (2005) pointed out that 86.3% of CFOs strongly agree that beating the earnings standards assists to get credibility with capital market. Kedia (2003, see Appendix B.3) focused on the investigation of pay for performance incentives on earnings management using the data of 224 listed firms from January 1997 to June 2002. Kedia’s paper controls several other incentives such as debt covenants and analyst forecasts to relax the endogeneity problem. It concludes a positive relationship between pay for performance incentives (based on stock and options) and earnings manipulation, implying that management is more likely to maximize their pay by manipulating earnings. The prior literature presented that reducing taxation burdens drives management to manipulate earnings. By using the data of China A-share listed companies from 2004 to 2006, Wang et al. (2012, see Appendix B.4) found out that there is a significantly positive relationship between earnings management and tax avoidance. Specifically, long-term business performance weakens this positive relationship. Furthermore, the business performance of state-owned enterprises has less influence on earnings manipulation. Similarly, Marques et al. (2011) investigated the correlation between tax policy and manipulation of earnings based on private Portuguese companies. They found that companies with higher average income tax rates were more likely to manage their earnings than other companies with lower income tax rates. Moreover, Beneish et al. (2005, see Appendix B.1) provided another explanation of earnings Page 31 management incentives, which is insider trading. By analyzing of 462 firms who had financial problems during the years from 1983 to 1997, they pointed out that insider selling incentives are related to earnings management. In the meanwhile, they also highlighted that both debt contract incentive and insider selling incentives expand the likelihood of income increasing earnings management. Prior empirical literature also provides numerous evidences on the accrual-based earnings management and real activities earnings management. It is argued that most of prior research articles have tried to detect earnings management by accrual-based approach (Dechow et al., 1995). The primary objective of accruals is to show the true performance of the company. Management can record the revenue and expenses rather than present the cash in or outflows. However, accruals can be also used to manipulate earnings. For instance, the bad debt reserves and the inventory writedowns can be manipulated to increase or decrease the income. Therefore, these discretionary behaviors are employed to investigate earnings management. Robb (1998), using a sample of banks, indicated that bank managers are likely to manipulate earnings to beat the market expectation. His research outcome stated that the bank managers use loan loss provision to manage earnings in a discretionary manner. Daniel et al. (2008) indicated that before the passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley act in 2002, accrual-based earnings management was adopted extensively. On the other hand, real-activities earnings management also attracts a lot of attentions. Graham et al. (2005) conducted a survey of 401 executives and demonstrated that managers prefer real activities earnings management to accrual-based earnings management. Gunny (2010) also draw a similar conclusion as Graham did and presented that managers like to use real activities earnings management with better operating performance. 3.3 Corporate governance and earnings management In the last three decades, lots of researchers and analysts have devoted themselves to investigate corporate governance aspects and attempt to explain the existence and determinants of earnings management. However, as presented in Chapter One, most of literature is based on the developed market such as U.S. and Western Countries. The key argument is whether corporate governance could constrain the activities of earnings management effectively? The empirical literature shows a lot of answers to this question. Shen and Chih (2007, see Appendix C.8) investigated the effect of Page 32 corporate governance on earnings management by using 495 companies of 25 Asian emerging countries. They found a negative relationship between corporate governance and earnings management, and pointed out that companies with large size and higher growth have more earnings management activities. Good corporate governance mechanism can assist to reduce the level of earnings management. The similar conclusion was drawn by Cornett et al. (2009). They took large U.S. banks as samples and found out that some corporate governance elements can help to reduce the earnings management. Moreover, Houqe et al., (2007) found a positive relationship between corporate governance mechanism and the quality of earnings based on India evidence. Specifically, this article used return on equity (ROE) as control variable. Wang et al. (2011) studied the association of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and earnings management. Sarbanes-Oxley Act (the SOX Act) is designed for innovating corporate governance structure. The research outcome indicated that the implementation of SOX Act reduced the earnings management significantly. However, not all research results presented a significant relationship between corporate governance and earnings management. Abed et al. (2012, see Appendix C.2) took listed firms of Amman Stock Exchange (Jordan) from 2006 to 2009 as a research sample, and analyzed the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management. The outcome is surprising – no significant relationship between corporate governance factors and earnings management. The authors explained that this is because Jordanian public listed firms are owned by family or identifiable group. Therefore, agency problem is not pronounced and the role of corporate governance mechanism is less necessary in this situation. In the next sub-sections, researches related to specific items of corporate governance and earnings management will be introduced. 3.3.1 Board characteristics Plenty of researchers took board characteristics as an important element of corporate governance research. Board size, independent directors, supervisor board size and CEO duality are often adopted in those empirical literatures. Board size There is no clear consensus on whether the board size affects earnings management. Using 281 listed firms as a sample, Xie et al. (2003, see Appendix C.10) indicated Page 33 that large board size can help to reduce earnings management because independent directors with law or accounting knowledge are more likely to be included in large board. Similar results were provided by other researchers such as Chtourou et al. (2001). They concluded that the corporate board size has a negative relationship with earnings management. This means the larger the corporate board is, the less activities of earnings management exist. However, lots of researchers argued that large board size is not effective for the company. Lipton et al. (1992) presented that the number of members of corporate board should not be more than ten people. It is hard to exchange ideas efficiently due to large body of board members. By using a sample of 97 listed firms from Malaysia in the period of 2002-2003, Abdul Rahman et al. (2006, see Appendix C.1) studied the association between board characteristics, audit committee, culture and earnings management. The empirical results indicated that there is a significantly positive relationship between board size and earnings management, implying large board size with more activities of earnings management. Moreover, this research article took leverage (a ratio of total debt to total assets) and firm size (nature logarithm of total assets) as the control variables. The results indicated that there is a negative relationship between firm size and earnings management. However, there was no significant relationship between leverage and earnings management. Referring to supervisory board size, Firth et al. (2007) found a significant and negative effect of supervisory board size on earnings management. Independent directors Fama and Jensen (1983) demonstrated that independent directors make the corporate board more effective. It is obvious that insiders (directors) have more information about the company than the outsiders (directors). This situation may lead to selfinterest of insiders at the expense of the shareholders. Therefore, independent directors are included in the corporate board to monitor the whole board activities. This improves company performance, decreases the agency conflicts and makes the corporate board more effective in working as Fama and Jensen signaled. Klein (2002, see Appendix C.6) also gave the similar conclusions. He analyzed the association between earnings management and board directors by using 692 listed firms of U.S. The research results showed that there is a significantly negative relationship between abnormal accruals and independent directors, suggesting more independent directors with less level of abnormal accruals. Furthermore, this study also adopted leverage Page 34 and firm size as the control variables. The results presented a positive relationship between leverage and earnings management, meanwhile a negative relationship between firm size and earnings management. In China, Lo et al. (2010) suggested that the more independent directors results in less level of transfer pricing manipulation. However, the empirical research results on the association between earnings management and board independence are conflicting. By using a sample of 539 firmobservations of Canada in the period of 1991-1997, Park et al. (2004, see Appendix C.7) found that the independent directors do not have a statistically significant correlation with earnings management, suggesting that the proportion of independent directors does not assist the company to decrease activities of earnings management. In addition, Abdul Rahman et al. (2006) used discretionary accrual as a proxy for earnings management and found no significant relationship between independent directors and earnings management for Malaysian samples. CEO duality Plenty of studies argue the role of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) who is also the Chairman of the company. The Cadbury Committee published the Code of Best Practice in 1992, suggesting separating the responsibilities of CEO and Chairman (Dedman, 2002). Jensen (1993) also stated that separating the role of CEO from that of Chairman improves the efficiency of the work. Actually, the duties of Chairman are to run a board meeting, communicate with independent directors, and even monitor the CEO. The combination of the roles of CEO and Chairman might weaken the duty of Chairman. Based on a group of sample of 173 firms with CEO as Chairman and 112 firms with non-CEO as Chairman, Davidson et al. (2004, see Appendix C.4) pointed out that combining the two roles in the same person may engage more in earnings management. This is because the CEO who is also acting as the Chairman wants to show the confidence of facilitating the performance of the company duo to the duality. Klein (2002) also obtained a similar result, which is that discretionary accruals are positively connected to the CEO who holds the position of Chairman. His findings reveal that the CEO who is also the Chairman with too much control power over board responsibilities can manipulate earnings easily. So far the prior empirical research outcomes suggest the separation of CEO duality to reduce earnings management. However, Brickley et al. (1997, see Appendix C.3) Page 35 showed that 80% of American companies have the situation of the same person holding both positions of CEO and Chairman. They also highlighted that the combination of CEO and Chairman has certain benefits. The cost of splitting those positions is larger than agency cost of duality. They also found out that the CEOs perform well after they hold the position of Chairman. As Lipton and Lorsch (1992) mentioned, the true leader of a company is the CEO as Chairman, who is intelligent, competent and experienced enough to hold this position. Abdul Rahman et al. (2006) pointed out that CEO duality has no relationship with earnings management. 3.3.2 Ownership structure Managerial ownership In the previous literature evidence, the association between managerial ownership and earnings management is still subject to debate. Jensen and Meckling (1976) argued that the separation of ownership and control leads to the conflicts of interest between managers and shareholders. When managers do not hold shares but lead a company, their behaviors might be influenced by self-interested incentive. Some studies argued that the insiders holding the shares would contribute to align the interests of shareholders and management and would reduce the activities of earnings management. Basing on the data of U.S. from 1988 to 1990, Warfield et al. (1995, see Appendix C.9) investigated the association among informativeness of earnings, the level of discretionary accruals and managerial ownership. Their research outcomes indicated that when managerial ownership is low, the magnitude of discretionary accruals is significantly high. This reveals a negative relationship between earnings management and managerial ownership. Ali et al. (2008) also drew a similar conclusion based on the samples from Malaysian listed companies. They analyzed the correlation between discretionary accruals which is used as a proxy for earnings management and managerial ownership, and found a significant and negative relationship between those two items. However, this effect is less in large-sized firms because these firms normally have good corporate governance mechanism in Malaysia. On the other hand, another opinion exists on this issue, which is maintaining high level of managerial ownership encourages more earnings management. The higher ownership may give management more power, who can engage in the self-interested Page 36 activities. This may lead to the occurrence of earnings management. The empirical study investigating managerial ownership and earnings management by Yang et al. (2008, see Appendix C.11) stated that insiders with high level of shares holding could gain from earnings management. This is because insiders with the purpose of increasing the value of shares they hold and keeping the high stock price may engage in more activities of manipulating earnings. Morck et al. (1988) argued that greater ownership results in more entrenchment and provides more incentives to pursue opportunistic behaviors. Moreover, Isenmila and Elijah (2012) examined the relationship between ownership structure and earnings management based on the samples of Nigeria. Their finding is consistent with Morck’s finding, and indicated that there is a significantly positive relationship between insider ownership and earnings management. Block-holders ownership Block-holders are the shareholders who have a large proportion of the firms’ shares than other shareholders. Holderness (2009) presented that 96% of U.S. companies have at least one block-holder who owns at least 5% or greater of total shares. He also indicated that these block-holders totally own 39% of the companies. Since the block-holders have large amount of shares, they may have more power to influence the operation of the company. Shleifer and Vishny (1986) indicated that large blockholders have strong motivations to monitor and influence the company management. Thus, block-holders ownership can be seen as an important role in monitoring earnings management, suggesting a negative relationship between block-holders ownership and earnings management. Klein (2002) found a significant and negative relationship between 5% blocker-holder setting in audit committee and earnings management. A study by Iturriaga and Hoffmann (2005, see Appendix C.5) attempted to determine the influence of internal corporate governance on earnings management by choosing a sample of Chilean firm-observations from 1991 to 2001. Their finding showed that large shareholder ownership can reduce the discretionary behaviors by management. However, other empirical evidences have opposite opinions indicating that high level of block-holder ownership may engage in more activities of earnings management. Yang et al. (2008) used a sample of 1306 Taiwan-listed firm in Taiwan Economic Page 37 Journal database (TEJ) to investigate the association between discretionary accruals which is a proxy for earnings management and ownership structure. The outcomes show that there is a positive relationship between block-holders ownership and earnings management, suggesting higher magnitude of block-holder ownership related to more earnings manipulations. This is because large shareholders have more powers and rights to create private interests. Meanwhile, by using this powers and rights, large shareholders may intervene in the affairs of the company, and may encourage management to pursue earnings management to self–interest (Jaggi et al., 2007). 3.4 Summary In summary, this chapter provided a large number of literature evidence including corporate governance research fields, earnings management researches and the investigations on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management. This literature evidence provides a theoretical basis for this research thesis. Based on those literatures, several crucial evidences related to corporate governance and earnings management will be employed to help the further processes of this thesis. For instance, as mentioned before, Shen and Chih (2007) and Cornett et al. (2009) demonstrated that good corporate governance can reduce the level of earnings management, implying a relationship between these two items. In contrast, Abed et al. (2012) indicated that corporate governance has a weak power in affecting earnings management. Those evidences can assist in developing first hypothesis on whether a relationship between corporate governance and earnings management exists or not. Moreover, this chapter also introduces several prior literatures which investigate the important specific items of corporate governance such as board size, CEO-duality, independent directors, managerial ownership and block-holders ownership. Those literatures present different research outcomes between specific items and earnings management. For instance, Xie et al. (2003) illustrated a negative relationship between board size and earnings management while Abdul Rahman et al. (2006) indicated an opposite conclusion. Warfield et al. (1995) and Ali et al. (2008) also drew a similar conclusion that there is a negative correlation between managerial ownership and earnings management. In contrast, Yang et al. (2008) presented that the level of earnings management activities increases when managerial ownership is high. All of the various conclusions provide a strong theoretical support for Page 38 hypotheses development and research design. Finally, Klein (2002) and Rahman et al. (2006) employ leverage and firm size (nature logarithm total asset) as control variables into their studies because firm size and leverage have significant relationship with earnings management. Houqe et al. (2007) adopted return on equity (ROE) as one of control variables to investigate the association between corporate governance and earnings quality. They found a positive relationship between ROE and earnings management. These methods which consider leverage, firm size and ROE as control variables contribute for the regression model design in the further chapters. Page 39 Chapter 4. Hypotheses Development In this chapter, several hypotheses related to this research thesis will be developed. Firstly, the sub-question: “What are the hypotheses for the empirical research of this thesis?” will be answered. Then, the hypotheses connected to the main research question will be formulated. The main research question of this thesis was formulated as: “Is there a difference in the relation between corporate governance and earnings management in the emerging market of China and in the developed market of The United States of America?” Based on the empirical literature evidence related to corporate governance and earnings management presented in the previous chapter, the answer to this research question will be found according to hypotheses development. Most of researchers demonstrated a negative correlation between corporate governance and earnings management, implying that good corporate governance mechanism could reduce the activities of earnings management. The empirical study provided by Hutchinson et al. (2008) indicated that corporate governance mechanism is important for reducing earnings management. Similarly, Gulzar et al. (2011), using a sample of 1009 listed firms from China Center for Economic Research (CCER) during 2002-2006, analyzed the association between corporate governance and earnings management. Their research results confirmed the relationship between those two items and highlighted the vital role of corporate governance in mitigating earnings management. However, Abed et al. (2012) stated that there is a weak relationship between corporate governance and earnings management, suggesting corporate governance may not limit the activities of earnings management effectively. Although some articles indicated an insignificant relationship between corporate governance and earnings management, a large number of other evidence confirm the relationship between them. Therefore, the first hypothesis is formulated as: H1 : There is an association between corporate governance and earnings management in China. H2 : There is an association between corporate governance and earnings management in U.S. Page 40 This thesis will adopt U.S. data to compare with that of China related to corporate governance and earnings management. As mentioned before, China and other emerging markets are weak related to researches of corporate governance and earnings management. Pagano et al. (1998) demonstrated that companies are less developed in term of corporate governance than those in developed countries based on the Italian dataset. Claessens and Yurtoglu (2013) indicated that corporate governance issues in emerging markets are different from that in developed markets. In addition, U.S., as the largest economy in the world, is a benchmark related to the researches of corporate governance and earnings management after financial scandal of 2000s. Therefore, to answer the main research question, it is expected that: H3: There is a difference in the association between corporate governance and earnings management in U.S. and China. Page 41 Chapter 5. Research Design The theoretical background and literature reviews of the relevant research studies on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management have been presented in previous chapters. Based on the theories and empirical evidence, the hypotheses of this thesis have been formulated in Chapter 4. This chapter will concentrate on developing the research design of this thesis. Firstly, the main research model for the statistical analysis such as dependent variable, independent variables and control variables will be introduced. After that, the process of data selection will be presented. In the end, the statistical tests adopted in this thesis will be discussed. 5.1 Research model 5.1.1 Measurement of discretionary accruals This thesis applies the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model to calculate discretionary accruals, which is proxy for earnings management. Firstly, Dechow et al. (1995) assessed prior accrual-based models in detecting earnings management by comparing the specification and the power of test 3 across discretionary accruals estimated by those models. Their outcomes indicated that all models face a problem: the probability of making a type I error is high when those models applied to sample firms with extreme firm performance. Kothari et al. (2005) added lagged return on asset as a tool to control this extreme performance situation, which reduces the misspecification problem. Dechow et al. (2012) stated that the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model eliminates misspecification effect to some extent. Ronen and Yaari (2008) demonstrated that this model is superior to the Jones model in showing strong results. Secondly, Dechow et al. (2012) introduced a new method to investigate earnings management. This new approach assumed that the occurrence of accruals-based earnings management activities in one period will reverse in another period. By adopting a dummy variable (equal to 1 if earnings management reverses certainly in another period and 0 otherwise) to measure earnings management, Dechow et al. (2012) found that this approach 3 Power of test: The probability that a test will reject a null hypothesis that is false. Source from: Park, Hun Myoung. 2008. Hypothesis Testing and Statistical Power of a Test. Working Paper. The University Information Technology Services (UITS) Center for Statistical and Mathematical Computing, Indiana University.” http://www.indiana.edu/~statmath/stat/all/power/index.html Page 42 improves power of test when the researchers know the specific periods. However, this method does not clearly point out how to identify the periods when accrual-based earnings management happen and reverse. Based on the aforementioned discussions, the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model is employed for this study. In order to obtain discretionary accruals, the total accruals need to be calculated first. The numerous empirical research based method presented in section 2.1.2 of Chapter 2 is used here to estimate total accruals. TA𝑡 (∆CAt − ∆CLt − ∆CASHt + ∆DEBTt − DEPt ) = At−1 At−1 (5.1) After obtaining the value of total accruals, then the specific parameters a1, a2, a3, and a4 in equation (5.2) can be estimated by running OLS regression. TAt 1 ΔREVt − ΔRECt PPEt = 𝑎0 + a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) + a4 (ROAt or t−1) + 𝜀𝑡 At−1 At−1 At−1 At−1 (5.2) With the obtained a1-a4, the value of non-discretionary accruals can be calculated as follow. NDAt At−1 = 𝑎0 + a1 ( 1 At−1 ) + a2 ( ΔREVt − ΔRECt At−1 ) + a3 ( PPEt At−1 ) + 𝑎4 (ROAt or t−1 ) (5.3) By substituting the values of total accruals and non-discretionary accruals into equation (5.4), discretionary accruals can be obtained. DAt TAt NDAt = − At−1 At−1 At−1 (5.4) 5.1.2 Measurement of corporate governance After estimating the discretionary accruals which proxy for earnings management, corporate governance measured by several specific items will be introduced. These specific items are the board characteristics and ownership structure which were discussed in Chapter 3. Fama and Jensen (1983) indicated that board of directors play an important role in corporate governance mechanism. Claessens and Yurtoglu (2013) also emphasized that board characteristics are crucial to governance system. Furthermore, ownership structure is another vital part of corporate governance system and is often discussed in tremendous numbers of empirical studies. Bebczuk (2005) mentioned that the link between corporate governance and ownership structure has Page 43 been studied and developed since 1970s. Kaur and Suveera (2008) demonstrated that investigating corporate governance issues especially related to ownership structure could yield important insights into this topic. Therefore, this thesis will concentrate on investigating the relationship between board features and ownership structure which proxy for corporate governance and earnings management. (Supervisory) Board size Jensen (1993) indicated that the board size should be small in order to enhance the performance of the company. An appropriate number of the board members should not be more than eight people. Similarly, Yermack (1996) also stated that the firm performance will be better when the board is smaller in size. However, Dalton et al., (1999) indicated an opposite statement that there is positive relation between board size and firm performance. Referring to supervisory board, Habbash et al. (2014) demonstrated that supervisory board could not reduce the activities of earnings management based on the Chinese listed firms from 2005 to 2010. This argument is different from that of Firth et al. (2007) who found a negative relationship between supervisory board size and earnings management. Although the prior studies did not reach a general consensus on the relationship between (supervisory) board size and earnings management, the expectation in this thesis is a negative relationship between (supervisory) board size and earnings management. The total number of (supervisory) board directors is used to measure board size (𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 and 𝑆𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 ). Executive directors and non-executive directors Generally, U.S. listed companies adopt one-tier board structure which is composed of executive directors and non-executive directors. Executive directors are the directors who really manage and run the whole corporation as executives. Non-executive directors are people who do not form part of the executive management team but monitor the day to day work of management (Shakir, 2008). By comparing the board structures of the U.S. and Germany, Tüngler (2000) indicated that the non-executive directors are similar to supervisory board, especially in the function of monitoring the activities of executive directors and management. Bergstresser et al. (2006) showed that executive directors are more likely to engage in earnings management to enhance incomes and stock price, which increases their compensation eventually. Chtourou et al. (2001) investigated the effect of non-execuive directors on earnings management. Page 44 A negative relationship between these two items has been found out, meaning that larger size of non-exective directors is accosicated with lower level of earnings management activities. According to the above arguments, a negative (positive) correlation between nonexecutive directors (executive directors) and earnings management is expected. Nonexecutive directors (𝑁𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 ) and executive directors (𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 ) are measured by total numbers of non-executive directors and executive directors in sample firms, respectively. Independent directors Independent directors play an important role in monitoring the actions of management and protecting the interests of shareholders. Some researchers argued that higher proportion of independent directors tends to have lower level of earnings manipulations (Peasnell et al., 2006; Ebrahim 2007). On the other hand, some researchers gave an opposite argument - independent directors might not have a significant and effective impact on reducing earnings management activities (Park et al., 2004). Apparently, prior research conclusions of the relationships between independent directors and earnings management are conflicting. Therefore, it is difficult to draw a certain statement related to independent directors and earnings management. But, it expects a negative relationship between those two items which follows the studies of Peasnell et al. (2006) and Ebrahim (2007). Independent directors (𝐵𝐼𝑖,𝑡 ) is measured by the ratio of independent directors to total board size. CEO duality Although few research studies argued that the combined roles of CEO and Chairman might benefit the company, a great number of other empirical studies disagree with this statement. Chen et al. (2006) stated that one person holding the positions of CEO and Chairman is more likely to manage earnings because this will decrease the monitoring function of the board. This leads to higher level of manipulation behaviors. The Malaysian Code on Corporate Governance (MCCG) 2000 recommends separating the roles of CEO and Chairman to reduce the likelihood of concentration of power in one person (Hashim, 2008). In this thesis, it predicts the relationship between earnings management and CEO duality as positive, implying CEO as Chairman will do more earnings management activities. A dummy variable is adopted Page 45 to measure CEO-duality (CEO-dummyi,t), which is equal to 1 when the position of CEO and Chairman is combined and equal to 0 if otherwise. Managerial ownership In Chapter 3, it has been argued that there is no general consensus with respect to the impacts of managerial ownership on earnings management. Alves (2012) found a negative relationship between earnings management and managerial ownership based on the Portugal-listed firms. A U-shaped relation between managerial ownership and earnings management was found by Yeo et al. (2002) based on investigating Singapore-listed companies. Their research results showed that earnings management is reduced when the magnitude of managerial ownership is low, and vice versa. However, Al-Fayoumi et al. (2010) found a significantly positive relationship between earnings management and managerial ownership, meaning that a company with higher level of managerial ownership engages in more activities of earnings management. It is difficult to conclude a certain statement on the association between managerial ownership and earnings management because of the contradictory findings mentioned before. However, in this thesis the correlation between these two items is expected positive which follows Al-Fayoumi et al. (2010). Management ownership (Insideri,t) is estimated by the percentages of outstanding shares held by management. Block-holders ownership The academic evidence is various related to the association between block-holders ownership and earnings management. Iqbal et al. (2010) indicated a significantly negative relationship between block-holding and earnings management by using the data of UK, suggesting that a large block-holders ownership forms a low level of earnings management. Similarly, Klein (2002), Iturriaga and Hoffmann (2005) and Shleifer and Vishny (1986) also presented the same conclusions. Obviously, these studies took block-holding as an effective mechanism to monitor management and to reduce the likelihood of discretionary behaviors. However, few studies stated an opposite views. For instance, Zhong (2007) demonstrated a significantly positive relationship between block-holders ownership and discretionary accruals and stated that block-holders are ineffective in monitoring discretionary behaviors. Although the above arguments are contradictory, it is expected that the relationship between blockholding and earnings management is negative. On the other hand, the method of Page 46 measuring block-holders ownership (𝐵𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 − ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 ) is followed by Yang et al. (2008) who use percentages of outstanding shares held by any 5% or greater shareholders to estimate block-holders ownership. The summary of all independent variables will be presented in Table 5.1. 5.1.3 Research regression model The first multivariate regression model is adopted to investigate corporate governance and earnings management based on China dataset. The model presents as follow: 𝐷𝐴𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 × 𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽2 × 𝐵𝐼𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽3 × 𝐶𝐸𝑂 − 𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽4 × 𝑆𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽5 × 𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽6 × 𝐵𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 − ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽7 × 𝐹𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽8 × 𝑅𝑂𝐸𝑖,𝑡 (5.5) + 𝛽9 × 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜀𝑡 Where: 𝐷𝐴𝑖,𝑡 = the absolute value of discretionary accruals scaled by lagged total assets 𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 = the number of board members (supervisory board member is excluded) 𝐵𝐼𝑖,𝑡 = proportion of independent directors to total board size 𝐶𝐸𝑂 − 𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦𝑖,𝑡 = equal to 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. 𝑆𝐵𝑆𝑖,𝑡 = the number of supervisory board members 𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 = percentages of shares hold by management 𝐵𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 − ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 = percentages of shares hold by block-holders 𝐹𝑆𝑖,𝑡 = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size 𝑅𝑂𝐸𝑖,𝑡 = nature logarithm of return on equity 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑖,𝑡 = nature logarithm of leverage 𝜀𝑡 = error term As mentioned before, this thesis will compare the results of U.S. listed companies and China-listed companies by using the same methodology. Although the US-listed companies have no supervisory board because of one-tier board structure, Tüngler (2000) indicated that the non-executive directors are similar to supervisory board, especially in monitoring function. Therefore, in this research design the board based on the U.S. listed companies is split to two parts: non-executive directors and executive directors. This method is to balance the regression model which is similar to Page 47 that base on China dataset. Meanwhile, this design will answer the hypotheses in Chapter 4. The second regression model based on U.S. dataset is formulated as: 𝐷𝐴𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 × 𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽2 × 𝐵𝐼𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽3 × 𝐶𝐸𝑂 − 𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽4 × 𝑁𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽5 × 𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽6 × 𝐵𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 − ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽7 × 𝐹𝑆𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽8 (5.6) × 𝑅𝑂𝐸𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽9 × 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜀𝑡 Where: 𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 𝑁𝐸𝐷𝑆𝑖,𝑡 = the number of executive directors = the number of non-executive directors Control Variables As observed in both of regression models, firm size (𝐹𝑆𝑖,𝑡 ), return on equity (𝑅𝑂𝐸𝑖,𝑡 ) and leverage (𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑖,𝑡 ) are included as control variables, which are included into multivariate regression models as explanatory variables for statistical analysis. The reason of controlling these variables is because they may potentially correlate to both independent variables and dependent variable. Without including control variables, it would result in correlated omitted variables bias4. Firm size is a critical control variable in the research of corporate governance and earnings management. Given the large-sized firms potentially are associated to lower information asymmetry and effective external monitoring, the level of earnings management activities may be lower in these companies (Meek et al., 2007). In contrast, Kim et al. (2003) indicated that large-sized firms are more aggressive in earnings management than small-sized firms since the large-sized firms desire to avoid reporting decreased income which may not meet or beat the analysts’ predictions. Because of the conflicting literature evidence, no expectations are made for the firm size coefficient. In this thesis, firm size is defined as the nature logarithm of total assets. Return on Equity (ROE) is another important variable which needs to be controlled. In 1996, a guideline issued by China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) 4 Correlated omitted variables bias: the bias occurs when the regression model does not control for factors Z which may relate to both X and Y. If the correlated variables are omitted, the regression coefficients are biased and the causality is unclear. Source from: Barreto, H., Howland, F. (2006). Introductory Econometrics: Using Monte Carlo Simulation with Microsoft Excel, Cambridge University Press. Page 48 required that the listed firms must achieve a minimum ROE of 10 percentage of each the first three years before rights offering. This may provide management with motivations to manipulate earnings to meet the requirement of ROE (Chen et al., 2004). In addition, Haw et al. (2005) indicated that rights issuing companies manage reported incomes to meet ROE benchmarks. Therefore, it expects a positive relationship between return on equity and earnings management. The last control variable is the leverage which is a ratio of total debt to total assets. Klein (2002) demonstrated that leverage may encourage management to engage in earnings management because high level leverage is related to debt covenants violation. Therefore, a positive relation is expected in this thesis between leverage and earnings management. Table 5.1. Summary of dependent variable, independent variables and control variables Variable title Dependent Control variables Prediction DAi,t Absolute value of discretionary accruals BSi,t Total number of board directors BIi,t Ratio of number of independent directors to total number of board directors CEOdummyi,t Dummy variable equal to 1, if CEO and Chairman is the same individual, otherwise + equal to 0 SBSi,t Total number of supervisory board directors Insideri,t Percentages of outstanding shares hold by + management. Blockholderi,t Percentages of outstanding shares hold by any 5% or greater shareholders NEDSi,t Total number of non-executive directors - EDSi,t Total number of executive directors + FSi,t Nature logarithm of total assets N/A ROEi,t Nature logarithm of net income divide total + equity Leveragei,t Nature logarithm of the ratio total debt divide + total assets variable Independent variables Measurement - - In order to show a clear research picture of this thesis, a predictive validity framework which is also known as Libby Boxes is provided below. This is a very helpful tool to Page 49 illustrate the process and design of research thesis (Libby, 1981). In this framework, the theoretical concepts, measurements of the concepts, process and design of this research thesis will be indicated. Fig. 5.1. Predictive validity framework5 5.2 Sample selection 5.2.1 Dataset of China The dataset of China is collected from China Stock Market & Accounting Research Database (CSMAR), which is a comprehensive databank for Chinese business research. CSMAR database covers data on the Chinese stock market, financial statements, fund market data and listed firms corporate governance information and so on. The research period is draw from 2007 to 2011. The reason of choosing these years as a research period is because new Chinese accounting standards are issued by the Ministry of Finance of the People’s Republic of China in 2006 (Wang and Campbell, 2012). This new accounting standards are substantially in line with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRSs) and mandatory for all listed Chinese enterprises from 1 January 2007. In addition, the observations of 2006 are included in the dataset because the calculation of several variables requires data from the previous year. The initial data consist of 2396 A-Shares listed companies which are listed in Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange. In China, there are generally four types of shares: A, B, H and N shares. Class A-shares are only issued to Chinese citizens and using the Chinese Yuan (RMB) for trading. B-shares are 5 Note: Link #1 theoretical support for the effect IV on DV. Link #2 and #3 show the operationalization of IV and DV. Link #4 reflects the empirical test on the relation IV and DV. Link #5 captures the effects of control variables on DV. Page 50 issued to Chinese people and foreigners, for which the Hong Kong dollar or U.S. dollar are used for trading. H-shares companies are incorporated in China, but listed in Hong Kong Stock Exchange and using Hong Kong dollar as transaction currency. N-shares firms are listed in New York Stock Exchange and using U.S. dollar as trading currency (source: CSRC). This thesis selects A-shares listed firms as samples due to the limitation of data on B-, H- and N-shares listed firms. For instance, in the CSMAR database, the number of all B-shares listed firms is 114, which is not sufficient for an empirical research. Table 5.2. Summary of shares classifications in China Type A-shares B-shares Listing in Shanghai or Shenzhen Shanghai or Shenzhen Transaction currency Investors Chinese citizen (excluding Hong Chinese Yuan (RMB) Kong) Chinese investors citizen and foreign Hong Kong dollar or U.S. dollar H-shares Hong Kong Chinese investors citizen and foreign N-shares New York Chinese investors citizen and foreign Hong Kong dollar U.S. dollar Source: China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). According to previous literature evidence, several collection criteria need to be considered. Firstly, Becker et al. (1998) indicated that financial institutions (Standard Industrial Classifications (SICs) between 6000 and 6999) and public utility firms (SICs between 4000 and 4999) have to be removed when calculating discretionary accruals. This is because these industries have specific regulations which affect discretionary accruals. Moreover, China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) provides the guideline of industry code of Chinese listed firms. There are nineteen (AS) industries classifications in the CSRC guideline such as agriculture (A), mining industry (B), manufacturing (C), education (P) and so on. All listed firms on industry category G (public utilities) and J (financial industries)6 will be removed from the sample set based on Becker et al. (1998). Furthermore, the IPO firms in the period of 2005-2011 are eliminated as they may manipulate earnings due to the incentives of 6 CSRC industry code class J: financial industries (insurance, monetary and financial services, capital market services and so on); class G: transportation and public utilities (road transport, railway transportation industry and so on). Page 51 going to public. In addition, in the collection process, some listed firms with missing data during the research period will be removed. In the end, 1105 listed firms of China have been selected for this empirical research. Table 5.3 provides a summary of the data selection process of Chinese listed firms. Table 5.3. Summary of data selection process of Chinese listed firms Chinese A-shares listed firms Number of Firms Initial data set 2396 Less: listed firms which are financial industries and public utilities. -437 Less: IPO firms from 2005 to 2011 -809 Less: missing data of financial statements -11 Less: missing data of corporate governance -34 Final number of listed firms 1105 5.2.2 Dataset of U.S. The research data for analyzing the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management of U.S. are selected from Compustat North America, GMI Ratings and Risk Metrics database. Compustat North America is a database covering the market information and financial reportings of U.S. and Canada. The data for calculating discretionary accruals are collected from this database. GMI Ratings and Risk Metrics database provide the data related to corporate governance such as board, shareholder, voting, director information and ownership and so on. To match the data set of China, the research period of U.S. is also from 2007 to 2011. For selection, it needs to first obtain the stock tickers of listed firms. The tickers are collected from website of NASDAQ Company List7, which includes firms listed on NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX. Following the introduction of website, 4614 tickers of U.S. listed firm are downloaded. Then, the 610 new IPO firms during the research period of 2005 to 2011 are excluded from the data set since these companies have high likelihood of motivations on manipulating earnings. Similarly to the data set of China, the financial institutions and public utilities listed firms are eliminated. 7 NASDAQ Company List: http://www.nasdaq.com/screening/company-list.aspx. Page 52 Therefore, the listed firms with SIC code from 4000 to 4999 and SIC code from 6000 to 6999 are excluded. Some listed firms without industry information are also eliminated from the dataset. In the end, the total numbers of tickers of U.S. listed firms are 2026. Although 2026 tickers are found, the Compustat North America database merely provides the data of 1091 listed firms. This might be because some tickers are invalid. Subsequently, the listed firms which miss the data of financial reportings and corporate governance have to be removed. Therefore, the total numbers of listed firms of U.S. applying to this thesis are 752. Table 5.4 summarizes the data collection process of U.S. Table 5.4. Summary of data selection process of U.S. Number of Firms 5.3 Initial tickers from NASDAQ 4614 Less: listed firms which are financial industries and public utilities. -1125 Less: IPO firms from 2005 to 2011 -610 Less: listed firms of no industry information -853 Final tickers 2026 Initial data collection 1091 Less: missing data of financial statements -130 Less: missing data of corporate governance -209 Final number of listed firms 752 Statistical tests Once all the variables are obtained, by using SPSS, the descriptive statistics test is implemented firstly in order to obtain a general overview of all variables. This test provides the mean, maximum and minimum values and the standard deviation of dependent, independent and control variables. After that, Normality test will be performed to verify the distribution of dependent variable. Then, Pearson correlation test will be carried out to test whether dependent variable and independent variables are influenced by each other. Furthermore, to reduce the probability of multicollinearity between independent variables, the collinearity diagnostics test will Page 53 be performed. In the end, ordinary least squares (OLS) regression which estimates the association between earnings management and other independent and control variables will be performed by using the statistical software Eviews. Panel data (also called longitudinal or cross-sectional time-series data) is a dataset in which the behaviors of entities are observed across time (Hsiao, 2003). Since this empirical research adopts panel data analysis for investigating the relationship between earnings management and corporate governance, fixed effect approach or random effect approach needs to be considered into the statistical test. The fixed effect model also known as least squares dummy variable (LSDV) model, has constant slopes but different intercepts. It assumes that each entity has special or individual characteristics, which may affect the explanatory variables. The random effect model is estimated according to Generalized Least Squares (GLS) model, which treats time and individuals specific as random (Greene, 2002). Correlated random effects-Hausman test will be conducted by software Eviews to determine which effect–fixed or random can better explain the panel regression model. This test is under the null hypothesis that the individual effects are not associated with the other predictors in the model (Hausman, 1978). If the null hypothesis is rejected, the fixed effect model is preferred than random effect model. Page 54 Chapter 6. Results and Analysis In this chapter, the results of tests and analyses will be presented. At first, the descriptive statistics of all variables’ mean, standard deviation, etc. will be introduced. Then, it will provide correlation matrix analysis in order to show the correlation of all variables. After that, the ordinary leased squared (OLS) regression, Hausman test with random effect model, two-way fixed effect model will be implemented step by step. 6.1 Descriptive statistics The descriptive statistics of dependent variable, independent variables and control variables are provided in Table 6.1. The total numbers of firm-observations of China and U.S. are 5525 and 3760, respectively. As observed in the table, the dependent variable (DAi,t) in the sample firms of China has a mean of 2.36 with a standard deviation of 1.32. The minimum and maximum values of DAi,t in the sample firms of China are 0.0018 and 9.528, respectively. In contrast, in the sample firms of U.S., the mean of DAi,t is 0.04 with a standard deviation of 0.05, and the range of DAi,t is from 0.00 to 0.85. Moreover, the average level of CEO as the Chairman (see independent variable CEO-dummyi,t) in the sample firms of China is 15%, while it is 69% in the samples of U.S. This indicates that the magnitude of combining CEO and Chairman in U.S. listed firms is higher than that in China. In addition, the ratio of independent directors to total directors (BIi,t) of China has a mean value of 0.36 and with a minimum of 0.09 and a maximum of 0.71. In contrast, the mean value of BIi,t of U.S. is 0.74, which implies the U.S. listed firms have more independent directors on the board than China listed firms. The maximum and minimum numbers of supervisory board (see independent variable SBSi,t) in China are 9 and 0, respectively. The average number of supervisory board is around 4. In U.S. listed firms, the average number of non-executives directors (NEDSi,t) is 7 with a minimum value of 0 and a maximum value of 16. Moreover, the percentage of shares held by management (see independent variable Insideri,t) of China has an average value of 3%, which is lower than that in U.S. (13.2%). This suggests that managers in China hold fewer shares than that in U.S. 8 This value is quite higher than the maximum value of DAi,t in U.S. sample firms. The occurrence of this extreme value may be because the calculation currency of China and U.S. is different (Chinese Yuan and U.S dollar). Page 55 In order to verify the distributions of discretionary accruals in the samples, normality test has been applied with the aid of SPSS. Table 6.2 and 6.3 show the distributions of discretionary accruals which as proxies of earnings management of China and U.S. Both of them are normal distributions. 6.2 Correlation matrix (Pearson correlation test) In order to investigate whether the dependent variable (DAi,t) and other variables are associated to each other, a Pearson correlation test has been implemented. The results of Pearson correlation test based on the sample firms of China and U.S. are given in Table 6.4 and 6.5, respectively. The determination criterion is based on the value of Pearson correlation coefficient. This coefficient is a statistical measure of the strength of a linear correlation between variables, and its value varies between -1 and +1. When the observed value of that coefficient is drawn from 0 to -1, it indicates a negative relationship between tested variables. In contrast, it suggests a positive relationship between variables when the observed value of that coefficient falls into the range of 0 to +1 (Bryman and Cramer, 2005). They also suggested that the value of that coefficient should not be greater than 0.8. Otherwise the risk of multicollinearity will be very high. Since the values given in Table 6.4 and 6.5 are not exceeding 0.8, the regression is considered to be valid. Page 56 Table 6.1. Descriptive Statistics of China and U.S. China Dependent variable Independent variables Control variables U.S. Number Min. Max. Mean Std. deviation Number Min. Max. Mean Std. deviation DAi,t 5525 0.0018 9.52 2.36 1.32 DAi,t 3760 .00 .85 .04 .048 BSi,t 5525 3 18 9.09 .025 EDSi,t 3760 0 7 1.47 .766 BIi,t 5525 .09 .71 .36 .0006 BIi,t 3760 .0 1.0 .74 .138 CEO-dummyi,t 5525 0 1 .15 .005 CEO-dummyi,t 3760 0 1 .69 .461 SBSi,t 5525 0 9 3.95 .017 NEDSi,t 3760 0 16 7.41 2.322 Insideri,t 5525 .00 4.22 .03 .002 Insideri,t 3760 .0000 1.00 .132 .198 Block-holderi,t 5525 .008 .894 .343 .203 Block-holderi,t 3760 .0000 .979 .242 .160 FSi,t (log) 5525 10.84 27.75 21.60 .018 FSi,t (log) 3760 1.286 5.519 3.246 .704 ROEi,t (log) 5525 -8.47 6.56 -2.63 .016 ROEi,t (log) 3760 -8.978 4.954 -1.975 1.01 Leveragei,t (log) 5525 -11.69 3.24 -1.79 .016 Leveragei,t (log) 3760 .0000 2.615 .2153 .228 This table summarizes the descriptive statistics of China and U.S. DAi,t = the absolute value of discretionary accruals. BSi,t = the number of board members. BIi,t = ratio of independent directors to total board size. CEO-dummyi,t = 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. SBSi,t = the number of supervisory board size. Insideri,t = percentages of shares hold by management. Block-holderi,t = percentages of shares hold by block-holders. EDSi,t = the number of executive directors. NEDSi,t = the number of nonexecutive directors. FSi,t(log) = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size. ROEi,t(log) = nature logarithm of return on equity. Leveragei,t(log)= nature logarithm of leverage. Note: the calculation currency of China is Chinese Yuan (RMB), while the currency of U.S. is US Dollar. Page 57 Table 6.2. Discretionary Accruals of China DA Stem-and-Leaf Plot Frequency Stem & Leaf 117.00 Extremes (=<-5.5) 10.00 -5 . 44 27.00 -5 . 222233 41.00 -5 . 0000011111 39.00 -4 . 8888999999 48.00 -4 . 666666777777 59.00 -4 . 444444455555555 69.00 -4 . 22222222233333333 100.00 -4 . 0000000000000111111111111 131.00 -3 . 88888888888888899999999999999999 136.00 -3 . 6666666666666666666677777777777777 174.00 -3 . 4444444444444444444444455555555555555555555 193.00 -3 . 222222222222222222222222223333333333333333333333 235.00 -3 . 00000000000000000000000000011111111111111111111111111111111 275.00 -2 . 888888888888888888888888888888888889999999999999999999999999999999999 280.00 -2 . 6666666666666666666666666666666666666677777777777777777777777777777777 346.00 -2 . 444444444444444444444444444444444444444455555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555 392.00 -2 . 22222222222222222222222222222222222222222222222222223333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333 364.00 -2 . 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000011111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111 374.00 -1 . 888888888888888888888888888888888888888888889999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999 363.00 -1 . 666666666666666666666666666666666666666667777777777777777777777777777777777777777777777777 298.00 -1 . 444444444444444444444444444444444444445555555555555555555555555555555555555 258.00 -1 . 22222222222222222222222222222223333333333333333333333333333333333 193.00 -1 . 000000000000000000000111111111111111111111111111 157.00 -0 . 888888888888888888899999999999999999999 149.00 -0 . 6666666666666666666777777777777777777 166.00 -0 . 444444444444444444445555555555555555555555 110.00 -0 . 2222222222222223333333333333 132.00 -0 . 000000000000000011111111111111111 73.00 0 . 000000000111111111 66.00 0 . 2222222223333333 52.00 0 . 4444444555555 24.00 0 . 666677 19.00 0 . 88899 10.00 1 . 00& 45.00 Extremes (>=1.2) Page 58 Table 6.3. Discretionary Accruals of U.S. DA Stem-and-Leaf Plot Frequency Stem & Leaf 121.00 Extremes (=<-.110) 20.00 -10 . 06&&& 40.00 -9 . 0124578& 33.00 -8 . 013679&& 60.00 -7 . 0112234456789 99.00 -6 . 01112233445566677899 146.00 -5 . 000111122233344555667778899 143.00 -4 . 00001112223333445556677888999 200.00 -3 . 000011111222233333444444555566667778888999 269.00 -2 . 000000111112222333333444455555666666677777888889999999 326.00 -1 . 000000001111111222222233333333444455555666666777777778888889999999 365.00 -0 . 00000000111111111222222222233333333444444555555566666667777777788888999999 404.00 0 . 00000000111111111122222333333334444444444555555666666666777777778888888899999999 362.00 1 . 00000001111111122222222333333344444445555566666677777778888888889999999 297.00 2 . 00000011111112222222233333444444555555666666777777888899999 240.00 3 . 000001111222222333333444455556666677777788889999 165.00 4 . 0001111122222334455566677788889999 111.00 5 . 0001111223566667788999& 77.00 6 . 001234566677889 58.00 7 . 0123445678& 54.00 8 . 01122334578& 29.00 9 . 012346& 28.00 10 . 0135&& 113.00 Extremes (>=.110) Stem width: .0100 Each leaf: 5 case(s) Page 59 Table 6.4. Pearson Correlation Matrix of China Correlation DAi,t BSi,t BIi,t CEO-dummyi,t SBSi,t Insideri,t Block-holderi,t FSi,t (log) DAi,t 1 BSi,t -.037** 1 BIi,t .025 -.312** 1 CEO-dummyi,t .007 -.124** .031* 1 -.039** .343** -.078** -.094** 1 Insideri,t -.005 -.054** .017 .109** -.105** 1 Block-holderi,t -.002 .025 .006 -.113** .057** -.116** 1 FSi,t (log) -.011 .320** -.021 -.140** .214** -.034* .276** 1 .112** .007 -.037* .014 .004 .033* .038** .062** -.008 .059** -.011 -.009 .078** -.033* .000 .079** SBSi,t ROEi,t (log) Leveragei,t (log) *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). Page 60 ROEi,t (log) Leveragei,t (log) 1 .076** 1 Table 6.5. Pearson Correlation Matrix of U.S. Correlation DAi,t EDSi,t BIi,t CEO-dummyi,t NEDSi,t Insideri,t Block-holderi.t FSi,t (log) ROEi,t (log) DAi,t 1 EDSi,t -.013 1 BIi,t -.030 -.501** 1 CEO-dummyi,t -.067** -.012 .019 1 NEDSi,t -.130** -.138** .242** .014 1 Insideri,t .049** .347** -.443** .034* -.246** 1 Block-holderi,t .038* -.132** .071** -.121** -.089** -.288** 1 FSi,t (log) -.178** .010 .144** .142** .525** -.237** -.265** 1 ROEi,t (log) .089** -.027 .063** .027 .109** -.036* -.087** .070** 1 -.029 .048** -.069** -.019 .095** .061** .068** .156** .185** Leveragei,t (log) *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). Page 61 Leveragei,t (log) 1 6.3 Multicollinearity test Multicollinearity problem exists when one variable is perfectly or highly associated with another variable in the regression model (Rashwan et al., 2011). Biased results will be generated if the multicollinearity problem exists in the regression research. Therefore, a key step before performing a regression model is to detect whether a multicollinearity problem exists or not. In order to reduce the likelihood of multicollinearity issue between independent variables and control variables, the collinearity diagnostics test is performed by SPSS to detect whether this problem exists or not. One of independent variables is chosen into the dependent variable list while other independent variables and control variables are imported into independent variable list. Then, a collinearity diagnostics test is implemented by SPSS. Every independent variable and control variable follow this method to test the multicollinearity. Table 6.6 and 6.7 show the results of this test for China and U.S. sample firms. It is necessary to check variance inflation factors (VIF) since it measures how much the variance of the estimated regression coefficients is inflated due to the multicollinearity (O’Brien, 2007). When the multicollinearity issue exists, VIF of the variables in the test will be quite large. According to Berman (2006), if the value of VIF is from 1.0 to 2.0, the multicollinearity problem does not exist. For instance, in the first column of Table 6.6, board size (BSi,t) was inputted into dependent variable list and other variables were inputted into independent variables list. Then, the collinearity diagnostics test was run by software SPSS. As observed in the second column, the values of VIF are all falling into the range of 1.0 to 2.0, which means no multicollinearity problem. It can be found out that other independent variables and control variables in Table 6.6 and 6.7 have not a VIF more than 2, which indicates the multicollinearity does not exist in this research datasets. Page 62 Table 6.6. Collinearity Diagnostics of China BS BI VIF 1.009 CEOdummy SBS Insider FS (log) 1.066 1.032 1.136 dummy SBS Insider 1.030 1.171 1.032 holder FS (log) 1.015 (log) 1.196 (log) dummy BS BI SBS Insider VIF 1.321 1.103 holder FS (log) 1.014 (log) 1.170 1.029 (log) BS BI VIF 1.208 1.103 dummy Insider 1.205 holder FS (log) 1.029 1.024 (log) 1.195 (log) 1.327 BI 1.103 dummy SBS 1.027 1.162 holder FS (log) 1.016 (log) 1.088 1.208 (log) holder BS BI ROE VIF dummy SBS Insider FS (log) 1.014 (log) 1.316 1.103 Page 63 (log) VIF BS BI 1.249 1.094 CEO1.025 1.171 1.019 VIF dummy SBS Insider 1.128 holder BS BI 1.335 1.102 1.030 1.157 1.031 dummy SBS Insider Leverage (log) BS BI VIF 1.336 1.106 CEO- CEO- Block- 1.034 1.171 1.030 dummy SBS Insider 1.034 1.169 1.031 Block- Block1.026 holder 1.103 1.011 FS (log) 1.220 holder 1.102 ROE 1.015 (log) FS (log) 1.220 ROE Leverage 1.014 FS (log) (log) ROE Leverage 1.014 Block- CEO- ROE Leverage 1.014 BS VIF Block1.101 ROE 1.015 Insider CEO- Block1.096 Leverage 1.015 SBS CEO- ROE Leverage 1.014 CEO- Block1.101 ROE Leverage (log) 1.214 Block1.092 ROE (log) BS VIF CEO1.026 Blockholder BI Leverage 1.014 Leverage 1.014 (log) 1.016 (log) (log) 1.014 Table 6.7. Collinearity Diagnostics of U.S. EDS BI VIF 1.283 CEOdummy NEDS Insider FS (log) 1.521 1.516 1.697 dummy NEDS Insider 1.022 1.518 1.454 holder FS (log) 1.057 (log) 1.742 (log) dummy EDS BI NEDS Insider VIF 1.390 1.516 holder FS (log) 1.056 (log) 1.528 1.569 (log) EDS BI VIF 1.383 1.503 dummy Insider 1.727 holder FS (log) 1.020 1.567 (log) 1.333 (log) BI 1.343 1.403 dummy NEDS holder FS (log) 1.052 (log) 1.021 1.526 1.122 1.613 (log) holder EDS BI VIF VIF dummy NEDS Insider FS (log) 1.055 (log) 1.392 1.516 Page 64 (log) BS VIF BI 1.020 BI 1.531 1.387 SBS (log) (log) holder 1.517 Insider 1.561 Block- 1.274 holder 1.262 FS (log) 1.053 1.700 ROE Leverage (log) 1.023 SBS FS (log) 1.064 dummy 1.584 1.056 Leverage 1.070 1.025 Block- ROE 1.046 CEO- Insider 1.143 1.546 1.512 1.464 holder BI SBS Block1.567 dummy 1.174 Insider 1.405 1.545 CEO1.014 VIF BS 1.406 1.545 dummy Leverage (log) BS 1.375 CEO- Leverage 1.074 ROE FS (log) (log) ROE Leverage 1.091 Block- CEO- ROE Leverage 1.090 EDS VIF Block1.270 ROE 1.056 Insider CEO- Block1.268 Leverage 1.093 NEDS CEO- ROE Leverage 1.092 CEO- Block1.270 ROE Leverage (log) 1.178 Block1.271 ROE (log) EDS VIF CEO1.021 Blockholder BI 1.741 (log) 1.021 6.4 Results and analysis In this section, the results of ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, Hausman test, and two-way fixed effect model will be presented. 6.4.1 OLS Results The results of OLS regression based on China and U.S. sample firms are presented at first. As observed in Table 6.8, the values of F-statistics (p-value) of China and U.S. are 8.00(0.000***) and 16.817(0.000***), respectively. This means both OLS models of China and U.S. are significant, and indicates that there is a relationship between corporate governance and earnings management based on the sample firms of China and U.S., which confirms the first and the second alternative hypotheses. Moreover, board size (BSi,t) has a negative relationship with earnings management at 5% significance level in China (t=-2.062, p-value=0.039), suggesting that the listed firms with larger board size in China have a lower level of earnings management activities. This result is consistent with Xie et al. (2003) and Chtourou et al. (2001). In U.S. sample firms, the evidence indicates that the executive directors have a negative relationship with earnings management at 10% significance level, which is similar to Bowen et al. (2008). Furthermore, the supervisory board size has a negative and significant (t=-2.055, p-value=0.04) relationship with earnings management in China, which means that more members in supervisory board could reduce earnings management activities more effectively. Firth et al. (2007) and Quttainah et al. (2011) also drew the similar outcomes. A negative relationship between non-executive directors and earnings management is also observed in the U.S. sample firms. This result is significant at 1% significance level, which is indicated by the slope coefficient of -0.002 and the p-value of 0.000. It is consistent with the research outcomes of Chtourou et al. (2001). In addition, there is a negative relatioship between CEOdummy and earnings management in U.S. sample firms, whereas no significant association between those two items has been observed in China sample firms. No significant relationship between earnings management and both management ownership and block-holders ownership has been found in China and U.S. sample firms. On the other hand, a positive relationship is presented between firm size (log of total assets) and earnings management at 1% significance level in China sample firms, meaning more Page 65 earnings management activities in large-size listed firms of China. However, a negative relationship between firm size and earnings management is obeserved in the sample firms of U.S. In both China and U.S. sample firms, a positive relationship between ROE and earnings management is found at 1% significance level, which comfirms the expectation of this thesis. Despite some significate variables were detected, as observed in Table 6.8. the values of the adjusted R-squared9 in both regression models are very low, which is 0.014 for China and 0.046 for U.S., respectively. This results might imply that the independent variables are weak predictors, or some important variables related to earnings management are not included in the regression model. In the next section, it will attempt to solve this problem by establishing fixed effect model or random effect model which is based on the results of the Hausman test. 6.4.2 Hausman test of China and U.S. Firstly, a regression model with random effect for both China and U.S. is performed by using Eviews. As observed in the first column of Table 6.9, the random effect model of China indicates similar results as OLS regression model. Then, the correlated random effects-Hausman test is performed to see whether this random effect model is appropriate or not. As indicated in the second column of Table 6.9, the Hausman test shows a significant result (p-value=0.000***) to reject the null hypothesis, suggesting that the fixed effect model is better in investigating this research dataset. Similarly, the random effect model of U.S. sample firms and Hausman test are performed by Eviews (see Table 6.10). The Hausman test indicates a statistical and significant result (p-value=0.0009***), which rejects the null hypothesis and reveals that the fixed effect model is also appropriate for U.S. dataset. In conclusion, this test illustrates that the fixed effect model is better than the random effect model for both China and U.S. sample firms. 9 R2 measures the variation in the dependent variable that can be explained by the independent variables and shows the predictive power of the model. Source from: Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, South-Western. Page 66 Table 6.8. Ordinary least squares regression (OLS) of China and U.S. China U.S. Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Constant 3.790 0.439 8.627 BSi,t -0.027 0.013 -2.062 BIi,t 0.492 0.450 1.094 CEO-dummyi,t 0.006 0.064 0.088 SBSi,t -0.037 0.018 -2.055 Insideri,t -0.093 0.145 -0.642 Block-holderi,t -0.002 0.001 -1.266 FSi,t (log) 0.100 0.020 5.077 ROEi,t (log) 0.111 0.020 5.694 Leveragei,t (log) 0.008 0.019 0.396 Prob. Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Constant 0.086 0.008 10.430 0.039** EDSi,t -0.002 0.001 -1.713 0.274 BIi,t 0.006 0.007 0.834 0.930 CEO-dummyi,t -0.005 0.002 -3.104 0.040** NEDSi,t -0.002 0.000 -4.074 0.521 Insideri,t 0.008 0.005 1.479 0.206 Block-holderi,t 0.003 0.006 0.460 0.000*** FSi,t (log) -0.007 0.002 -4.616 0.000*** ROEi,t (log) 0.005 0.001 6.120 0.692 Leveragei,t (log) -0.006 0.004 -1.569 0.000*** R-squared 0.016 0.050 Adjusted R -squared 0.014 0.046 F-Statistic(p-value ) 8.00(.000***) Prob. 0.000*** 0.087* 0.404 0.002*** 0.000*** 0.139 0.645 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.117 16.817(.000***) *. Correlation is significant at the 0.1, **. Correlation is significant at the 0.05, ***.Correlation is significant at the 0.01 This table summarizes the results of OLS regression based on the sample of China and U.S. BSi,t = the number of board members. BIi,t = ratio of independent directors to total board size. CEO-dummyi,t = 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. SBSi,t = the number of supervisory board size. Insideri,t = percentages of shares hold by management. Block-holderi,t = percentages of shares hold by block-holders. EDSi,t = the number of executive directors. NEDSi,t = the number of non-executive directors. FSi,t (log) = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size. ROEi,t (log) = nature logarithm of return on equity. Leveragei,t (log) = nature logarithm of leverage. Page 67 Table 6.9. Hausman test of China with random effect model Random effect model Hausman test Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. Constant 3.847775 0.434185 8.862070 0.0000*** BSi,t -0.028206 0.013140 -2.146577 0.0319** BIi,t 0.483591 0.442997 1.091633 0.2751 CEO-dummyi,t 0.006451 0.063425 0.101711 0.9190 SBSi,t -0.038193 0.018052 -2.115706 0.0344** Insideri,t -0.091003 0.143215 -0.635429 0.5252 Block-holderi,t -0.001950 0.001465 -1.330779 0.1833 FSi,t (log) 0.103327 0.019464 5.308530 0.0000*** ROEi,t (log) 0.111357 0.019177 5.806678 0.0000*** Leveragei,t (log) 0.006481 0.019040 0.340368 0.7336 Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test for China Equation: Untitled Test cross-section random effect Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Cross-section random R-squared 0.016329 Adjusted R -squared 0.014304 233.162112 Chi-Sq. d.f Prob. 9 0.000*** *. Correlation is significant at the 0.1, **. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 , ***.Correlation is significant at the 0.01 This table summarizes the results of random effect model and Hausman test based on the sample firms of China. BSi,t = the number of board members. BIi,t = ratio of independent directors to total board size. CEO-dummyi,t = 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. SBSi,t = the number of supervisory board size. Insideri,t = percentages of shares hold by management. Block-holderi,t = percentages of shares hold by block-holders. FSi,t (log) = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size. ROEi,t (log) = nature logarithm of return on equity. Leveragei,t (log) = nature logarithm of leverage. Page 68 Table 6.10. Hausman test of U.S with random effect model Hausman test Random effect model Variable Constant EDSi,t BIi,t CEO-dummyi,t NEDSi,t Insideri,t Block-holderi,t FSi,t (log) ROEi,t (log) Leveragei,t (log) Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. 0.092333 0.009837 9.386733 0.0000*** -0.001673 0.001400 -1.194438 0.2324 0.000591 0.008191 0.072114 0.9425 -0.005293 0.002077 -2.547965 0.0109** Equation: Untitled -0.001964 0.000474 -4.142019 0.0000*** Test cross-section random effect 0.003557 0.006501 0.547156 0.5843 -0.005636 0.006410 -0.879234 0.3793 -0.006765 0.001944 -3.479412 0.0005*** 0.004074 0.000843 4.835554 0.0000*** -0.007685 0.005081 -1.512512 0.1305 R-squared 0.029816 Adjusted R –squared 0.026869 Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test for U.S Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f Cross-section random 26.763974 9 Prob. 0.0009*** *. Correlation is significant at the 0.1, **. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 , ***.Correlation is significant at the 0.01 This table summarizes the results random effect model and Hausman test based on the sample firms of U.S. CEO-dummyi,t = 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. Insideri,t = percentages of shares hold by management. Block-holderi,t = percentages of shares hold by block-holders. EDSi,t = the number of executive directors. NEDSi,t = the number of non-executive directors. FSi,t (log) = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size. ROEi,t (log) = nature logarithm of return on equity. Leveragei,t (log) = nature logarithm of leverage. Page 69 6.4.3 Fixed effect model development Since the fixed effect model is preferred for investigating the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management based on the previous discussions. In this section, based on OLS models, two-way fixed effect models are constructed to present the research results. The two-way fixed model examines the fixed effects including both cross-section specific effect and time specific effect. Generally, this model includes cross-section dummies and time dummies (e.g., firms, years) to control the entity and time effects (Baltagi, 2005). By adding the cross-section dummies, this model examines the entity (e.g., firm, country) differences in the intercepts and controls the differences across entities in any observable or unobservable predictors. Moreover, the time dummies are included for measuring how the time affects the intercept. The results of two-way fixed effect model of China and U.S. are given in Table 6.11. Firstly, in the left column of Table 6.11, a negative relationship is observed between board size (BSi,t) and earnings management in China at 10% significance level, implying that larger board size could reduce the earnings management activities. However, under the U.S. sample firms, the size of executive directors (EDSi,t) does not show a statistical significant correlation with earnings management. Firm size and ROE have a positive relationship with earnings management at the 1% significance level in China samples, which is similar to that based on OLS regression model. Especially, a negative relationship was detected between leverage and earnings management at 5% significance level. This means when the ratio of leverage is high in a listed company of China, the likelihood of earnings management activities is low. This result is consistent with Alsharairi et al. (2011) and Dechow et al. (2000), but is not the expectation of this thesis. More specific, the adjusted R-squared reaches to 29%, which indicates that the explanatory power of this model increases after incorporating two-way fixed effect. Secondly, in the right column of Table 6.11, the number of non-executive directors (NEDSi,t) has a negative relationship with earnings management in the U.S. sample firms (t=-3.532, p-value=0.0004). However, supervisory board size (SBSi,t) in China listed firms does not show a significant correlation with earnings management. Moreover, a Page 70 negative correlation between block-holders ownership and earnings management is detected at 5% significance level, which is not found under the OLS regression and the sample firms of China. This result demonstrates that the U.S. listed firms have less earnings manipulations when more shares are held by block-holders, which is consistent with the findings of Shleifer and Vishny (1986), Klein (2002) and Iturriaga and Hoffmann (2005). Firm size and ROE present a positive relationship with earnings management and 1% significance level. Leverage has a negative relationship with earnings management at 10% significance level. The adjusted R-squared is improved under this two-way fixed effect and reaches to 33% compared to that in OLS regression (4.6%). 6.5 Summary This chapter illustrated the empirical findings of this research thesis. At first, by using SPSS, the descriptive statistics shows the details of dependent variable, independent variables and control variables. Pearson correlation test was performed to test the association among dependent, independent and control variables. The collinearity diagnostics test is employed to verify whether multicollinearity issue is exist or not. All of the tests show that the datasets of China and U.S. are valid. Secondly, the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model was provided to indicate the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management in China and U.S. Both board size (BSi,t) of China and the size of executive directors (EDSi,t) of U.S. have a negative relationship with earnings management. Similarly, supervisory board size (SBSi,t) of China and the size of non-executive directors (NEDSi,t) of U.S. have a negative relationship with earnings management. Especially, CEO as chairman (CEO-dummyi,t) of U.S. listed firms has a negative association with earnings management, while China sample firms does not show this relation. For control variables, an opposite result of the relationship between firm size and earnings management comparing China and U.S was found. Firm size has a positive correlation with earnings management under China samples, while a negative relationship was detected under U.S. sample firms. Page 71 Thirdly, Hausman test was adopted to identify which effect-fixed or random is appropriate for these panel datasets. The results of this test indicated that fixed effect model is more suitable than random effect model for both China and U.S. datasets. Finally, two-way fixed effect model was established for both China and U.S. samples. Board size (BSi,t) of China has a negative relationship between earnings management, while the size of executive directors (EDSi,t) in U.S. sample firms does not show a statistical correlation with earnings management. The size of non-executive directors (NEDSi,t) shows a significant and negative relationship with earnings management in U.S. listed firms. However, no statistical association was detected between supervisory board size (SBSi,t) and earnings management in China samples. Moreover, a negative relationship between block-holders ownership and earnings management was observed in U.S. samples, which is not detected in China sample firms. Based on these discussions, the third alternative hypothesis is accepted that there is a difference in relationship between corporate governance and earnings management comparing China and U.S. On the other hand, it is important to notice that numerous research studies of earnings management and corporate governance often suffer from endogeneity problem (Karamanou and Vafeas, 2005). To some extent, the fixed effect model can mitigate unobserved effects, for instance, omitted variables which rise endogeneity and may reduce the level of this problem. Page 72 Table 6.11. Two-way fixed effect model of China and U.S. China U.S. Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Constant 5.29045 1.437079 3.830196 0.0001*** Constant -0.048285 0.030890 -1.563121 0.1182 BSi,t -0.051018 0.027256 -1.871813 0.0613* EDSi,t -0.000447 0.001955 -0.228636 0.8192 BIi,t -0.934015 0.680686 -1.372160 0.1701 BIi,t -6.39E-05 0.011430 -0.005594 0.9955 CEO-dummyi,t -0.012125 0.099485 -0.121874 0.9030 CEO-dummyi,t -0.002241 0.003130 -0.716062 0.4740 SBSi,t -0.036922 0.051204 -0.721071 0.4709 NEDSi,t -0.002373 0.000672 -3.532043 0.0004*** Insideri,t -0.000743 0.280010 -0.002654 0.9979 Insideri,t -0.017290 0.014973 -1.154690 0.2483 Block-holderi,t -0.000777 0.003860 -0.201206 0.8405 Block-holderi,t -0.019506 0.008644 -2.256577 0.0241** FSi,t (log) 0.565588 0.026232 9.180655 0.0000*** FSi,t (log) 0.037806 0.008590 4.401234 0.0000*** ROEi,t (log) 0.125365 0.061606 4.779010 0.0000*** ROEi,t (log) 0.004269 0.001112 3.837788 0.0001*** Leveragei,t (log) -0.079488 0.036214 -2.194957 0.0282** Leveragei,t (log) -0.018209 0.010098 -1.803173 0.0715* R-squared Adjusted R squared F-Statistic(p-value ) - 0.467573 0.500108 0.293805 0.336085 2.69(.000***) Prob. 3.049(.000***) *. Correlation is significant at the 0.1, **. Correlation is significant at the 0.05, ***.Correlation is significant at the 0.01 This table summarizes the results of two-way fixed effect regression based on the samples of China and U.S. BSi,t = the number of board members. BIi,t = ratio of independent directors to total board size. CEO-dummyi,t = 1 if CEO is Chairman, equal to 0 if otherwise. SBSi,t = the number of supervisory board size. Insideri,t = percentages of shares hold by management. Block-holderi,t = percentages of shares hold by block-holders. EDSi,t = the number of executive directors. NEDSi,t = the number of non-executive directors. FSi,t (log) = nature logarithm of total assets as proxy for firm size. ROEi,t (log) =nature logarithm of return on equity. Leveragei,t (log) =nature logarithm of leverage. Page 73 Chapter 7. Conclusions In this chapter, a brief summary including the research subject, hypotheses and empirical results will be introduced. Moreover, it will discuss several limitations of this research thesis. In the end, for the future researches, some recommendations relating to the research of corporate governance and earnings management will be presented. 7.1 Conclusions This research thesis empirically investigated whether there is a relationship between corporate governance and earnings management in both China and U.S., specifically attempting to compare the differences in relationship between those two items in China and U.S. Firstly, it introduces the definitions of earnings management and corporate governance and the measurements of earnings management. Then, the positive accounting theory and the agency theory were presented as the theoretical basis for this research. After reviewing the previous literature evidence, three main hypotheses were developed for investigating the research questions of this thesis. This research thesis adopted the listed firms in China and U.S. during 2007-2011 as datasets. By using SPSS, the descriptive statistics test, the normality test, the Pearson correlation test and the collinearity diagnostics test were performed. Those test show that both the datasets of China and U.S. are valid and appropriate for the regression test in the next step. In addition, the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model, the random effect model, the Hausman test, and the two-way fixed effect model were applied to analyze the panel datasets by using Eviews, which provides the empirical results of those models and tests the hypotheses. The results of this research provide evidence that corporate governance have a relationship with earnings management in China and U.S., which confirms the first and second alternative hypotheses. Under the OLS model, board size and supervisory board size have a negative relationship with earnings management at 5% significance level. This means that including more members in the board and supervisory board eliminates the likelihood of earnings management in China. In the meanwhile, a negative Page 74 relationship is detected between non-executive directors and earnings management in U.S. listed firms, suggesting larger non-executive director’s size reduces earnings management activities in U.S. Moreover, this study found some different results between China and U.S. For instance, the CEO as Chairman has a negative relationship with earnings management in U.S. listed firms. However, this relationship is not confirmed in the sample firms of China. The control variable firm size has a positive relationship with earnings management in China, but negative in U.S. listed firms. Since this thesis adopts panel data for the investigation, fixed effect and random effect models are taken into account in the process of the study. The Hausman test is employed to identify which effect model is appropriate for this empirical study. The results of the Hausman test reject the null hypothesis and indicate that the fixed effect model is more suitable than the random effect model both in the sample firms of China and U.S. After that, in the sample firms of China, a two-way fixed effect model has been established by Eviews automatically adding the cross-section dummies and the time dummies. Under this effect, in the main independent variables group, only board size has a negative relationship with earnings management at 10% significance level. In the sample firms of U.S., by using the same method as China to construct two-way fixed effect model, a significantly negative relationship was found between non-executive directors and earnings management, suggesting that more numbers of non-executive directors in a listed firm could reduce earnings management activities in the sample firms of U.S. Meanwhile, the block-holders ownership has a negative relationship with earnings management at 5% significance level, implying that large shareholders could eliminate earnings management behaviors in U.S. However, this relationship was not shown in the sample firms of China. Since some different outcomes are detected in the tests, it could confirm the third hypothesis that there is a difference in relationship between corporate governance and earnings management in China and U.S. 7.2 Limitation and future recommendations This research thesis has several limitations. Firstly, the Performance-Matched Discretionary Accruals Model was used to measure earnings management in this study. Although this model could mitigate misspecification problem, it also reduces the test Page 75 power (Dechow, 2012). Meanwhile, several researchers in the previous literature were doubted whether this model can capture the full level of discretionary accruals. However, this model is a crucial improvement to the prior models in terms of detecting earnings management. Therefore, the performance–matched discretionary accruals model is still an appropriate one to capture earnings management in this empirical study. Secondly, this study is based on the emerging market of China and the developed market of U.S. The results cannot be used to generalize the concerns of all emerging markets and all developed countries. However, the outcomes of this thesis might contribute to the future studies on the correlation between corporate governance and earnings management. Thirdly, as described in Chapter 2, the corporate governance mechanism includes internal governance and external governance. This thesis only concentrated on the board characteristics and ownership structure, and may omit some specific items which could measure corporate governance. This is considered as one of limitations of this research thesis. In addition, to future studies, it may be interesting for future researchers to examine the changes in the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management before and after the implement of the new accounting standards in China. The new accounting standards are substantially in line with the International Financial Reporting standards (IFRS) and are mandatory to all Chinese listed firms since 1st January, 2007. It might bring significant differences compared with the old accounting system, and might impact the correlation between corporate governance and earnings management. 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Built a broad Indian Corporate Governance Index (ICGI) for survey. Significant association between ICGI and firm market value in India, especially, in big profitable firms. 2. Corporate governance and the information environment: Evidence from Chinese stock markets (2014) Hass, Lars Helge. Vergauwe, Skrålan. Zhang, Qiyu. Investigate the correlation between corporate governance and information environment. 2152 firms for analyst following model, 2176 firms for forecast accuracy model, 1995 firms for forecast dispersion model, 2134 firms for price timeliness model during 2003 to 2011. Build four models for regression; used pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) method and fixed-effects (FE) regressions. Firms with good corporate governance attract larger analyst followings and more information forecasts. Better governed firms tend to improve on the timeliness of bad news relative to good news. Constructed three models to examine CEO compensation and corporate governance, including control variables, industry dummy and time dummy; provided OLS regression and reweighted least-squares regression. Built a corporate governance index; employed Amihud estimate (ILLIQ), turnover, and liquidity ratio to measure liquidity. 3. Corporate governance or globalization: What determines CEO compensation in China? (2007) Li, Donghui. Moshirian, Fariborz. Nguyen, Pascal. Tan, L. Investigate the correlation between corporate governance structure and CEO compensation based on China perspective. 206 firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SHSE) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) during 2000-2001. 4. The effect of corporate governance on stock liquidity: The case of Thailand (2014) Prommin, Panu Jumreornvong, Seksak Jiraporn, Pornsit Investigate the effect of corporate governance on equity liquidity in Thailand. 100 listed firms on the Stock Exchange of Thailand during 20062009. Page 88 Research Methodology Results Control variables: firm size, leverage and so on. A little evidence on the relationship between CEO compensation and corporate governance. Control variables: CEO age, firm size, and tenure and growth rate. Positive relationship between corporate governance and liquidity, even controlling endogeneity. control variables: firm size, leverage Appendix.B Earnings Management Title Author(s) Object of this study Sample Research Methodology Results 1. Does the Threat of Litigation Explain Insider Selling and Earnings Management in Distressed Firms (2005) Beneish, Messod, D. Press, Eric, G. Vargus, Mark E. Investigate whether threat of litigation has an effect on management accounting choice and trading choice. 462 firms with financial problem during 19831997, 102 firms from NYSE, 122 firms from American Stock Exchange, and 238 firms from NASDAQ. OLS regressions, two-stage estimation of models for controlling endogeneity. Insider trading has a relationship to upward earnings management. Managers are more likely to do income increasing earnings management. Control variables: firm size and market-to-book ratio. 2. Earnings Management Types and Motivation: A Study in Taiwan (2010) Chen, Ming-Chia, Tsai, Yuan-Cheng. Examine the types of earnings management behaviors and investigate the relationship between motivations and earnings management. 902 listed companies from Taiwan’s Over the Counter (OTC) market and Taiwan Stock Exchange during 20052007. Made a questionnaire survey to financial managers and auditors of listed firms. 3. Do Executive Stock Options Generate Incentives for Earnings Management? Evidence from Accounting Restatements (2003) Kedia, Simi. Explore the effect of pay for performance motivation on earnings management. 224 listed firms restating their financial reports during 19972000. This data collected from Execu Comp database. Constructed econometric model for regression analysis; used standard two-stage estimation of models to control endogeneity. Two types of earnings management (production/distribution manipulation and discretionary accruals manipulation). Three motivations: altruistic motivation, speculative motivation and pressure from affiliated parties. A positive effect on pay for performance incentives and earnings management. Control variables: firm age, firm sales and growth rate. 4. The Motivation for Tax Avoidance in Earnings Management (2012) Wang, Shiwei, Chen, Siyu. Analyze the correlation between earnings management and tax avoidance on listed firms of China. Data of Chinese A share non-financial listed companies from annual reports during 2004-2006. Ordinary least squares (OLS) method and added industry dummies. Page 89 Positive relation between earnings management and tax avoidance. For SOE listed firms, the firm performance has little effect on earnings management. Control variables: firm size, leverage, industry dummy and year dummy. Appendix.C Corporate governance and earnings management Title Author(s) Object of this study Sample Research Methodology Results Positive relationship between board size and earnings management. Ethnicity (race) has no effect on earnings management. Negative relationship between firms size and earnings management. No significant relationship between leverage and earnings management. Board size is the only variable that has a significant relation with earnings management. Control variables: company size and leverage 1. Board, audit committee, culture and earnings management: Malaysian evidence (2006) Abdul Rahman, Rashidah. Mohamed Ali, Fairuzana Haneem Examine whether the board items, audit committee and concentrated ownership reduce activities of earnings management. 97 listed firms on the Main Board of Bursa Malaysia during 20022003. Ordinary least square regression; Modified Jones Model and abnormal working capital accruals are used as proxies of earnings management. 2. Corporate Governance and Earnings Management: Jordanian Evidence (2012) Abed, Suzan. Al-Attar, Ali, Suwaidan, Mishiel. Explore earnings management and specific items of corporate governance. Econometric model and OLS regression. Firm size, leverage and industry are included as control variable. 3. Leadership structure: Separating the CEO and chairman of the board (1997) Brickley, J. A. Coles, J. L. Jarrell, Gregg. Investigate whether CEO, a same person of Chairman, benefits to the company. 4. Earnings Management following DualityCreating Successions: Ethnostatistics, Impression Management, and Agency Theory (2004) Davidson, W. N. Jiraporn, P. Nemec, C. Kim, Young. S. Find the relationship between earnings management and CEO as Chairman 329 firm-observations for the companies listed on the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) during 2006-2009. 264 listed firmobservations in U.S. during 1984-1991 including 102 listed firms which CEO and Chairman are separated and 162 listed firms which CEO and Chairman are the same person. A sample of 173 firms which CEO is Chairman and 112 firms which CEO and chairman is separated during 1982-1992. Page 90 Empirical analysis, survey, statistical test, and event study. About 80% listed firms in U.S. combine CEO and Chairman. There are certain costs of separating CEO and Chairman. CEOs perform well after they are awarded as the Chairman. Using Modified Jones Model to measure earnings management. Ordinary Least Square Regression for statistical analysis. CEO duality related to greater income-increasing earnings management. Poor firm performance gives CEO a big pressure. This is a motivation for earnings management. 5. Earnings management and internal mechanisms of corporate governance: Empirical evidence from Chilean firms (2005) 6. Audit committee, board of director’s characteristics and earnings management (2002) Iturriaga, Félix J. López. Hoffmann, Paolo Saona. Analyze the ownership structure as a control tool to managers and firms in order to reduce the accounting discretionary behaviors. A sample of 185 Chilean non-financial firms during 19912001. The Jones’ model for detecting earnings management. Fixed effect regression. High level of block holder ownership can reduce earnings management. Klein, April Examine whether board items and audit committee affect earnings management. 692 listed firms selected from SEC filed proxy statement during 1992-1993. Cross-section of the Modified Jones Model analysis. Negative relationship between abnormal accruals and independent directors. Control variables: firm size and debt. 7. Board composition and earnings management in Canada (2004) Park, Yun. W. Shin, Hyun-Han. 539 listed firmobservations of Canada from Global Vantage Database during 1991 to 1997. Econometric model and OLS regression. 8. Earnings Management and Corporate Governance in Asia’s Emerging Markets (2007) 9. Managerial ownership, accounting choices, and informativeness of earnings (1995) Shen, Chung-Hua. Chih, Hsiang-Lin. Investigate the relationship between board composition and earnings management based on Canadian companies. Study the effects of corporate governance on earnings management. 495 companies in 25 emerging countries during April 2001February 2002. Econometric model and OLS regression. Warfield, Terry D. Wild, John J. Wild, Kenneth L. Analyze the impacts of managerial ownership on the informativeness of earnings and the level of discretionary accrual accounting. Around 1600 firms and nearly 5000 annual reports during 19881990. Ordinary Least Squares Regression for statistical analysis. Managers are more likely to manipulate income-increasing earnings. No relationship between independent directors and earnings management. Companies with good corporate governance have lower activities of earnings management. Large firms are more likely to manipulate earnings. Negative relationship between earnings management and managerial ownership. Positive relationship between returns and managerial ownership. 10. Earnings management and corporate governance : the role of the board and the audit committee (2003) Xie, Biao, Davidson, Wallace N, DaDalt, Peter J Investigate whether board characteristic, audit committee and executive committee affect earnings management. 281 listed firms collected from S&P 500 index in 1992, 1994 and 1996. OLS regression; cross-sectional of the Modified-Jones Model. 11. Managerial Ownership Structure and Earnings Management (2008) Yang, Chi-Yih. Lai, Hung-Neng. Tan, Boon. Leing. Study the relationship between managerial ownership and earnings management. A sample of 1306 listed firms collected from Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ) database during 1997-2004. Econometric model longitudinal mixed model Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML). Page 91 Audit committee and independent boards with corporate experience decrease the likelihood of earnings management. Meeting times are connected to reduce the level of earnings management. U-shaped relationship between inside ownership. Positive relationship between earnings management and director ownership, block holder ownership. Page 92