Ecological Economics & Nature Conservation Image from: http://ksjtracker.mit.edu Interconnectedness of World Problems Extinction Crisis War & Environmental Political Conservation and Environmental Concerns Degradation are embedded in and inter-connected Unrest Human Population with other World Problems Growth Famine Social Inequality Poverty Photo from Greg Dimijian Economics strongly influences policy considerations for the entire constellation of interconnected world problems Economics Adam Smith – “father of modern economics” Adam Smith (1723 – 1790) An Inquiry into the Nature & Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776) Image from Wikipedia Economics Adam Smith – The Wealth of Nations (1776) Human motives are often driven by self-interest, but competition in the free market would tend to keep prices low, yet create incentives for a wide variety of goods and services “It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own [selfish] interest” The free market appears chaotic and unrestrained, but selfish interests may help guide it by their collective “invisible hand” to supply the right amount and variety of goods and services to meet demand Definition of economics from Levitt & Dubner’s (2005) Freakonomics: “explaining how people get what they want” Environmental Economics Garrett Hardin – The Tragedy of the Commons, article in Science (1968) Even so, multiple individuals acting in their own self-interest can destroy a shared resource (e.g., a “commons”) Photo from www.mapofsaltspring.com Environmental Economics Garrett Hardin – The Tragedy of the Commons, article in Science (1968) The “commons” was used as a metaphor for the Earth and its growing human population Elinor Ostrom (first woman to win Nobel Prize in Economics – 2009) has shown that on the small-scale, the tragedy is often avoided by cooperation among the commons’ users, who impose sanctions, etc. on those who cheat Journal cover from the 12 December 2003 issue of Science; www.sciencemag.org Ecological / Environmental Footprints Individual herders (or people) collectively place more “footprints” on the commons (or Earth) than can be supported “The average single-family house completed [in 2006] had 2,469 square feet, 769 more square feet than in 1976…” House size statistics from U. S. Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov/const/www/highanncharac2006.html Photo of house construction from: http://blog.gogrid.com Ecological / Environmental Footprints J. Diamond – New York Times Op-Ed (January 2, 2008) “What’s Your Consumption Factor?” “The average rates at which people consume resources like oil and metals, and produce wastes like plastics and greenhouse gases, are about 32 times higher in North America, Western Europe, Japan and Australia than they are in the developing world.” Quote from: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/02/opinion/02diamond.html Map from Wikipedia; data to produce map from Global Footprint Network – http://www.footprintnetwork.org Ecological / Environmental Footprints Pets can have large ecological “pawprints” Calculated ecological “pawprint” of medium-sized dog in the U.S.; it was more than twice the ecological “treadprint” of an SUV (4.6-liter Toyota Land Cruiser driven 10,000 km/yr) “The estimated number of household cats and dogs exceeds 100 million each, a global population size that easily outdistances that of any wild carnivore” (Van Valkenburgh & Wayne, 2010, Current Biology 20:915-919) Robert & Brenda Vale (2009) Time to Eat the Dog: The Real Guide to Sustainable Living See: New Scientist article – http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20427311.600-how-green-is-your-pet.html Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model With respect to matter, the economy is an open subsystem of a closed, finite total system – the biosphere Matter cycles within and energy flows through the global ecosystem Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model With respect to matter, the economy is an open subsystem of a closed, finite total system – the biosphere Matter cycles within and energy flows through the global ecosystem Figure from Jackson et al. (2001) Ecological Applications E.g., water cycle Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model No escape from the Laws of Thermodynamics E.g., 1st Law of Thermodynamics = Conservation of Energy Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model Modern humanity arose ~10,000 yr ago “with the invention of villages and political hierarchies… The economic history that followed can be summarized very succinctly as follows: people used every means they could devise to convert the resources of Earth into wealth.” Quote from E. O. Wilson’s foreword to Jeffrey D. Sachs’ (2008) Common Wealth Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model Distinction between growth and development Can there be development without growth? Can there be growth without development? Environmental Economics Steady-State Economics Model Sustainability – amount of consumption that can be sustained indefinitely without degrading capital stocks (including natural capital) Environmental Economics Sustainability – amount of consumption that can be sustained indefinitely without degrading capital stocks Short-term consumption rate Trade-off Capital stocks Environmental Economics Sustainability – amount of consumption that can be sustained indefinitely without degrading capital stocks Unsustainable Short-term consumption rate ? Sustainable Capital stocks Environmental Economics Interesting parallel with organismal life-history evolution; “a jack of all trades is master of none” E.g., King (chinook) salmon (many thousands of offspring; single reproductive bout) Life-history trait A, e.g., current reproductive output E.g., Blue whale (one offspring every 2-3 yr; 80 yr life-span) Life-history trait B, e.g., future survival Photos from Wikipedia Environmental Economics Sustainability – amount of consumption that can be sustained indefinitely without degrading capital stocks Unsustainable Short-term consumption rate ? Sustainable Capital stocks Photo from Wikipedia Environmental Economics Sustainability – amount of consumption that can be sustained indefinitely without degrading capital stocks Short-term consumption rate Unsustainable ? Capital stocks Photo from Wikipedia Sustainable Economics Strongly Influence Policy Cost-Benefit Analysis At first blush it appears simple… Costs > Benefits project should not proceed Costs < Benefits project should proceedxxx Economics Strongly Influence Policy Cost-Benefit Analysis However, it must convert all costs and benefits to the same currency, and it must consider all of the trade-offs, both instrumental and intrinsic value (which is especially hard to monetize), hidden costs, and externalities Externality A true cost (usually in terms of environmental degradation) resulting from an economic transaction that is not included as a debit against economic returns Economics Strongly Influence Policy Willingness to Pay How much would you be willing to pay to protect Blue Whales? Photo from www.whale.net Economics Strongly Influence Policy Travel Cost Method How much do people pay to see Blue Whales? Photo from newportbeachchristmasparade.wordpress.com Economics Strongly Influence Policy Present Value and Discounting How many of you would rather receive $100 today vs. the equivalent of $100 in a year’s time? Costs and benefits often change value over time The general preference to receive good things now (and put bad things off until later) is called time preference Many economists advocate converting all future costs and benefits to present value; future sums of money are discounted by a rate that reflects time preference Economics Strongly Influence Policy Environmental Impact Assessment The process of identifying the potential impacts of a project or policy before it goes into effect Required of certain federal projects in the U.S. since the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) was enacted in 1970 Economics Strongly Influence Policy Risk Assessment and Management Risk = the probability of a given potential hazard causing a given consequence, multiplied by the magnitude (severity) of that consequence Economics Strongly Influence Policy Precautionary Principle Since not all possible negative consequences of a project can be known ahead of time, this ethical principle states that if the consequences are judged by some informed persons to have a high likelihood of being negative, it is better to abandon the project Limits to Natural Resource Use… “How Much is Left?” Web resource available through Scientific American, to accompany their September 2010 issue http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=interactive-how-much-is-left