PROJECT TITLE
INTERNATIONAL GROWTH CENTRE PHASE 2
February 2015
The expected impact of the programme is the broader longer-term change that is brought about. It will derive from a number of interventions and is likely to be the cumulative effect of the engagement
of national governments and development partners. It frequently refers to MDG-type results.
IMPACT
Impact Indicator 1
Sustainable growth in
developing countries
Number of countries identified in the
2011 DFID Bilateral Aid Review1 with
real GDP growth rates of 5% or
above.
Baseline
Milestone 1
(2013/4)
Milestone 2
(2014/15)
Milestone 3
(2015/16)
Target
Due to attribution problems, this
indicator is only monitored to give
contextual information for the
programme.
Source
IMF World Economic Outlook
The outcome of the activity and the changes in behaviour to which it leads.
OUTCOME
Outcome Indicator 1
Baseline
Milestone 1
(2013/4)
Milestone 2
(2014/15)
Milestone 3
(2015/16)
Target
Assumptions
Credible growth policies and
programmes implemented in
developing countries.
Number of changes to growth
related policies (based on IGC
research and advice)
14
14
16
18
20

Source
IGC Country, Research, and Event reporting, IGC Annual Report, Policy Briefs
including narratives of policy influence, IGC website material, tracking of media
reporting on IGC work, direct feedback from key policy stakeholders. Independent
evaluations via country visits will be carried out at points of major review.
INPUTS (£)
INPUTS (HR)
Outcome Indicator 2
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
(2015/16)
Number of partner and non-partner
countries where ideas emanating
from IGC programme have
influenced policy discussions
14
14
15
16
DFID (£)
DFID (FTEs)
Partner country governments and other
stakeholders are receptive to IGC
engagement and are willing to adopt and
implement policy responses

Political situation, financial and other
resources are conducive to implementation of
suggested policies

17
External factors including (but not limited to)
global recession, political instability, and
natural disasters do not affect DFID
countries’ real GDP growth rates
Source

IGC Country, Research, and Event reporting, IGC Annual Report, Policy Briefs including narratives of
policy influence, IGC website material, tracking of media reporting on IGC work, direct feedback from key
policy stakeholders. Independent evaluations via country visits will be carried out at points of major review.
£51,617,718
(no non-DFID inputs)
(no non-DFID inputs)
0.5 FTE (A2 Economic Advisor, Growth)
0.2 FTE (A2 Economic Advisor, Research)
0.3 FTE (B1D Assistant Economic Advisor)
0.3 FTE (B1 Programme Manager)
1
Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Burma, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, India, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Liberia, Malawi, Mozambique, Nepal, Nigeria, Occupied Palestinian Territories, Pakistan, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, South Sudan,
Tajikistan, Tanzania, Uganda, Yemen, Zambia and Zimbabwe
page 1
Outputs describe the direct goods and services delivered by the project/programme and should be attributable to DFID.
OUTPUT 1
Country-specific, evidencebased, and timely advice
provided to answer developing
country policymakers’ growth
questions
Indicator 1.1
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
Assumptions
Number of country programmes fully
functioning with demonstrated
stakeholder engagement.
13
14
15
15
15
See assumptions described under Outcome P1
and P2)

There is sufficient access to data, and/or
ability to gather primary data, to provide a
timely and sufficient evidence base for
research and advice

Socio-political situation in partner and nonpartner countries is such that IGC can build
effective channels for communication and
engagement between researchers and
national governments and other country
actors

There is a sufficient demand for an IGC
rapid response or regional work from nonpartner countries or regions
Source
IGC Country, Research, and Event reporting, IGC Annual Report, Workplan, tracking of media
reporting on IGC work, direct feedback from key policy stakeholders. IGC contacts database, Policy
Briefs including narratives of policy influence, IGC website material, tracking of media reporting on IGC
work, direct feedback from key policy stakeholders. Independent evaluations via country visits will be
carried out at points of major review.
By stakeholder engagement, this includes: survey that shows regular engagement with contacts from
at least 2 of the following 4 categories: civil society, private sector, donor and government.
Indicator 1.2
Baseline
2012-2013
Milestones 1
2013/14
Milestones 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
Number of IGC outputs (cumulative from
baseline) that have substantially
contributed to the policy process*
46**
46 (92 cumulative)
50 (142
cumulative)
55 (197
cumulative)
60 (257 cumulative)
Source
Source: IGC Annual Report, with external quality assurance
*This will be measured as the number of times an IGC output has attained an impact rating of 3 (highlevel hearing) or 4 (policy change). The country impact scoring should contain a split for Phase I and
Phase II outputs.
** 46 is the achieved number of outputs in 2012-13. The cumulative baseline is not available as a new
definition of ‘impact level’ was developed after 2012.
Definitions:
Level 3: hearing with senior/influential policy-makers, with evidence* that recommendations were
internalized and/or that exchanged ideas have influenced policy discussions
Level 4: policy decision demonstrably and substantially informed, caused or influenced by the IGC.
*Evidence will include, for instance, follow-up meetings, email exchanges, etc.
Indicator 1.3
Baseline (2012/13)
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
Number of IGC country programmes
with at least 2 new outputs that have
substantially contributed to the policy
process*
10
10
12
14
16
Source
Source: IGC Annual Report, with external quality assurance
* this will be measured as the number of times an IGC output has attained an impact rating of 3 (highlevel hearing) or 4 (policy change). The country impact scoring should contain a split for Phase I and
Phase II outputs.
Indicator 1.4
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
page 2
Target
Number of non-partner countries,
regional organisations or multilateral
organisations that have been engaged
with for policy advice and/or advice on
regional issues that have been met by
IGC engagement
2
3
4
5
6
Source
IGC Country, Research, and Event reporting, IGC Annual Report, Policy Briefs including narratives of
policy influence, IGC website material, tracking of media reporting on IGC work, direct feedback from
key policy stakeholders. Independent evaluations via country visits will be carried out at points of major
review.
Impact Weighting
RISK RATING
50%
£31,184,580
Medium
INPUTS (£)
OUTPUT 2
Indicator 2.1 (research outputs)
World class policy-oriented
research undertaken on
developing country growth
issues and widely
disseminated
Number of peer reviewed articles and
IGC standard2 working papers and
conference papers produced by
projects funded by the IGC Research
Programme, in phase 2, cumulative.
Indicator 2.2 (academic quality)
Number of articles accepted for
publication (including “revise and
resubmit”) produced by projects
funded by IGC Research Programme
in Phase 2, cumulative.
Indicator 2.3 (impact level)
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
0
0
2
20
60
Source
IGC annual report, IGC website, R4D website.
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
0
0
0
5
20
Source
IGC annual report, IGC website, R4D website, Web of Knowledge, Scopus.
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Cumulative number of peer-reviewed
articles achieving 10 or more citations
in other academic articles, funded by
the IGC in Phase 1, cumulative
Target
No target as this
indicator merely
tracks output from
Phase 1 – it is not a
basis for Phase 2
project scoring
Source
IGC annual report, Google Scholar, Thomson Reuters (Web of Knowledge), Microsoft Academic Search
2
The quality assurance process for IGC working papers will be agreed in 2015.
page 3
Assumptions
(See assumptions described under Output 1)
In addition:
The lag between submission and publication
does not prevent timely publication in worldclass academic journals
There are sufficient ‘local researchers’ resident
in IGC partner countries to deliver studies of
sufficient quality
Indicator 2.4
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
Number of phase 2 commissioned
research or country studies to be
authored or co-authored by ‘local
researchers3, cumulative.
0
50
100
140
165
Indicator 2.5 (network expansion)
Baseline
Milestone 1
Milestone 2
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
Proportion of Research Programme
grants (by value) research projects
having at least one PI outside the IGC
research network4 at the time of
application
N/A
20%
20%
20%
20%
Source
RISK RATING
IGC Annual Report
Indicator 2.6 (research commissioning)
Baseline
Value of projects approved by
commissioning boards in the IGC
Research Programme Phase 2 and
signed off by DFID, cumulative
0
Impact Weighting
Milestone 1
Milestone 2
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
£3,000,000
£5,000,000
£6,500,000
Source
20%
INPUTS (£)
Low
IGC Annual Report
DFID (£)
£9,995,264
(no non-DFID inputs)
Note: The IGC will produce summary Annual Report for publication, but also a set of Research Programme Reports and Country Reports (as outlined below) which carry details of IGC Research and Country work, respectively. For the purposes of
securing verified data for evaluation under this logframe, those reports will be auditable, on a random sample basis, for the purposes of verification.
A ‘local researcher’ is understood to mean a researcher who is both a citizen and resident of a middle-or low-income country (not necessarily the same country).
* The IGC research network is defined as those researchers having received an IGC grant in the past ; the comprehensive list for 2009-2014 can be found in Appendix 1. The list will be updated every year as grant winners are added to the
network.
3
4
page 4
OUTPUT 3
Indicator 3.1
Strengthen IGC`s relations
with its stakeholders and
communicate the IGC`s work
globally and locally.
IGC demonstrates active participation
in international debates, as
demonstrated by:
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Target
2015/16
Target
Assumptions



Number of IGC publications on a
global debate/issue. These papers
should be specific to the issue
(not the general synthesis
papers).
Representation of the IGC at
external events (such as WTO,
IMF/World Bank Annual
Meetings).


0
0


2 publications
4 examples of
representation


3 publications
4 examples of
representation


4 publications
5 examples of
representation


5 publications
5 examples of
representation
Source
Publications on global debates/issues should be sent to DFID during the annual review process.
Publications can include online blogs, op-ed pieces or policy papers. They should be specific to the issue and
marked as IGC work.
Indicator 3.2
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
IGC communicates to a broad global
and local audience as demonstrated
by:
 Increased number of unique
visitors on the main IGC
website
 Increased engagement (IGC
newsletter)

20% increase from
the baseline on all
indicators
20% increase from
2013/14 on all
indicators
10% increase from
2014/15 on all
indicators
10% increase from
2015/16 on all
indicators

Baseline IGC
web unique
visitors 24,140 for
1/10/12-31/3/13
Newsletter 2548
subscribers in
March 13
Source
Web metrics and newsletter dissemination list
Note: ideally metrics would reflect Communications Strategy, ready by early summer 2014.
Indicator 3.3
IGC engages and communicates incountry, as demonstrated by number
of countries that have:
 Built and maintained close
relationships with senior
policy makers
 Engaged with the general
public, as measured by the
number of appearances in
Baseline
Milestone 1
2013/14
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
NA





8 countries with
at least 3 close
relationships
8 countries,
with 4
appearances or
more

10 countries
with at least 3
close
relationships
10 countries
with 4
appearances or
more

12 countries
with at least 4
close
relationships
12 countries
with 5
appearances or
more
Source
page 5

14 countries with
at least 5 close
relationships
14 countries with
5 appearance
Assumptions
conferences, written press
(print and web), radio or
television.
Annual Report.

Built and maintained close relationships with relevant stakeholders: this will be measured by the number of
senior policy-makers with whom the IGC leadership team has met with at least once a year over at least two
consecutive years, outside of official IGC events.
Engaged with the general public: for a country to score against this indicator it must demonstrate the
required total number of appearances as well as breadth of communication across at least 2 of the following
5 channels: conferences, the written, the web press (including high-traffic blogs), radio or television. Senior
Policy maker is defined as government minister, board member of central bank and top ranking civil servant,
or equivalent.
Senior Policy maker is defined as government minister, board member of central bank and top ranking civil
servant, or equivalent


Impact Weighting
RISK RATING
15%
Medium
INPUTS (£)
OUTPUT 4
DFID (£)
Indicator 4.1
£3,344,943
Baseline
The IGC is well managed and
responsive.
Low number of vacancies across IGC
core positions*, as evidenced by:
 Average % of hub positions
filled
 Number of country
programmes where core
positions* are filled for at least
83% of the year
Indicator 4.2
Percentage of the revised budget
actively completed on time across the
whole programme, by the end of the
fiscal year (£12.01 for FY 14/15).

TBD
(no non-DFID inputs)
Milestone 1
2013/14
75% of hub
positions filled
8 country
programmes
Milestone 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/15
Target
90% of hub
positions filled
90% of hub
positions filled
90% of hub positions
filled
12 country
programmes
13 country
programmes
14 country
programmes
Source
Target assessed in IGC Annual Report
*Core positions at the Hub are defined as Senior Management and Hub Economists
*Core positions in the country programmes are defined as a Country Director, Lead Academic and Country
Economist.
Baseline
Milestones 1
2013/14
Milestones 2
2014/15
Milestone 3
2015/16
Target
NA
Financial plan for
key deliverables
agreed by February
2014
90%
93%
95%
Source
Updates at Governance Committee Meetings, IGC Management Report
Indicator 4.3
IGC shows clear evidence of savings,
as set out in the Phase 2 bid (not
including vacancies or unfilled posts).
Baseline
Value of cost savings
in Phase 2 bid =
£3,094,579
Milestones 1
Milestones 2
Milestone 3
Target
£760K
+£800K or
equivalent
percentage of costs
saved vs outturn.
+£800K , or
equivalent
percentage of costs
saved vs outturn
£3,094,579
page 6
Assumptions
(See assumptions described under
Purpose P1 and P2, and Outputs 1, 2
and 3)
Source
Target assessed in IGC Annual Report
Impact Weighting
RISK RATING
15%
INPUTS (£)
Medium
DFID (£)
7,092,931
(no non-DFID inputs)
Note: The IGC will produce summary Annual Report for publication. For the purposes of securing verified data for evaluation under this logframe, those reports will be auditable, on a random sample basis, for the purposes of verification.
page 7
Appendix 1 – Individuals in the IGC Research Network, 2009-2014
This is the list of individuals that were Principal Investigators or co-investigator on at least one IGC-funded project between 2009 and 2014.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
Abhay Kumar
Abhijit Banerjee
Abhinav Alakshendra
Abid Burki
Abu Shonchoy
Aditya Dasgupta
Adnan Khan
Alakh Sharma
Alberto Martin
Alberto Motta
Ameet Morjaria
Ana Maria Ibanez
Anders Jensen
Andrea Prat
Andres Rodriguez-Clare
Andrew Beath
Andrew Zeitlin
Anke Hoeffler
Annie Duflo
Aprajit Mahajan
Ashok Kotwal
Ashwini Kulkarni
Asim Khwaja
Ayesha Ali
Beatrice Kalinda Mkenda
Bee Yan Aw-Roberts
Benjamin Marx
Benjamin Olken
Benn Eifert
Bentley Macleod
Bharat Ramaswami
Bilal Siddiqi
Bram Thuysbaert
Brian Min
Bruno Crepon
Charity Moore
Chris Barrett
Chris Blattman
Chris Udry
Chris Woodruff
Christine Fair
Christopher Adam
Claus Kreiner
Clemens Fuest
Conny Olovsson
Costas Meghir
Craig McIntosh
Daniel Keniston
Daniel Bruce Sarpong
Daniel Rogger
Daniela Scur
Daron Acemoglu
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
Dave Donaldson
David Atkin
David Bevan
David Lagakos
David McKenzie
Dean Karlan
Dean Yang
Dilip Mookherjee
Douglas Gollin
Edward Miguel
Eli Berman
Emmanuel Farhi
Emmanuel Saez
Eric Bartelsman
Eric Dodge
Ernest Aryeetey
Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
Esther Duflo
Eswar Prasad
Fernando Aragon
Fernando Broner
Fotini Christia
Francesco Caselli
Francis Teal
Gareth Nellis
Germano Mwabutu
Giacomo De Giorgi
Giorgia Maffini
Giovanna Dadda
Girum Abebe
Gordon Hanson
Graeme Blair
Greg Fischer
Henrik Kleven
Hilton Root
Imran Rasul
Isaac Mbiti
Isaac Osei-Akoto
Jacob N. Shapiro
James Rauch
James Robinson
James Tybout
Jaume Ventura
Jean Lee
Jeffrey Grogger
Jeremy Foltz
Jim Berry
Jim Fearon
Joel Slemrod
John Campbell
John Haltiwanger
John Hassler
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
John Roberts
John van Reenen
Jonathan Eaton
Jonathan Morduch
Jonathan Robinson
Jose de Sousa
Joshua Abor
Joshua Blumenstock
Juan Pablo Rud
Justin Sandefur
Kala M. Krishna
Kalina Manova
Kanishka Balasuriya
Katherine Casey
Kelly Bidwell
Kelsey Jack
Klaus Deininger
Klaus Desmet
Kosuke Imai
Lakshmi Iyer
Leona Klapper
Loren Brandt
Lucas Coffman
Lucie Gadenne
Luigi Pistaferri
Luke Condra
Macartan Humphreys
Maitreesh Ghatak
Manuel Amador
Marc Muendler
Marcel Fafchamps
Mark Aguiar
Mark Pitt
Mark Rosenzweig
Marta Rubio-Codina
Martin J. Williams
Matthew Kahn
Matthew Turner
Maurice Obstfeld
Michael Callen
Michael Devereux
Michael Greenstone
Michael Kremer
Michael Walton
Michael Waugh
Miguel Urquiola
Miriam Golden
Monica Singhal
Muhammad Yasir Khan
Mukhtar Abdi Ogle
Mushfiq Mobarak
Mushtaq Ahmed Khan
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
Mwangi Kimenyi
Nadine Riedel
Nancy Qian
Nandita Gupta
Nathan Eagle
Nathan Fiala
Nathaniel Baum-Snow
Nazmul Hassan
Neil Rankin
Nicholas Ryan
Nick Bloom
Nicola Gennaioli
Nicolas Berman
Nikhar Gaikwad
Oeindrila Dube
Oliver Vanden Eynde
Orazio Attanasio
Oriana Bandiera
Pablo Querubín
Paolo Falco
Parul Aggarwal
Pascaline Dupas
Paul Collier
Paul Jensen
Paul Wasanga
Per Krusell
Philippe Aghion
Philippe Martin
Pia Raffler
Pierre Bachas
Pierre Oliver Gourinchas
Prabhat Barnwal
Pranab Bardhan
Pushkar Maitra
Qinghua Zhang
Rachel Glennerster
Radek Stefanski
Raffaella Sadun
Rahul Anand
Raj Chetty
Ram Fishman
Rasul Bakhsh Rais
Raymond Guiteras
Renata Lemos
Richard Rogerson
Rick van der Ploeg
Rikhil Bhavnani
Robert Bates
Robert Darko Osei
Robert Sentamu
Roberto Weber
Robin Burgess
page 8
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
Rocco Macchiavello
Rohini Pande
Ruben Enikolopov
Saad Gulzar
Sachin Kumar
Sahar Parsa
Sam Mensah
Sam Norris
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Sandip Mitra
Sandip Sukhtankar
Sandra Sequeira
Sendhil Mullainathan
Shawn Cole
Sheetal Sekhri
Shreya Sarawgi
Simon Franklin
Simon Quinn
Siqi Zheng
Siwan Anderson
Sonia Bhalotra
Sriganesh Lokanathan
Stefan Dercon
Stefano Caria
Sujata Visaria
Syedain Ali Hasanain
Tarun Ramadorai
Taryn Dinkelman
Tavneet Suri
Tessa Bold
Theresa Chaudhry
Thierry Mayer
Thomas Walker
Tim Besley
Tony Smith
Tristan Reed
Vernon Henderson
Vivek Maru
William Masters
Wojciech Kopczuk
Yoto Yotov
page 9