RESEARCH METHODS Goals of Psychology • • • • Describe Explain Predict Control …………behavior and mental processes Critical Thinking • Thinking that does not blindly accept arguments or conclusions but questions their validity • NOT parsimonious thinking (willingly accepting the most simple explanation). Scientific Method • Technique using tools such as observation, experimentation, and statistical analysis to learn about the world • Through its use, psychology is thereby considered a science. Steps to the Scientific Method • Form a testable question • Develop a hypothesis • Test Hypothesis - Design study to collect data – Experimental – Descriptive • Analyze data – Use of statistical procedures – Use of meta-analysis • Draw a conclusion • Report results – Publication – Replication Things That Make Us WRONG: Why we need the scientific method Common Sense • Conclusions based solely on personal experience and sensible logic • Most of the time it is good but… • Can lead to incorrect conclusions What are the Odds of Each? What are the Odds of Each? 1 in 2,598,960 What are the Odds of Each? 1 in 2,598,960 1 in 2,598,960 Did you know… • It is nearly impossible to fold a regular sheet of paper in half more than 7 times. • Go ahead and try! • Mythbusters pulled it off with a piece of paper as big as an airplane hanger and a steam roller. Science vs. Common Sense • Science helps build explanations that are consistent and predictive as opposed to conflicting and describing the past (hindsight) • Science is based on – – – – knowledge of facts developing theories testing hypotheses public and repeatable procedures Bias • Situation in which a factor unfairly influences the likelihood of a particular conclusion • Bias should be minimized as much as possible in research Hindsight Bias • The tendency to exaggerate one’s ability to have foreseen how something would turn out after learning the outcome. • The “I knew it all along” phenomenon. – Week before the 1985 Super Bowl, 81% of Dr. Brigham’s students predicted the Miami Dolphins would win. 40% said the Dolphins would win by 10 or more points. – A week after San Francisco 49ers decisive victory, he asked the group who picked the 49ers. • 58% said they picked the 49ers • NO ONE remembered saying the Dolphins would win by at least 10 points. Overconfidence • Tendency to overestimate the accuracy of our current knowledge • We are more confident than we are correct. • How many of you overestimated the number of correct answers on your True/False Quiz? Confirmation Bias • Our tendency to search for information that confirms our beliefs and ignore those that don’t. • Try this card trick: http://www.caveofmagic.com/results1.htm • This works because we only look for our chosen card confirming Simeon’s mental telepathy and ignore the fact that second set of cards is in fact, an entirely new set! • NONE of the cards in the new set is the same as the old one so of course the card you picked is missing. Researcher Bias • The tendency to notice evidence which supports one particular point of view or hypothesis Volunteer Bias • People who volunteer to participate in a survey differ from those who do not. • Those who complete it are often willing to share, have similar interests, have spare time (magazine surveys). • These factors skew or slant the results. • Eliminate this by using a random sample where everyone has equal chance of being chosen to participate. Participant Bias • Tendency of research subjects to respond in certain ways because they know they are being observed • The subjects might try to behave in ways they believe the researcher wants them to behave • Can be reduced by naturalistic observation Eliminating Bias • “Placebo Effect” – participants react because they THINK they are receiving treatment (sugar pill) – Mind over Matter • “Nocebo” – If told a drug won’t work, the person will feel it doesn’t work even if it is a legitimate drug. • Single Blind Study – participants do not know if they are getting the treatment or not • Double Blind Study – neither the researcher or the participants know if they are getting the treatment or not Research Strategies Fall Into 2 Categories • Descriptive—strategies for observing and describing behavior – Observation – Surveys • Experimental—strategies for inferring cause and effect relationships among variables Longitudinal Study • Researchers study the same group of individuals for many years to see how they change. • Can be very expensive and difficult to conduct • Risky – people may drop out • Ex: Ruby Payne studied poverty Cross-Sectional Study • Researchers simultaneously study a number of subjects from different age groups and then compare the results to see how they are different. • Cheaper, easier than longitudinal studies, but group differences may be due to factors other than development. (More variables.) Longitudinal/Cross Sectional Study Naturalistic Observation • Method of observation where subjects are observed in their “natural” environment • Subjects are not aware they are being watched – researcher does not interfere • Could use hidden cameras or two way mirrors • Ex: People eating in a restaurant Laboratory Observation • Not always a sterile room. • Place where the environment can be controlled to minimize the number of variables. • Negatives are that it may cause the subject to act differently than it normally would. • Ex: Skinner Box, maze, fish tank Case Study • In depth study of one individual with the hopes of determining universal principles • Generally used to investigate rare, unusual, or extreme conditions – Example: Phineas Gage Negatives: • This technique is very open to bias • Difficulty of applying data from one person to everyone Survey Method • Research method that relies on selfreports; uses surveys, questionnaires, interviews. • Usually a very efficient and inexpensive method; able to get a large sample • Can you guess some limitations of this method of research? Survey Limitations • Accuracy is a concern; people are not always honest. • They fear confidentiality or want to please the researcher. • Example: Tooth brushing survey in 1960s. If as many people actually brushed their teeth as often as they claimed to brush their teeth, 33% (?) more toothpaste would have been sold that year. Sampling Terms • (Target) Population—large (potentially infinite) group represented by the sample. Findings are generalized to this group. • Sample—selected segment of the population for the study • Stratified or Representative sample—closely parallels the target population on relevant characteristics; sample is proportional to TARGET POPULATION • Random selection—every member of larger group has equal chance of being selected for the study sample Random Sample • A sample that represents the target population: – Each member of the population has an equal chance of being included. – If a sample is not random it is said to be biased. – Increase chances of representing population when sample is BIG ENOUGH – How would you pick a random sample??? Generalizing the Results • Applying the findings from the research group to other groups. • Be cautious about generalizing when it isn’t a random or stratified sample. • Example: Car preference differs between men, women, region, socio-economic background, and more. Correlational Study • Correlations examine relationships between categories of facts. • Correlation reveals relationships among facts – e.g., more democratic parents have children who behave better • A correlational study does NOT determine HOW the two variables are related – just that they are related • Correlational studies are helpful in making predictions. Correlational Study • Correlation CANNOT prove causation – Do democratic parents produce better behaved children? – Do better behaved children encourage parents to be democratic? • May be an unmeasured common factor – e.g., good neighborhoods produce democratic adults and well-behaved children • Does NOT determine why the two variables are related--just that they are related. Correlation & Causation • There is a strong +.90 correlation in shoe size and IQ. • Does this mean that a large shoe size is the cause for higher intelligence? • What else could explain this? •YOUR FEET GROW AS YOU GET OLDER & WISER Positive Correlation • As the value of one variable increases (or decreases) so does the value of the other variable. • A perfect positive correlation is +1.0. • The closer the correlation is to +1.0, the stronger the relationship. Negative Correlation • As the value of one variable increases, the value of the other variable decreases. • A perfect negative correlation is -1.0. • The closer the correlation is to -1.0, the stronger the relationship. Zero Correlation • There is no relationship whatsoever between the two variables. Experimental Design The Only Way to Show Cause & Effect Experimental Terms • Variable – part of experiment that changes • Independent Variable (IV)– controlled by researcher. This variable causes something to happen. • Dependent Variable (DV) – watched by the researcher to see the impact of the IV. This variable is the effect that is caused by the IV. • Good Way to Remember the difference: An IV in your arm causes something to happen (DV) • Confounding Variable – things that cannot be controlled that can influence the experiment Groups • Experimental group – receives the treatment; frequently a drug • Control group – receives no treatment; usually receives a placebo (fake drug) Limitations of Experiments • Conditions in an experiment may not reflect conditions of real life. • (Must simplify variables to get useful information.) • Ethical considerations in creating some more “real life” situations Research Ethics • Confidentiality – participants are more likely to be truthful if they know their privacy is protected. • Confidentiality can be broken if information reveals harm to another person Ethics • Informed consent – some studies may have long term threats or irreversible effects. – Participants must be given a choice to participate after being informed of the study. • Deception is allowable when benefit outweighs harm and participants receive full explanation at its conclusion Animal Research • APA has rules for animals, too. • Often used instead of humans when topic could not be ethically studied on a human. – Ex: Early separation studied by Harlow in 1959 with monkeys. • Animal experiments lead to solutions with humans – eating disorders, drug treatments • Still controversial due to the fact that animals can be harmed in studies.