Chapter 21
Options Valuation
Option Values
Intrinsic value - profit that could be made if
the option was immediately exercised
- Call: stock price - exercise price
- Put: exercise price - stock price
Time value - the difference between the
option price and the intrinsic value
Time Value of Options: Call
Option
value
Value of Call
Intrinsic Value
Time value
X
Stock Price
Factors Influencing Option Values:
Calls
Factor
Stock price
Exercise price
Volatility of stock price
Time to expiration
Interest rate
Dividend Rate
Effect on value
increases
decreases
increases
increases
increases
decreases
Restrictions on Option Value: Call
Value cannot be negative
Value cannot exceed the stock value
Value of the call must be greater than the
value of levered equity
C > S0 - ( X + D ) / ( 1 + R f )T
C > S0 - PV ( X ) - PV ( D )
Allowable Range for Call
Call Value
Lower Bound
= S0 - PV (X) - PV (D)
S0
PV (X) + PV (D)
Binomial Option Pricing:
Text Example
200
100
75
C
50
Stock Price
0
Call Option Value
X = 125
Binomial Option Pricing:
Text Example
Alternative Portfolio
Buy 1 share of stock at $100
Borrow $46.30 (8% Rate)
Net outlay $53.70
Payoff
Value of Stock 50 200
Repay loan
- 50 -50
Net Payoff
0 150
150
53.70
0
Payoff Structure
is exactly 2 times
the Call
Binomial Option Pricing:
Text Example
150
53.70
C
0
2C = $53.70
C = $26.85
75
0
Another View of Replication of
Payoffs and Option Values
Alternative Portfolio - one share of stock and
2 calls written (X = 125)
Portfolio is perfectly hedged
Stock Value
50
200
Call Obligation
0
-150
Net payoff
50
50
Hence 100 - 2C = 46.30 or C = 26.85
Generalizing the
Two-State Approach
Assume that we can break the year into two sixmonth segments
In each six-month segment the stock could increase
by 10% or decrease by 5%
Assume the stock is initially selling at 100
Possible outcomes
Increase by 10% twice
Decrease by 5% twice
Increase once and decrease once (2 paths)
Generalizing the
Two-State Approach
121
110
104.50
100
95
90.25
Expanding to
Consider Three Intervals
Assume that we can break the year into
three intervals
For each interval the stock could increase
by 5% or decrease by 3%
Assume the stock is initially selling at 100
Expanding to
Consider Three Intervals
S+++
S++
S++-
S+
S+-
S
S+-S-
S-S---
Possible Outcomes with
Three Intervals
Event
Probability
Stock Price
3 up
1/8
100 (1.05)3
=115.76
2 up 1 down
3/8
100 (1.05)2 (.97)
=106.94
1 up 2 down
3/8
100 (1.05) (.97)2
= 98.79
3 down
1/8
100 (.97)3
= 91.27
Black-Scholes Option Valuation
Co = SoN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2)
d1 = [ln(So/X) + (r + 2/2)T] / (T1/2)
d2 = d1 + (T1/2)
where
Co = Current call option value.
So = Current stock price
N(d) = probability that a random draw from a
normal dist. will be less than d.
Black-Scholes Option Valuation
X = Exercise price.
e = 2.71828, the base of the nat. log.
r = Risk-free interest rate (annualizes continuously
compounded with the same maturity as the option)
T = time to maturity of the option in years
ln = Natural log function
Standard deviation of annualized cont.
compounded rate of return on the stock
Call Option Example
So = 100
X = 95
r = .10
T = .25 (quarter)
= .50
d1 = [ln(100/95) + (.10+(5 2/2))] / (5 .251/2)
= .43
d2 = .43 + ((5.251/2)
= .18
Probabilities from Normal Dist
N (.43) = .6664
Table 17.2
d
N(d)
.42
.6628
.43
.6664 Interpolation
.44
.6700
Probabilities from Normal Dist.
N (.18) = .5714
Table 17.2
d
N(d)
.16
.5636
.18
.5714
.20
.5793
Call Option Value
Co = SoN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2)
Co = 100 X .6664 - 95 e- .10 X .25 X .5714
Co = 13.70
Implied Volatility
Using Black-Scholes and the actual price of
the option, solve for volatility.
Is the implied volatility consistent with the
stock?
Put Option Valuation:
Using Put-Call Parity
P = C + PV (X) - So
= C + Xe-rT - So
Using the example data
C = 13.70X = 95 S = 100
r = .10
T = .25
P = 13.70 + 95 e -.10 X .25 - 100
P = 6.35
Adjusting the Black-Scholes
Model for Dividends
The call option formula applies to stocks
that pay dividends
One approach is to replace the stock price
with a dividend adjusted stock price
Replace S0 with S0 - PV (Dividends)
Using the Black-Scholes Formula
Hedging: Hedge ratio or delta
The number of stocks required to hedge against the price
risk of holding one option
Call = N (d1)
Put = N (d1) - 1
Option Elasticity
Percentage change in the option’s value given a
1% change in the value of the underlying stock
Portfolio Insurance - Protecting
Against Declines in Stock Value
Buying Puts - results in downside protection
with unlimited upside potential
Limitations
- Tracking errors if indexes are used for the puts
- Maturity of puts may be too short
- Hedge ratios or deltas change as stock values
change